Cnotes 2019 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

[CNOTES]

CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50






Totals..............11-5-0 68.75% +28.40




******************************




BEST BETS:




DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL




06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00




Totals..................... 5 - 3...................+8.50.................6 - 2...................+13.50..............+22.00

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


— Cubs put P Cole Hamels (oblique) on the IL.


— Stanford basketball transfer Cormac Ryan bolts to Notre Dame.


— Rangers 5, Rays 0— Texas allowed five runs in its last four games.


— Golden State will offer Klay Thompson a five-year, $190M deal.


— Rockies 13, Dodgers 9— Colorado snaps a 12-game skid vs LA.


— There are only 12 baseball games on 4th of July, which is Thursday. Unusual.




**********


Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Mountain West football knowledge


Air Force- Falcons went 5-7 last two years, unusual for them; last three years, they’re 6-17-1 vs spread in Mountain West games- last four years,AF is 10-3-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Flyboys have covered 11 of last 13 non-conference games.


Boise State-Broncos won 10+ games eight of last ten years, are +24 in turnovers the last two years. Boise’s bowl game in Dallas LY was stopped late in 1st quarter LY because of bad weather and was never resumed. Broncos are 5-14 vs spread in last 19 games as a home favorite.


Colorado State- Rams slumped to 3-9 LY after five straight winning years; last two years, State is 1-7 vs spread as a home favorite. Rams lost last four bowl games, allowing average of 41.3 ppg; they lost last four games with rival Colorado (0-3-1 vs spread).


Fresno State- Redford is 22-6 in two years at Fresno; why did Cal ever fire this guy? They’re 12-5-2 vs spread as favorites under Tedford, 6-0 as an underdog, winning bowls 33-27/31-20- they’re +20 in turnovers last two years.


Hawai’i- Rainbows played in the Sugar Bowl 12 years ago, losing 41-10 to Georgia; since then, all four of their bowls have been at home, with average total of 74.8. Under Rolovich, Hawai’i is 3-9 vs spread as a home favorite, 0-3 as a road favorite.


Nevada- New QB, four new starters on OL for Wolf Pack this year, who are 8-4 vs spread at home in two years under Norvell; five of their top six rushers, nine of top 10 receivers are back. Last three years, Nevada is 4-9 vs spread in non-league games.


UNLV- Five straight losing years for Rebels, who move into the Raiders’ new dome next year; they’ve played in one bowl since 2000. Last three years, UNLV is 4-9 vs spread when laying points at home. Rebels’ last bowl win outside of Las Vegas was 1984 (30-13 vs Toledo).


New Mexico- Bob Davie is in his 8th year with Lobos; they went 3-9 last two years. Last time UNM played in a bowl other than on their home field was a 34-19 loss to Navy in ’04 Emerald Bowl. New Mexico has only two starters back on defense this year.


San Diego State- Nine straight winning years for Aztecs, who slumped to 7-6 LY; – they were 0-8 vs spread as a favorite, and were blanked by Ohio U in their bowl (27-0). Aztecs have top six rushers back from LY and three starters back on OL.


San Jose State- Spartans are 3-22 in two years under Brennan; they were +1 in turnovers LY, after going -26 in 2017. Last five years, State is 9-19 as a road underdog, but were 4-2 LY. SJS won last four bowls, but last one was in 2015.


Utah State- Aggies went 11-2 LY, after three straight losing seasons; their coach moved on, so the new coach is Gary Andersen, who went 26-24 as Aggies’ coach from 2009-12. USU has only two starters back on offense. Since ’16, Aggies are 10-2-1 as home favorites.


Wyoming- After going +24 in turnovers in ’17 with a 8-5 record, Cowboys were 6-6 LY with a +4 TO ratio. Last three years, Cowboys are 6-2 as home favorites, 8-4 as home dogs- last four years, they’re 19-13 vs spread as an underdog.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 3
David Schwab


Saturday, June 29


British Columbia Lions (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -10 ½
Total: 53


Game Overview


The arrival of Mike Reilly as BC’s new starting quarterback drew the attention of the betting public when it came to the team’s CFL futures odds to win this season’s Grey Cup title. It has been a rocky start for Reilly through his first two games with 473 yards passing on a completion rate of 54.5 percent. He has thrown for two touchdowns against three interceptions. The Lions’ leading rusher has been John White with 28 yards on 12 carries.


Week 3 will be a good test to see if Calgary’s 32-28 loss to Ottawa in Week 1 as a nine-point favorite was just a fluke. The Stampeders’ lineup on both sides of ball is filled with quite a few new faces from last season’s championship run. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 275 yards with one touchdown pass and one interception in the season opener. He completed 59.0 percent of his 39 passing attempts. Calgary’s defense gave up 276 yards through the air and another 125 yards on the ground against the RedBlacks.


