Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, February 1

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Trend Report
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Seattle @ Boston
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games

Toronto @ New Jersey
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Toronto
New Jersey is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Florida @ NY Rangers
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida

Winnipeg @ Philadelphia
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Winnipeg's last 19 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games at home

Washington @ Pittsburgh
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Washington

San Jose @ Tampa Bay
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
San Jose is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Jose

Ottawa @ NY Islanders
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Vancouver @ Nashville
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Calgary @ Dallas
Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Buffalo @ Vegas
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games
Vegas
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 12 games at home


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[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

WAS at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -158
O 6.0
+500 +500

FLA at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR +135
U 6.5
+500 +500

SEA at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -252
O 5.5
+500 +500

SJ at TB 07:00 PM
TB -340
O 5.5
+500 +500

TOR at NJ 07:00 PM
TOR -245
U 6.5
+500 +500

WIN at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI +140
U 6.0
+500 +500

OTT at NYI 07:30 PM
NYI -228
O 5.5
+500 +500

VAN at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -172
U 5.5
+500 +500

CAL at DAL 08:30 PM
CAL -123
O 5.5
+500 +500

ARI at COL 09:00 PM
ARI +455
O 6.5
+500 +500

BUF at VEG 10:00 PM
BUF +378
O 6.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

FEBRUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

02/01/2022.......13-9-0........59.09%............+35.10



BEST BETS:

02/01/2022.........7-8-0.........46.66%............+10.75




02/01/22

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
— Texas Tech 77, Texas 64— Coach Beard loses in his return to Lubbock.
— Michigan State 65, Maryland 63— Spartans blew 15-point lead, won it with 0:01.5 left.
— North Carolina 90, Louisville 83, OT— Bacot had 19 points, 22 rebounds.
— Auburn 100, Alabama 81— Auburn was 31-39 on foul line; lot of foul shots.
— Northwestern 79, Rutgers 78, OT— Wildcats blew a 52-28 lead, still got a win.
— Davidson 81, St Bonaventure 76— Wildcats made 12-28 on the arc.

Quote of the Day
“We don’t have the same funding resources as some of these schools do for these NIL deals. It’s basically dealing with different salary caps. Now we have a sport that has completely different salary caps and some of these schools have, whatever, five to 10 times more than everybody else in what they can pay the players. I know nobody uses those phrases, but that is what it is.”
Ole Miss football coach Lane Kiffin

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Charles Barkley play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Rams have played in four Super Bowls, with four different head coaches; Ray Malavasi, Dick Vermeil, Mike Martz, Sean McVay.

Monday’s quiz
Ken Anderson, Boomer Esiason started for the Bengals in their other two Super Bowls.

****************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………

13) Football is the only sport where the pro game is shorter than the college game; clocks stop after first downs in college. College teams run more average plays in a game than NFL teams do, which is big reason why turnovers are so critical. There aren’t that many drives in an NFL game.

Rams had eight drives Sunday, 49ers had nine (not counting kneel-downs at end of half). Rams threw an INT in red zone on one drive, dropped a TD pass on another, two wasted chances that created their problems entering the 4th quarter.

Turnovers can be random/luck-related, which is part of reason why handicapping football is so difficult.

12) Minnesota Vikings are interviewing Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh Wednesday; rumor is they want him to be their next coach. 49ers assistant DeMeco Ryans turned down a chance for a second interview, signaling that he thinks Harbaugh-to-Minnesota is a done deal.

NFL teams have to interview a certain amount of minority candidates (Rooney Rule) for head coach openings, but if a guy thinks he has no shot at getting the job, he can turn down the interview. Younger guys take the interview, just to get experience in the interview process.

First three coach openings this month have all been filled by coaches with offense background.

11) Former Miami Dolphins coach Brian Flores is suing the NFL and three times for racial discrimination; apparently he has given up on ever being a head coach again, if he is suing the whole damn league.

Flores went 24-25 in three years with Miami, never made the playoffs, even though his last two teams went 10-6/9-8.

Here’s the problem Flores has:
— Week 17, 2020, Dolphins lost 56-26 in Buffalo
— Week 17, 2021, Dolphins lost 34-3 at Tennessee.

When your team goes in the tank at big moments in critical games, it doesn’t look good for the coach. NFL teams are worth an average of $3B each; they’re entitled to hire who they damn well please to be their head coach.

