Cnotes 2019 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

[CNOTES]

CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


07/18/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/06/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
07/05/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/04/2019 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
07/01/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/29/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50






Totals..............18-12-0 60.00% +24.90




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BEST BETS:




DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL


07/18/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
07/06/2019.............0 - 2....................-11.00.................2 - 0...................+10.00............-1.00
07/05/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
07/04/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................1 - 0...................+5.00..............-0.50
07/01/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/29/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00




Totals..................... 7 - 8...................-9.00...................11 - 4..................+27.50............+18.50

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack


Some more Week 1 NFL spreads:


— Chiefs (-3.5, 51.5) @ Jaguars


— Titans @ Browns (-5.5, 45.5)


— Rams (-3, 51) @ Panthers


— Lions (-2, 48.5) @ Cardinals


— Bengals @ Seahawks (-8, 43.5)


— Colts @ Chargers (-3, 48)


Quote of the Day
“You go from being a pro player to making $400 a month and you’re 20th on the totem pole, and you really have to do whatever you have to do and whatever they ask you to do.”
Kliff Kingsbury, on his first job in football, an offensive quality control coach


Friday’s quiz
Which four college football teams did Urban Meyer coach?


Thursday’s quiz
Luis Gonzalez has hit the most home runs in the history of the Arizona Diamondbacks, 224.


Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of the OAKLAND A’s (not Philly or KC), Mark McGwire hit the most home runs, with 363.




***********************


Friday’s List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here…….


13) Extreme heat is forecast for the Albany/Saratoga area Saturday; NYRA has cancelled racing for Saturday at Saratoga, which is a wise but expensive decision to make.


12) Can you be considered one of the all-time great quarterbacks if you never won a Super Bowl? Dan Marino never won a Super Bowl, Dan Fouts never played in one, but their greatness was obvious. Its an interesting debate when you weigh who the all-time greats were.


11) I still think John Elway is the best QB ever; who do you think is the best ever?




10) Mookie Betts is the first Boston Red Sox player since Ted Williams in 1946 to score a run in 13 consecutive games.


9) Cincinnati Reds have homered 28 times in first inning this year, the most in MLB.


8) It still boggles my mind that the Cleveland Browns are favored to win the AFC North when they’ve been favored in only four of their 48 games the last three years.


7) Baseball stuff:
— Marlins put SS JT Riddle (forearm) on IL.
— Reds put C Curt Casali (knee), P David Rodriguez (shoulder) on the IL.
— Braves activated OF Ender Inciarte from the IL.
— Angels put C Jonathan Lucroy (broken nose) on IL.


6) Oddsmaking legend Jimmy Vaccaro is returning to Las Vegas to work at the SouthPoint Casino; he had been working at Rivers Casino in Pittsburgh.


5) Our prayers go out to UNLV offensive coordinator Barney Cotton, who needs a heart transplant and is stepping aside from his job with the Rebels.


4) Nationals 13, Braves 4— Stephen Strasburg had three hits, five RBI and allowed three runs in 5.1 IP as Washington closed within 5.5 games of Atlanta in the NL East.


3) Jacob deGrom and Noah Syndergaard have been teammates for five years; they’ve started consecutive games 58 times.


Only nine of those 58 times did both deGrom/Syndergaard get wins.


2) In a fitting bit of symmetry, five guys were arrested Thursday for fighting at a Five Guys restaurant in Stuart, FL. Two adults, three juveniles were taken into custody; no report if they got their burgers to go or not.


1) My all-time basketball starting five: Kareem, Jordan, Bill Russell, Lebron and Magic.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, July 19


Ottawa Roughriders (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:


Game Overview

Two weeks ago, Ottawa was on the wrong end of a 29-14 loss to Winnipeg closing as a three-point home favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 54-point closing line. Last week’s stunning loss to Montreal as a heavy home favorite went OVER 51 ½ points and the total has gone OVER in three of the RedBlacks’ first four games.


That game was 9-9 at halftime before they were outscored by 17 points in the second half. Quarterback Dominique Davis scored a pair of touchdowns running the ball.


The Blue Bombers’ strong start can be attributed to an offense that is averaging 34.5 points a game. They have also gotten some strong play from a defense that leads the CFL points allowed (19.8). They jumped out to a 21-0 lead against Toronto in the first quarter and cruised to their fourth win on the year.


QB Matt Nichols bounced back from a Week 4 injury to throw for 209 yards and three touchdowns in Friday’s romp.


Betting Trends


-- The Blue Bombers have a 5-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last six games against Ottawa. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings overall and in six of the last nine meetings in Winnipeg.




******************************




Friday, July 19


Ottawa RedBlacks


Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg


Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa




***********************




Friday, July 19


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OTTAWA (2 - 2) at WINNIPEG (4 - 0) - 7/19/2019, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




******************************




Friday July 19


Ottawa @ Winnipeg


Game 691-692
July 19, 2019 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
105.090
Winnipeg
121.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 13 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 9 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-9 1/2); Under




**********************




Ottawa (2-2) @ Winnipeg (4-0)— Blue Bombers scored 34.5 ppg in winning their first four games, with home wins by 7-27 points. Road team won seven of last eight series games, with Bombers covering five of last six; Ottawa won three of last four visits to Manitoba- over is 4-2 in last six series games. Ottawa lost last two games (both at home) by 15-17 points; they won only road game, 32-38 (+9) in Calgary. RedBlacks are 26-10 vs spread in last 36 road games; under is 13-6 in their last 19 road tilts.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, JULY 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


OTT at WPG 08:30 PM


WPG -10.5


O 52.0

 

[CNOTES]

GAME RECAP
NICHOLS SETS FRANCHISE RECORD AS BOMBERS DEFEAT REDBLACKS
CFL.CA STAFF


WINNIPEG — Matt Nichols set a franchise record with 19 straight completions as the Winnipeg Blue Bombers rolled to a 31-1 home victory against the Ottawa REDBLACKS on Friday night. The Bombers improved their record to 5-0 for the first time since 1960.


