Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/29/2022...........7-3-0..........70.00%...............+18.50
03/28/2022...........9-9-0..........50.00%..................-4.50
03/27/2022...........7-6-1..........53.57%.................+2.00
03/26/2022.........12-2-0..........85.71%................+49.00
03/25/2022...........6-8-0..........42.86%.................-14.00
03/24/2022...........6-3-0..........66.67%................+13.50
03/23/2022......11-10--1...........52.38%...............+00.00
03/22/2022...........5-3-0..........62.50%..................+8.50
03/20/2022.........3-15-0..........16.67%..................-67.50
03/19/2022..........5-3-0...........62.50%..................+8.50
03/18/2022.......12-12-0...........50.00%..................- 6.00
03/17/2022...........2-0-0.........100.00%.................+10.00
03/16/2022........12-12-0..........50.00%...................-6.00
03/15/2022...........2-6-0...........25.00%..................-23.00
03/14/2022.........12-5-1............69.44%................+32.50
03/13/2022.........11-3-0...........78.57%.................+38.50
03/12/2022...........7-7-0...........50.00%...................-3.50
03/11/2022.........9-11-0............45.00%.................-15.50
03/10/2022...........3-1-0............75.00%..................+9.50
03/09/2022.......11-12-1.............47.82%.................-11.00
03/08/2022...........3-8-1.............29.17%.................-29.00
03/07/2022.........10-6-0.............62.50%................+17.00
03/06/2022...........6-9-0.............40.00%.................-19.50
03/05/2022...........6-6-0.............50.00%...................-3.00
03/04/2022.........6-10-0.............37.50%..................-25.00
03/03/2022...........7-7-0.............50.00%....................-3.50
03/02/2022.........10-5-1..............65.63%................+22.50
03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00

TOTALS..........205-188-5.............52.16%....................-9.00
.


BEST BETS:

03/29/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+8.50
03/28/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%.............+2.50
03/27/2022............4-3-1..............57.14%............+3.50
03/26/2022............8-2-0..............80.00%............+29.00
03/25/2022............4-7-0..............36.36%.............-18.50
03/24/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+ 8.50
03/23/2022............7-5-0..............58.33%.............+ 7.50
03/22/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%.............+ 3.50
03/20/2022..........3-19-0..............23.07%.............- 40.00
03/19/2022............4-2-0..............66.66%.............+ 9.00
03/18/2022............9-7-0..............56.25%.............+ 6.50
03/17/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.............+10.00
03/16/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%...............- 4.00
03/15/2022............2-6-0..............25.00%...............-23.00
03/14/2022............8-4-1..............66.66%..............+18.00
03/13/2022............9-2-0..............81.81%..............+34.00
03/12/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%%..............-2.00
03/11/2022............6-8-0..............42.85%...............- 14.00
03/10/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%.................+9.50
03/09/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%.................- 4.00
03/08/2022............3-4-0..............42.85%.................- 7.00
03/07/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%................+ 2.50
03/06/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................-24.00
03/05/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%.................- 3.00
03/04/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................- 24.00
03/03/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%................+ 8.50
03/02/2022............7-3-0..............70.00%................+18.50
03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00

TOTALS...........165-137-2..............54.63%.................+20.50


UPDATED ON 03/29/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack

NFL teams with easiest 2022 schedules, based on 2021 records:
.462— Dallas, Washington
.464— Philadelphia
.465— Giants
.467— Detroit
.469— Jacksonville, Indianapolis
.471— Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“You can never have enough offensive linemen.”
Jacksonville Jaguars coach Doug Pederson

Wednesday’s quiz
Which major league team has gone the longest without making the playoffs?

Tuesday’s quiz
Actor/pro wrestler Dwayne Johnson also played college football; he played at Miami, where he backed up Warren Sapp.

Monday’s quiz
When the Houston Astros were an expansion team back in the early 60’s, they weren’t called the Astros; they were the Houston Colt 45’s.

**********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Went to the Arizona State-UNLV baseball game Tuesday night; game was at the new ballpark in Summerlin, where the AAA Las Vegas Aviators play ball. Beautiful facility, was a weird game. UNLV won 11-10, scoring the winning run on a 9th inning wild pitch.

