CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
— 76ers 127, Minnesota 113- Joel Embiid had 51 points, 12 rebounds.
— Knicks 121, Nets 102- 16-11 Knicks are off to their best start since 2013.
— Nuggets 113, Raptors 104- Jokic had 31 points, 15 rebounds.
— Bulls 124, Lakers 108- Lakers are 1-4 since they won the IST.
— Cavaliers 124, Utah 116- Utah State alum Merrill scored 27 off bench.
— Heat 115, Orlando 106- Miami made 15 of 29 shots behind the arc.

Quote of the Day
“We feel a little disrespected by that. I feel like we are the best team in the league, and we have an opportunity in front of the country to show it.”
Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton, on the 49ers being favored over Baltimore this week

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Washington Redskins/Commanders?

Wednesday’s quiz
2006/2007 was last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles, when Billy Donovan’s Florida team won both tournaments.

Tuesday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl college football game is played in El Paso, TX every year.

*****************************************

Thursday’s Den: College basketball info……..

The way college basketball is now, with so many transfers happening, it is still kind of early, but here is some of what we’ve learned so far this season.

— Big X
6 of 14 teams are in kenpom.com Top 20
Houston/BYU, newcomers to the Big X, are highest-rated teams right now.
Houston has the best eFG% defense in the country.
Oklahoma State (6-5), West Virginia (4-6) have regressed.

— SEC
5 of 14 teams are in the top 25.
Tennessee is 8-3, but they’ve played the #12 schedule, a tough schedule.
Ole Miss is 11-0, but they’ve played schedule #262.
Vanderbilt is 4-7; they’re 65-76 in 4+ years under Jerry Stackhouse, 24-46 in SEC games. Five years ago, Vandy was off to a 4-0 start under Bryce Drew, but their best player (Darius Garland) got hurt, missed the rest of the season, and the Commodores went in the ashcan, going 9-23- they fired Drew.
Garland is now a productive player in the NBA, while Drew has moved on to Grand Canyon in the WAC, where he has a 73-28 record coaching the Antelopes. I’m thinking the administration at Vanderbilt screwed up- they should’ve kept Drew as coach.

— Big 14
Only have three teams rated in top 20.
Michigan State is struggling at 6-5.
Zach Edey must have a great NIL deal for him to return to Purdue this season. Boilers have five top 20 wins, but lost conference opener at Northwestern. Purdue is shooting 40.3% on the arc; what will they shoot in March, when the heat is on?

— Pac-12
In its last season, Pac-12 is 0-5 SU against the Mountain West; no bueno.
Arizona/Colorado are only Pac-12 teams rated in top 30.
UCLA is 5-5, losing five of last six D-I games; there are rumors about Mick Cronin’s interest in the Louisville job, when that opens up.
Arizona has eight foreign players on its roster, UCLA has seven.
Meanwhile, Oregon State/Washington State are joining the WCC in basketball for the next two seasons.

— ACC
Duke, Clemson, North Carolina are only teams rated in top 25.
Duke had a quality neutral court win over Baylor Wednesday.
Syracuse is 8-3 with a 20-point win over Oregon, but all three Orange losses were by 17+ points; they’re forcing turnovers 21.7% of time, a marked improvement over recent years.

— Teams in country with best continuity:
Columbia- Ivy League
Drexel- CAA
Florida Atlantic- AAC
Marquette- Big East
Cal-Davis- Big West

— Teams in country with most experience:
St Bonaventure- A-15
Washington- Pac-12
TCU- Big X
North Carolina- ACC
St John’s- Big East

— OVC
Morehead State is 8-4, the only OVC team in the top 200; Tuesday night at Indiana, they led the Hoosiers by 15 with 8:58 left, but lost 69-68. Morehead looks like one of those dangerous 14-seeds we’ll be talking about in March.

— Word of the Day- Grinch- a person who is unfriendly, a killjoy.

— Big East
Seton Hall upset UConn Wednesday, Providence upset Marquette Tuesday.
Villanova just beat Creighton in overtime, another upset.
Rick Pitino is going to make waves with St John’s, just not sure it’ll be this year.
Jay Wright retired in the spring of 2022, after a 30-8 season. In his last nine years at Villanova, Wildcats went 265-53, 130-31 in Big East games.
Since Wright left, Villanova is 25-21, 11-10 in Big East games.