Defensive back Winston Rose got things going for Winnipeg with a pick-six in the first quarter, and the offence took over from there with Nichols completing 25 of 29 passes for 295 yards and two touchdowns. Nichols connected on 86 per cent of his pass attempts.


Jonathon Jennings got his first start at quarterback for Ottawa and completed six of 15 passes for 45 yards and an interception against an impenetrable Winnipeg defence. Willie Jefferson, Anthony Gaitor and Jackson Jeffcoat all recorded sacks for the Bombers, and defensive back Chris Humes capped off Winnipeg’s dominant defensive performance with an interception.


Running back Andrew Harris moved into 11th place on the CFL’s all-time rushing list in the win, finishing the game with 63 rushing yards on 14 carries while also adding 68 receiving yards and a touchdown on five catches. Quarterback Chris Streveler also contributed 35 rushing yards and a touchdown for the Bombers.


Kenny Lawler led Winnipeg’s receivers with five catches for 83 yards and his first career CFL touchdown.


John Crockett had a solid rushing performance for the REDBLACKS with 15 carries for 88 yards.


It was an uncharacteristically slow start to the game for the Bombers’s offence with three consecutive two-and-outs, but Winnipeg’s defence stepped up in the opening quarter to give the team an early lead. Rose used brilliant timing to jump a route and intercept a Jennings pass before returning it 71 yards to the end zone for the pick-six score. Rose now has an interception in three straight games. Justin Medlock kicked the convert to give Winnipeg a 7-0 advantage.


Ottawa got on the board near the end of the first quarter when a 75-yard punt from Richie Leone went out of bounds for a single, but the Bombers responded right away on offence with a nine-play, 75-yard drive that saw Nichols complete a 20-yard strike to Lawler and a 15-yard touchdown pass to Harris. The versatile running back found space behind the REDBLACKS’ coverage to get open in the right side of the end zone for the catch. Medlock added the extra point to put Winnipeg up 14-1.


The Bombers added to their first-half lead when Lawler came through with another key play, hauling in a 24-yard pass from Nichols and gaining an extra 30 yards to reach the end zone for the score. Medlock kicked the extra point to make it a 21-1 ball game. Nichols finished the first half with 192 passing yards and two touchdowns on 14 completions.


Crockett had a solid first half on the ground for the REDBLACKS with 12 carries for 80 yards, but the offence struggled to move the ball through the air against Winnipeg’s defensive pressure and tight coverage.


Harris added more yards just before the half with a 34-yard gallop down the field that set up a two-yard rushing touchdown from Streveler. Streveler faked the handoff to Harris before accelerating around the right edge of Ottawa’s defence for his fifth rushing touchdown of the season. Medlock added the convert to put the Bombers up 28-1 heading into half time.


Ottawa’s defence had a solid goal line stand in the third quarter to shut down Winnipeg’s attempt to extend its lead after a long drive. Receiver Daniel Petermann put the Bombers in position to score after catching a short pass and taking the ball to the one-yard line, but REDBLACKS linebacker Jerod Fernandez came up with a big defensive stop on third down to prevent Streveler from crossing the goal line.


But Streveler helped the Bombers extend their lead in the fourth quarter by putting the team in field goal range with a big 24-yard gain on the ground. Medlock knocked the 33-yard field goal through the uprights to give Winnipeg a 30-point advantage with just under 12 minutes to play.


Will Arndt finished the game at quarterback for Ottawa, but the Bombers’ defence sealed the victory for good when defensive back Chris Humes intercepted an Arndt pass.


The Ottawa REDBLACKS will host the Calgary Stampeders next Thursday in Week 7 action, while the Winnipeg Blue Bombers will travel on the road to square off against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats next Friday.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, July 20, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
4:00 PM Edmonton Eskimos Montreal Alouettes
7:00 PM British Columbia Lions Saskatchewan Roughriders




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CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


07/19/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/18/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/06/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
07/05/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/04/2019 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
07/01/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/29/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50






Totals..............19-13-0 59.37% +24.40




******************************




BEST BETS:




DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL




07/19/2019.............1 - 0 ..................+5.00...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-0.50
07/18/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
07/06/2019.............0 - 2....................-11.00.................2 - 0...................+10.00............-1.00
07/05/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
07/04/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................1 - 0...................+5.00..............-0.50
07/01/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/29/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00




Totals..................... 8 - 8...................-4.00...................11 - 5..................+22.00............+18.00

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack

Updated odds for the British Open:


5-1— Brooks Koepka


11-2— Tommy Fleetwood


7-1— Justin Rose


8-1— Shane Lowry


14-1— Rahm, Spieth, Westwood


16-1— JB Holmes


Quote of the Day
“Anybody from any corner of the world can come to America to live and become an American. We draw our people, our strength, from every country and every corner of the world.”
Ronald Reagan


Saturday’s quiz
Which NFL team did Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh play most of his career for?


Friday’s quiz
Urban Meyer coached Bowling Green, Utah, Florida, Ohio State.


Thursday’s quiz
Luis Gonzalez has hit the most home runs in the history of the Arizona Diamondbacks, 224.




***************************************




Saturday’s List of 13: College football knowledge…..


13) College football teams with all five starters back on the offensive line:


Auburn, Ball State, Boise St, Hawai’i, Iowa St.
Michigan St, Oregon, Southern Miss, Texas St
UL-Lafayette, UL-Monroe, Western Kentucky


12) Over last five years, Utah is 11-2 vs spread as a road underdog; Whittingham is 11-2 SU in bowl games.


11) Last two years, USC is 2-9 vs spread a a home favorite; since 2012, they’re 1-9 vs spread in neutral field games.


10) Cincinnati allowed 35.8 ppg in their last five bowl games (2-3 SU); once 2014, Bearcats are 8-15 vs spread in non-conference games.


9) Central Florida is 25-1 SU the last two years, with a +31 turnover margin; they’re 12-6-1 vs spread in last 19 games as a home favorite.