Getting along well with others is part of being a good coach; there were lot of rumors that Flores/Miami’s front office were often at odds about their jobs.

10) Tom Brady officially retired Tuesday, meaning that Canton, OH will be a good place to avoid in August 2027, when Roethlisberger/Brady get inducted into the Hall of Fame.

I was in Canton for the 2001 Hall of Fame events, to see Jack Youngblood/Jackie Slater get inducted. Marv Levy also got in that year, so lot of Buffalo fans were there and Lynn Swann got in, so lot of Pittsburgh fans showed up.

Steeler fans were insufferable that day, ragging on the Buffalo fans because they’ve never won a Super Bowl- they were really annoying, so could be lot of trash talk between Steeler/Patriot fans in 2027. The “annoying meter” will be off the charts, both ways.

9) Buccaneers will have $32M of dead money next year, which is a salary cap charge for a player no longer on a team’s roster, with Brady retiring before June 2.Tampa Bay can get some salary cap relief by keeping him on the roster until June- that’s what the Saints did when Drew Brees retired.

8) Understood that the transfer portal is a way of life in college sports now, but when I see a kid playing for his third school in four years, it makes me squeamish about the player.

James Akinjo played two years at Georgetown, then bolted to Arizona, then bolted to Baylor.

Georgetown lost its last seven games before Akinjo bolted; Arizona went 5-6 in its last 11 games LY, then Akinjo bolted and the Wildcats changed coaches. Arizona is 17-2 this season with a new coach and almost entirely-new roster.

Now the highly-skilled Akinjo is at Baylor, which won the national title last year. Bears are 19-3 this season, 7-2 in conference; will be interesting to see how this all plays out.

7) Penn State 90, Iowa 86, 2OT:
— Penn State shot 57% inside arc, Iowa 35%
— Hawkeyes tipped in an airball at buzzer to force OT.
— Iowa lost three of its last four games.

6) Wyoming 84, Colorado State 78, OT:
— This was really good game; Mountain West is better this year.
— Maldonado scored 35 points, had 7 assists for Wyoming
— Wyoming played only one sub more than 7:00, at high altitude.

5) NC-Wilmington is on an incredible run; Seahawks started the season #277 on KenPom’s rankings; they were picked to finish last in the CAA by Blue Ribbon Yearbook, after going 38-76 the previous four years, 18-43 in conference games.

After starting this season 3-5, UNCW has gone on a 12-0 run- they were underdogs in eight of the 12 games, going 11-0 against the spread (one game was against an NAIA team). Now the Seahawks are up to #222, are have a 2-game lead in the CAA- they’ll still have to win the CAA tournament to get into March Madness, but they’re having a great season.

4) If you’ve got an extra $3B hanging around, the Denver Broncos are for sale. Last NFL team that was sold were the Carolina Panthers, who went for $2.2B- Broncos are said to be worth more than the Panthers, so the deal should be around $3B.

3) Pitt-West Virginia will open their college football season against each other next September , the regional rivals’ first meeting since 2011.

2) QB Caleb Williams finally decided to bolt to USC, after leaving Oklahoma when Lincoln Riley skipped town to coach the Trojans. Wisconsin tried very hard to lure Williams to Madison, but what 20-year old passer chooses Madison over Tinseltown?

1) MLB Network showed Game 7 of the 1965 World Series Tuesday, Twins-Dodgers, Sandy Koufax against Jim Kaat. Lot of great players in the game, which was played in the daytime (the night World Series game was in 1971).

Ray Scott broadcast the first 4.5 innings, Vin Scully the last 4.5; two great announcers. Lot of great players: Koufax-Drysdale-Oliva-Killebrew-Kaat.

Earl Battey caught for the Twins that day; his grandson plays basketball for Colorado now.

TV coverage of baseball is so much better now; weren’t many graphics back then. No one was talking about pitch counts or defensive positioning. Was fun to watch it; I was five years old back then— game was in bacl/white, that’s how old I am. LOL

 

[Udog]

EDMONTON is 21-14 ATS (12.2 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.9 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.

LOS ANGELES are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 48-125 ATS (-56.7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.




