Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Saturday’s 6-pack

— UNLV 88, Colorado State 74— Bryce Hamilton exploded for 45 points.
— Dayton 53, Rhode Island 51— Flyers outscored URI 13-5 on foul line.
— Ohio 74, Buffalo 53— Bobcats improve to 7-1 in the MAC.
— Saint Peter’s 77, Manhattan 51— Peacocks are in 2nd place in MAAC.
— Toledo 84, Akron 76— Rockets won their 8th game in a row.
— Boise State 68, Fresno State 63 OT— Boise tied game on a 3 with 0:02 left.

Quote of the Day
“I promise I will do better than Michael Jordan in baseball.”
Tennessee Titans WR AJ Brown, campaigning for a tryout with the San Diego Padres

Saturday’s quiz
Which starting QB in the NFL was a WR his first two years in college?

Friday’s quiz
In the baseball movie Summer Catch, Brian Dennehy plays the manager of the Chatham A’s.

Thursday’s quiz
UMBC is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA basketball tournament; they upset Virginia 74-54 in the first round of the 2018 tournament.

*******************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

13) Earlier this week, there were nine openings for NFL head coaches; now there are six:
— Chicago Bears named Colts’ DC Matt Eberflus head coach
— Denver Broncos named Packers’ OC Nathaniel Hackett head coach
— New Jersey Giants named Bills’ OC Brian Daboll head coach

12) Curious to see who the Bears hire as offensive coordinator, seeing how they have young QB Justin Fields to develop.

11) I am told that quarterback is an important position in football; here are some of the terrific young QB’s on AFC teams right now:

Burrow, Mahomes, Allen, Jackson, Herbert, all AFC starting QB’s. AFC is going to be a minefield for defenses the next few years- lot of good QB’s.

NFC has Murray, Prescott, Goff as quality younger QB’s- they have several older guys who are really good- Rodgers, Stafford, Wilson, Ryan.

These coaching hires happening now will decide if some of the lesser/suspect QB’s can be developed into stars- Tagovailoa, Daniel Jones, Fields, Hurts.

10) Pittsburgh Steelers have had only three head coaches since 1969; they’ve been very stable, but next year, Steelers will have:
— a new QB
— a new general manager
— a new defensive coordinator
— a new offensive line coach.

This is, for them, a big re-boot. Will be curious how it goes for them- they desperately need a quality quarterback.

9) First 16 days New York State had a mobile sports betting app, the state did $1.176B in handle, that’s billion, with a B. State cost themselves lot of money by being so slow to get mobile sports betting up, but at least they have it now.

8) Looking at college basketball teams as we roll towards March Madness, what is the most important factor to judge?
— Experience?
— Continuity?
— Offense? Defense?

UNLV 88, Colorado State 74
— Rebels made 12-29 on the arc, led by 18 at halftime.
— Bryce Hamilton exploded for 45 points.
— UNLV scored 1.29 points per possession.

UNLV has been struggling this season at 12-9 overall, 4-4 in league. Five of the Rebels’ top seven scorers are transfers, so while they’re experience team #45, they’re continuity team #331- they’re not used to playing together, but they looked great Friday night.

Too bad there is no metric for talent; a team like Marquette (#350 experience, #337 continuity) is on a roll because they identified Darryl Morsell as a talented player who could be a key player, which he wasn’t at Maryland. Morsell is scoring 13.4 ppg for a team where five of their eight rotation guys are freshmen.

7) Arizona Wildcats are doing really well, but they’re experience team #355, continuity team #199- they don’t have any player who has ever played in an NCAA Tournament game. Arizona started four freshmen and a sophomore at UCLA Thursday, lot of foreign kids. Will be fun to see if they can keep winning as post-season play approaches.

6) Illinois-Chicago is bolting the Horizon League for the Missouri Valley, where they’ll replace Loyola, which is moving to the Atlantic 15. Lot of shuffling between conferences in mid-major college basketball.