8) Last four years, South Florida has a +28 turnover ratio; under Charlie Strong, Bulls are 5-12 vs spread as a home favorite.


7) Since 2015, Temple is 25-8-1 vs spread in conference games; they’re 13-3 vs spread in last 16 games coming off a loss.


6) Marshall is 12-2 all-time in bowl games, 5-0 since 2013; since 2016, Thundering Herd is 4-9 vs spread as a home favorite.


5) Under Butch Davis, FIU is 2-6 vs spread as a home favorite, 6-0 as a home underdog.


4) Last three years, Middle Tennessee State is 11-4 vs spread coming off a loss.


3) Western Kentucky has its fifth head coach in eight years; last two years, Hilltoppers are 0-5 vs spread as a road favorite.


2) From 2012-16, Southern Mississippi had a minus-63 turnover margin in 62 games; last two years, Golden Eagles were minus-2, and went 8-5/6-5.


1) Since bringing their program back two years ago, UAB is 10-1-1 vs spread at home.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, July 20


Edmonton Eskimos (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS at Montreal Alouettes (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:


Game Overview


Edmonton opened the season with a 32-25 victory over Montreal, but it could not cover as an eight-point favorite at home. The total went OVER 49 ½-point total line in that game. In Thursday’s 27-point win against BC, the Eskimos took a 16-3 lead into halftime. Trevor Harris went a highly efficient 22-for-28 throwing the ball for 276 passing yards and two scores. CJ Gable anchored the running game with 68 yards rushing on 19 carries.


Following a SU 0-2 start, Montreal is coming off back-to-back upsets as a heavy underdog. It beat Hamilton 36-29 in Week 4 as a 13 ½-point underdog at home ahead of Saturday’s upset on the road against Ottawa. The Alouettes got a career day from Vernon Adams Jr. at quarterback with 327 yards passing and two scoring strikes. William Stanback had another strong outing running the ball with 100 yards on 18 carries.


Betting Trends


-- Including the win in Week 1, Edmonton is a perfect 5-0 SU in its last five games against Montreal. It also has a perfect 5-0 record SU and ATS in its last five road games in this inter-division tilt. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six matchups.




British Columbia Lions (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:


Game Overview


High expectations have been met with a very disappointing performance in BC. The arrival of Mike Reilly at quarterback has failed to invigorate an offense that is averaging just 20.5 points per game. He was held to 157 yards passing in last Thursday’s loss to Edmonton with John White rushing for 53 yards on 11 attempts in the team’s 210 yards of total offense. The Lions’ defense has allowed an average of 31.6 points in five games.


The Roughriders are coming off a Week 4 bye after losing to Calgary 37-10 the week before as five-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER 51 ½ points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in three of their first four outings. Saturday will be the first meeting in a home-and-home series against BC. Cody Fajardo has gotten the call at quarterback for an injured Zach Collaros. He has thrown for 945 yards and four touchdowns against two interceptions.


Betting Trends


-- The Lions have a 7-3 edge both SU and ATS in this West Division matchup over the past 10 meetings. They have also won four of the last six meetings SU in Saskatchewan. The total stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 13 meetings at Mosaic Stadium.




****************************




Saturday, July 20


Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal


Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Montreal is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Montreal is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games at home
Montreal is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton


British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of British Columbia's last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan


Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 23 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 13 games when playing at home against British Columbia




*********************************


Saturday, July 20


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (3 - 1) at MONTREAL (2 - 2) - 7/20/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 4) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 3) - 7/20/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




***************************************************




Saturday, July 20


Edmonton @ Montreal[/B]


Game 693-694
July 20, 2019 @ 4:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
106.338
Montreal
109.743
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 4 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+4 1/2); Over


BC Lions @ Saskatchewan


Game 695-696
July 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
106.363
Saskatchewan
104.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+3 1/2); Under




***********************************




Edmonton (3-1) @ Montreal (2-2)— Edmonton (-8) beat Alouettes 32-25 in season opener, in a game where 17-14 4th quarter put game over total. Eskimos won last ten games with Montreal, but are 2-3 vs spread in last five; Edmonton won/covered their last four visits here. Last four series games went over the total— over is 12-3-1 in last 16 series games- Edmonton covered eight of last 11 series. Edmonton is on road for third game in row; they scored 32+ points in their three wins, were held to 21 in only loss, to BC. Under is 6-1-1 in Eskimos’ last eight road games. Montreal scored 36-36 points in winning its last two games.


BC Lions (1-4) @ Saskatchewan (1-3)— Saskatchewan won last three series games, by 9-3-33 points; under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. BC lost its last two visits to Regina, 41-8/35-16. Lions allowed 33+ points in all four losses this year; they edged winless Toronto 18-17 (-8.5) for their one win. Over is 3-2 in their games this season. Roughriders’ only win is also vs Toronto; they’re at home for third game in row. Three of their four games stayed under total. Big game, with both teams off to slow starts.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, JULY 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


EDM at MTL 04:00 PM
EDM -5.5
O 53.5


BC at SSK 07:00 PM
BC +4.5
U 50.5

 

[CNOTES]

GAME RECAP
ALS KEEP ROLLING WITH HOME WIN OVER ESKS
CFL.CA STAFF


MONTREAL — A strong defensive performance and big plays from Vernon Adams Jr. helped lead the Montreal Alouettes to a 20-10 home victory against the Edmonton Eskimos on Saturday. The Als have now won three straight games for the first time since 2016.


Adams completed 68 per cent of his passes for 191 yards and a touchdown to receiver Jake Wieneke. The athletic quarterback also did a bit of everything against the Esks, racking up 44 rushing yards on seven carries and hauling in a 21-yard touchdown catch from Eugene Lewis on a trick play.


Defence was the story for much of the game, and there were eleven combined two-and-outs in the opening half as both offences found it hard to gain significant ground. Als defensive backs Greg Reid and Taylor Loffer both intercepted Trevor Harris. Harris completed 29 of 43 passes for 271 yards in the loss.