NHL

Wednesday, February 2

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Trend Report
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Edmonton @ Washington
Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

Seattle @ NY Islanders
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Islanders's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Islanders's last 12 games

Los Angeles @ Detroit
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Calgary @ Arizona
Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Minnesota


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 2

 

[CNOTES]

FEBRUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

02/02/2022.........3-6-1........35.00%.............-22.55
02/01/2022.......13-9-0........59.09%............+35.10

TOTALS...........16-15-1.........51.61%............+12.55


BEST BETS:

01/02/2022.........0-6-0.........00.00%.............-33.00
02/01/2022.........7-8-0.........46.66%............+10.75

TOTALS..............7-14-0.........33.33%............-22.75


02/02/22

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

NHL trends (thru All-Star break)

Anaheim 23-16-9
— Won four of last six games.
— Ducks are 13-7-4 at home
— 5-3 if they played night before
— under 6-3 last nine at home.

Arizona 11-30-4
— lost six of last seven games
— 5-16-1 at home, 6-14-3 on road.
— 2-8 if they played night before
— three of last four games stayed under

Boston 26-14-3
— split their last eight games.
— 15-8-1 at home
— over 5-1 last six road games
— 4-2 in OT/shootouts

Buffalo 14-24-7
— Lost six of last ninw games.
— 7-12-3 at home, 7-12-4 on road.
— under 9-2 last 11 road games.
— 1-7 if they played the night before.

Calgary 23-13-6
— won their last three games.
— Flames are 7-4-4 at home, 16-9-2 on road.
— over 8-1-2 last eleven road games
— Flames are 3-4 if they played night before

Carolina 31-9-2
— won six of their last seven games
— 16-4-1 at home, 15-5-1 on road.
— under 3-1-1 last five home games
— 5-1 on first night of back/back

Chicago 16-23-7
— lost seven of last eight games.
— 8-11-3 at home, 8-12-4 on road.
— under 4-1-1 last six home games
— Chicago is 3-27 if it allows 3+ goals.

Colorado 32-8-4
— Colorado won 16 of last 18 games
— 20-2-2 at home, 12-6-2 on road.
— won last four road games.
— under is 3-0 in their last three road games

Columbus 20-22-1
— lost seven of last nine home games
— 12-10-1 at home, 8-12 on road.
— over 4-1-1 last six games
— 7-1 in OT/shootouts.

Dallas 23-18-2
— Dallas won five of last seven games
— 15-6-1 at home, 8-12-1 on road.
— lost three of last four home games
— over 5-2-1 last eight games

Detroit 20-21-6
— lost four of last five home games
— 14-9-3 at home, 6-12-3 on road.
— 9-5 in OT/SO
— over 4-1 last five home games.

Edmonton 23-16-3
— Oilers won five of last six games.
— Oilers are 12-8 at home, 11-8-3 on road.
— Over is 7-4-1 in last 12 road games.
— 4-0 at home in OT/shootouts.

Florida 32-10-5
— Panthers won six of last eight games.
— 23-3 at home, 9-7-5 on road.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games,
— 8-5 in OT/SO

Los Angeles 24-16-7
— LA won three of its last four games.
— Kings are at 13-10-2 home, 11-6-5 on road.
— over is 3-0 in their last three games.
— 4-7 in OT/shootouts.

Minnesota 28-10-3
— Wild won last six games, outscoring foes 29-14
— 14-3-1 at home, 14-7-2 on road.
— over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games
— 8-3 in OT/SO

Montreal 8-29-7
— Montreal lost six row, 20 of last 22 games
— Canadiens are 5-13-1 at home, 3-16-6 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— 1-7 in OT/SO

Nashville 28-14-4
— Predators won four of last five games
— Nashville is 14-7 at home, 14-7-4 on road.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— Nashville is 6-4 in OT/shootouts

New Jersey 15-25-5
— Devils lost their last six games.
— Devils are 10-11-3 at home, 5-14-2 on road.
— over is 12-3 in their last 15 road games.
— New Jersey is 4-1 in OT, 0-4 in shootouts.

NY Islanders 16-17-6
— Islanders lost four of last six games.
— Islanders are 9-10-3 at home, 7-7-3 on road.
— under is 12-4 in their last 16 games.
— Islanders are 2-6 if they played night before

NY Rangers 30-13-4
— Rangers won seven of last eight home games.
— New York is 15-4-2 at home, 15-9-2 on road.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Rangers are 1-3 in OT, 3-1 in shootouts.