12) The place is too nice for a minor league ballpark; we sat on the club level, had a great view of the game. Former big leaguer Willie Bloomquist is the new coach at Arizona State; this is his first year in Tempe. ASU is 11-15 and struggling a little; pitching is a problem.

Was a fun night with friends; I’ll have to see an Aviators’ game out here sometime, seeing how they’re the A’s AAA team.

11) Saint Peter’s Cinderella run to the Elite 8 made the MAAC an extra $6.1M this spring, to be divided evenly among the 11 league schools- that translates to $554,455 per school, which is a bonanza for teams at that level.

10) Villanova is #323 in country in bench minutes; figures that the Achilles injury to Justin Moore is really damaging to their chances of winning this weekend. Moore is Villanova’s #2 scorer; tough to replace his production.

9) Saw an NFL mock draft that had no quarterbacks taken in first ten picks; last time that happened was 2013, when EJ Manuel was the first QB taken (16th pick). Before that was 2000, when Chad Pennington was the first QB taken (18th pick)

8) One of the great reality shows would be if NFL Films brought us behind the curtain on how the league’s schedule is made every year.

This season, NFC teams play nine home games each, AFC teams eight; Tampa Bay is playing a “home” game in Germany, but they can pick one opponent that cannot be the team they play in Germany. Apparently, they chose Green Bay, so that’ll likely be a primetime game.

7) Golf betting nugget: This weekend is the Valero Texas Open on the PGA Tour; seven of the last nine years, the golfer who won the week before The Masters wasn’t in the Masters field.

6) Buffalo Bills are getting a new stadium, which is supposed to be ready by 2026.

5) NFL changed its overtime rules Tuesday; each team has to get the ball once now. In 7 or last 12 playoff OT games, the team that won the coin toss scored a walk-off TD on their first drive.

4) I’m sitting in Bellagio’s sportsbook Sunday, watching the Kansas-Miami game; they have really nice chairs in that room, but the guy in front of me fell asleep, so much so that his head was resting on the shoulder of the guy to his right. I mean, he was out of it, and no one said anything. Usually a casino worker will wake up a guy sleeping like that, but not this guy.

3) Was very windy on the Strip Monday; took a walk to the Cosmopolitan, and my damn hat flew off. Sportsbook in the Cosmopolitan is pretty nice; a big bar in between the horse racing book and sports betting area, with a pool table on the side and a Starbucks at one end.

2) Detroit Lions are the featured team on HBO’s Hard Knocks this summer, so we’ll get to see if coach Dan Campbell is as offbeat as he seems on game days. When Detroit lost to the Rams last year, they succeeded on two fake punts and an onside kick, two of which happened in the first 5:00 of the game. I’m guessing that had never happened before.

Jared Goff was in Hard Knocks when he was a rookie with the Rams, and again couple years ago, when we saw he had a putting green in his backyard. Doubtful he has one of those in Detroit.

1) This is the 7th time in last 12 years only one #1-seed made the Final Four; of those seven years, the #1-seed went 5-2 in national semi-final, won four national titles.
 

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DENVER is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games when the total >=220 in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.

TORONTO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

MIAMI is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

PHOENIX is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite in the current season.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, March 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Cleveland
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Cleveland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

Orlando @ Washington
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home

Denver @ Indiana
Denver
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 14 games at home

Miami @ Boston
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Miami is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Charlotte @ New York
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 16 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Minnesota @ Toronto
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota

Sacramento @ Houston
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games

Atlanta @ Oklahoma City
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Memphis @ San Antonio
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games

Phoenix @ Golden State
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

New Orleans @ Portland
New Orleans
New Orleans is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland
Portland is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Portland's last 17 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Cleveland.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Cavs' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups between Dallas and Cleveland.


The Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Heat' games.
The total has gone OVER in six straight Celtics' games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine matchups between Boston and Miami.


The Wolves are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.
The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups against Minnesota.
The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in ten of the last 15 Raptors' games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last eight matchups between Minnesota and Toronto.


The Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
The Warriors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine matchups against Phoenix.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine Suns' games.
The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in ten of the last 12 matchups between the Suns and Warriors.
 

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Dunkel

Wednesday, March 30


ZN0x1BH.png
 

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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 30
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

ORL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -3.0
U 218.5
+500 +500

DEN at IND 07:00 PM
DEN -9.5
U 236.0

+500 +500

DAL at CLE 07:00 PM
DAL -2.0
U 215.0
+500 +500

MIA at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -5.5
O 213.5

+500 +500

MIN at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -2.5
O 229.0
+500 +500

CHA at NY 07:30 PM
CHA -3.0
O 222.5

+500 +500

ATL at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC +12.0
O 230.0
+500 +500

SAC at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +3.0
O 229.5

+500 +500

MEM at SA 08:30 PM
MEM -5.0
U 234.5
+500 +500

NO at POR 10:00 PM
POR +14.5
O 225.5
+500 +500

PHO at GS 10:00 PM
PHO -4.5
U 221.0

+500 +500
 

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MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/30/2022.......10-11-1..........47.73%................-10.50
03/29/2022...........7-3-0..........70.00%...............+18.50
03/28/2022...........9-9-0..........50.00%..................-4.50
03/27/2022...........7-6-1..........53.57%.................+2.00
03/26/2022.........12-2-0..........85.71%................+49.00
03/25/2022...........6-8-0..........42.86%.................-14.00
03/24/2022...........6-3-0..........66.67%................+13.50
03/23/2022......11-10--1...........52.38%...............+00.00
03/22/2022...........5-3-0..........62.50%..................+8.50
03/20/2022.........3-15-0..........16.67%..................-67.50
03/19/2022..........5-3-0...........62.50%..................+8.50
03/18/2022.......12-12-0...........50.00%..................- 6.00
03/17/2022...........2-0-0.........100.00%.................+10.00
03/16/2022........12-12-0..........50.00%...................-6.00
03/15/2022...........2-6-0...........25.00%..................-23.00
03/14/2022.........12-5-1............69.44%................+32.50
03/13/2022.........11-3-0...........78.57%.................+38.50
03/12/2022...........7-7-0...........50.00%...................-3.50
03/11/2022.........9-11-0............45.00%.................-15.50
03/10/2022...........3-1-0............75.00%..................+9.50
03/09/2022.......11-12-1.............47.82%.................-11.00
03/08/2022...........3-8-1.............29.17%.................-29.00
03/07/2022.........10-6-0.............62.50%................+17.00
03/06/2022...........6-9-0.............40.00%.................-19.50
03/05/2022...........6-6-0.............50.00%...................-3.00
03/04/2022.........6-10-0.............37.50%..................-25.00
03/03/2022...........7-7-0.............50.00%....................-3.50
03/02/2022.........10-5-1..............65.63%................+22.50
03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00

TOTALS..........215-199-6.............51.93%....................-19.50
.


BEST BETS:

03/30/2022............6-9-1..............40.00%............-19.50
03/29/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+8.50
03/28/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%.............+2.50
03/27/2022............4-3-1..............57.14%............+3.50
03/26/2022............8-2-0..............80.00%............+29.00
03/25/2022............4-7-0..............36.36%.............-18.50
03/24/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+ 8.50
03/23/2022............7-5-0..............58.33%.............+ 7.50
03/22/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%.............+ 3.50
03/20/2022..........3-19-0..............23.07%.............- 40.00
03/19/2022............4-2-0..............66.66%.............+ 9.00
03/18/2022............9-7-0..............56.25%.............+ 6.50
03/17/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.............+10.00
03/16/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%...............- 4.00
03/15/2022............2-6-0..............25.00%...............-23.00
03/14/2022............8-4-1..............66.66%..............+18.00
03/13/2022............9-2-0..............81.81%..............+34.00
03/12/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%%..............-2.00
03/11/2022............6-8-0..............42.85%...............- 14.00
03/10/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%.................+9.50
03/09/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%.................- 4.00
03/08/2022............3-4-0..............42.85%.................- 7.00
03/07/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%................+ 2.50
03/06/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................-24.00
03/05/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%.................- 3.00
03/04/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................- 24.00
03/03/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%................+ 8.50
03/02/2022............7-3-0..............70.00%................+18.50
03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00