— Mountain West
Three best teams appear to be Colorado State, New Mexico, San Diego State.
Rams/Lobos both have one loss; both losses were against Saint Mary’s.
Like we said before, Mountain West is 5-0 SU against the Pac-12 this season.
Right now, MW is ranked as the #7 league; this would be the third year in a row Mountain West is in the top 7- 2013 was the last time before that.

— Atlantic 15
9-2 Dayton is the only team rated in the top 70.
Duquesne is 9-2; their coach is Keith Dambrot, who was Lebron James’ high school coach.
St Joe’s is 9-2, but against schedule #325; they lost to Texas A&M-Commerce.
A-15 got only one team in NCAA’s LY (VCU), could be headed that way again.

— AAC
14 teams in this league now; they’ve reshuffled more than any league this year.
FAU is legit good; they were in Final Four last year, have whole team back, are 9-2 now.
Memphis is 9-2, with seven top 100 wins (schedule #10)
Other than FAU/Memphis, SMU, North Texas, Tulane appear to be AAC contenders.

— Missouri Valley
Indiana State/Drake are both 11-1, the Valley’s only top 100 teams.
Drake has played schedule #301, Indiana State #264. Sycamores are shooting 61.2% inside the arc, 41.4% on the arc- they have the best eFG% in the whole country.
Evansville is 10-2 against schedule #318; the last five years, Evanaville was 40-111, so a great rebuilding job being done by David Ragland. They did lose their only top 100 game by 41 at BYU, but 10-2 is 10-2.
Murray State is 3-8; they’ve had only one losing season since 1997.

— WCC
Right now, WCC is 5-14 against the Mountain West
7-6 against the Pac-12
0-5 against the WAC
3-4 against the Big Sky,
In other words, the WCC is down; losing BYU hurt, especially this year, because BYU is really good. Saint Mary’s is a disappointing 7-5, but they’ve played better recently. Gonzaga is 8-3, 3-3 against top 100 teams.
It’ll be interesting next year, when Oregon State/Washington State join the WCC.
— Ivy League
Princeton is 10-1, with three top 100 wins; KenPom has them at #44.
Yale, Cornell appear to be the teams best poised to upset Princeton in the Ivy tournament.

— Conference USA
League looks like a 3-way battle between Liberty, Louisiana Tech, Western Kentucky.
This league has teams in Virginia, Florida, Louisiana, New Mexico; lot of travel.

— Other mid-majors we’ve got our eye on:

Grand Canyon, WAC- Antelopes are 9-1, with wins over San Diego State, Liberty

James Madison, Sun Belt- 11-0 Dukes opened season with OT wins at Michigan State/Kent State and they still haven’t lost. JMU has #27 eFG% in country; they’re forcing turnovers 21.8% of the time (#29).

Western Carolina, SoCon- Catamounts have Power 5 wins at Notre Dame, Vandy; WCU has been in the NCAA’s one time- they were a 16-seed in 1996, lost 73-71 to #1-seed Purdue.
Western Carolina also made the first 3-point shot in NCAA history, on November 29, 1980. Ronnie Carr made the shot.

Cal-Irvine, Big West- Anteaters haven’t been in NCAAs since 2019, when they upset Kansas State in a 4-13 game. Irvine always defends well; their subs are playing 8th most minutes in country, so they’ve got good depth.

Vermont, America East- Catamounts have been in four of last six NCAA Tournaments; they have wins over Charleston, Yale this season.

McNeese State, Southland- Will Wade has never had a losing season as a coach, whether at VCU, LSU or Chattanooga; his first team at McNeese is 10-2, shooting 41% on the arc, while playing a slow (#348) pace.
Joe Dumars’ alma mater hasn’t been to the NCAA’s since 2002; could this be their year?
 

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UTAH is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 62-107 ATS (-55.7 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games since 1996.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-24 Over (18.6 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 season...

SAN ANTONIO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games in road games in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games in December games in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 93-128 ATS (-47.8 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1...