5) USFL re-boots in mid-April. Eight teams, the whole league will happen in Birmingham. Here are the eight head coaches:
— Michigan Panthers— Jeff Fisher- Panthers will play good defense
— New Jersey Generals— Mike Riley- Generals will have a good offense
— Pittsburgh Maulers— Kirby Wilson- RB coach for 8 different NFL teams
— Birmingham Stallions— Skip Holtz- was a college head coach for 16 years (160-125)
— Houston Gamblers— Kevin Sumlin- was a college head coach for 13 years (108-87)
— Tampa Bay Bandits- Todd Haley- former head coach/OC in the NFL.
— New Orleans Breakers- Larry Fedora- went 79-62 as coach at Southern Miss/UNC
— Philadelphia Stars— Bart Andrus- Was head coach in the CFL and NFL Europe.

If the baseball labor dispute delays the start of the season, the USFL will be very popular.

4) Few years ago in July, I went to a Boys Club in Las Vegas on a Saturday afternoon to see the Junior College showcase, 50 kids trying very hard to impress the college coaches there so they could get a scholarship. Very interesting afternoon.

— The high school showcases are way more glamorous; several games going at once, the big names in college coaches sitting courtside. This event had one court, and the coaches were mostly from the Sun Belt/Southland leagues, which take a lot more JC kids than most.
— Kid blew out his knee, was laying on the floor for several minutes, which put the whole day behind schedule, since there was only one court. Felt terrible for the kid; this was his last shot at a scholarship and he left the gym on a stretcher.
— Games were VERY competitive, so it was more fun to watch.

That day, it was 108 degrees in Las Vegas and the Boys’ Club had a tiny parking lot; had to park at a strip mall down the street, and walk a block or so in the scorching heat. Good news; no one made me pay go get in, so saved few bucks there. Wish they had a list of players who played that day; would be good to look back and see how many turned out to be D-I players.

More good news; on the way home, stopped at a bar in the strip mall, had some lunch and won $100 playing video poker. All in all, not a bad day.

6) Weird TV game Thursday night; UAB is playing at Western Kentucky. Blazers are wearing their dark green road uniforms and for some reason, WKU is wearing black uniforms at home, which made the game hard to watch.

Would it kill someone to wear white unis, or could WKU at least have worn red, so you could tell one team from another?

3) Sundance TV channel is having a 48-hour marathon of Gilligan’s Island this weekend; have not seen that show in years. Spent lot of time watching it as a kid; the Professor could make batteries out of pineapples, but could never fix the hole in the boat.

Go figure.

2) I’m looking forward to baseball season, so I can see how my fantasy team will do (pretty sure the A’s are going into a salary dump/downturn, not looking forward to that). We’ve had our fantasy league going since 2005; still haven’t won a championship, though I did win the regular season title once, which means very little.

Anyway, going back to 2009, I’m at my desk at work, around 2pm (I worked 8-4) reading a Peter Gammons baseball column on espn.com. Gammons is touting this outfielder in the Marlins farm system, raving about the guy, but he is in Class A ball. Long way from the majors.

But the more I read about this guy, the more intrigued I am; our league didn’t have a phone app yet, so I go to my boss’s desk, fill out a leave slip, and take the rest of the day off, so I can get to my apartment and pick this guy off the scrap heap.

Turned out pretty well; Giancarlo Stanton has been on my team ever since then (he got to the majors the next year) and except for lot of injuries, he’s been very productive. Thanks to Peter Gammons; I miss reading his stuff on the Interweb.

1) Happy 86th birthday to the great actor Alan Alda, best known as Hawkeye Pierce on M*A*S*H. He was so good as Hawkeye that it probably cost him chances to get lot of other roles, since he was so identified with his M*A*S*H character.

Alda appeared on the Showtime series Ray Donovan the last couple years. Happy birthday, sir!!!
 

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ANAHEIM is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) off a home loss by 2 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

CAROLINA is 20-7 ATS (10.9 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

VEGAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 0-4 ATS (-7.6 Units) in home games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.
 

