Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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NBA

Wednesday, March 23


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Trend Report
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New York @ Charlotte
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

Atlanta @ Detroit
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Detroit is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games

Sacramento @ Indiana
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 12 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Utah @ Boston
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Brooklyn @ Memphis
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

Golden State @ Miami
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Golden State

Phoenix @ Minnesota
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Orlando @ Oklahoma City
Orlando
Orlando is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games at home
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando

Houston @ Dallas
Houston
Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 21 games at home

Philadelphia @ LA Lakers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games

San Antonio @ Portland
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio


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The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five matchups againt Brooklyn.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of the last 20 Nets' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Grizzlies' games.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 12 matchups between Brooklyn and Memphis.


The Warriors are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games.
The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven Warriors' games.
The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven matchups between Golden State and Miami.


The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last seven matchups against Phoenix.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Suns' games.
The Wolves are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games.


The Sixers are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
The Lakers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.
The Sixers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against the Lakers.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Lakers' games.
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, March 23


dGnJw0A.png
 

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SAC at IND 07:00 PM
IND -6.0
U 235.0
+500 +500

ATL at DET 07:00 PM
DET +5.0
U 227.5
+500 +500

NY at CHA 07:00 PM
NY +8.0
O 225.0
+500 +500

BK at MEM 07:30 PM
MEM +1.0
U 238.0

+500 +500

GS at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA -7.0
U 211.0
+500 +500

UTA at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -5.0
O 216.5
+500 +500

ORL at OKC 08:00 PM
ORL -2.0
U 220.0
+500 +500

PHO at MIN 08:00 PM
PHO -1.5
U 237.0
+500 +500

HOU at DAL 08:30 PM
HOU +10.0
O 221.0
+500 +500

SA at POR 10:00 PM
SA -9.5
U 231.5
+500 +500

PHI at LAL 10:00 PM
PHI -7.0
U 230.5
+500 +500
 

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MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/23/2022......11-10--1...........52.38%...............+00.00
03/22/2022...........5-3-0..........62.50%..................+8.50
03/20/2022.........3-15-0..........16.67%..................-67.50
03/19/2022..........5-3-0...........62.50%..................+8.50
03/18/2022.......12-12-0...........50.00%..................- 6.00
03/17/2022...........2-0-0.........100.00%.................+10.00
03/16/2022........12-12-0..........50.00%...................-6.00
03/15/2022...........2-6-0...........25.00%..................-23.00
03/14/2022.........12-5-1............69.44%................+32.50
03/13/2022.........11-3-0...........78.57%.................+38.50
03/12/2022...........7-7-0...........50.00%...................-3.50
03/11/2022.........9-11-0............45.00%.................-15.50
03/10/2022...........3-1-0............75.00%..................+9.50
03/09/2022.......11-12-1.............47.82%.................-11.00
03/08/2022...........3-8-1.............29.17%.................-29.00
03/07/2022.........10-6-0.............62.50%................+17.00
03/06/2022...........6-9-0.............40.00%.................-19.50
03/05/2022...........6-6-0.............50.00%...................-3.00
03/04/2022.........6-10-0.............37.50%..................-25.00
03/03/2022...........7-7-0.............50.00%....................-3.50
03/02/2022.........10-5-1..............65.63%................+22.50
03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00

TOTALS..........158-157-4.............50.15%...................-73.50
.