PORTLAND is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Thursday, December 21


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Trend Report
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Utah @ Detroit
Utah
Utah is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Utah

New Orleans @ Cleveland
New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Indiana @ Memphis
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Indiana's last 24 games
Memphis
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

LA Clippers @ Oklahoma City
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

San Antonio @ Chicago
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games

Orlando @ Milwaukee
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Orlando's last 14 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA Lakers @ Minnesota
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Lakers

Washington @ Portland
Washington
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Portland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington


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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 21


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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
UTA at DET07:00 PMUTA +2.0
O 235.0
+500 +500
NO at CLE07:30 PMCLE +3.5
O 228.0
+500 +500
IND at MEM08:00 PMMEM -2.5
O 247.5
+500 +500
LAC at OKC08:00 PMLAC +6.0
U 236.5
+500 +500
ORL at MIL08:00 PMMIL -8.5
O 237.5
+500 +500
SA at CHI08:00 PMCHI -6.0
O 228.5
+500 +500
LAL at MIN09:00 PMMIN -8.0
O 223.5
+500 +500
WAS at POR10:00 PMPOR -4.0
U 239.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/21/20235-11-031.25%-3550Detail
12/20/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/19/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
12/18/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/17/20234-6-040.00%-1300Detail
12/16/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
12/15/20238-7-153.13%+150Detail
12/14/20236-7-146.43%-850Detail
12/13/202310-8-055.56%+600Detail
12/12/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
12/11/202310-16-038.46%-3800Detail
12/09/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/08/202312-12-050.00%-600Detail
12/07/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
12/06/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/05/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/04/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/02/202310-12-245.83%-1600Detail
12/01/20239-3-075.00%+2850Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S NBA BEST BETS !

12/212023..........................3 - 10........................23.07%......................- 40.00
12/20/2023........................9 - 5............................64.28%.....................+ 17.50
12/19/2023........................4 - 4............................50.00%.....................- 2.00
12/18/2023........................7 - 10..........................41.17%.....................- 20.00
12/17/2023........................4 - 6............................40.00%......................- 13.00
12/16/2023........................7 - 6............................53.84%.......................+ 2.00
12/15/2023........................6 - 6............................50.00%.......................- 3.00
12/14/2023........................3 - 7............................30.00%........................- 23.50
12/13/2023........................6 - 8............................42.85%........................- 14.00
12/12/2023........................5 - 3............................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/11/2023.....................10 - 11...........................47.61%........................- 10.50
12/09/2023..........................0 - 2...........................00.00%........................- 11.00
12/08/2023..........................8 - 9...........................42.85%.......................- 14.00
12/07/2023..........................1 - 3..........................25.00%.........................- 11.50
12/06/2023........................10 - 5.........................66.00%.........................+ 22.50
12/05/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/04/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/02/2023..........................4 - 5.........................44.44%.........................- 7.50
12/01/2023..........................3 - 3.........................50.00%.........................- 1.50

TOTALS.............................86 - 100.........................46.23%..........................- 102.00
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
NFL teams with the best records against the spread (all 9-5 ATS)
— Baltimore Ravens
— Dallas Cowboys
— Detroit Lions
— Indianapolis Colts
— Miami Dolphins
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Quote of the Day
“I want to be careful with my words, because this one hurts more than most of them. A team that played last night got [50] points off turnovers and rebounds. It is unbelievably hard to understand how we can get outworked in those categories.”
Detroit Pistons coach Monty Williams; Pistons have lost 25 games in a row

Friday’s quiz
When Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, which current major league pitcher was the center on that team?

Thursday’s quiz
Joe Theismann is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Washington Redskins/Commanders, with 25,206 yards. Sonny Jurgensen is next, with 22,585 yards.

Wednesday’s quiz
2006/2007 was last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles, when Billy Donovan’s Florida team won both tournaments.

******************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here……..

Rams 30, Saints 22
Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS last six weeks, scoring 32.4 ppg in last five games.
Rams outgained New Orleans, 458-339
WR Demarcus Robinson has caught a TD pass in four consecutive games.
Rams are 7-3 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
Rams have missed 11 field goals TY, the most of any team since 2015.
New Orleans didn’t give up a TD in its previous two games (Carolina/Giants).
Rams’ first drive: 14 plays, 95 yards, 7:56 and a TD.
Saints are 7-8, but have been favored in 12 of the 15 games.
New Orleans was 0-3 on 4th down conversions, all in LA territory.

