CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Bucks 130, Knicks 111- This was Milwaukee’s first road game in December.
— Celtics 145, Clippers 108- Boston made 25 of 53 3-point shots.
— Nuggets 102, Bulls 95- Denver outscored Bulls 30-9 in third quarter.
— Magic 117, Pacers 110- Orlando’s five subs were a combined +56.
— Rockets 106, Pelicans 104- Sengun scored 37 points, had 11 rebounds.
— Grizzlies 125, Hawks 119- Memphis outscored Atlanta 75-59 in second half.

Thought of the Day
“You do not need to parachute to go skydiving………
……..you do need a parachute if you want to go skydiving twice.”

Thursday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at which two schools?

Saturday’s quiz
James Harden was the last American player to win MVP in the NBA, six years ago.

Friday’s quiz
When Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, Clayton Kershaw was the center on that team.

***************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..​

Steelers 34, Bengals 11
QB Rudolph threw an 86-yard TD pass on the Steelers’ 2nd play of game.
WR Pickens caught four passes for 195 yards, two TD’s.
Steelers in first half: 33 plays, 263 yards; they led 24-0 at the half.
since 2018, Steelers are 10-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Bengals are 0-5 SU vs AFC North rivals, 8-2 vs everyone else.
Cincinnati turned ball over twice on its first four drives.
Bengals’ only TD was 80-yard pass to Higgins on first play of third quarter.
Six of Bengals’ last seven games went over the total.

Bills 24, Chargers 22
Buffalo kicked a 29-yard FG with 0:28 left for the win.
Bills were 5-10 on third down, Chargers 4-14.
Buffalo scored 28.2 ppg in five games since firing their OC.
Buffalo won/covered four of those five games.
Chargers lost despite being +3 in turnovers.
Bolts scored six times, but it was 5 field goals, only one TD.
Chargers have only six TD’s on their last 56 drives.
Chargers lost six of their last seven games.

— Florida Atlantic 96, Arizona 95 2OT
Arizona led 19-5 early on.
Owls shot 58.3% inside the arc.
FAU is 10-2 this season, vs schedule #28.
Arizona out-rebounded FAU, 52-39.

— Providence 75, Butler 65 OT
Friars led 15-0 out of the box, but……..
…….Friars forced OT on a 3-point shot with 0:02 left.
Seven players in this game played 39+ minutes.

— UConn 69, St John’s 65
Red Storm led 32-26 at halftime.
Teams combined to shoot 9-36 on the arc.
Newton scored 15 points, had 9 rebounds, 6 assists for UConn.

— Memphis 77, Vanderbilt 75
Vandy led by 8 points with 7:56 left in game.
Vandy’s team was 17-22 on the foul line.
Memphis star Jones was 12-18 on foul line, scored 28 points.
Vanderbilt is 1-8 vs teams ranked in top 200.

— Nets 126, Pistons 115
Detroit has lost 26 games in a row (7-19 ATS)
Pistons were +6 in the 35:00 with PG Ivey on the floor.

— Word of the Day: Continuity- when something keep happening or existing, with no great changes or interruptions.
College basketball teams with better continuity have an advantage; they’re used to playing together.

— Duke 17, Troy 10
Duke has now won/covered its last five bowl games.
Blue Devils led this game 14-0 at halftime.
Troy ran ball 26 times for only 89 yards.
Both head coaches had already bolted to bigger $$$ jobs.

— Northern Illinois 21, Arkansas State 19
Ark State scored a TD with 1:14 left, but 2-point conversion failed.
NIU’s first four drives: 30 plays, 220 yards, 21 points.
NIU rest of game: 44 plays, 201 yards, no points.
Huskies snapped a 7-game losing streak in bowl games.

— Air Force 31, James Madison 21
Falcons ran ball 63 times for 351 yards.
Air Force led 21-7 at half; they threw 5 passes the whole game.
Eight of Air Force’s nine I-A wins were by 10+ points.
Falcons won their last five bowl games, scoring 33.6 ppg.