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Dunkel

Saturday, January 29


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Saturday, January 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Anaheim @ Ottawa
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 8 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games

Los Angeles @ Philadelphia
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

Winnipeg @ St. Louis
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

San Jose @ Florida
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

New Jersey @ Carolina
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Jersey's last 13 games on the road
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Toronto @ Detroit
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games

Edmonton @ Montreal
Edmonton
Edmonton is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games at home

Vegas @ Tampa Bay
Vegas
Vegas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Vegas's last 15 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Buffalo @ Arizona
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Vancouver @ Calgary
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games
Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, JANUARY 29
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


EDM at MON 07:00 PM
EDM -244
U 6.5
+500 +500

TOR at DET 07:00 PM
TOR -264
O 6.0
+500 +500

VEG at TB 07:00 PM
TB -140
O 6.0
+500 +500

NJ at CAR 07:00 PM
CAR -283
U 6.5
+500 +500

BUF at ARI 09:00 PM
BUF +115
O 5.5

+500 +500

VAN at CAL 10:00 PM
CAL -178
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/29/2022........8-4-0........66.67%........+17.25
01/28/2022........6-4-0........60.00%........+15.15
01/27/2022.......10-6-2........61.11%.........+0.80
01/26/2022.........7-2-1........75.00%........+19.25
01/25/2022.......12-3-1........78.13%........+44.50
01/23/2022.........6-4-0........60.00%.........+9.80
01/22/2022.......10-8-0........55.55%..........+2.85
01/21/2022.........9-6-1........59.38%.........+4.30
01/20/2022.......12-6-0........66.67%.........+28.30
01/18/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%..........-43.85
01/17/2022........8-6-0.........57.14%...........+8.70
01/16/2022........1-1-0.........50.00%............-4.60
01/14/2022........4-2-0.........66.67%...........+9.00
01/13/2022......7-10-0.........41.18%...........-48.70
01/12/2022........4-1-1.........80.00%............+4.90
01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS...........154-107-4........59.00%.........+ 70.95

BEST BETS:

01/29/2022........4-3-0..............57.14%.......+3.50
01/28/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%........-2.00
01.27.2022........7-2-2...............77.77%......+24.00
01/26/2022........5-1-1..............83.33%......+19.50
01/25/2022........6-3-1..............66.66%......+13.50
01/23/2022........3-2-0...............60.00%.....+4.00
01/22/2022........3-6-0...............33.33%......-18.00
01/212022.........2-5-1...............28.57%.......-17.50
01/20/2022........6-6-0...............50.00%........-3.00
01/18/2022........3-5-0...............37.50%.......-12.50
01/17/2022........5-4-0...............55.55%.......+3.00
01/16/2022........1-0-0.............100.00%.......+5.00
01/14/2022........1-2-0..............33.33%.........-6.00
01/13/2022........2-7-0..............22.22%........-27.40
01/12/2022........1-1-1..............50.00%........-0.50
01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........71-71-6.............50.00%%.........- 38.90


01/29/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

Top six teams in country in 2-point FG%:
63.0%— Gonzaga
60.1%— Belmont
59.6%— Wake Forest
59.0%— Oklahoma
58.1%— Vermont
57.7%— Alabama

Quote of the Day
“Realize that everything that shows up in your life has something to teach you. Appreciate everyone and everything in your life.”
Wayne Dyer

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie Trouble with the Curve, Clint Eastwood plays a scout for which major league team?

Saturday’s quiz
Tennessee Titans’ QB Ryan Tannehill was a WR his first two years at Texas A&M.

Friday’s quiz
In the baseball movie Summer Catch, Brian Dennehy plays the manager of the Chatham A’s.

*******************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…….

13) SEC-Big X Challenge:
— Home teams won eight of the ten games in this challenge.
— Kentucky 80, Kansas 62— Surprisingly easy win; Wildcats shot 58% inside arc.
— TCU 77, LSU 68— LSU is 2-4 since PG Pinson got hurt.
— Alabama 87, Baylor 78— Alabama shot 78.6% (22-28) inside arc.
— Texas 52, Tennessee 51— Teams shot a combined 13-28 on foul line. Texas led by 17 with 7:01 left.

12) Pac-12:
— Arizona 67, Arizona State 56— Last two games, Arizona is 10-51 on arc.
— Last two games Hurley coached, ASU is 15-24 on foul line, their opponents 58-93. He was suspended for a game in between those two.
— Washington 77, Utah 73, 2OT— Senior G Brown scored 30 points, played 45:00. Huskies won five of last six games, Utah has lost ten in a row.