South Florida 45, Syracuse 0
Bulls outgained Syracuse 407-159.
Orangemen were 1-16 on third down conversions.
Syracuse lost seven of its last nine games, after a 4-0 start.

— LA Dodgers signed Japanese pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto for $325M over 12 years; Dodger Dogs are going to be expensive next summer. Mets supposedly offered him the same amount of money, but Yamamoto opted to sign with the Dodgers.
Yamamoto is 25; he’s won the Japanese version of the Cy Young Award three times.

— Other baseball signings this week:
Detroit Tigers signed P Jack Flaherty for one year, $14M
Pittsburgh Pirates gave OF Andrew McCutchen a one year, $5M deal.
Mets acquired P Adrian Houser and OF Tyrone Taylor from Milwaukee for minor league outfielder Coleman Crow.

— They tweaked some baseball rules this week:
Teams will be allowed four mound visits per game, not five.
With a runner on base, the pitch clock will now be 0:18; it was 0:20 last year.
If a pitcher warms up before an inning, he has to face the first hitter.

— In case you were wondering, the only 0-0 tie in NFL history was back in 1943, a Giants-Lions game at Briggs Stadium in Detroit.

— Bills-Chargers game Saturday night is exclusively on Peacock; apparently the 4th quarter will be commercial-free, the first time that’s happened on an NFL telecast.

Word of the Day– Imbecile- a stupid person is one definition.
Another definition is someone who stays up until 2am watching the Portland-Hawaii basketball game, after watching the end of the South Dakota-San Diego game before that. Then that person will watch a movie after the Hawaii game, before they get to bed.
That person is me.

— Best wishes to Old Dominion basketball coach Jeff Jones, who had a heart attack Wednesday night; he is expected to make a full recovery. Old Dominion is playing in a holiday tournament in Hawai’i; they lost 111-87 to TCU Thursday.
63-year old Jones has led eight teams to the NCAA Tournament in his 31 years as a college coach; as a player, he was one of Ralph Sampson’s teammates at Virginia.

— Here is how stupid college sports have become:
49ers QB Brock Purdy is making $870,000 this year; he might be the NFL MVP, but he’s still on his rookie contract, and he was a 7th round draft pick.
Texas Longhorns backup QB Arch Manning, Peyton Manning’s nephew, made $2.8M on his NIL deal this season. He doesn’t even freakin’ play and he made $2.8M.

— There are three undefeated teams left in college basketball:
Houston, James Madison, Ole Miss.

— Jazz 119, Pistons 111- Detroit has now lost 25 games in a row; their last win was in October, but somehow they were a slight favorite in this game. Yikes.
Jazz sat out four players, which is why they were the underdog here, but Kelly Olynyk scored 27 points as Utah got a road win.

— Kentucky 95, Louisville 76- Wildcats made 12-25 on the arc. Louisville is 22-54 the last 2+ seasons; it is likely they’ll have a new coach next season.

— Georgia Tech 73, UMass 70- Tech outscored the Minutemen 18-6 over the last 5:03 of the game; they’re off to a 7-3 start.

— New Hampshire 81, Rhode Island 71- Oy. URI has lost five in row, seven of its last eight D-I games. Not good. Rams are shooting 59.6% on foul line (#358), turning ball over 20.2% of the time (#294).

— Happy 98th birthday to the great actor Dick Van Dyke; spent lot of my childhood watching re-runs of his TV show, with Mary Tyler Moore, Morey Amsterdam and Carl Reiner.
 

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Nick Nurse is 56-33 Over as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points (All games)

DENVER is 127-171 ATS (-61.1 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996...

HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the current season.

ATLANTA is 9-31 ATS (-25.1 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 188-249 ATS (-85.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.