TOTALS...........171-146-3..............53.94%.................+1.00


UPDATED ON 03/30/2022
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack

NFL teams with hardest 2022 schedules, based on 2021 records:
.567— Rams
.543— Arizona
.536— Cincinnati
.535— Tampa Bay
.533— Chiefs, 49ers
.528— Raiders, Saints

Quote of the Day
“I’m trying to answer that when I had a reaction to it. And it’s like, ‘Damn, I wish they hadn’t guaranteed the whole contract. I don’t know that he should’ve been the first guy to get a fully guaranteed contract. To me, that’s something that is groundbreaking, and it’ll make negotiations harder with others.”
Ravens’ owner Steve Bisciotti

Thursday’s quiz
Who was manager of the New York Mets the last time they made the playoffs?

Wednesday’s quiz
Seattle Mariners have gone the longest without making the playoffs- they last made it in 2001.

Tuesday’s quiz
Actor/pro wrestler Dwayne Johnson also played college football; he played at Miami, where he backed up Warren Sapp.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Had an interesting experience Wednesday night, while watching the Golden State-Phoenix game in the Aria sportsbook. Sat next to two Asian guys and for two hours, I listened to them have a conversation in a foreign language, no idea which one.

I could tell they were rooting for the Suns, but they were mostly quiet, which is more than could be said for couple of other guys who appeared during the second half— they were right out of a Dumb and Dumber movie, screaming on every possession as if their life depended on it.

This was the first time in all my visits here that I saw guys acting like morons while sweating out a bet (maybe they weren’t acting). End of the game, the loud guys won, I think the quiet guys lost by a half-point.

12) Bruce Arians stepped down as coach of Tampa Bay Buccaneers, was replaced immediately by Todd Bowles, who used to coach the Jets. Arians will move on to the Tampa Bay front office.

It is unclear if Tom Brady’s un-retirement had a hand in all this; there had been rumors that Arians and Brady didn’t always get along so well.

11) The inevitable happened in New Jersey; Shaheen Holloway leaves Saint Peter’s to become the new coach at Seton Hall, his alma mater.

10) Fresno State-Coastal Carolina game, championship tilt of the Basketball Classic, was postponed until Friday afternoon; Fresno’s team had travel problems getting to the east coast Wednesday.

9) USFL kicks off in a couple weeks; they’re going to experiment with some rule changes:

— Three options for PAT’s:
a) traditional kick for one point
b) 2-point play from 2-yard line
c) 3-point play from 10-yard line
— Kickoffs will be from 25-yard line, not 35.
— Onside kicks:
a) traditional onside kick
b) run 4th-and-12 play from your 33-yard line
— In last 2:00 of half, clock stops after a first down.

The whole league is taking place in Birmingham; we’ll see how it goes.

8) New Jersey Generals’ coach is Mike Riley, who will be coaching in his fifth pro league; he also coached Oregon State in college. This guy could write quite a book:
1987-90— Winnipeg Blue Bombers, CFL
1991-92— San Antonio Riders, WLAF
1997-98— Oregon State
1999-2001— San Diego Chargers
2013-14— Oregon State
2015-17— Nebraska
2019— San Antonio Commanders, AAF
2022— New Jersey Generals, USFL

7) New Orleans Saints re-signed QB Jameis Winston for two years, added veteran Andy Dalton as a backup; they’ll move Taysom Hill to tight end.

6) Sounds like the Los Angeles Angels will be using a six-man pitching rotation this year.

5) Chicago Cubs used 69 different players last year, 15 of which made their MLB debut; they will be interesting to follow this summer, a big market team that openly went in the tank last season. Will they try harder to win this year?

4) Injured list for pitchers goes back to 15 days this season, to avoid roster manipulation; for position players, injured list stays at 10 days.