BEST BETS:

03/23/2022............7-5-0..............58.33%............+ 7.50
03/22/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%............+ 3.50
03/20/2022..........3-19-0..............23.07%.............- 40.00
03/19/2022............4-2-0..............66.66%.............+ 9.00
03/18/2022............9-7-0..............56.25%.............+ 6.50
03/17/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.............+10.00
03/16/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%...............- 4.00
03/15/2022............2-6-0..............25.00%...............-23.00
03/14/2022............8-4-1..............66.66%..............+18.00
03/13/2022............9-2-0..............81.81%..............+34.00
03/12/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%%..............-2.00
03/11/2022............6-8-0..............42.85%...............- 14.00
03/10/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%.................+9.50
03/09/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%.................- 4.00
03/08/2022............3-4-0..............42.85%.................- 7.00
03/07/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%................+ 2.50
03/06/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................-24.00
03/05/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%.................- 3.00
03/04/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................- 24.00
03/03/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%................+ 8.50
03/02/2022............7-3-0..............70.00%................+18.50
03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00

TOTALS...........113-114-0..............49.77%.................- 13.50



UPDATED ON 03/23/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Conference records (SU/ATS) in this year’s NCAA Tournament:
ACC— 8-2/8-2
Big East— 4-4/5-3
Big 14— 9-7/6-9-1
Big X— 9-3/8-4
Pac-12— 4-1/1-4
SEC— 4-5/2-7

Quote of the Day
“You can use moments during the season to catapult you. You can galvanize together over frustration and disappointment. Teams can also go the other way. I don’t see that with our group. I don’t see that with our locker room. But we have needed a kick in the butt.”
Miami Heat coach Erik Spoelstra

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, which Las Vegas hotel do the four friends stay in?

Wednesday’s quiz
Trae Young played his college basketball at Oklahoma.

Tuesday’s quiz
Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

*****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Next time you’re in Las Vegas, I’m suggesting you have dinner at Maggiano’s, which is in the Fashion Show Mall across the Strip from Wynn and Encore. Excellent Italian place; if you get a seat by the window, you can watch people walk up/down the Strip, which is also fun.

12) Since 2015, #1-seeds in NCAA Tournament are 14-4-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

11) Since 2012, double digit favorites are 2-5 ATS in Sweet 16 games

10) Last four years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS when a #2-seed plays a #3-seed in Sweet 16.

9) Since 2000, Duke is 7-8 SU in Sweet 16 games.

8) Teams that win the NCAA Tournament tend to be teams that covered early round games; last time a team won the tournament after going 0-2 ATS in rounds 1-2 was 1997, when Arizona won it all. That is also the last season a Pac-12 team won the championship.

7) Mississippi State hired New Mexico State coach Chris Jans as its new coach; Jans was raking in $640,000 in Las Cruces, now he’ll be making $2.2M, where is he a small fish in a very deep SEC pond, as opposed to being one of the big fish in the shallow WAC pond.

6) Listening to the Braves-Rays game yesterday, Atlanta play-by-play guy Chip Caray has gotten so much better as an announcer; his grandfather Harry Caray was a legend, a total character. Skip Caray had a quirky sense of humor that he used often, but Chip Caray is more basic, and he has become very good behind the mike. Lot of pressure with some famous relatives preceding him.

5) Padres pitching prospect MacKenzie Gore wears number 1; weird seeing a pitcher wearing number one.

4) Kansas City Chiefs traded WR Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins for five draft picks; a first, a second, two fourths and a sixth round pick. Miami then gave Hill $30M a year for four years, as they commit to offense under new coach Mike McDaniel.

Over last three years, WR’s with most TD catches:
69— Davante Adams
60— Mike Evans
56— Tyreek Hill

Hill used to catch passes from Patrick Mahomes; now he’ll catch passes from Tua Tagovailoa, which is a huge downgrade. Miami will be an interesting team next fall.

3) NFL backup QB news:
— Dolphins brought in Teddy Bridgewater to back up Tagovailoa.
— Buffalo brought in Case Keenum to back up Josh Allen,
— Cleveland replaced Keenum with Jacoby Brissett, who figures to get 6+ starts once the NFL gives Watson his inevitable suspension, assuming that they’re going to deal Baker Mayfield..

Saints, Seahawks, Panthers still need a starting QB.

2) I’ve talked before how Major League Baseball has a marketing issue, as in, they suck at marketing their own product, which is a very good one.