Ottawa 14-22-2
— Senators lost six of last nine games
— Ottawa is 7-11-1 at home, 7-11-3 on road.
— last seven games stayed under the total.
— Ottawa is 3-5 if it played night before.

Philadelphia 15-22-8
— lost their last seven road games.
— Flyers are 8-10-4 at home, 7-12-4 on road.
— under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Philly is 4-4 in OT, 0-4 in shootouts..

Pittsburgh 27-11-8
— Pittsburgh lost last four games, all by a goal, three in OT/SO.
— Penguins are 13-6-5 at home, 14-5-3 on road.
— over is 6-3 in last nine Penguin home games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-8 in OT/shootouts.

St Louis 26-13-5
— St Louis won seven of its last ten games.
— Blues are 17-5-2 at home, 9-8-3 on road.
— under is 8-2 in last ten home games.
— St Louis is 3-5 in OT/shootouts.

San Jose 22-20-4
— Sharks lost seven of their last nine games.
— Sharks are 11-9-2 at home, 11-11-2 on road.
— under is 6-1 in San Jose’s last seven road games.
— Sharks are 7-4 in OT/SO

Seattle 15-27-4
— Seattle is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Kraken are 9-14-2 at home, 6-13-2 on road.
— under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.
— Kraken is 2-7 if they played night before.

Tampa Bay 30-10-6
— Lightning won seven of last nine games.
— Lightning is 16-4-4 at home, 14-6-2 on road.
— over 5-0 last five on road; under last four at home
— Tampa Bay is 7-2 in OT, 2-4 in shootouts.

Toronto 29-10-3
— Toronto won last five games, outscoring foes 27-13.
— Maple Leafs are 16-4-1 at home, 13-6-2 on road.
— over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Toronto is 5-3 in OT/shootouts.

Vancouver 20-20-6
— Vancouver is 2-5 in last seven games
— Canucks are 8-8-3 at home, 12-12-3 on road.
— under 10-2-1 last 13 home games
— Canucks are 2-4 if they played night before

Vegas 27-16-3
— Knights won four of their last six games.
— Knights are 14-10-2 at home, 13-6-1 on road.
— over 4-0 last four home games overall.
— Vegas is 2-2 in OT, 4-1 in shootouts.

Washington 25-13-9
— Caps won three of last four road games.
— Washington is 12-8-5 at home, 13-5-4 on road..
— Washington is 5-9 in OT/shootouts.
— under 3-1 last four home games

Winnipeg 18-17-7
— Jets lost seven of their last eight games.
— Jets are 10-8-1 at home, 8-9-6 on road.
— last eight home games went over
— Jets are 3-7 in OT/shootouts.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Arizona Diamondbacks:
1) Cprbin Carroll, OF
2) Jordan Lawlar, SS
3) Alek Thomas, OF
4) Geraldo Perdomo, SS
5) Blake Walston, P
6) Ryne Nelson, P

Quote of the Day
” … It was like, ‘Well if I can get a swing on it and I can hit it then why would I take a drop?’ You’re never over … a 65-foot cliff. So it’s an unusual situation, normally if you’re walking into a hazard, you see a ball, you hit it out. [Caddie] Michael [Greller] hated it. He tried to talk me out of it three times. I don’t blame him, looking back. I’m just glad I made the par to make it worth it because I don’t think I would have made par with a drop, but if I made bogey it would have really not been worth it”
Jordan Spieth, after hitting a shot from an awkward lie on Saturday

Monday’s quiz
In the last ten NCAA tournaments, how many times has Gonzaga been a #1-seed?

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Dave, Kevin Kline played the President of the United States.

Saturday’s quiz
Marisa Tomei played Joe Pesci’s girlfriend in My Cousin Vinny.

***************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Selection Sunday is only five weeks away; lot of studying to do between now and then (and packing for my first vacation in 2.5 years!!!). Anyway, the biggest question I have right now is, how good is Gonzaga?

— Gonzaga is 19-2, 8-0 in WCC; their three road wins in WCC were by 32-30-33 points.
— Beat Texas by 12, UCLA by 20, Texas Tech by 14; lost to Duke, Alabama.
— Zags are shooting 62.7% inside the arc, 37.9% on the arc.
— They defend well without forcing lot of turnovers; they gave up 84-91 points in the losses.