NBA

Friday, December 22


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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Denver @ Brooklyn
Denver
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Dallas @ Houston
Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Phoenix @ Sacramento
Phoenix
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 10 games at home
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Washington @ Golden State
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington


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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 22

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOR at PHI07:00 PMPHI -8.5
O 230.5
+500 +500
DEN at BK07:30 PMBK +4.5
U 230.5
+500 +500
ATL at MIA08:00 PMATL -1.0
U 238.5
+500 +500
DAL at HOU08:00 PMDAL +8.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
WAS at GS10:00 PMGS -12.0
O 247.0
+500 +500
PHO at SAC10:00 PMSAC -3.5
O 244.0
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

76ers 121, Raptors 111- Sixers had three starters score 30+ points.
Nuggets 122, Nets 117- Denver was minus-24 when Jokic was on the bench.
Heat 122, Hawks 113- Tyler Herro was 7-13 on arc, scored 30 points.
Rockets 122, Dallas 96- Rockets are 14-12, were 59-177 previous three years.
Kings 120, Suns 105- Sabonis had 28 points, 11 rebounds, 12 assists.
Warriors 129, Wizards 118- Curry was 8-13 on arc, scored 30 points.

Quote of the Day
“It is disappointing to see and hear what (Steelers WR) George Pickens talks about, because culture really is about commitment and sacrifice. You’re not just playing with one another, you’re playing for one another.”
Former Steelers coach Bill Cowher

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the last American player to win MVP in the NBA?

Friday’s quiz
When Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, Clayton Kershaw was the center on that team.

Thursday’s quiz
Joe Theismann is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Washington Redskins/Commanders, with 25,206 yards. Sonny Jurgensen is next, with 22,585 yards.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

— Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes is a great player; with an 86-24 career record, 11-3 in playoff games, at age 28, he is on track to become one of the NFL’s best-ever quarterbacks.

Flashback six years to the 2017 NFL Draft; Mahomes was the 10th player taken, the second QB drafted that year.

Let’s take a look at the first 10 picks that year:
1) Browns- Myles Garrett, DE
2) Bears- Traded UP (they TRADED UP!!!) to take QB Mitchell Trubisky.
3) 49ers- Solomon Thomas, DE
4) Jaguars- Leonard Fournette, RB
5) Titans- Corey Davis, WR- Acquired this pick in a trade, when Rams traded up the year before to select Jared Goff.

6) Jets- Jamal Adams, S
7) Chargers- Mike Williams, WR
8) Panthers- Christian McCaffrey, RB- why did Carolina trade him????
9) Bengals- John Ross, WR- they made up for this by drafting Joe Burrow
10) Chiefs- Patrick Mahomes, QB

This is why the NFL Draft is so interesting to study; not everyone is going at it.

— Right now, the eight NFL teams leading their division have one thing in common; their starting quarterback has started all 14 games.

— Jets will start QB Trevor Siemian against Washington Sunday; he’ll be the 4th quarterback to start a game for the Jets this season.

Houston Texans will start QB Case Keenum again Sunday, with rookie CJ Stroud still in the concussion protocol.

QB Geno Smith is going to start for the Seahawks against Tennessee.

— Los Angeles Rams scored a TD on their first drive Thursday night; it was the 5th game in a row LA scored on their first drive of a game. For the season, Rams have scored five TD’s, kicked six field goals on their 15 game-opening drives.

Georgia Tech 30, Central Florida 17
UCF led 14-0 after the first quarter.
UCF’s first two drives: 14 plays, 149 yards, 14 points.
UCF rest of the game: 55 plays, 260 yards, 3 points.
Tech outscored the Knights 13-0 in second half.

— There are 1,825 players in the college football transfer portal; college sports has become a whole different world.

QB Maalik Murphy transferred from Texas to Duke, which had its QB poached by Notre Dame. Murphy was the backup QB at Texas this year.

— Word of the Day: Dox- search for and publish private or identifying information about a particular individual on the internet, typically with malicious intent.

Never heard of this word until five minutes before I typed this sentence; fans get mad about a loss, and they post stuff about players online. Not cool.

— In the NBA, Detroit Pistons have lost 25 games in a row; they’re 7-18 ATS in those games.

— December 9th, LA Lakers won the first-ever In-Season Tournament; since then, they’ve lost five of six games.

— Milwaukee Bucks are 8-1 this month, but they haven’t played a road game in December; they visit Madison Square Garden Saturday afternoon, it’ll be their first road game since an OT loss in Chicago November 30.