— Georgia State 45, Utah State 22
Georgia State in first half: 40 plays, 396 yards, 31 points.
QB Grainger was 19-22/257 passing, with three TD’s.
Panthers outgained Utah State, 643-347.
RB Brock carried ball 24 times for 276 yards and a TD.

— South Alabama 59, Eastern Michigan 10
Jaguars led 38-3 at halftime.
USA’s first six drives: 36 plays, 296 yards, 31 points.
Freshman QB Lopez threw for 192 yards, ran for 88 more.
This was South Alabama’s first win in four bowl games.

— Northwestern 14, Utah 7
Northwestern drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 6:19 left.
Wildcats finish season on a 4-game winning streak.
Utah is 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 non-league games.
Utah lost its last five bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.

 

[Udog]

No games today. Play resumes tomorrow.

 

[Udog]

Merry Christmas everyone! Have a great day!

 

[Udog]

MILWAUKEE is 9-0 Under (9 Units) in road games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 42-24 ATS (15.6 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in December games in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 25

NBA

Monday, December 25

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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ New York
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Golden State @ Denver
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Boston @ LA Lakers
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Dallas @ Phoenix
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 25

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Scoring leaders in the NHL:
57 points— Kucherov, TB (23 goals, 34 assists)
54— MacKinnon, Colo (18 goals, 36 assists)
48— Miller, Van (15 goals, 23 assists)
45— Nylander, Tor (16 goals, 29 assists)
44— Pastrnak, Bos (20 goals, 24 assists)
44— Panarin, NYR (18 goals, 26 assists)
44— McDavid, Edm (12 goals, 32 assists)
44— Hughes, Van (10 goals, 34 assists)

Quote of the Day
“When you stop learning, you have to stop coaching.”
Rick Pitino

Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Sunday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at Syracuse, Illinois.

Saturday’s quiz
James Harden was the last American player to win MVP in the NBA, six years ago.

************************************

Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL​

Lions 30, Vikings 24
— Lions clinch their first division title since 1993.
— Detroit led 17-14 at halftime.
— Lions’ first two drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Vikings lost four of their last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Minnesota only ran the ball 11 times, for 17 yards.
— Mullens threw for 411 yards, but also threw four INT’s.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)

Seahawks 20, Titans 17
— Seattle drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:57 left.
— Seattle in first half: 27 plays, 93 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
— Seattle in second half: 34 plays, 180 yards, no punts, 17 points.
— Second week in row Seahawks scored game-winning TD in last 1:00.
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-8 scoring 17 or less.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.

Packers 33, Panthers 30
— Packers drove 61 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:22 left.
— Packers first 4 drives: 32 plays, 243 yards, no punts, 23 points.
— Packers in second half: 27 plays, 126 yards, 3 punts, 10 points.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Green Bay led 30-16 with 8:00 left in game.
— Panthers had TD drives of 63-70 yards, tied game with 4:15 left.
— Rookie QB Young was 23-35/312 passing, with two TD’s.
— Carolina’s 8.1 yards/pass attempt was by far their best this season.

Jets 30, Commanders 28
— Zuerlein kicked 54-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
— Jets’ first three drives: 10 plays, 68 yards, 17 points.
— Jets’ first three drives all started in Washington territory.
— Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— QB Brissett was 10-13/100 passing off bench, with one TD pass.
— Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-10 giving up more than 17.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 35.8 ppg.

Falcons 29, Colts 10
— Colts drove 62 yards for a touchdown on their first drive.
— Rest of game, Colts ran 55 plays, gained 201 yards, scored 3 points.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— Favorite covered the Colts’ last eight games.
— Atlanta scored two TD’s, kicked five FG’s on its drives.
— Falcons ran for 177 yards, outgained Colts 406-262.
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Browns 36, Texans 22
— Flacco threw for 368 yards and three more TD’s.
— WR Cooper caught 11 passes for 265 yards and two TD’s.
— Cleveland won/covered six of last eight games.
— Browns are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Houston’s first TD was a 98-yard kickoff return by Pierce.
— Texans in first half: 28 plays, 75 yards, 5 punts and an INT.
— Cleveland led the game 22-7 at halftime.
— Texans are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as a home underdog.

Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12
— Bucs’ first six drives: 56 plays, 289 yards, 30 points.
— Tampa was 10-19 on third down, Jaguars were 3-9.
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Jacksonville lost its last four games, giving up 34-31-23-30 points.
— Jaguars turned ball over four times, ran for only 37 yards.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— QB Lawrence was already banged up; he hurt his shoulder today.

Bears 27, Cardinals 16
— Bears’ first four drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— QB Fields threw for 170 yards, ran for 97 more.
— Bears converted 8-15 third down plays.
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— Arizona’s first three drives: 15 plays, 36 yards, three punts.
— Last two games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.

Dolphins 22, Cowboys 20
— Miami drove 64 yards, kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Miami scored only one TD; Sanders kicked five FGs, three of them 50+ yards.
— Dolphins won six of last eight games SU, clinched a playoff spot.
— Last five games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays.
— On their first series, Dallas lost a fumble on the 1-yard line.
— Cowboys have scored 37.2 ppg in wins, 15.8 ppg in losses.
— Cowboys are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dallas lost five of its last seven road games SU.

Patriots 26, Broncos 23
— New England kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Patriots scored two TD’s in a 0:06 span of the third quarter.
— Teams combined to convert 7-26 third down plays.
— Zappe is now 4-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver trailed 23-7 in 4th quarter, tied game on TD drives of 83-88 yards.
— Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite (1-5 TY).
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.

Sunday’s college basketball:
Temple 55, Portland 54
Owls outscored Portland 15-6 over the final 6:31.
Temple was 10-18 on foul line, Pilots were 4-9.
Owls were +11 in turnovers (7-18)

UMass 87, Old Dominion 65
UMass shot 59.6% inside the arc.
Minutemen are grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#26)
Old Dominion lost five of its last six games.

TCU 65, Hawai’i 51
Rainbows shot 33.3% from floor, turned ball over 19 times.
TCU’s three subs all played 20+ minutes.
Horned Frogs improve their record to 10-2.

Nevada 72, Georgia Tech 64
Wolf Pack shoots 61% inside arc, wins the Diamond Head Classic.
Nevada starts four seniors, Georgia Tech doesn’t start any.
Wolf Pack is 12-1; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense in country.

 

[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 25​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIL at NY	12:00 PM	MIL -3.0 O 241.0	+500 +500
GS at DEN	02:30 PM	GS +6.5 O 233.5	+500 +500
BOS at LAL	05:00 PM	BOS -3.0 O 234.5	+500 +500
PHI at MIA	08:00 PM	PHI -2.0 U 225.5	+500 +500
DAL at PHO	10:30 PM	PHO -4.5 U 235.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
12/25/2023	5-5-0	50.00%	-250	Detail
12/23/2023	15-11-0	57.69%	+1450	Detail
12/22/2023	5-6-1	45.83%	-800	Detail
12/21/2023	5-11-0	31.25%	-3550	Detail
12/20/2023	11-7-0	61.11%	+1650	Detail
12/19/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
12/18/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
12/17/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1300	Detail
12/16/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+550	Detail
12/15/2023	8-7-1	53.13%	+150	Detail
12/14/2023	6-7-1	46.43%	-850	Detail
12/13/2023	10-8-0	55.56%	+600	Detail
12/12/2023	5-5-0	50.00%	-250	Detail
12/11/2023	10-16-0	38.46%	-3800	Detail
12/09/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
12/08/2023	12-12-0	50.00%	-600	Detail
12/07/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
12/06/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
12/05/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
12/04/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
12/02/2023	10-12-2	45.83%	-1600	Detail
12/01/2023	9-3-0	75.00%	+2850	Detail

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER'S NBA BEST BETS !