Montreal Running back William Stanback chipped in 84 total yards on the ground and through the air to help Montreal sustain important drives.


Edmonton kicker Sean Whyte contributed three field goals, but saw his streak of 17 consecutive successful kicks come to an end. Penalties were costly for Edmonton, as two interceptions were called back due to illegal contact penalties.


Lewis had the first big play of the game for the Als with a 21-yard catch that got the team’s first scoring drive going. Adams then broke free two plays later for an 18-yard run up the middle of the field after juking defensive lineman Nick Usher. The athletic quarterback capped off the drive with a 21-yard touchdown catch on an incredible trick play pass from Lewis.


Adams looked like a true receiver as he gained 12 yards after the catch and made Esks defensive back Monshadrik Hunter miss a tackle on his way into the end zone for the opening score. Boris Bede added the convert kick to give Montreal a 7-0 lead.


The Als’ defence followed up the team’s strong offensive start when defensive back Greg Reid picked off Harris on the next drive. The interception was the first thrown by Harris since last season.


Als defensive back Ryan Carter was called for a pass interference penalty in the second quarter after Harris chucked a flea flicker pass down the field. The penalty resulted in solid field position for the Esks, but Montreal’s defence held strong and forced a 17-yard field goal from Whyte.


Running back Jeremiah Johnson made his presence known for Montreal later in the half with a thundering 43-yard catch-and-run all the way down to the Esks’ three-yard line. But defence stole the show once again as Edmonton’s defensive front refused to give up ground, forcing the Als to settle for a 10-yard field goal from Bede to make the score 10-3.


The Esks appeared to get their first major of the game after Harris threw a beautiful 33-yard touchdown pass to receiver Kenny Stafford just before half-time, but the play was called back due to a holding penalty on Edmonton. The Esks then added to their lead with another field goal after receiver Natey Adjei put the team in range by gaining 16 yards on a pair of catches. The successful 34-yard kick from Whyte made the score 10-6 heading into the second half.


A solid 15-yard reception from Stafford got things started for the Esks in the third quarter, and Whyte would add his third field goal of the game a few plays later on a 48-yard kick to make it a one-point game. The kick was Whyte’s 17th consecutive successful field goal.


But the Als responded on the following drive with their second touchdown of the game. Stanback opened things up with an 18-yard catch-and-run, and Adams followed it up a play later with a 15-yard sprint into Edmonton territory. Adams then put the finishing touches on the drive with a five-yard touchdown toss to Wieneke. Bede added the extra point to make the score 17-9 with under five minutes to go in the third quarter.


Whyte saw his field goal streak broken just before the end of the quarter when his second 48-yard attempt of the game hit the left upright. Montreal’s offence took over and Stanback added another key play by turning a short catch into a 19-yard gain shortly before the game went into a weather delay.


Montreal’s defence notched another turnover after the delay when Loffler intercepted Harris.


A big 49-yard play from Esks receiver Ricky Collins on third down made things interesting down the stretch, but it was too little too late as the Als walked away with their third straight win.


The Edmonton Eskimos will host the Toronto Argonauts next Thursday in their Week 7 matchup, while the Montreal Alouettes will get a week off to rest before they host the Ottawa REDBLACKS in Week 8.

 

[CNOTES]

GAME RECAP
RIDERS WIN BACK-AND-FORTH CLASH WITH LIONS
CFL.CA STAFF


REGINA — The Saskatchewan Roughriders came out on top in a back-and-forth battle against the BC Lions on Saturday Night, combining big offensive plays and relentless defensive pressure to claim the 38-25 home win.


A thrilling 100-yard kickoff return touchdown from Marcus Thigpen gave the Riders a one-point lead heading into the second half, but the Lions continued to stick around until three consecutive touchdown drives from the Riders in the second half sealed the victory.


Cody Fajardo connected on big passes early to give Saskatchewan the lead and finished with 17 completions on 23 pass attempts for 278 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Fajardo also used his legs to make an impact with 53 rushing yards and a touchdown on eight carries.


Charleston Hughes had a dominant defensive performance for the Riders with 10 tackles, three sacks and two forced fumbles. Hughes is now up to eight sacks on the season.


Riders receiver Shaq Evans stepped up with his biggest game of the season, racking up 158 yards and a touchdown on just five catches.


Mike Reilly completed 14 consecutive passes at one point despite constant pressure from the Riders’ defence. Reilly completed 31 of 40 passes for 346 yards, a touchdown and an interception in the loss.


Lions kicker Sergio Castillo made all four of his field goal attempts for the Lions, and receiver Bryan Burnham had another productive game with eight catches for 106 yards.


The Riders got on the board first with a single point off of a 73-yard punt from Jon Ryan, but BC quickly responded with a 50-yard field goal from kicker Sergio Castillo.


Fajardo then got things rolling for the Riders on offence with a 36-yard strike to receiver Shaq Evans. Evans went up high in traffic to make an incredible catch, and Fajardo followed up the big play with a 39-yard touchdown pass to receiver Kyran Moore. Fajardo scrambled to his right to evade pressure and made a nice throw on the run to find Moore for the touchdown, and kicker Gabriel Ferraro added the extra point to give Saskatchewan an 8-3 lead.


The Lions answered back with a big play of their own on a 53-yard pass from Reilly to Shaq Johnson, but the promising drive stalled and Castillo added a 24-yard field goal to cut the Riders’ lead down to two points.


BC’s defence picked off Fajardo on the final play of the opening quarter when defensive back Victor Gamboa reeled in a tipped ball for his first ever CFL interception.


The Lions grabbed the lead in the second quarter on Castillo’s third field goal of the game, a 29-yard kick that made the score 9-8 with twelve minutes to go in the half. But Saskatchewan jumped back on top later in the quarter when BC elected to surrender a safety deep in their own territory, giving the Riders a one-point advantage.