3) Dodgers dealt 1B/OF Matt Beaty to division rival San Diego for a minor leaguer; little unusual that division rivals make a deal like that.

2) Iowa Hawkeyes star Keegan Murray is leaving college ball for the NBA Draft; Murray scored 23.5 ppg this year, leading Iowa to a 26-10 record.

1) So far in this NCAA Tournament, teams have shot a combined 31.5% on the arc, which isn’t good. Couple that with refs allowing a lot more contact around the basket, and you get a lot of low scoring games, which also isn’t good.
 

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DETROIT is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in March games in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current season.

CHICAGO is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

UTAH is 197-159 ATS (22.1 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 31


l1gW94R.png





NBA

Thursday, March 31


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Detroit
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

LA Clippers @ Chicago
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 11 games on the road
LA Clippers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games

LA Lakers @ Utah
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Utah is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




The Bucks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Milwaukee.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last nine Bucks' games.
The Nets are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of the last 12 matchups between Brooklyn and Milwaukee.


The Lakers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games.
The Jazz are 2-8 ATS in their last ten matchups against the Lakers.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Lakers' games.
The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the last 15 Jazz' games.
 

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THURSDAY, MARCH 31
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at DET 07:00 PM
DET +10.5
U 223.5
+500 +500

MIL at BK 07:30 PM
MIL +1.5
U 239.5
+500 +500

CLE at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL -5.0
U 222.0

+500 +500

LAC at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI -3.5
U 223.0
+500 +500

LAL at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA -12.5
U 225.5

+500 +500
 

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MARCH BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

03/31/2022..........7-3-0..........70.00%...............+18.50
03/30/2022.......10-11-1..........47.73%................-10.50
03/29/2022...........7-3-0..........70.00%...............+18.50
03/28/2022...........9-9-0..........50.00%..................-4.50
03/27/2022...........7-6-1..........53.57%.................+2.00
03/26/2022.........12-2-0..........85.71%................+49.00
03/25/2022...........6-8-0..........42.86%.................-14.00
03/24/2022...........6-3-0..........66.67%................+13.50
03/23/2022......11-10--1...........52.38%...............+00.00
03/22/2022...........5-3-0..........62.50%..................+8.50
03/20/2022.........3-15-0..........16.67%..................-67.50
03/19/2022..........5-3-0...........62.50%..................+8.50
03/18/2022.......12-12-0...........50.00%..................- 6.00
03/17/2022...........2-0-0.........100.00%.................+10.00
03/16/2022........12-12-0..........50.00%...................-6.00
03/15/2022...........2-6-0...........25.00%..................-23.00
03/14/2022.........12-5-1............69.44%................+32.50
03/13/2022.........11-3-0...........78.57%.................+38.50
03/12/2022...........7-7-0...........50.00%...................-3.50
03/11/2022.........9-11-0............45.00%.................-15.50
03/10/2022...........3-1-0............75.00%..................+9.50
03/09/2022.......11-12-1.............47.82%.................-11.00
03/08/2022...........3-8-1.............29.17%.................-29.00
03/07/2022.........10-6-0.............62.50%................+17.00
03/06/2022...........6-9-0.............40.00%.................-19.50
03/05/2022...........6-6-0.............50.00%...................-3.00
03/04/2022.........6-10-0.............37.50%..................-25.00
03/03/2022...........7-7-0.............50.00%....................-3.50
03/02/2022.........10-5-1..............65.63%................+22.50
03/01/2022...........5-6-0..............45.45%...................-8.00

TOTALS..........222-202-6.............52.35%....................-1.00
.