12/25/2023.........................4 - 5.........................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/23/2023.......................12 - 8........................60.00%.......................+ 16.00
12/21/2023........................3 - 10........................23.07%......................- 40.00
12/20/2023........................9 - 5............................64.28%.....................+ 17.50
12/19/2023........................4 - 4............................50.00%.....................- 2.00
12/18/2023........................7 - 10..........................41.17%.....................- 20.00
12/17/2023........................4 - 6............................40.00%......................- 13.00
12/16/2023........................7 - 6............................53.84%.......................+ 2.00
12/15/2023........................6 - 6............................50.00%.......................- 3.00
12/14/2023........................3 - 7............................30.00%........................- 23.50
12/13/2023........................6 - 8............................42.85%........................- 14.00
12/12/2023........................5 - 3............................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/11/2023.....................10 - 11...........................47.61%........................- 10.50
12/09/2023..........................0 - 2...........................00.00%........................- 11.00
12/08/2023..........................8 - 9...........................42.85%.......................- 14.00
12/07/2023..........................1 - 3..........................25.00%.........................- 11.50
12/06/2023........................10 - 5.........................66.00%.........................+ 22.50
12/05/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/04/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/02/2023..........................4 - 5.........................44.44%.........................- 7.50
12/01/2023..........................3 - 3.........................50.00%.........................- 1.50

TOTALS............................102 - 113.........................47.44%..........................- 93.50

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Receiving yardage leaders in the NFL:
1,641— Tyreek Hill, Miami
1,424— CeeDee Lamb, Dallas
1,327— Puka Nacua, Rams
1,314— AJ Brown, Phil
1,281— Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions
1,250— Amari Cooper, Clev

Quote of the Day
“Could we have done things better? I’m talking about myself and the coaching staff, with regards to, ‘All right, this is our worst-case scenario, now what?’ Absolutely, and it’s something that we will make sure that we do a heck of a lot better with in 2024.”
Jets coach Robert Saleh

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Lamar Jackson play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.

Sunday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at Syracuse, Illinois.

*********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL​

Raiders 20, Chiefs 14
— Raiders scored two defensive TD’s 0:07 apart in second quarter.
— Not often an NFL team has 48 passing yards and wins, but the Raiders did.
— Last two games, Raiders have scored four defensive TD’s.
— Under is 11-4 in Raider games this season.
— Chiefs are 3-5 in their last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— In those eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs’ first three drives: 11 plays, minus-10 yards, three punts.
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.

Eagles 33, Giants 25
— Eagles led this game 20-3 at halftime.
— Giants scored defensive TD late in 3rd quarter to make score 20-18.
— Eagles’ last three drives: 24 plays, 172 yards, 13 points.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Giants changed QB’s at half; Tyrod Taylor was 7-16/133 in 2nd half.
— Eagles outgained Big Blue, 465-292.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Giants are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 NFC East road games.

Lions 30, Vikings 24
— Lions clinch their first division title since 1993.
— Detroit led 17-14 at halftime.
— Lions’ first two drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Vikings lost four of their last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Minnesota only ran the ball 11 times, for 17 yards.
— Mullens threw for 411 yards, but also threw four INT’s.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)

Seahawks 20, Titans 17
— Seattle drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:57 left.
— Seattle in first half: 27 plays, 93 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
— Seattle in second half: 34 plays, 180 yards, no punts, 17 points.
— Second week in row Seahawks scored game-winning TD in last 1:00.
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-8 scoring 17 or less.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.

Packers 33, Panthers 30
— Packers drove 61 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:22 left.
— Packers first 4 drives: 32 plays, 243 yards, no punts, 23 points.
— Packers in second half: 27 plays, 126 yards, 3 punts, 10 points.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Green Bay led 30-16 with 8:00 left in game.
— Panthers had TD drives of 63-70 yards, tied game with 4:15 left.
— Rookie QB Young was 23-35/312 passing, with two TD’s.
— Carolina’s 8.1 yards/pass attempt was by far their best this season.