11) Big East:
— Xavier 74, Creighton 64— Xavier was down 17 at half, had 29-2 run in second half.
— Butler 56, Georgetown 53— Under Patrick Ewing, Hoyas are 26-51 in Big East games; they did win the conference tournament LY.

10) Atlantic 14:
— VCU 64, Richmond 62— These conference rivals are only six miles apart.
— Davidson 77, LaSalle 69— Wildcats are sitting atop the A-14 at 7-1.

9) Big 14:
— Michigan State 83, Michigan 67— Spartans won 11 of last 13 games.
— Illinois 59, Northwestern 56— Cockburn scored 22 in his return from injury.

8) American:
— SMU 69, Temple 61— Mustangs have quietly won 13 of last 14 games.
— Tulane 67, Wichita State 66— Green Wave was down 13 with 10:48 left.
— Tulane is 6-3 in AAC; this is their 8th year there- their best previous record? 6-12. Last time Green Wave finished over .500 in any conference was 2007.

7) Upsets of the Day:
— Pacific (+14) 76, BYU 73
— Marshall (+9.5) 84, UAB 81
— Central Michigan (+7) 69, Northern Illinois 63
— Eastern Illinois (+7). 62, Tennessee State 57
— Georgia State (+6.5) 73, UL-Monroe 62
— South Carolina (+6.5) 74, Texas A&M 63
— Austin Peay (+5.5) 58, Tennessee Tech 55

6) Conference USA:
— North Texas 63, Louisiana Tech 62— Mean Green takes over first place in C-USA West.
— Marshall 84, UAB 81— Thundering Herd snaps a 10-game losing streak.

5) WCC:
— San Francisco 88, Santa Clara 85— 7 seniors, 3 juniors started this game.
— Pacific 76, BYU 73— Pacific gets its first WCC win in five tries; they’re 6-13.

4) Southern:
— Furman 80, Mercer 50— Paladins were were 12-33 on arc, 17-28 inside arc. Furman starts four seniors- they’ve won seven of last eight games.
— Chattanooga 75, Citadel 62— Mocs lead Furman by half-game; SoCon tourney will be good.

3) Mid-American:
— Toledo is 7-1 in MAC, even though one of LY’s best players bolted to Arizona State, where he is shooting 22.6% on arc (shot 36.4% on arc in three years at Toledo.

2) Ivy League:
— Yale 80, Princeton 74— Yale ends Tigers’ 10-game win streak. Princeton was only 8-18 on the foul line. Tigers are 5-1 in Ivy games, Yale 4-1.

1) Raptors 124, Heat 120, 3OT:
— All five Toronto starters played 54:00+
— Pascal Siakam played 56:31, the most of any NBA player in a regular season game in five years.
— Miami’s bench played 111:00, Toronto’s 37:00.
— Tyler Herro played 45:00 and he didn’t start.
 

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LOS ANGELES are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

SEATTLE is 9-24 ATS (-14.9 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

CAROLINA is 21-7 ATS (11.9 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

MONTREAL is 1-11 ATS (-10.2 Units) against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

DALLAS are 9-1 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season in the last 2 years.

NY ISLANDERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

COLORADO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.
 

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Sunday, January 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle @ NY Rangers
Seattle
Seattle is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Los Angeles @ Pittsburgh
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
Pittsburgh is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

San Jose @ Carolina
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Boston @ Dallas
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Boston
Dallas is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

Columbus @ Montreal
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus

Minnesota @ NY Islanders
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 10 games

Buffalo @ Colorado
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, JANUARY 30
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