WCC is the #9 conference right now; some good teams, but it ain’t the SEC or Big X.

One of the many things we’ll be following the next few weeks.

12) USC basketball coach Andy Enfield played college ball a D-III Johns Hopkins; in his career, he made 431 of 466 free throws, which is 92.5%, the best %age ever.

Must be frustrating this year; Enfield was a great shooter, is a really good shooting coach, but this year’s Trojans are shooting 63.7% on the foul line, 351st out of 358 D-I teams.

11) People bust on the Rams because they trade all their first-round draft picks (for proven stars) but when you draft well and develop players, the system works.
— Nick Scott, starting safety— 7th round draft pick in 2019
— Travin Howard, starting LB— 7th round draft pick in 2018
— Kendall Blanton, tight end— undrafted free agent in 2019

Having a great GM is just as important as having a great coach; Rams have both, with Les Snead and Sean McVay.

10) Nuggets 124, Nets 104:
— Nikola Jokic had a triple-double, his 14th this season, 71st of his career, only six behind the great Wilt Chamberlain on that list. If you’re mentioned in the same sentence as Wilt, you’re pretty damn good.

Meanwhile, Nets have lost eight games in a row, are 2-9 without Kevin Durant in lineup.

9) Staying in Denver, Denver Broncos are for sale— guy who is a financial advisor for Denver in the deal is Steve Greenberg, son of baseball Hall of Famer Hank Greenberg.

Steve Greenberg was Fay Vincent’s deputy commissioner 30 years ago; he was instrumental in Denver getting a baseball expansion team (Colorado Rockies).

8) Los Angeles Clippers have won nine games this year when trailing by 10+ points; they’ve won four games after trailing by 20+, which is most in the NBA.
— Good news- They’re spunky and competitive
— Bad news- They fall behind a lot.

7) In the last few weeks, Michigan’s football coach tried pretty hard to become an NFL head coach; they’ve lost their offensive coordinator, and this weekend, they lost their defensive coordinator. Not a good sign for the Wolverines’ immediate future.

6) Niagara 80, Iona 71— Gaels’ first loss in 12 MAAC games. Better now than in March; they’ll need to win the MAAC tournament to get into March Madness for sixth straight time.

5) Loyola Chi 71, Missouri State 62:
— Loyola held Isiaih Mosley to 12 points; he had 40 in their first meeting.
— Ramblers lead MVC by game over Northern Iowa/Drake.

4) Wyoming 61, Fresno State 59:
— Cowboys won 4th game in row; they’re 10-1 in last 11 games.
— Wyoming’s last five wins were all by 7 or less points.

3) Providence 71, Georgetown 52:
— Hoyas led 30-27 at halftime.
— Friars won seven in row, 15 of last 16 games.
— Georgetown has lost 11 games in a row; no idea where they’ll turn for a head coach if they decide to fire Patrick Ewing, the best player in Georgetown history. Hoyas are a mess, and are 26-54 in Big East games under Ewing.

2) Miami Dolphins hired Yale graduate Mike McDaniel as their new head coach; he comes from the 49ers, he has a 15-year coaching resume, but was 49ers’ OC for only one year.

Nine head coach openings; seven have been filled, all by Caucasians, as NFL teams give the middle finger to Brian Flores and his lawsuit. Saints/Texans are the last two teams with a head coach opening. Roger Goodell’s press conference this week should be very interesting if neither one of those teams hire a minority head coach.

1) August 1, 1986, the first time I ever stepped foot inside a casino. Pretty good day; I was visiting my sister in Los Angeles and we drove thru the desert to Las Vegas, where it was 112 degrees when we showed up. Stepped into a sportsbook and my head was spinning; sports/numbers are my thing. This was heaven on earth.

I go up to the counter to bet on the Mets, who were playing the Montreal Expos- can’t remember who was pitching for the Mets, but Floyd Youmans was pitching for Montreal. Give the guy my bet and he is smiling:

“Great pick buddy, but the game started 90 minutes ago.”

I had forgotten to set my watch to the western time zone; game was in the 5th inning.

Whoops.

 

[Udog]

CAROLINA is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 3-24 ATS (-23.8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.