BEST BETS:

03/31/2022............5-2-0..............71.42..............+14.00
03/30/2022............6-9-1..............40.00%............-19.50
03/29/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+8.50
03/28/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%.............+2.50
03/27/2022............4-3-1..............57.14%............+3.50
03/26/2022............8-2-0..............80.00%............+29.00
03/25/2022............4-7-0..............36.36%.............-18.50
03/24/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%.............+ 8.50
03/23/2022............7-5-0..............58.33%.............+ 7.50
03/22/2022............4-3-0..............57.14%.............+ 3.50
03/20/2022..........3-19-0..............23.07%.............- 40.00
03/19/2022............4-2-0..............66.66%.............+ 9.00
03/18/2022............9-7-0..............56.25%.............+ 6.50
03/17/2022............2-0-0............100.00%.............+10.00
03/16/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%...............- 4.00
03/15/2022............2-6-0..............25.00%...............-23.00
03/14/2022............8-4-1..............66.66%..............+18.00
03/13/2022............9-2-0..............81.81%..............+34.00
03/12/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%%..............-2.00
03/11/2022............6-8-0..............42.85%...............- 14.00
03/10/2022............3-1-0..............75.00%.................+9.50
03/09/2022............8-8-0..............50.00%.................- 4.00
03/08/2022............3-4-0..............42.85%.................- 7.00
03/07/2022............6-5-0..............54.54%................+ 2.50
03/06/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................-24.00
03/05/2022............4-4-0..............50.00%.................- 3.00
03/04/2022............4-8-0..............33.33%................- 24.00
03/03/2022............5-3-0..............62.50%................+ 8.50
03/02/2022............7-3-0..............70.00%................+18.50
03/01/2022............3-2-0..............60.00%.................+ 4.00

TOTALS...........176-148-3..............54.32%.................+15.00


UPDATED ON 03/31/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack

Over/under totals for NFL teams:
11.5— Buffalo, Tampa Bay
10.5— Rams, Dallas, Denver, Packers, Chiefs, Chargers
9.5— Arizona, Ravens, Bengals, Colts, 49ers, Titans
8.5— Raiders, Miami, Vikings, Patriots, Saints, Eagles
7.5— Giants, Steelers, Washington
6.5— Chicago, Detroit, Jaguars

Quote of the Day
“Find the thing you do well, and do it again and again for the rest of your life.”
Johann Johannssen

Friday’s quiz
What now-retired player caught the longest TD pass in NFL postseason history?

Thursday’s quiz
Terry Collins was manager of the Mets the last time they made the playoffs, in 2016.

Wednesday’s quiz
Seattle Mariners have gone the longest without making the playoffs- they last made it in 2001.

*******************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Las Vegas oddsmakers don’t have lot of faith in Mitchell Trubisky; Steelers’ over/under win total for next fall is 7.5 wins. Pittsburgh hasn’t had a losing season since 2003, when Tommy Maddox was their QB.

Not sure how smart it is to wager on NFL over/under win totals before the schedule comes out and before the draft. It isn’t just who you play, it is when you play them.

12) I’m sitting in the Aria sportsbook watching baseball; there was only one other person there, and he groaned when a tennis player withdrew from his match. I figured this guy had wagered on the guy who withdrew, but he explained to me that he had the guy who won, but he wasn’t sure his bet was a winner, since the match ended in the first set.

I left few minutes later; never did find out if he won or not.

11) Xavier 73, Texas A&M 72:
— Xavier, which entered the NIT on a 4-10 skid, wins the NIT.
— Nunge scored on a 5-foot jump hook with 0:03.1 left for the win.
— Aggies led this game 40-32 at halftime.
— A&M outscored Xavier 21-8 on foul line.

Over last seven years, team that won the NIT made the NCAA’s the following season only two times; Memphis this year, TCU in 2018.

10) When all these college basketball players transfer, I’m wondering if schools present them with their potential to earn $$$ via NIL opportunities, making it like NBA free agency on a much smaller scale.

9) Looking way ahead to college football, five defensive starters for West Virginia have transferred this spring, which isn’t a good thing for the Mountaineers.

8) Glad to see the Bob Huggins will be inducted into the Naismith Hall of Fame this year; this is an honor that is long overdue. George Karl. Tim Hardaway Sr are also getting inducted.

7) Super Bowl champ Rams signed LB Bobby Wagner to a 5-year, $50M contract. Wagner spent the last decade playing against the Rams, with Seattle.

6) It was only an exhibition game, but had to feel good when Corey Seager homered against his old team Thursday. Texas beat the Dodgers 8-2.

5) Charlotte Hornets have won five straight road games for first time since 2002.