I’m on my way out the door of my hotel Wednesday, and while there is a live spring training game on TV, the hotel bar, with three TV’s, has ESPN talk shows on, when you can’t even hear what they’re saying.

Baseball needs to promote itself to restaurant/hotel chains, to show their product to the public.

1) Two weeks to go until baseball season starts; Cubs had 55 players on their roster as of yesterday, which means they need to cut 27 guys pretty soon. Rosters will be 28 until May 1st, then drop to 26 the rest of the way.
 

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WASHINGTON is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

INDIANA is 25-13 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season.

DENVER is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 24


x0VRUve.png





NBA

Thursday, March 24


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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ Toronto
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Memphis
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Washington @ Milwaukee
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington

Chicago @ New Orleans
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

Phoenix @ Denver
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home


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The total has gone OVER in five straight Cavs' games.
The Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
The Cavs' are 5-2 ATS in their last seven matchups against Toronto.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Raptors' games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of the last 20 matchups between Cleveland and Toronto.


The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups against Denver.
The Nuggets are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last eight matchups between Phoenix and Denver.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Nuggets' games.
 

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THURSDAY, MARCH 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CLE at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -5.0
U 215.0

+500 +500

WAS at MIL 08:00 PM
MIL -9.5
+500

IND at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM -12.5
O 238.5

+500 +500

CHI at NO 08:00 PM
CHI +2.0
O 225.5

+500 +500

PHO at DEN 09:00 PM
PHO +4.0
O 232.0
+500 +500
 

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MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/24/2022...........6-3-0..........66.67%................+13.50
03/23/2022......11-10--1...........52.38%...............+00.00
03/22/2022...........5-3-0..........62.50%..................+8.50
03/20/2022.........3-15-0..........16.67%..................-67.50
03/19/2022..........5-3-0...........62.50%..................+8.50
03/18/2022.......12-12-0...........50.00%..................- 6.00
03/17/2022...........2-0-0.........100.00%.................+10.00
03/16/2022........12-12-0..........50.00%...................-6.00
03/15/2022...........2-6-0...........25.00%..................-23.00
03/14/2022.........12-5-1............69.44%................+32.50
03/13/2022.........11-3-0...........78.57%.................+38.50
03/12/2022...........7-7-0...........50.00%...................-3.50
03/11/2022.........9-11-0............45.00%.................-15.50
03/10/2022...........3-1-0............75.00%..................+9.50
03/09/2022.......11-12-1.............47.82%.................-11.00
03/08/2022...........3-8-1.............29.17%.................-29.00
03/07/2022.........10-6-0.............62.50%................+17.00
03/06/2022...........6-9-0.............40.00%.................-19.50
03/05/2022...........6-6-0.............50.00%...................-3.00
03/04/2022.........6-10-0.............37.50%..................-25.00
03/03/2022...........7-7-0.............50.00%....................-3.50
03/02/2022.........10-5-1..............65.63%................+22.50
03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00

TOTALS..........164-160-4.............50.61%...................-60.00
.


BEST BETS:

03/24/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+ 8.50
03/23/2022............7-5-0..............58.33%.............+ 7.50
03/22/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%.............+ 3.50
03/20/2022..........3-19-0..............23.07%.............- 40.00
03/19/2022............4-2-0..............66.66%.............+ 9.00
03/18/2022............9-7-0..............56.25%.............+ 6.50
03/17/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.............+10.00
03/16/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%...............- 4.00
03/15/2022............2-6-0..............25.00%...............-23.00
03/14/2022............8-4-1..............66.66%..............+18.00
03/13/2022............9-2-0..............81.81%..............+34.00
03/12/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%%..............-2.00
03/11/2022............6-8-0..............42.85%...............- 14.00
03/10/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%.................+9.50
03/09/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%.................- 4.00
03/08/2022............3-4-0..............42.85%.................- 7.00
03/07/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%................+ 2.50
03/06/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................-24.00
03/05/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%.................- 3.00
03/04/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................- 24.00
03/03/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%................+ 8.50
03/02/2022............7-3-0..............70.00%................+18.50
03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00