Reilly led a solid offensive drive before the half that included a 16-yard run and a 39-yard pass deep down the field to receiver Bryan Burnham. The huge catch from Burnham brought the ball into Riders’ territory, and Burnham moved it even closer on the next play with an eight-yard catch-and-run. Reilly capped off the drive with a one-yard touchdown run, and Castillo added the extra point to give the Lions a 16-10 lead.


But the Lions’ lead did not last long at all, as the Riders responded right away with a 100-yard kickoff return touchdown from speedster Marcus Thigpen. Ferraro added the extra point to put the Riders up 17-16 heading into half-time.


The Riders added another single point off of a 77-yard punt from Ryan to start the third quarter. But Reilly began to find a rhythm, putting together a drive that led to a 12-yard field goal from Castillo that gave the lead back to BC. Reilly connected on key passes to Johnson and Jevon Cottoy to set up the field goal.


Fajardo and the Riders’ offence responded with a scoring drive of their own that saw Fajardo find space for a 19-yard run before finishing off the drive with a tough four-yard touchdown run. Ferraro kicked the extra point to give Saskatchewan a 25-19 lead.


Reilly had the Lions driving to score again, but Hughes came through with another big play and got to Reilly for the strip-sack. Hughes also recovered the fumble, and the Riders’ offence then capitalized on the turnover.


Evans made another incredible catch to set up a three-yard touchdown run from running back William Powell that extended the team’s lead in the fourth quarter and grabbed momentum for good. The Riders went for the two-point conversion but were unsuccessful.


Evans sealed the victory for the Riders later in the quarter with a huge 50-yard touchdown catch. Ferraro added the convert kick to make it a 38-19 ball game with under four minutes to play.


Reilly and the Lions’ offence came roaring back to score again on a drive to end the game, with Reilly throwing a nine-yard touchdown pass to receiver Lemar Durant. But it was too little too late as the Riders walked away with the 38-25 win.


Both teams will square off again in Week 7 when the BC Lions host the Saskatchewan Roughriders on July 27.

 

[CNOTES]

WEEK 7


Thursday, July 25, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Calgary Stampeders Ottawa Redblacks
9:30 PM Toronto Argonauts Edmonton Eskimos


Friday, July 26, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Winnipeg Blue Bombers Hamilton Tiger Cats


Saturday, July 27, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders British Columbia Lions




****************************




CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


07/20/2019 0-4-0 0.00% -22.00
07/19/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
07/18/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/06/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
07/05/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
07/04/2019 1-1-0 50.00% - 0.50
07/01/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/29/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50






Totals..............19-17-0 52.77% +2.40




******************************




BEST BETS:




DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL


07/20/2019.............0 - 2...................-11.00..................0 - 2...................-11.00.............-22.00
07/19/2019.............1 - 0 ..................+5.00...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-0.50
07/18/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
07/06/2019.............0 - 2....................-11.00.................2 - 0...................+10.00............-1.00
07/05/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
07/04/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50...................1 - 0...................+5.00..............-0.50
07/01/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/29/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00




Totals..................... 8 - 10................-15.00...................11 - 7...............+11.00..............-4.00

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack


Average ticket prices for college football games this year:


— Georgia $487


— Ohio State $352


— Michigan $285


— Notre Dame $276


— Alabama $249


— Nebraska $232




**********


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend……


13) Kansas City Royals won the World Series four years ago; they struck out 973 times the entire regular season.


Today is July 22, and Seattle/Texas have already struck out more than that this season.


12) Houston’s Yuli Gurriel has 13 homers and 28 RBIs in his last 22 games; he’s homered in five of his last six home games.


11) Boston’s Rick Porcello won his last three starts, despite allowing 16 runs in 17.2 IP; Red Sox scored 50 runs in his last four starts.


10) Chances are you had a better Sunday than golfer JB Holmes, who started out 66-68-69 at the British Open, but then imploded with an 87 Thursday, shooting a 46 on the back nine.


9) Run differential is a misleading stat; Arizona is +63, the Giants are -42, but both teams are 50-50, and thats the only stat the really counts.


8) Kawhi Leonard was at the Pacquiao-Thurman fight in Las Vegas Saturday night and was wearing one of his championship rings from the Spurs. Now you know why some of these guys go around with bodyguards; thats a pretty expensive ring.


7) Baseball stuff:
— Giants DFA’d P Derek Holland.
— Orioles DFA’d Keon Broxton.
— Rays put OF Kevin Keirmaier (thumb) on the IL.
— Rockies DFA’d 1B Mark Reynolds


6) Giants 3, Mets 2 (12)— On June 29, San Francisco was 35-47; the only thing that mattered was where they were trading Madison Bumgarner. Now the Giants are 50-50, 2.5 games out of a playoff spot and maybe Bumgarner ain’t going anywhere.


5) Colorado 8, New York 4— Bronx Bombers are 10-6 this month; 0-4 when Paxton starts, 10-2 with everyone else. Rockies lost 13 of their last 16 games.


4) Orioles 5, Red Sox 0— Boston gets one hit in 7.1 innings against Asher Wojciechowski, and you have to think the Red Sox are going to make a big splash on the trade market. Red Sox are three games out of a playoff spot- they play New York next weekend.


3) Phil Mickelson and Eldrick Woods have played in 83 majors together; this week was first time they both missed the cut in the same major.


2) If you don’t think time flies, NFL training camps open this week. Can’t even imagine what football was like in the old days, when teams did two-a-day practices in pads in this heat, for most of the summer.


1) Nothing against Harold Baines, but he is a Hall of Famer and Dave Parker isn’t?

 

[CNOTES]

Week 6 Best Bet
July 17, 2019
By VI News


Week 6 CFL Betting Preview (Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET)
BC Lions vs Saskatchewan Roughriders


Week 6 of the CFL season gets going on Thursday with the winless Toronto Argonauts in Calgary to take on the Stampeders, but it's a matchup between two other struggling teams that closes out the week that gets our attention this week.


The BC Lions went out and made the biggest splash in free agency by signing QB Mike Reilly, hired Calgary's DC DeVone Claybrooks to help sure things up defensively, and it's all gone wrong for the Lions through the first five weeks of the year.