4) Jon Rahm is the only golfer to finish in top 10 of the last four Masters tournaments.

3) In the NHL, Buffalo Sabres have gone to OT or a shootout in six of last seven games, going 4-3 in those games.

2) Coaching carousel:
— Cleveland State coach Dennis Gates is now the coach at Missouri.
— Former Xavier coach Travis Steele is now the coach at Miami OH.

1) When baseball starts up next week, keep in mind that White Sox SS/leadoff hitter Tim Anderson is suspended for the first two games, because of an altercation with an umpire last September.
 

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WASHINGTON is 49-28 ATS (18.2 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

BOSTON is 55-36 ATS (15.4 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

HOUSTON is 22-49 ATS (-31.9 Units) in home games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

DENVER is 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season.
 

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NBA

Friday, April 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games at home
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

Toronto @ Orlando
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Toronto is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Indiana @ Boston
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games

Sacramento @ Houston
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Houston is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Sacramento

Phoenix @ Memphis
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 12 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Oklahoma City
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Portland @ San Antonio
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Portland

Minnesota @ Denver
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Minnesota's last 23 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

New Orleans @ LA Lakers
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last ten Suns' games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven Grizzlies' games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last nine matchups between Memphis and Phoenix.


The Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Nuggets are 12-2 SU in their last 14 matchups against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 Wolves' games.
The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Nuggets' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven matchups between Minnesota and Denver.


The Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The Lakers are 1-3 ATS in their last four matchups against New Orleans.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven Pelicans' games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between the Pelicans and Lakers.
 

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FRIDAY, APRIL 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


DAL at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +8.0
O 217.5
+500 +500

TOR at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +11.5
O 217.0
+500 +500

IND at BOS 07:30 PM
IND +15.0
U 226.0
+500 +500

LAC at MIL 08:00 PM
LAC +3.5
U 217.5
+500 +500

DET at OKC 08:00 PM
DET -4.0
U 221.0
+500 +500

PHO at MEM 08:00 PM
PHO -7.0
O 228.5
+500 +500

SAC at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU +3.0
O 234.0
+500 +500

POR at SA 08:30 PM
SA -15.0
O 230.5
+500 +500

MIN at DEN 09:00 PM
DEN -2.5
U 242.0

+500 +500

NO at LAL 10:30 PM
NO -1.0
U 230.5
+500 +500
 

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APRIL BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date .......................W-L-T.....................%...................Units

04/01/2022............12-8-0 ............60.00%............+16.00


TOTALS.......... .......12-8-0 ............60.00%............+16.00
.

BEST BETS:

04/01/2022.............6-5-0..............54.54%............+ 2.50


TOTALS...................6-5-0..............54.54%............+ 2.50


UPDATED ON 04/01/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s Den: Final Four prop bets…….


I’m flying home Friday, so I’m posting my Saturday stuff early; here are prop bets for the Final Four, provided by the SouthPoint Casino:

13) Total points for each team:
— North Carolina 73.5
— Duke 77.5
— Villanova 64.5
— Kansas 68.5

12) Total points in first half for each team:
— North Carolina 34.5
— Duke 36.5
— Villanova 29.5
— Kansas 31.5

11) First team to get to 15 points:
— Kansas -140; Villanova +120
— Duke -135; North Carolina +115

10) Combined total of made 3-pointers:
— Villanova-Kansas 15.5
— North Carolina-Duke 15.5

9) Over/under points for Collin Gillespie: 15.5 (under -120)

8) Over/under points for Jermaine Samuels: 14.5

7) Over/under points for Ochai Agbaji: 16.5 (under -120)

6) Over/under points for Remy Martin: 11.5

5) Over/under points for Brady Manek: 17.5 (under -120)

4) Over/under points for Caleb Love 16.5 (under -120)

3) Over/under points for Paolo Banchero: 17.5

2) Over/under points for Wendell Moore: 12.5

1) Pointspread prop bets:
— Villanova -3.5 (+250) vs Kansas (-300)
— Duke +3.5 (-260) vs North Carolina (+220)
 

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