TOTALS...........118-117-0..............50.21%.................- 5.00



UPDATED ON 03/24/2022
 

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Friday’s 6-pack

Conference records (SU/ATS) in this year’s NCAA Tournament:
ACC— 9-2/9-2
Big East— 5-4/6-3
Big 14— 9-8/6-10-1
Big X— 9-4/8-5
Pac-12— 4-2/1-5
SEC— 5-5/3-7

Quote of the Day
“We are winning the World Series in 2022…..We will win the World Series this year, put it on record.”
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts

Friday’s quiz
When Ben Simmons played his one season at LSU, one of his teammates is the son of a 3-time Grammy award-winning musician. Who is this musician?

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, the four friends stay in Caeser’s Palace.

Wednesday’s quiz
Trae Young played his college basketball at Oklahoma.

*********************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a terrific Thursday

13) Kansas is favored by 7.5 points over Providence Friday night; if the Jayhawks lose, it’ll be the first time EVER (in the 64+-team era) that no #-1 seeds made it to the Elite 8.

Thursday was a rough night for number one seeds.

12) Arkansas 74, Gonzaga 68:
— Razorbacks ended first half on 15-4 run, led 32-29 at halftime.
— Arkansas is 14-2 outside the SEC.
— Gonzaga was 28-4 this season, but 0-2 vs SEC teams (Alabama/Arkansas)

11) Houston 72, Arizona 60:
— Cougars never trailed, were by far the more physical team.
— Arizona shot 33.3% from floor, gave up 1.16 points/possession.
— Houston gave up 68-53-60 points in three NCAA tourney wins.

10) Villanova 63, Michigan 55:
— Villanova has won eight in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Michigan shot 34.4% from floor, 34.9% inside arc.
— Villanova is in Elite 8 for third time in last six years.

9) Duke 78, Texas Tech 73:
— Free throws: Duke 15-17, Texas Tech 5-9
— Red Raiders led 68-66 with 3:00 left in game.
— Duke is shooting 37% on arc (#29), 56.2% inside arc (#8)

8) NC-Wilmington 96, Middle Tennessee 90, 2OT:
— Seahawks won CBI championship Wednesday afternoon.
— UNCW won four games in four days; title game was day game after a nite game.
— MTSU led by 11 with 12:33 left to play.
— UNCW was 36-43 on foul line, Blue Raiders 34-46.

7) New York City lifted its vaccine mandate this week, meaning Kyrie Irving and any unvaccinated players on the two NYC baseball teams can play in home games.

6) Strange stat of the day: Memphis Grizzlies are 15-2 when star G Ja Morant doesn’t play; that stat will get tested some more, as Morant will miss the next two weeks with a knee problem.

5) Brian Schottenheimer will serve as a consultant to the Dallas Cowboys in 2022, working on both sides of the ball. Dallas coach Mike McCarthy broke into the NFL working for Brian’s dad Marty Schottenheimer with Kansas City back in 1993.

This will be Schottenheimer’s 8th NFL team; he was with Jacksonville LY, was OC in Seattle the three years before that.

4) Los Angeles Angels signed C Max Stassi to a 3-year, $17.5M deal

3) Colorado Rockies traded OF Raimel Tapia and a minor league to Toronto, for OF Randal Grichuk.

2) Was reading about a 12-team fantasy draft, where all the owners were fantasy baseball experts; none of the first 44 guys drafted are on my fantasy team. Cedric Mullins was 45th pick, Kris Bryant 48th. Now, either my team isn’t very good, or those guys aren’t so expert.

1) I’d like to thank the good people at MGM Grand Sportsbook for letting me hang out Thursday night. Was fun watching the ballgames there. This is a really good sportsbook that is well-run, comfortable and around the corner from an excellent pizza place.
 