NHL

Monday, February 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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New Jersey @ Ottawa
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games

Carolina @ Toronto
Carolina
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, February 7

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
— Houston Texans are expected to name Lovie Smith their new coach.
— New Orleans Saints are expected to name Dennis Allen their new coach.
— Virginia 69, Duke 68— Cavaliers were +10 in turnovers (5-15)
— Texas 79, Kansas 76— Texas outscored Kansas 7-0 in last minute.
— Montana State 72, Idaho State 53— Bobcats have won nine in a row.
— Tennessee’s 3rd-leading scorer, Oliver Nkamhoua, is out for year (ankle)

Quote of the Day
“It’s all over the place. It can get hot because we’re passionate about this. I’m passionate about finding a way to address the issues, and I’m passionate about the sport. If that means someone raises their voice or uses a word that is four letters long, so be it. But ultimately we’re meeting, we’re talking. Sometimes it’s prettier than others.”
Pitcher Andrew Miller, talking about the MLB labor negotiations

Tuesday’s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon played college football for which school?

Monday’s quiz
In last ten NCAA tournaments, Gonzaga has been a #1-seed four times.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Dave, Kevin Kline played the President of the United States.

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Sampling of Super Bowl prop bets

Keep in mind, the menu of prop bets put out by the Westgate SuperBook is 40-45 pages. Ton of stuff, traditional bets and weird stuff. Lot of action.

13) Rams are -4.5, with total of 48.5

Money line is Rams -200, Bengals +175

12) Over/under for Rams’ points: 26.5, Bengals 21.5.

11) Will either team score three straight times?
Yes -190. No +170

10) What will happen first, a touchdown (-125) or a sack (-105)?

9) Will either team score in first 6:30 of the game?
Yes even, No -120

8) Will either team score in last 2:00 of first half?
Yes -310, No +260

7) Will either team score in last 3:30 of game?
Yes -165, No +145

6) Longest touchdown of the game: 42.5 yards (-110 both ways)

5) Will there be a lead change in 4th quarter?
Yes +250, No -300

4) Longest made field goal of game: 46.5 yards (-110 both ways)

3) Distance of the first touchdown of the game: 7.5 yards (-110 both ways)

2) Largest lead of game, by either team: 14.5 points (-110 both ways

1) Passing yards for Matthew Stafford: 285.5 yards

Again, you can bet on just about anything Sunday; over/under on the length of the national anthem, to start with. Just about anything.

Be careful with your money, please.

 

[Udog]

NEW JERSEY is 3-24 ATS (-23.8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 0-4 ATS (-10.1 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year.

OTTAWA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 7-15 ATS (-13.7 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

VEGAS are 10-3 ATS (8.1 Units) in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

ARIZONA is 11-4 ATS (6.6 Units) in road games off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 8

 

[Udog]

NHL

Tuesday, February 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Columbus @ Washington
Columbus
Columbus is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Columbus is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Columbus

Pittsburgh @ Boston
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Boston
Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Boston
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

New Jersey @ Montreal
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
New Jersey is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing New Jersey

Carolina @ Ottawa
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games

Minnesota @ Winnipeg
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

Vegas @ Edmonton
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Vegas

Arizona @ Vancouver
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 11 games at home
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects for the Baltimore Orioles:
1) Adley Rutschman, C
2) Grayson Rodriguez, P
3) DL Hall, P
4) Gunnar Henderson, SS
5) Colton Cowser, OF
6) Jordan Westburg, SS

Quote of the Day
“We all run our own race, whatever that may be. It’s part of the journey and this year obviously was a tough experience, winning three games and all that, but it’s all part of the journey. My time will come, whenever that may be, to get another crack at it.”
Jared Goff

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner played the GM of the Cleveland Browns, who played the coach of the Browns?

Tuesday’s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon was a quarterback at UCLA.

Monday’s quiz
In last ten NCAA tournaments, Gonzaga has been a #1-seed four times.

******************************

Wednesday’s Den: mid-week musings……..

13) Arkansas 80, Auburn 76 OT:
— #1 team in country loses a tough game, ending their 19-game win streak.
— Auburn led by 5 with 2:40 left to play.
— Foul line: Arkansas 26-32, Auburn 8-17
— After this game ended, students stormed the court; Auburn’s team had very little protection as they tried to get to the locker room. This was a potentially dangerous thing; Arkansas needs to do better to protect its guests.