Mike Reilly has been sacked the most times of any QB in the league, he and the rest of his offense got embarrassed at home last time out in a 33-6 loss to Edmonton, and defensively the Lions allow the most points per game of any team in the West at 31.6/game. It's all been ugly for BC this year, and at 1-4 SU – their only win being a walk-off rouge against the lowly Toronto Argos, they'd better turn things around soon.


Saskatchewan hasn't been much better at 1-3 SU with their only win coming over Toronto as well, although there were two close road losses to begin the year out East that put them in this position. A 37-10 defeat in their last outing (at home) against Calgary was rather embarrassing as well, and hopefully for Riders fans, the fact that they had Week 5 off is probably a good thing. It's now up to the Riders to show that they used that extra prep time wisely and continue to add to the Lions misery in 2019.


So after last week's play on the 'over' in the Montreal/Ottawa game pushed our record to 3-1 ATS on the year, where should your money be going in the finale for Week 6? Let's break it down:


YTD: 3-1 ATS


CFL Odds: Saskatchewan (-5); Total set at 50.5


Betting lines for Week 6 came out on Tuesday afternoon and if you are a big believer in incorporating handicapping the market just has much as handicapping teams as I am, it's hard to ignore what we've seen from the market for this game already. Saskatchewan opened as a less than FG favorite for this home game off their bye (-2/2.5) and was promptly bet up and up until it reached it's current number. The total got hit on the low side for a move of a full point (51.5 to 50.5) as well.


That's quite an early statement on what the market really thinks of this BC Lions team as there is a strong belief that there is no end in sight to their 2019 struggles, and expecting Reilly and company to all of a sudden turn it around on the road against a rested team is something nobody wants to get behind.


That's an understandable position for sure, as there hasn't been much of anything good from the Lions in any of their four games. Their lone win saw them blow a lead late and win on a missed FG, so even in a positive result, it's not like things went well for them. Obviously it's still early in the week and we could very well see some buyback on BC at this number, or if it gets higher, but like the rest of the market, I'm not interested in backing the Lions here.


At the same time, while taking a home team off a bye is a favorable situation to get behind, especially with a Roughriders team that's got high expectations for 2019, they've got to go out and show that they can play at a consistently high level as well. That blowout loss to Calgary was a dud of a game in all regards, and it really feels like Saskatchewan has simply been trying to find their footing since the cheap shot their starting QB Zach Collaros took early in Week 1 put him on the shelf. Hopefully the bye week helped with that process as they've moved on with Cody Fajardo under center, as even Farjardo's probably feeling more comfortable being the guy with each passing week.


But teams off a bye week this year after having played at least one game (ie not counting Toronto's Week 1 bye), are just 3-2 SU on the season. Two of those three wins have been by a TD or less, and the two losses have been by at least 13 points. Yes, league wide results like that don't necessary apply to any/all specific teams in this league, but it's enough to cause pause on the Riders, especially with the best of the number long gone. Heck off a bye or not, it's really hard to pull the trigger on a line that's already moved a full three points from open and expect to win long term.


Which means the side is getting passed on again this week, and it's on to the total we go. Obviously the early move there has been to the 'under', and with both teams coming off outings where they scored just 10 points or less, you can understand that sentiment.


However, going back to those league-wide post-bye week trends this year (again not including Toronto's Week 1 bye), teams off a bye week (Saskatchewan) have averaged scoring 24.2 points the next time out on the field, while giving up 25.8 points/game on defense in those spots. That's 50 total points right on the nose which is where this number currently sits, meaning it's time to go into more specific details regarding these two teams.


(For those that are wondering, if you include Toronto's 64-14 loss in Week 2 after their bye, those numbers change to 22.5 points scored post-bye, and 32.16 points allowed post-bye).


Regarding specifics, this BC team knows they are built to have success with their offense doing the bulk of the heavy lifting, and putting up six points like they did a week ago simply won't cut it. The Lions didn't make Reilly the highest paid player in the league to try and grind out 18-17 wins like they had in Toronto, and with a defense that gives up 30+ per game and is still working out the kinks in terms of getting acquainted with Claybrooks philosophy, it's going to take some time before the Lions can trust that they'll win games without putting up 30+ points themselves.


Well I'm not prepared to back the Lions ATS-wise, I do believe the offense will be able to bonce back nicely this week, as the Riders defense is still working out its own kinks under a new coaching regime. Reilly hasn't been great, but the Lions O-line shares plenty of responsibility in BC's early struggles, and against that defensive pressure the Riders can bring, this week of prep should be a good one for that unit.


At the same time, the Riders offense shouldn't have many issues moving the ball up and down the field against this Lions defense who like I said earlier – is probably not going to come close to hitting their stride until their Week 8 bye. Two weeks to prepare to go up against this suspect Lions defense is going to help Saskatchewan score at least those 24.2 points post-bye week teams have put up this year, and I would not be surprised if they are the the final West Division team to put up 30+ against BC this year. The Eskimos (twice), Stamps, and Blue Bombers have already accomplished that feat, and this week it will be Saskatchewan's turn.


With the massive line move in favor of the Riders we've already seen, you've got to like their chances of being able to put up points, and with BC still relying on Reilly to carry the load, and in desperate need of a bounce back offensive performance themselves, this game should get well into the 50's or even 60's when all is said and done.


CFL Best Bet: Over 50.5 points

 

[CNOTES]

Betting Recap - Week 6
Joe Williams


League Betting Notes


This Week


-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 6
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 6
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 6
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 6


Year To Date


-- Favorites are 16-7 SU overall
-- Underdogs are 12-11 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 15-8 SU overall
-- Home teams are 12-11 ATS overall
-- The 'Under' is 12-10 overall


Analysis


BC Lions (1-5) saw their woes continue, falling 38-25 on the road against Saskatchewan (2-3). The Lions are also a dismal 1-5 ATS, covering only in Calgary back in Week 3 as 10 1/2-point underdogs. As single-digit 'dogs, the Lions are 0-3 ATS and they also failed to cover their only pick 'em and only game as a favorite.