Jets 30, Commanders 28
— Zuerlein kicked 54-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
— Jets’ first three drives: 10 plays, 68 yards, 17 points.
— Jets’ first three drives all started in Washington territory.
— Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— QB Brissett was 10-13/100 passing off bench, with one TD pass.
— Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-10 giving up more than 17.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 35.8 ppg.

Falcons 29, Colts 10
— Colts drove 62 yards for a touchdown on their first drive.
— Rest of game, Colts ran 55 plays, gained 201 yards, scored 3 points.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— Favorite covered the Colts’ last eight games.
— Atlanta scored two TD’s, kicked five FG’s on its drives.
— Falcons ran for 177 yards, outgained Colts 406-262.
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Browns 36, Texans 22
— Flacco threw for 368 yards and three more TD’s.
— WR Cooper caught 11 passes for 265 yards and two TD’s.
— Cleveland won/covered six of last eight games.
— Browns are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Houston’s first TD was a 98-yard kickoff return by Pierce.
— Texans in first half: 28 plays, 75 yards, 5 punts and an INT.
— Cleveland led the game 22-7 at halftime.
— Texans are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as a home underdog.

Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12
— Bucs’ first six drives: 56 plays, 289 yards, 30 points.
— Tampa was 10-19 on third down, Jaguars were 3-9.
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Jacksonville lost its last four games, giving up 34-31-23-30 points.
— Jaguars turned ball over four times, ran for only 37 yards.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— QB Lawrence was already banged up; he hurt his shoulder today.

Bears 27, Cardinals 16
— Bears’ first four drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— QB Fields threw for 170 yards, ran for 97 more.
— Bears converted 8-15 third down plays.
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— Arizona’s first three drives: 15 plays, 36 yards, three punts.
— Last two games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.

Dolphins 22, Cowboys 20
— Miami drove 64 yards, kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Miami scored only one TD; Sanders kicked five FGs, three of them 50+ yards.
— Dolphins won six of last eight games SU, clinched a playoff spot.
— Last five games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays.
— On their first series, Dallas lost a fumble on the 1-yard line.
— Cowboys have scored 37.2 ppg in wins, 15.8 ppg in losses.
— Cowboys are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dallas lost five of its last seven road games SU.

Patriots 26, Broncos 23
— New England kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Patriots scored two TD’s in a 0:06 span of the third quarter.
— Teams combined to convert 7-26 third down plays.
— Zappe is now 4-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver trailed 23-7 in 4th quarter, tied game on TD drives of 83-88 yards.
— Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite (1-5 TY).
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.

Sunday’s college basketball:

Temple 55, Portland 54
Owls outscored Portland 15-6 over the final 6:31.
Temple was 10-18 on foul line, Pilots were 4-9.
Owls were +11 in turnovers (7-18)

UMass 87, Old Dominion 65
UMass shot 59.6% inside the arc.
Minutemen are grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#26)
Old Dominion lost five of its last six games.

TCU 65, Hawai’i 51
Rainbows shot 33.3% from floor, turned ball over 19 times.
TCU’s three subs all played 20+ minutes.
Horned Frogs improve their record to 10-2.

Nevada 72, Georgia Tech 64
Wolf Pack shoots 61% inside arc, wins the Diamond Head Classic.
Nevada starts four seniors, Georgia Tech doesn’t start any.
Wolf Pack is 12-1; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense in country.

 

[Udog]

ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after 2+ road games over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

ATLANTA is 35-64 ATS (-35.4 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 26

 

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 26

 

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, December 26

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Trend Report
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Orlando @ Washington
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Orlando
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Brooklyn @ Detroit
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Utah @ San Antonio
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Utah's last 19 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games

Minnesota @ Oklahoma City
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta

Memphis @ New Orleans
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Orleans
New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis

Indiana @ Houston
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Sacramento @ Portland
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Charlotte @ LA Clippers
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 12 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte


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[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 26​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
ORL at WAS	07:00 PM	WAS +7.5 O 238.0	+500 +500
BK at DET	07:00 PM	BK -6.5 O 230.5	+500 +500
MIN at OKC	08:00 PM	MIN +2.5 O 228.0	+500 +500
UTA at SA	08:00 PM	UTA -3.5 O 242.0	+500 +500
IND at HOU	08:00 PM	IND +3.0 O 238.5	+500 +500
ATL at CHI	08:00 PM	CHI -1.0 O 235.5	+500 +500
MEM at NO	08:00 PM	MEM +5.0 U 229.0	+500 +500
SAC at POR	10:00 PM	SAC -8.0 O 236.5	+500 +500
CHA at LAC	10:30 PM	LAC -12.0 U 228.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
12/26/2023	10-8-0	55.56%	+600	Detail
12/25/2023	5-5-0	50.00%	-250	Detail
12/23/2023	15-11-0	57.69%	+1450	Detail
12/22/2023	5-6-1	45.83%	-800	Detail
12/21/2023	5-11-0	31.25%	-3550	Detail
12/20/2023	11-7-0	61.11%	+1650	Detail
12/19/2023	4-4-0	50.00%	-200	Detail
12/18/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
12/17/2023	4-6-0	40.00%	-1300	Detail
12/16/2023	11-9-0	55.00%	+550	Detail
12/15/2023	8-7-1	53.13%	+150	Detail
12/14/2023	6-7-1	46.43%	-850	Detail
12/13/2023	10-8-0	55.56%	+600	Detail
12/12/2023	5-5-0	50.00%	-250	Detail
12/11/2023	10-16-0	38.46%	-3800	Detail
12/09/2023	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
12/08/2023	12-12-0	50.00%	-600	Detail
12/07/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
12/06/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
12/05/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
12/04/2023	3-1-0	75.00%	+950	Detail
12/02/2023	10-12-2	45.83%	-1600	Detail
12/01/2023	9-3-0	75.00%	+2850	Detail

 

[CNOTES]

DECEMBER'S NBA BEST BETS !

12/26/2023.........................8 - 4..........................66.66%.....................+ 18.00
12/25/2023.........................4 - 5.........................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/23/2023.......................12 - 8........................60.00%.......................+ 16.00
12/21/2023........................3 - 10........................23.07%......................- 40.00
12/20/2023........................9 - 5............................64.28%.....................+ 17.50
12/19/2023........................4 - 4............................50.00%.....................- 2.00
12/18/2023........................7 - 10..........................41.17%.....................- 20.00
12/17/2023........................4 - 6............................40.00%......................- 13.00
12/16/2023........................7 - 6............................53.84%.......................+ 2.00
12/15/2023........................6 - 6............................50.00%.......................- 3.00
12/14/2023........................3 - 7............................30.00%........................- 23.50
12/13/2023........................6 - 8............................42.85%........................- 14.00
12/12/2023........................5 - 3............................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/11/2023.....................10 - 11...........................47.61%........................- 10.50
12/09/2023..........................0 - 2...........................00.00%........................- 11.00
12/08/2023..........................8 - 9...........................42.85%.......................- 14.00
12/07/2023..........................1 - 3..........................25.00%.........................- 11.50
12/06/2023........................10 - 5.........................66.00%.........................+ 22.50
12/05/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/04/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/02/2023..........................4 - 5.........................44.44%.........................- 7.50
12/01/2023..........................3 - 3.........................50.00%.........................- 1.50

TOTALS............................110 - 117.........................48.45%..........................- 75.50

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
New York Mets got a $101M tax bill for 2023, which is more $$ than these team’s entire payrolls:
$96,577,288- Cincinnati
$96,083,853- Kansas City
$93,378,663- Washington
$91,861,627- Cleveland
$79,354,272- Tampa Bay
$75,695,975- Pittsburgh
$71,061,047- Baltimore
$62,243,227- Oakland

Quote of the Day
“Every time you win, you’re reborn……..every time you lose, you die a little.”
George Allen

Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, who is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games?
(Hint: it isn’t Joe Flacco)

Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.

Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.