12) When the conference tournaments start in a few weeks, obviously teams have to win three or four days in a row to get into the NCAA Tournament. You need some depth to get thru games 3-4 days in a row.

Here are a few teams that lack depth, and may struggle to win their conference tournament because of that:
#358 in bench minutes- St Bonaventure
#357- Oakland
#356- Wright State
#353- Toledo
#351- North Texas

11) Why would anyone trade for Ben Simmons? Guy is very talented, one of the best passers I’ve ever seen, but your best players have to be good guys, team guys, not entitled, selfish people who care only about themselves.

Simmons hasn’t played a minute this year and he’s healthy; he’s offended because the 76ers’ coach didn’t fly cross-country to beg him to play this season. He’s opted out of $24M this year because his feelings got hurt (he still gets $8M this year for doing nothing)

Four years ago, Showtime aired a documentary about Simmons, which was filmed after his one college year, but before the NBA Draft; he didn’t come across well.

Four years with the 76ers, they won lot of regular season games, but went 19-19 in playoff games and never got the Eastern Conference finals. One year at LSU and they didn’t even get into the NCAA Tournament.

You pay someone $30M a year, you want a team leader and Simmons doesn’t seem to be one.

10) After the NCAA Tournament, we’ll get into this more, but there will be lot of conference shuffling next year. Conference USA will look almost totally different; CAA is adding three teams, lot of the mid-major leagues are juggling teams.

Loyola Chi is going to the A-14, which becomes the A-15 I guess.

9) Major league umpire Phil Cuzzi was on MLB Network the other day; he said he’s worked two no-hitters behind the plate and in both games, he wasn’t aware that the pitcher had a no-hitter until the last batter.

Not sure how that happens; these stadiums have very large scoreboards, but he concentrates on his job I guess, and wasn’t aware of it.

8) Purdue 84, Illinois 68:
— Boilers sweep Illinois; this was a pretty good beating.
— One of the newer things I try to do now is identify the legit NBA prospects who are still in college, and then lean on them in March. Purdue’s Jaden Ivey seems like one of those guys, but I’m not a big Matt Painter fan. Purdue has size and some diverse scorers, though, and that wins lot of games in March.

7) Wyoming 78, Utah State 76 OT:
— Cowboys won five games in row, four by 2 points or in OT.
— Last six years, Wyoming was 34-68 in conference games; now they’re 20-3, 9-1 in league and Jeff Linder deserves some mention for National Coach of the Year.

6) NFL coach stuff:
— Saints named Dennis Allen their new coach
— Texans named Lovie Smith their new coach
— Green Bay named Rich Bisaccia their special teams coach
— Giants named Don Martindale their defensive coordinator

5) It is amazing to me that there are still states where high school basketball doesn’t have a shot clock. Basketball without shot clocks can be strangled by stubborn coaches who won’t come out of zone defenses, and by coaches who refuse to play against zones (if they’re ahead).

In the late 70’s, there was a Duke-North Carolina game that was 7-0 at halftime. Seriously.

Putting the shot clock into college ball was a great move that helped make the game a lot more popular.

4) If you like to wager on pro golf, note that Patrick Cantlay is 97-under par in his last five tournaments, with a birdie-or-better % of 34.4%.

3) Washington Wizards’ star Bradley Beal is out for the year, with a left wrist injury.

2) Colorado Rockies extended manager Bud Black’s contract thru the 2023 season.

1) Dodgers’ P Trevor Bauer will not be criminally charged by Los Angeles prosecutors after a woman charged him with assault/other stuff, so now the big question is, what do the Dodgers do with him. Will they cut him? Trade him? Play him?

Bauer hasn’t committed a crime and the Dodgers owe him $64M over the next two seasons, but the baseball commissioner, who is currently involved with trying to screw up the sport with its labor dysfunction, has the autonomy to hand out suspensions under the domestic violence policy, so Bauer could still be suspended this season.

 

[Udog]

PHILADELPHIA is 8-24 ATS (-15.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS (-11 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7.3 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.

VEGAS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) at home when the total is >=6 over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

VANCOUVER is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in home games when playing 3 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Wednesday, February 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Philadelphia
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Detroit

Chicago @ Edmonton
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Chicago

Nashville @ Dallas
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Vegas @ Calgary
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Arizona @ Seattle
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games

NY Islanders @ Vancouver
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games when playing Vancouver
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

I've got appointments with doctors all morning. Back later.....