For the Roughriders, they picked up their eighth cover in the past 10 meetings with the Lions. The Lions are also 1-5 ATS across the past six road games, and they fell to 2-10 ATS in the past 12 against losing teams.


Calgary (3-2) failed to cover for the fourth time in five outings this season, but they were able to avoid the upset bug against lowly Toronto (0-5). The Argos picked up their second cover of the season, although they scored 17 or fewer points for the fourth time in five contests. The 'under' has connected in three of the past four for Toronto. The under is also a perfect 3-0 in the past three for the Stamps after the over hit in the first two outings.


Montreal (3-2) continues to trend in the right direction. After opening the season 0-2 SU/1-1 ATS, they have won and covered three in a row. Defense has been a major part of their turnaround, as they allowed 73 total points in the two losses, and an average of 19.3 PPG in their past three wins.


The win for the Alouettes came at the expense of Edmonton (3-2), who have now dropped two of the past three after opening 2-0 SU. The Esks are now 3-9 ATS in the past 12 during Week 6, for whatever reason. Montreal is also a perfect 8-0 ATS across their past eight games played on a Saturday, while going 8-1 ATS in the past nine against winning teams. The Esks also saw their five-game cover streak in Montreal snapped.


Winnipeg (5-0) had their most dominant showing to date, emasculating Ottawa (2-3) by a 31-1 score. The RedBlacks opened 2-0 SU/1-1 ATS, but they have now dropped three straight while failing to cover four in a row, including 0-2 SU/ATS against the Bombers. Ottawa has been outscored 60-15 in the two meetings so far.


Hamilton (4-1) returns in Week 7 after their bye, looking to improve upon their 4-1 ATS mark.


Team Betting Notes


-- The Stampeders travel to Canada's capital city looking to keep the RedBlacks down. Calgary loves Week 7, as they're 8-0 ATS in their past seven during the week. The RedBlacks are 0-4 ATS in the past four games, and 1-5 ATS in the past six in the month of July. The under is 5-0 in Calgary's past five, and 5-1 in the past six in the month of July for the Stamps. The under is 10-2 in Ottawa's past 12 July outings. However, the over is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings in Ottawa, and 7-3-1 in the past 11 in this series overall.


-- The Argos search for their first win on the road against the Esks on Friday night. Toronto is just 7-20 ATS in the past 27 games on the road, and 2-7 ATS in the past nine overall. They have also failed to cover the past four overall. The over is 5-1 in Toronto's past six against winning teams, while the over is 5-2 in Edmonton's past seven at home. The Argos have covered four in a row in this series, while the over is 10-3 in the past 13 meetings overall, and 5-1 in the past six in Edmonton.


-- The Blue Bombers have covered 22 of the past 30 games on the road, and they're also 22-8 ATS in the past 30 against winning teams. The Tiger-Cats have managed to cover four of the past five overall, and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four at Tim Horton's Stadium in 'The Hammer'. However, the Tabbies are 1-7-1 ATS in the past nine games in the month of July. In this series, the under is 16-5 in the past 21 meetings, and 20-6 in the past 26 in Hamilton. The under is 6-0 in Winnipeg's past six against winning teams and 45-19 in the past 64 at home for the Ti-Cats.


-- The Roughriders and Lions play the back end of a home-and-home series, this time in Vancouver. The Riders are 2-6 ATS in the past eight in Week 7. They're 8-3 ATS in the past 11 inside the Western Conference, however. For the Lions, they're 2-10 ATS in the past 12 against losing teams, 1-8 ATS in the past nine overall and 1-4 ATS in the past five at home. Saskatchewan is also 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, but 1-3-1 ATS in the past five trips to BC. The under is 19-7 in the past 26 in Vancouver, and 41-19-1 in the past 61 in this series.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 7
David Schwab


Week 6 Betting Recap


The home teams swept Week 6 in the CFL straight-up while going 3-1 against the spread. The run started Thursday night with Calgary’s 26-16 victory at home against Toronto, but the Stampeders could not cover as heavy 13 ½-point favorites. On Friday night, Winnipeg stayed perfect of the year both SU and ATS with a 31-1 rout over Ottawa as 11 ½-point home favorites.


Saturday’s action started with Montreal pulling off its third-straight upset with a 20-10 victory against Edmonton closing as six-point underdogs at home. Later that night, Saskatchewan raced past British Columbia 38-25 as a six-point favorite in the first meeting in that home-and-home series.


Thursday, July 25


Calgary Stampeders (3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5
Total: 51 ½


Game Overview


Calgary remains two games back in the West Division standings as the defending champ. The total stayed UNDER 52 points in last week’s win against Toronto and it has remained UNDER in the Stampeders’ last three games.


Nick Arbuckle continues to get the start at quarterback and he has thrown for 914 yards and five touchdowns in four games. He had two touchdown passes against Toronto, but he was also picked off twice. Juwan Brescacin caught five passes for 64 yards and both of those touchdowns.


Ottawa’ losing streak reached three games with Friday’s setback. It has failed to cover the closing spread in its last four games. The RedBlacks went with Jonathon Jennings at quarterback for the injured Dominique Davis and he struggled with just 45 yards passing while going 6-for-15.


Will Arndt could not do much better with four completions on 13 attempts for 57 yards. The lone bright spot in one of Ottawa’s most dismal showings in franchise history was John Crockett’s 88 yards rushing on 15 carries.


Betting Trends


-- Calgary has a 4-1-1 SU record against Ottawa through the last six meetings. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 meetings overall and in four of the last five matchups played at TD Place Stadium.




Toronto Argonauts (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -10 ½
Total: 53


Game Overview


The Argonauts have lost 14 of their last 15 games SU dating back to late August of last season. They have failed to cover in 11 of those games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of five games this year.