LA at PIT 01:00 PM
PIT -241
O 5.5
+500 +500

SEA at NYR 01:00 PM
NYR -158
U 5.5
+500 +500

SJ at CAR 05:00 PM
SJ +234
O 6.0

+500 +500

BOS at DAL 07:00 PM
BOS -121
O 5.5
+500 +500

CLB at MON 07:00 PM
MON +114
O 6.5

+500 +500

MIN at NYI 07:30 PM
MIN -114
O 5.5
+500 +500

BUF at COL 08:00 PM
COL -579
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/30/2022........9-5-0........64.29%........+11.40
01/29/2022........8-4-0........66.67%........+17.25
01/28/2022........6-4-0........60.00%........+15.15
01/27/2022.......10-6-2........61.11%.........+0.80
01/26/2022.........7-2-1........75.00%........+19.25
01/25/2022.......12-3-1........78.13%........+44.50
01/23/2022.........6-4-0........60.00%.........+9.80
01/22/2022.......10-8-0........55.55%..........+2.85
01/21/2022.........9-6-1........59.38%.........+4.30
01/20/2022.......12-6-0........66.67%.........+28.30
01/18/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%..........-43.85
01/17/2022........8-6-0.........57.14%...........+8.70
01/16/2022........1-1-0.........50.00%............-4.60
01/14/2022........4-2-0.........66.67%...........+9.00
01/13/2022......7-10-0.........41.18%...........-48.70
01/12/2022........4-1-1.........80.00%............+4.90
01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS...........163-112-4........59.27%.........+ 82.35

BEST BETS:

01/30/2022........6-3-0..............66.66%.......+13.50
01/29/2022........4-3-0..............57.14%........+3.50
01/28/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%.........-2.00
01.27.2022........7-2-2...............77.77%......+24.00
01/26/2022........5-1-1..............83.33%......+19.50
01/25/2022........6-3-1..............66.66%......+13.50
01/23/2022........3-2-0...............60.00%.....+4.00
01/22/2022........3-6-0...............33.33%......-18.00
01/212022.........2-5-1...............28.57%.......-17.50
01/20/2022........6-6-0...............50.00%........-3.00
01/18/2022........3-5-0...............37.50%.......-12.50
01/17/2022........5-4-0...............55.55%.......+3.00
01/16/2022........1-0-0.............100.00%.......+5.00
01/14/2022........1-2-0..............33.33%.........-6.00
01/13/2022........2-7-0..............22.22%........-27.40
01/12/2022........1-1-1..............50.00%........-0.50
01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........77-74-6.............50.99%%........-25.40


01/30/2022
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack

Top six teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
39.2%— Arizona
40.1%— Cincinnati
40.6%— USC
40.7%— UConn
41.4%— Indiana
42.0%— Gonzaga

Quote of the Day
“It’s great that it’s here (in the Super Bowl). I don’t give a shit where it is. I just wanna play in the dang thing. The fact that it’s under this roof, it’s gonna be awesome. Our fans did an unbelievable job.”
Matthew Stafford

Monday’s quiz
What quarterbacks started for the Bengals in their other two Super Bowls?

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie Trouble with the Curve, Clint Eastwood plays a scout for the Atlanta Braves.

Saturday’s quiz
Tennessee Titans’ QB Ryan Tannehill was a WR his first two years at Texas A&M.

***********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……..

13) Bengals 27, Chiefs 24 OT:
— Kansas City led this game 21-3 late in second quarter.
— Chiefs in first half: 33 plays, 311 yards, 21 points.
— Chiefs in second half: 35 plays, 83 yards, 3 points.
— Cincinnati is in Super Bowl for first time in 33 years.

12) Rams 20, 49ers 17:
— Rams trailed this game 17-7 after three quarters.
— LA’s last three drives: 26 plays, 187 yards, 13 points.
— Kupp caught 11 passes for 142 yards; Beckham 9 for 113 yards.
— 49ers in 4th quarter: 12 plays, 28 yards.

11) Super Bowl tidbits:
— This is only time in last 46 years where #1-2 seeds in both conferences all failed to reach the Super Bowl. This year is #4 vs #4 seed.
— Opening line of Super Bowl, which means little: Rams -3.5, total 49.5
— Both head coaches in the Super Bowl are under 40 years old; will that lead more teams to hire young head coaches?

10) Las Vegas Raiders are hiring Josh McDaniels as their new coach and Patriots director of player personnel Dave Ziegler as their next general manager, so New England has to do some rebuilding in their front office. McDaniels was 11-17 in two years coaching Denver.

9) It was so cold here in upstate New York the last few days; has to be a cruddy time to be a mailman, trudging thru snow, walking on ice to deliver mail. We got lucky and missed on the big snowfall that fell closer to the ocean, but at least February starts this week, always a good thing.