Nevada 88, TCU 75- TCU coach Dixon got two technicals and was tossed in first half of this game; Horned Frogs won by 24 on Thursday, they’re in a holiday tournament in Hawaii, was just weird to see him get so heated so early in a game.

UAB 79, Drake 78 OT- Good game between solid mid-major programs; we need more games like this in the pre-conference schedule.

Brown 71, Siena 67- Siena led by 18 early in second half; they’re 2-10, having been ravaged by the transfer portal- their starting guards from last year are now playing at Oklahoma, George Mason.

Milwaukee 85, Chattanooga 83 OT- Visiting Mocs were 10-13 on foul line; Milwaukee was 26-37. Both teams took 30+ 3-pointers. Playing on the road can be difficult.

Maryland 69, UCLA 60— Bruins shot 1-14 on arc, were down 15 at the half- they’ve lost four in row, six of last seven D-I games.

Miami OH 70, Vermont 69- Kid on Miami banked in a 3-pointer at the buzzer to win a game they trailed 63-54 with 3:31 left to play.

Illinois 97, Missouri 73- Third straight loss for Mizzou, which gave up 87.7 points/game in the three losses.

Colorado State 76, LMU 67- Rams are 11-1, they start four seniors, are shooting 61.6% inside the arc (#5). Colorado State already has five top 100 wins.
 

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MILWAUKEE is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in road games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 8-0 Over (8 Units) against Southeast division opponents in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

DETROIT is 80-112 ATS (-43.2 Units) when the total >=220 since 1996.

UTAH is 8-0 Over (8 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in December games in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

PORTLAND is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, December 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ New York
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New York
New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Boston @ LA Clippers
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Orlando @ Indiana
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Orlando's last 12 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 12 games at home

Denver @ Charlotte
Denver
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games

Houston @ New Orleans
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Houston is 16-5-2 ATS in its last 23 games
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

Utah @ Toronto
Utah
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Memphis @ Atlanta
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis

Detroit @ Brooklyn
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Cleveland @ Chicago
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

San Antonio @ Dallas
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio

Portland @ Golden State
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Minnesota @ Sacramento
Minnesota
Minnesota is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/23/202314-10-058.33%+1500Detail
12/22/20235-6-145.83%-800Detail
12/21/20235-11-031.25%-3550Detail
12/20/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/19/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
12/18/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/17/20234-6-040.00%-1300Detail
12/16/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
12/15/20238-7-153.13%+150Detail
12/14/20236-7-146.43%-850Detail
12/13/202310-8-055.56%+600Detail
12/12/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
12/11/202310-16-038.46%-3800Detail
12/09/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/08/202312-12-050.00%-600Detail
12/07/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
12/06/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/05/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/04/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/02/202310-12-245.83%-1600Detail
12/01/20239-3-075.00%+2850Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S NBA BEST BETS !

12/23/2023.......................12 - 8.......................60.00%.......................+ 16.00
12/21/2023......................3 - 10........................23.07%......................- 40.00
12/20/2023........................9 - 5............................64.28%.....................+ 17.50
12/19/2023........................4 - 4............................50.00%.....................- 2.00
12/18/2023........................7 - 10..........................41.17%.....................- 20.00
12/17/2023........................4 - 6............................40.00%......................- 13.00
12/16/2023........................7 - 6............................53.84%.......................+ 2.00
12/15/2023........................6 - 6............................50.00%.......................- 3.00
12/14/2023........................3 - 7............................30.00%........................- 23.50
12/13/2023........................6 - 8............................42.85%........................- 14.00
12/12/2023........................5 - 3............................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/11/2023.....................10 - 11...........................47.61%........................- 10.50
12/09/2023..........................0 - 2...........................00.00%........................- 11.00
12/08/2023..........................8 - 9...........................42.85%.......................- 14.00
12/07/2023..........................1 - 3..........................25.00%.........................- 11.50
12/06/2023........................10 - 5.........................66.00%.........................+ 22.50
12/05/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/04/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/02/2023..........................4 - 5.........................44.44%.........................- 7.50
12/01/2023..........................3 - 3.........................50.00%.........................- 1.50

TOTALS.............................98 - 108.........................47.57%..........................- 86.00
 

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