Mcleod Bethel-Thompson continues to get the start at quarterback and he continues to put up some big numbers despite the 0-5 start. He completed 32-of-42 passes against Calgary for 343 yards and two touchdowns, but he also threw four interceptions. He has thrown for 1,159 yards and seven scores in five games, but he leads the CFL with eight INT’s.


Edmonton has fallen two games in back of Winnipeg in the West with Saturday’s loss. The total stayed UNDER 54 in that game and it has stayed UNDER in the its last three games. The Eskimos have won their only two games at home this season SU with a 1-1 mark ATS.


Trevor Harris completed 29-of-43 passing attempts against Montreal for 271 yards, but he could not get the offense into the end zone through the air. He also ran for 16 of Edmonton’s 49 total rushing yards.

Betting Trends


-- Edmonton has won five of the last seven meetings SU in this inter-division matchup, but Toronto holds a 4-1 edge in the last five games ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Edmonton.




Friday, July 26


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Pick 'em
Total: 55


Game Overview


The Blue Bombers continue to play extremely well on both sides of the ball. The offense is averaging 33.8 points per game complementing a defense that has only allowed a total of 80 points in its first five games. The total stayed UNDER 52 points against Ottawa and it has stayed UNDER in three of their last four contests.


Matt Nichols completed an impressive 86.2 percent of his 29 passing attempts on Friday night for 295 yards and two touchdowns. This included a franchise-high 19 completions in a row.


Hamilton is the class of the East Division behind the highest scoring offense in the CFL (37.4 PPG). Its defense has also played extremely well by holding opposing teams to an average of 20 points a game. Jeramiah Masoli has thrown for 1,517 yards and nine touchdowns in his first five games.


His top target Brandon Banks leads the CFL in receiving yards with 506 on 36 receptions. He has caught three balls for touchdowns. The Tiger-Cats are 3-0 SU and ATS at home this year with the total staying UNDER in all three games.


Betting Trends


-- The Blue Bombers have the SU 4-2 edge in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five matchups. It has also stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 12 meetings in Hamilton.




Saturday, July 27


Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) at British Columbia (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan 3 ½
Total: 52


Game Overview


The Roughriders needed three consecutive touchdown drives in the second half of the series opener to get past BC. They also got a huge boost from Marcus Thigpen’s 100-yard kickoff return for a touchdown near the end of the second quarter.


Cody Fajardo ended the game with 278 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing 17 of his 23 passing attempts. He also led the team in rushing with 53 yards and a score on eight carries. Shaquelle Evans caught five passes for 158 yards and one of the two scores through the air.


The total went OVER 50 points in Saturday’s loss and it has gone OVER in four of the Lions’ first six games. Their defense has allowed an average of 32.7 points in those first six games. It has given up at least 30 points in five of those contests.


Mike Reilly put up some big numbers on Saturday with 346 yards passing while completing 77.5 percent of his 40 attempts and BC added another 122 yards running the ball.


Betting Trends

-- With Saturday’s win, Saskatchewan improved to 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five games against the Lions. BC still has the 4-1 edge SU and ATS in its last five home games of this West Division tilt. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of the last 18 meetings at BC Place Stadium.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel


Week 7


Thursday, July 25


Calgary @ Ottawa


Game 681-682
July 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
116.128
Ottawa
105.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 10 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 5
50
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-5); Over


Toronto @ Edmonton


Game 683-684
July 25, 2019 @ 9:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
97.278
Edmonton
115.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 18
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 11 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-11 1/2); Under




Friday, July 26


Winnipeg @ Hamilton


Game 685-686
July 26, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
124.524
Hamilton
120.011
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 4 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 1 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-1 1/2); Over




Saturday July, 27


Saskatchewan @ BC Lions


Game 687-688
July 27, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
112.165
BC Lions
112.974
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3
52
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+3); Over








CFL
Long Sheet


Week 7


Thursday, July 25


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CALGARY (3 - 2) at OTTAWA (2 - 3) - 7/25/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (0 - 5) at EDMONTON (3 - 2) - 7/25/2019, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, July 26


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (5 - 0) at HAMILTON (4 - 1) - 7/26/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 2-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, July 27


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 3) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 5) - 7/27/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








CFL


Week 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, July 25


Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 1-2-2 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 11 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 2-2-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary


Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games at home
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Edmonton's last 13 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto




Friday, July 26


Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Winnipeg's last 12 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Hamilton's last 16 games
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Hamilton's last 12 games when playing at home against Winnipeg




Saturday, July 27


Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 24 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Saskatchewan's last 18 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
British Columbia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of British Columbia's last 24 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of British Columbia's last 18 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

 

[CNOTES]

Season Betting Trends


Favorites: 16-7 SU, 11-12 ATS


Home teams: 15-8 SU, 13-10 ATS


Over/Under: 11-12

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Thursday, July 25




Calgary (3-2) @ Ottawa (2-3)— RedBlacks (+9) won 32-28 in Calgary June 15, outscoring Stampeders 11-0 in 4th quarter- they scored winning TD with 1:22 left, in sloppy game where Ottawa was -2 (5-3) in turnovers. Stamps are 4-1-1 in last six series games; they’re 1-1-2 SU in last four visits to nation’s capitol. Over is 7-3-1 in last 11 series games. Calgary allowed 30+ points in both their losses; they split couple road games. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. RedBlacks lost last three weeks, scoring 1-19-14 points- they scored 44-32 points in their only wins.


Toronto (0-5) @ Edmonton (3-2)— Home side won nine of last ten series games, with Toronto covering last four; Argonauts lost last five visits to Edmonton (2-3 vs spread). Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Four of winless Argos’ five losses are by 10+ points; their road losses are by 25-27-10 points. Three of their last four games stayed under. Eskimos scored 32+ points in all three of their wins, were held to 21-10 in losses. Last three Edmonton games stayed under the total.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, JULY 25
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CGY at OTT 07:00 PM
OTT +6.5
U 49.5


TOR at EDM 09:30 PM
EDM -11.5
U 52.5