Betting Trends


-- Calgary has won seven of its last eight games against the Lions SU and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings. The total has also stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings in Calgary.




*********************************




CFL


Dunkel


Week 3


Saturday, June 29


BC Lions @ Calgary


Game 685-686
June 29, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
105.246
Calgary
119.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 14 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 10 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-10 1/2); Under




*******************************




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 3




Saturday, June 29


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 2) at CALGARY (0 - 1) - 6/29/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL


Week 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Saturday, June 29


British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
British Columbia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary


Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 12 games at home
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia




---------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up




BC Lions (0-2) @ Calgary (0-1)— Stampeders won six of last eight series games, with last five regular season meetings staying under total. Lions lost four of last five visits to Calgary (2-3 vs spread). BC allowed 39-33 points in losing first two games this season; they were outgained 409-202 in Edmonton last week. have been outscored 38-12 in 2nd half of games this month. Calgary lost its opener 32-28 at home to Ottawa, blowing an early 21-6 lead; Stampeders were +2 in turnovers (5-3) but were outgained 401-318.


Season totals:
Home teams: 2-5
Favorites: 3-3
Over/under: 6-1




************************************




CFL Week 3 preview, odds, picks and predictions: Riding the Roughriders offense
Rohit Ponnaiya


BC LIONS AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS


Line: Calgary -10.5, O/U 52.5
Time: Saturday, June 29, 7:00 p.m. ET


In Week 1 the Stampeders showed their vulnerabilty on defense by allowing the Redblacks to score 32 points against them at home. Calgary's strong defense last year was built around their terrific D-Line and the departure of three starters from that unit has hurt.


That should allow Mike Reilly to finally play like the QB that the Lions thought they had when they spent a boatload of money on him as a free agent. Reilly has been a disappointment through the first two games of the year but, at least on paper, the Lions still have a dangerous offense with Reilly airing the ball out to Bryan Burnham and Duron Carter (son of NFL Hall of Famer Chris Carter).


The Stamps should also be able to put up points thanks to one of the top quarterbacks in the game in Bo Levi Mitchell and a squad of talented weapons surrounding him. The Lions allowed 33 points to Winnipeg in Week 1 and 39 points to Edmonton last week. With this game having the lowest total of the week grab the Over.


PICK: Over 52.5

 

[CNOTES]

PREVIEW
LIONS, STAMPS SEARCH FOR FIRST WIN SATURDAY NIGHT
CFL.CA STAFF


CALGARY – The CFL’s two most recent MOPs will go head to head at McMahon Stadium Saturday, when the BC Lions travel to visit the Calgary Stampeders.


Quarterbacks Bo Levi Mitchell and Mike Reilly have shared the last three Most Outstanding Player Awards, with Mitchell winning a pair (2016 and 2018) and Reilly taking home one (2017).


The two pivots have long been regarded as the league’s best and are no strangers to one another. This will be the 14th meeting between them, with Mitchell holding a 7-4 record over Reilly. Of those 14 meetings, three have come in the playoffs.


The two men find themselves in the top-20 on the all-time CFL passing yards list, with Mitchell having just cracked the exclusive club in Week 1. Mitchell passed legendary Canadian QB Russ Jackson of the Ottawa Rough Riders.


Despite the pedigree of their quarterbacks, the Lions and Stampeders are both looking for their first win of the season.


DeVone Claybrooks’ tenure as a head coach has not gotten off to an ideal start, with the Lions dropping their first two games by double-digit margins. Claybrooks will be coaching against his former colleagues on Saturday – he spent seven years on the Calgary coaching staff, including three as the defensive coordinator, after finishing his playing career in Cowtown.


“It’s an important game because it’s the next game,” Claybrooks told BCLions.com. “Every team has a history with other teams. I still have a house there and I still enjoy it and it has a special place in my heart and everything like that but I’m here in BC to win games and put a good product on the field.”


A bright spot for BC has been Bryan Burnham, who emerged as Reilly’s favourite target. Through the first two weeks, the six-year veteran was second in the league in receiving yards, thanks mainly to a big, 153-yard performance in Week 1. With Burnham, Duron Carter and Lemar Durant on the roster, the Lions aerial attack should find its form.


However, the Lions run game has not looked encouraging, earning only 57 yards in two games. Veteran tailback John White simply hasn’t been able to replicate the play that saw him earn all-star honours with the Edmonton Eskimos in 2014, but the season is still young.