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UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

DALLAS are 66-43 ATS (18.7 Units) in road games in road games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in March games in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 79-56 ATS (17.4 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Friday, March 25


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Utah @ Charlotte
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

Washington @ Detroit
Washington
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

Golden State @ Atlanta
Golden State
Golden State is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 9 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

New York @ Miami
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New York is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York

Dallas @ Minnesota
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Houston @ Portland
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Portland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston

Philadelphia @ LA Clippers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Warriors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last eight Warriors' games.
The Warriors are 15-4 SU in their last 19 matchups against Atlanta.
The Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Hawks' games.


The Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.
The Wolves are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last nine Mavericks' games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last nine Wolves' games.
The Mavericks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 matchups against Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six matchups between Minnesota and Dallas.


The Sixers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 matchups against the Clippers.
The Clippers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The Sixers are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of the last 13 Clippers' games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last ten matchups between the Sixers and Clippers.
 

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Messages
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FRIDAY, MARCH 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

WAS at DET 07:00 PM
DET -4.0
O 223.0
+500 +500

UTA at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA +4.0
O 227.5
+500 +500

GS at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL -2.5
U 222.0

+500 +500

NY at MIA 08:00 PM
NY +8.0
O 215.5

+500 +500

DAL at MIN 08:00 PM
DAL +3.5
O 227.5

+500 +500

HOU at POR 10:00 PM
HOU -3.5
U 234.0
+500 +500

PHI at LAC 10:30 PM
PHI -5.0
U 218.0

+500 +500
 

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Messages
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MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/25/2022...........6-8-0..........42.86%.................-14.00
03/24/2022...........6-3-0..........66.67%................+13.50
03/23/2022......11-10--1...........52.38%...............+00.00
03/22/2022...........5-3-0..........62.50%..................+8.50
03/20/2022.........3-15-0..........16.67%..................-67.50
03/19/2022..........5-3-0...........62.50%..................+8.50
03/18/2022.......12-12-0...........50.00%..................- 6.00
03/17/2022...........2-0-0.........100.00%.................+10.00
03/16/2022........12-12-0..........50.00%...................-6.00
03/15/2022...........2-6-0...........25.00%..................-23.00
03/14/2022.........12-5-1............69.44%................+32.50
03/13/2022.........11-3-0...........78.57%.................+38.50
03/12/2022...........7-7-0...........50.00%...................-3.50
03/11/2022.........9-11-0............45.00%.................-15.50
03/10/2022...........3-1-0............75.00%..................+9.50
03/09/2022.......11-12-1.............47.82%.................-11.00
03/08/2022...........3-8-1.............29.17%.................-29.00
03/07/2022.........10-6-0.............62.50%................+17.00
03/06/2022...........6-9-0.............40.00%.................-19.50
03/05/2022...........6-6-0.............50.00%...................-3.00
03/04/2022.........6-10-0.............37.50%..................-25.00
03/03/2022...........7-7-0.............50.00%....................-3.50
03/02/2022.........10-5-1..............65.63%................+22.50
03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00

TOTALS..........170-168-4.............50.29%...................-74.00
.


BEST BETS:

03/25/2022............4-7-0..............36.36%.............-18.50
03/24/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+ 8.50
03/23/2022............7-5-0..............58.33%.............+ 7.50
03/22/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%.............+ 3.50
03/20/2022..........3-19-0..............23.07%.............- 40.00
03/19/2022............4-2-0..............66.66%.............+ 9.00
03/18/2022............9-7-0..............56.25%.............+ 6.50
03/17/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.............+10.00
03/16/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%...............- 4.00
03/15/2022............2-6-0..............25.00%...............-23.00
03/14/2022............8-4-1..............66.66%..............+18.00
03/13/2022............9-2-0..............81.81%..............+34.00
03/12/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%%..............-2.00
03/11/2022............6-8-0..............42.85%...............- 14.00
03/10/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%.................+9.50
03/09/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%.................- 4.00
03/08/2022............3-4-0..............42.85%.................- 7.00
03/07/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%................+ 2.50
03/06/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................-24.00
03/05/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%.................- 3.00
03/04/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................- 24.00
03/03/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%................+ 8.50
03/02/2022............7-3-0..............70.00%................+18.50
03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00