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 9

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Six top teams in roster continuity (of teams we track here):
1) Southern Utah
4) South Dakota State
6) Appalachian State
7) St Bonaventure
8) North Dakota State
9) Fairfield

Quote of the Day
“I really like him. I’m really excited. I’m really excited for the future. I’ve spoken with him a couple of times, really just impressed by who he is. I think, personality-wise, we’re going to gel really well. I think we’re pretty similar. Just knowing he played the position.”
Trevor Lawrence, talking about Doug Peterson, his new coach

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Kawhi Leonard play his college basketball?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, where Kevin Costner played the GM of the Cleveland Browns, Denis Leary played the coach of the Browns.

Tuesday’s quiz
NCIS star Mark Harmon played college football at UCLA.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) SMU 85, Houston 83:
— Houston’s first loss in ten AAC games; they had won 12 games in a row.
— Mustangs made 12-23 on arc; they’re 14-2 in their last 16 games.
— SMU starts five seniors; this win will carry weight on Selection Sunday.

12) Oklahoma 70, Texas Tech 55:
— Sooners were 13-28 on arc, Tech 2-17.
— Only second win in last nine games for Oklahoma.
— Last two games, Red Raiders are 6-38 on the arc.

11) We talked some the other day about Marquette coach Shaka Smart, how he’s struggled in NCAA Tournament games the last few years, but he’s done very well in conference tournaments, going 17-7 as a head coach in conference tournament games, winning three tournaments.

10) Over the last eight years, six different schools won the Mountain West tournament, and none of them was UNLV, which hosts the tournament. San Diego State/Utah State split the last four years- four other teams won the four years before that.

9) Of the last 14 teams to win the national title in college basketball, 11 of them were favored by 20+ points in their first round game. Last 15 national champs went 12-3 ATS in their first round games.

8) Atlantic 14 is looking like a one-bid league, so their conference tournament will be fun to follow; last time the #1-seed won the A-14 was way back in 2013. Top four teams in A-14 this season are pretty well-matched.

7) Portland (+18) 69, San Francisco 68— This game was late Tuesday and it might hurt the WCC”s chances of getting four teams in March Madness. Horrific loss for USF, losing to a 12-12 Pilots squad that is 3-6 in the WCC. Bubble teams can’t be losing to stiffs.

6) Big thing in handicapping college basketball, for me at least, has become identifying college players who would be playing in the NBA if they were there. Those players figure to dominate college games, right?
— Jabari Smith, Auburn
— Jaden Ivey, Purdue
— Chet Holmgren, Gonzaga

Those are three guys I would put in that class right now.

5) Was watching a replay of the 2000 World Series between the two New York teams, and one of the FOX analysts was former big league catcher Bob Brenly. These days, Brenly is the TV analyst for Arizona Diamondback games.

But in 2001, right after his World Series stint on TV, Brenly took over as the Diamondbacks’s manager— he won the World Series in his first year as a skipper. He went 303-262 in 3+ years managing in Arizona.

4) Brooklyn Nets lost their last nine games, going 1-8 ATS; they had players making a combined $129M this season sitting out their last game with injuries.

3) Rutgers 66, Ohio State 64— Rutgers outscored the Buckeyes 10-0 over final 3:12 of game. When you shoot 10-18 on arc and lose, that’s a bad loss- OSU was 13-39 inside the arc.

2) I’m thinking the increased reliance on the 3-point shot has made handicapping college basketball more difficult- there are way more long rebounds in games with missed 3’s- teams get streaky, both good and bad.

Arizona was 16-1 at one point, then they went 10-51 on the arc over a 2-game stretch, losing at UCLA and struggling to beat rival Arizona State. Wildcats have good size, they run like hell, but knocking down 3’s is what makes them an excellent team.

In three games since that first ASU game, Arizona has recovered to go 19-51 on arc.

1) Notre Dame 63, Louisville 57— Louisville has lost nine of its last ten games, has already fired their coach- they’re 11-13, 5-9 in the ACC. Once late March/April rolls around, who they hire as their new coach will be a very interesting topic.

 

[Udog]

MONTREAL is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) after allowing 5 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 3-8 ATS (-10 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 0-4 ATS (-10.1 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the season.

BUFFALO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 9-14 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

TORONTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.