8) Auburn paid basketball Bruce Pearl for his good work; he will make $5.4M a year, he is now the third-highest paid hoop coach in the SEC. There were rumors Louisville might come after him, but now the Cardinals can poach a different coach.

7) West Virginia had big man Oscar Tshiebwe the last two seasons, but Kentucky poached him last spring, because that is how college sports work now.

Last two years, West Virginia was 40-20, 20-15 in Big X games. This year, Mountaineers are 2-5 in the Big X and have lost five games in a row- they’re also the #343 team in country on the defensive boards.

Meanwhile, Tshiebwe has led Kentucky to a 17-4 record; poaching veteran players is, in lot of ways, more important now than recruiting high school kids.

6) Speaking of Huggins, I wonder what he and Jim Boeheim think of their schools throwing their basketball programs under the bus, to try and help their football programs.

West Virginia plays at Baylor Monday night; they were in Arkansas Saturday, and in Lubbock to play Texas Tech January 22.
— Morgantown is 1,497 miles from Lubbock
— Morgantown is 1,308 miles from Waco
— Morgantown is 896 miles from Little Rock

West Virginia’s shortest road trip in the Big X is Iowa State, 870 miles away. Not good.

5) Kansas poached Remy Martin from Arizona State last summer; ASU had gone 74-48 the last four years, but with Martin gone, they’re 6-12, 2-6 in the Pac-12, and Bobby Hurley looks like he is about to have a nervous breakdown.

Kansas is 17-3 this year; it helps to take the best players from other teams.

ASU poached players from Illinois State/Toledo; Marreon Jackson played three years for Toledo, shooting 36% on his 468 3-point shots.

Problem is, he is shooting 22.6% on the arc for the Sun Devils, while Toledo has gone 17-4 without him, but the Rockets will have to win the MAC tournament to get to March Madness, while ASU would’ve made the NCAA’s with 17-18 wins, which they won’t get this year.

4) Texas visits Texas Tech Tuesday, which is coach Chris Beard returning to face the program he led to a 112-55 record the last five years, including a Final Four bid three years ago. Beard went to college at Texas and Texas is a bigger $$$ school than Tech, so as usual, $$$$ talked.

3) Utah Jazz lost G Joe Ingles to a knee injury Sunday; they’re afraid it is a bad injury. Ingles was scoring 7.4 ppg in 25.2 mpg this season.

2) QB Jaxson Dart will transfer from USC to Ole Miss, along with TE Michael Trigg, because every quarterback who doesn’t start has to transfer.

Here’s the thing: Wisconsin is making a big push to poach QB Caleb Williams and if that happens, where does USC turn for a QB next fall?

1) The Caribbean baseball Series is being played this week, but because MLB has no clue how to market its product, the games are being televised on ESPN Desportes, which isn’t widely seen, because they don’t speak English on that channel.

Show the games on MLB Network; Lord knows there is nothing else to show these days on that channel. Market your sport MLB, if you want it to remain popular.
 

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FLORIDA is 18-5 ATS (12 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 12-36 ATS (-27.6 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 28-33 ATS (13 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 4-18 ATS (-14.6 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

NEW JERSEY is 8-21 ATS (-15 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.




NHL

Monday, January 31


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida @ Columbus
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing Florida
Columbus is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Florida

Anaheim @ Detroit
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Vancouver @ Chicago
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Vancouver

Edmonton @ Ottawa
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Edmonton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

New Jersey @ Toronto
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,598
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MONDAY, JANUARY 31
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


FLA at CLB 07:00 PM
FLA -308
U 7.0
+500 +500

ANA at DET 07:30 PM
ANA -111
O 5.5
+500 +500

VAN at CHI 07:30 PM
CHI -119
U 5.5
+500 +500

EDM at OTT 07:30 PM
EDM -203
U 6.5
+500 +500

NJ at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -338
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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JANUARY'S NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