TOTALS...........122-124-0..............49.59%.................- 23.00



UPDATED ON 03/25/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

13) Saint Peter’s 67, Purdue 64:

— February 20: Saint Peter’s lost 84-70 at Siena; they were 12-11 overall, 10-6 in MAAC. Since then, they’re 10-0, the first 15-seed EVER to make the Elite 8.
— Peacocks held Purdue star Jaden Ivey to nine points.
— March 25 is National Peacock Day (seriously).

12) Kansas 66, Providence 61:
— Kansas was 20-26 on foul line, Friars 11-16.
— Teams combined to go 6-37 on the arc.
— Kansas is only #1-seed left in the tournament.

11) If you’re in New Jersey and you wagered on North Carolina to win the East Region, you’ve already won; New Jersey sports books can’t take bets on Saint Peter’s.

10) North Carolina 71, UCLA 66:
— Caleb Love scored 30 points, was 6-13 on arc.
— Tar Heels played four starters 37:00+.
— UCLA stars Juzang/Jaquez shot combined 10-31 from floor.

9) Miami 70, Iowa State 56:
— Hurricanes shot 56.7% inside arc; they’re in Elite 8 for first time.
— Cyclones were 4-22 on arc, 2-4 on foul line.
— Miami played all five starters 34:00+.

8) Elite 8 by conference:
1 each— AAC, Big East, Big X, MAAC, SEC.

7) Coaching carousel:
— Steve Prohm returns to Murray State (he was 104-29 there from 2012-15)
— Ball State hired UCLA assistant Michael Lewis
— UMass hired former K-State/South Carolina coach Frank Martin.

6) They’re not calling as many fouls in the tournament as they do during the season; the phrase “play thru contact” is very important.

In practices, teams do drills where coaches disrupt players with foam pads while they shoot close to the basket, just for this reason. This is partly why teams with older players are doing better; they’re more physically mature, play thru contact better.

5) Tampa Bay Rays acquired OF Harold Ramirez from the Cubs, in exchange for a minor league infielder. Ramirez is a .271 hitter over parts of three seasons with Miami and Cleveland.

4) Dodgers gave manager Dave Roberts a 3-year contract extension; he has a 542-329 over the last six years, best in majors during that time.

3) If you have HBO Max, I recommend watching the old TV series Without a Trace; great show about the FBI division assigned to find people who go missing, for various reasons. Anthony LaPaglia was terrific as Jack Malone, head of the unit.

2) The Price Is Right has been on TV for 50 years? Damn, I’m old; remember watching that as a kid; Price is Right at 3:00, Match Game at 3:30, every weekday.

1) Cleveland Browns ran a classic news dump Friday, doing the Deshaun Watson introductory press conference on Friday of the Sweet 16’s, when most sports fans are distracted by other stuff. When you introduce your new star player and his most consequential sentence is “I am innocent” that’s probably not a good thing.
 

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NEW ORLEANS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more in the current season.

ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 60-42 ATS (13.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the current season.

PORTLAND is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, March 26


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Antonio @ New Orleans
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Sacramento @ Orlando
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Sacramento is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games

Indiana @ Toronto
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

Chicago @ Cleveland
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Milwaukee @ Memphis
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Brooklyn @ Miami
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

Oklahoma City @ Denver
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Houston @ Portland
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games when playing Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Portland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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The Nets are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Brooklyn and Miami.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Nets' games.
The Heat are 4-6 ATS in their last ten matchups against Miami.
 

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