**********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— When the Raiders won in Kansas City Monday, they didn’t complete a pass after the first quarter, the first NFL team to do that since the 2000 Bengals, who beat Denver 31-21 that day, when Cincy QB’s Akili Smith and Scott Mitchell were a combined 2-14/34 passing. That day, RB Corey Dillon ran the ball for 278 yards.

Monday, the Raiders scored two defensive TD’s in a 0:07 span of the third quarter, and that was enough to win.
— Baltimore Ravens are 12-3 this season, with seven wins by 14+ points; all seven of those teams came against teams with winning records.
No team in NFL history has had more than five regular season wins by 14+ points against teams with winning records.

— Chicago Bears signed kicker Cairo Santos for four years, $16M, which is little unusual. Lot of teams don’t like to pay kickers, especially teams with salary cap issues.

— Miami Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000.
Detroit Lions haven’t won one since 1991.
Since starting up again in 1999 after the original Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens, Cleveland is 1-2 in playoff games, with the lone win in 2020.

— Florida State QB Jordan Travis is hurt, won’t be playing in the Semnoles’ bowl game vs Georgia; backup QB Tate Rodemaker is now in the transfer portal, which leaves #3 QB Brock Glenn, a freshman who threw for 55 yards in the Seminoles’ 16-6 win over Louisville in the ACC Championship game.
Five other Seminoles have also hit the transfer portal, not counting Travis, who is also expected to skip town next spring.

— In the last eight Holiday Bowls, Pac-12 teams are 0-8 against the spread.

— In the last six Pinstripe Bowls, Big 14 teams are 6-0 against ACC opponents.

— Arizona Wildcats have won six games in a row, they’re 9-3 and are favored over Oklahoma in their bowl game. Quite a turnaround led by coach Jedd Fisch; from 2018-22, the Wildcats were 14-38.

— Word of the Day: Bibliophile- someone who loves reading books.

— I’m amused that if I leave my house without my phone, my car will tell me about a half-mile down the road, then I turn around and go get my phone.
It would be better if a message came up on my dashboard: “Hey stupid, you forgot your phone!!!”

— Seattle Mariners signed DH/C Mitch Garver for two years, $24M; Garver hit 19 homers and had an .870 OPS for Texas last year- he also won a World Series ring.

— Reliever Joe Kelly wore #17 for the Dodgers last year; his wife suggested that he offer #17 to free agent star Shohei Ohtani. After Ohtani signed with the Dodgers, a Porsche was delivered to the Kelly’s home, for Mrs Kelly, from Ohtani.

— Charlotte Hornets are the only NBA team that has never played on Christmas Day.

— Nets 118, Pistons 112
Detroit loses its 27th consecutive game.
Pistons starters were combined +34; subs were minus-64
Detroit coach Monty Williams makes $13.1M/year, 7th-most of any pro coach in country.

— Minnesota 30, Bowling Green 24
Gophers win their 7th straight bowl game.
Bowling Green led 10-9 at halftime.
RB Taylor ran ball 35 times for 209 yards and a TD.
Gophers ran for 255 yards, threw for only 26.

— Texas State 45, Rice 21
This was Texas State’s first-ever bowl game.
Bobcats outscored Rice 21-0 in second half.
Texas State outgained Rice, 300-197.
Bobcats had good balance; 148 rushing yards, 152 passing.

— Kansas 49, UNLV 36
Kansas in first half: 31 plays, 333 yards, 28 points.
Jayhawks averaged 15.4 yards/pass attempt.
Bean was 19-28/449 passing, with 6 TD’s, 3 INTs.
This was UNLV’s first bowl since 2013.

 

[Udog]

PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

WASHINGTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 42-22 ATS (17.8 Units) as a road favorite in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 58-39 ATS (15.1 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 27

NBA

Wednesday, December 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Philadelphia @ Orlando
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Philadelphia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

New York @ Oklahoma City
New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games at home
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Phoenix @ Houston
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
Houston
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games at home

Cleveland @ Dallas
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland


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