01/31/2022........5-5-0........50.00%...........-7.65
01/30/2022........9-5-0........64.29%........+11.40
01/29/2022........8-4-0........66.67%........+17.25
01/28/2022........6-4-0........60.00%........+15.15
01/27/2022.......10-6-2........61.11%.........+0.80
01/26/2022.........7-2-1........75.00%........+19.25
01/25/2022.......12-3-1........78.13%........+44.50
01/23/2022.........6-4-0........60.00%.........+9.80
01/22/2022.......10-8-0........55.55%..........+2.85
01/21/2022.........9-6-1........59.38%.........+4.30
01/20/2022.......12-6-0........66.67%.........+28.30
01/18/2022.......6-10-0........37.50%..........-43.85
01/17/2022........8-6-0.........57.14%...........+8.70
01/16/2022........1-1-0.........50.00%............-4.60
01/14/2022........4-2-0.........66.67%...........+9.00
01/13/2022......7-10-0.........41.18%...........-48.70
01/12/2022........4-1-1.........80.00%............+4.90
01/10/2022........4-2-0.........66.66%...........+9.00
01/09/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%.............-1.00
01/08/2022........5-9-0.........35.71%............-34.55
01/07/2022........2-2-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
01/06/2022.......9-10-1.........47.36%............-15.60
01/05/2022.........3-1-0.........75.00%...........+10.00
01/04/2022.......11-5-0..........68.75%..........+26.70
01/03/2022.........1-0-0........100.00%...........+ 5.00
01/02/2022.........7-3-0..........70.00%...........+11.75

TOTALS...........168-117-4........58.94%.........+ 74.70

BEST BETS:

01/31/2022........3-2-0..............60.00%.......+4.00
01/30/2022........6-3-0..............66.66%.......+13.50
01/29/2022........4-3-0..............57.14%........+3.50
01/28/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%.........-2.00
01.27.2022........7-2-2...............77.77%......+24.00
01/26/2022........5-1-1..............83.33%......+19.50
01/25/2022........6-3-1..............66.66%......+13.50
01/23/2022........3-2-0...............60.00%.....+4.00
01/22/2022........3-6-0...............33.33%......-18.00
01/212022.........2-5-1...............28.57%.......-17.50
01/20/2022........6-6-0...............50.00%........-3.00
01/18/2022........3-5-0...............37.50%.......-12.50
01/17/2022........5-4-0...............55.55%.......+3.00
01/16/2022........1-0-0.............100.00%.......+5.00
01/14/2022........1-2-0..............33.33%.........-6.00
01/13/2022........2-7-0..............22.22%........-27.40
01/12/2022........1-1-1..............50.00%........-0.50
01/10/2022........3-1-0..............75.00%........+9.50
01/09/2022........0-2-0..............00.00%..........-1.00
01/08/2022........1-7-0..............12.50%.........-33.50
01/07/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%.........- 0.50
01/06/2022........4-7-1..............36.36%.........-18.50
01/05/2022........1-1-0..............50.00%..........- 0.50
01/04/2022........4-4-0..............50.00%..........- 2.00
01/03/2011........1-0-0............100.00%.........+ 5.00
01/02/2022........3-0-0............100.00%.........+15.00

TOTALS...........80-76-6.............51.28%%........-21.40


01/31/2022
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Draft order for April’s draft in Las Vegas:
1) Jacksonville
2) Detroit
3) Houston
4) Jets
5) Giants
6) Carolina

Quote of the Day
“We’re gonna take it day by day. We’re not gonna make any predictions. I wouldn’t do that to Daniel (Jones) or really any other player. I don’t think that’s fair to compare him to another guy that I was working with. He’s himself. We’re gonna find out what he does well. We’re gonna try to implement a system that suits him. And then it’s our job to bring pieces in that help him to be the best version of himself and the best quarterback for us.”
Giants coach Brian Daboll

Tuesday’s quiz
Rams have played in four Super Bowls, with four different head coaches. Who are they?

Monday’s quiz
Ken Anderson, Boomer Esiason started for the Bengals in their other two Super Bowls.

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie Trouble with the Curve, Clint Eastwood plays a scout for the Atlanta Braves.

**********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Green Bay Packers named a new offensive line coach Monday; Luke Butkus, nephew of the Bears’ Hall of Fame linebacker.

Dick Butkus is one of the greatest Bears ever; he tweeted this, about his nephew going to work for one of Chicago’s biggest rivals:

“shout out to my nephew luke the new o line coach for the packers so great to see you moving up with an expansion team”

12) Green Bay lost its offensive coordinator to Denver, its passing game coordinator to Chicago; its one thing to take assistant coaches from successful teams, but you need a good QB to have a really good offense. If Aaron Rodgers stays in Green Bay, that leaves Denver with suspects under center, and the Bears will be using young QB Fields, so no guarantees there.

11) Four short years ago, Philadelphia Eagles won the Super Bowl, with Doug Pederson as coach, Nick Foles at QB, subbing for an injured Carson Wentz.

Today, Pederson is unemployed, Foles was a 3rd-string QB for Chicago this year and Wentz missed the playoffs in Indianapolis. Success can be fleeting in the NFL.

10) Speaking of which, will San Francisco trade Jimmy Garoppolo? Over last five years, 49ers are 35-16 with Garoppolo under center, 8-28 with anyone else, but they drafted Trey Lance and seem committed to him as the QB going forward.

9) If the 49ers do trade Garoppolo, where will he go? At quick glance, here are five teams who need a starting QB the most:

— Denver— Ironic that John Elway can’t find a quarterback.
— New Orleans— Unless you think Jameis Winston is the answer; if Sean Payton thought that, he’d still be coaching the Saints.
— Pittsburgh— Big Ben is a tough act to follow.
— Tampa Bay— Buccaneers could soon be in a total rebuild, if coach Arians leaves.
— Washington— They’ve have three winning seasons since 2008.

8) Saw a mock draft online yesterday; the first QB-RB-WR was the 8th pick. Not a lot of great QB prospects in this draft, so teams will use free agency to improve under center.

Obviously, the Deshaun Watson situation will be the biggest domino to fall; once he finds a new home, then the picture will be more clear.

7) I’m curious; the day after teams win their conference championship and make it into the Super Bowl, how much money do they make selling t-shirts, sweatshirts, etc? Has to be a pretty good windfall, right?

6) Chiefs’ coach Andy Reid has coached in nine conference championship games, has a 3-6 record, despite being favored in eight of the nine games.

5) Bengals’ coach Zac Taylor was an assistant coach for the Rams in 2017-18, Sean McVay’s first two years in Los Angeles.

4) One of the underreported aspects of college football is the nomadic existence of coaches.

Oklahoma State just named Derek Mason as its new defensive coordinator; this past year, Mason had that job at Auburn. Before that, he was the head coach at Vanderbilt.

Nashville, Auburn, Stillwater, all in 26 months or so. There are lot of guys whose career paths are similar. They must be very good at picking (or their wives are)

Arizona State poached OC Glenn Thomas from UNLV, as Herm Edwards rebuilds his coaching staff.

3) There is a NASCAR race in the LA Coliseum this weekend, which will look very strange. Half-mile track built around/over a football field.

2) Purdue C Zach Edey is 7-foot-4, 290 pounds; he has a 7-7’’ wingspan; he’s scored 20+ points in seven games this year, despite never playing more than 27:00. Edey has played more than 21:00 in only two games this season, but he’s productive, and when everyone else is tired, he’s still 7-foot-4.

1) Arizona is 17-2 this season, despite having a new coach and the #355 experience team, out of 358 teams. Wildcats have eight foreign players on their roster; they play pace #3, very fast.

You would think it would be difficult to have great chemistry with players from so many different places, but coach Tommy Lloyd has experience recruiting foreign players and Arizona is fun to watch.

They struggled shooting the last couple games (10-51 on arc) but everyone goes thru stages like that. Will be interesting to follow them the rest of this season.
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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Tokens
NEW JERSEY is 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) after having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 8-9 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

SAN JOSE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

FLORIDA is 0-8 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

BOSTON is 174-145 ATS (-70.4 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 7-24 ATS (-16.6 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 15-20 ATS (-7.5 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

VANCOUVER is 0-9 ATS (-9 Units) in road games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

CALGARY is 3-16 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home losses in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 35-9 ATS (20.5 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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