The running game of the Stamps was also uncharacteristically quiet in Week 1. Don Jackson, Calgary’s breakout star last season, could only manage 43 yards against a stiff REDBLACK run defence. The 25-year-old looked frustrated at times, even taking an objectionable conduct penalty in the second half.


“We’re human. We make mistakes,” Jackson told Stampeders.com. “The bye week was good for us, I think. Everybody got to double-down and feel real good about their body. Can we be better? Yes. Of course. Will we be better? Yes. Of course.”


A shocking stat from Calgary’s loss to the REDBLACKS; the defending Grey Cup champions didn’t put up a single point on offence in the second half. For a team that is used to do minating the opposition (Mitchell’s career winning percentage of .805 is the highest ever for a quarterback), that is completely unexpected. The franchise did lose half their starters from the Grey Cup last season, but they’ll look to get back on track at home.


The Stampeders defence had a game to remember in the turnover department. Calgary notched four interceptions against Dominique Davis, three of which belonged to Tre Roberson. Then again, it was Davis’s first game as the REDBLACKS starter, and Reilly will be playing in his 142nd contest on Saturday.


“We want to make him uncomfortable,” Stamps head coach Dave Dickenson said to Stampeders.com of Reilly. “We have to play our defence. We’ll see what they come up with to try to protect him and control the clock, but we’ve got to worry about ourselves – make sure we play well and play physical.”


A major storyline from the orange and black’s Week 2 loss to Edmonton was the play of the Eskimos front seven. Reilly was sacked seven times, and the offensive line knows their play must improve if the team is going to find success.


“We’re going to work harder and try to be more physical up front,” lineman Sukh Chungh explained. “Practice is a little ramped up; something we needed. It’s good for us. We need to be better than we were last week and that’s the mindset going into every week.”


Week 3 is far too early to start dubbing games “must-win,” but both the Stamps and the Leos are in desperate need of a victory.


BY THE NUMBERS


12 – The number of starters from last year’s Grey Cup team who started for Calgary in Week 1.


67 – Consecutive games that Bryan Burnham has recorded at least one reception.


5 – The number of losses for Dave Dickenson at home during his CFL head coaching career, including the season opener against Ottawa.


100% – The combined field goal percentage of Calgary’s Rene Paredes (2-for-2) and BC’s Sergio Castillo (8-for-8).


Kickoff is at 7:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN and ESPN+, and followed live via CFL.ca Game Tracker.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, JUNE 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BC at CGY 07:00 PM


BC +10.0


O 52.0

 

[CNOTES]

GAME RECAP
STAMPS COMPLETE INCREDIBLE COMEBACK AGAINST LIONS TO GRAB FIRST WIN
CFL.CA STAFF


CALGARY — Quarterbacks Nick Arbuckle and Bo Levi Mitchell led the Calgary Stampeders to a fourth quarter comeback victory against the BC Lions on Saturday night, with the Stamps coming out on top 36-32 to grab their first win of the season.


The Lions’ defence managed to keep Mitchell and the Calgary passing game in check early on, but the quarterback got things going in the second half and finished with 252 passing yards and two touchdowns. Arbuckle entered the game late in the fourth quarter to replace Mitchell after the quarterback left with an apparent shoulder injury, and the backup stepped up to complete all nine of his passes and lead the Stamps to two crucial touchdown drives.


Stamps receiver Eric Rogers had a huge game with three touchdowns and 100 receiving yards on nine catches, and Markeith Ambles led all receivers in yardage with nine catches for 108 yards.


Costly penalties put Calgary behind early on, with the Lions scoring three touchdowns off roughing the passer, pass interference and roughing the kicker penalties.


Mike Reilly was extremely efficient and effective all night long for BC, completing 86 per cent of his passes for 354 yards and two touchdowns in the loss.


Running back John White also had a strong performance for the Lions, contributing 151 total yards and two touchdowns. Receiver Bryan Burnham chipped in 10 catches for 94 yards, while Lemar Durant finished with five catches for 83 yards and a touchdown.


Stamps defensive back Tre Roberson appeared to continue his hot start to the season on the opening drive by grabbing his fourth interception and taking it to the end zone, but the scoring play was reversed after the Lions successfully challenged for a roughing the passer call. Reilly and the BC offence capitalized on the second opportunity with the quarterback throwing a 15-yard swing pass touchdown to running back John White on the very next play.


The milestone touchdown pass was the 150th of Reilly’s CFL career, and Reilly completed the two-point convert pass to receiver Jevon Cottoy on the following play to give BC the early 8-0 advantage.


The Lions added to their first quarter lead after a costly pass interference call against Calgary placed the ball on the one-yard line. Receiver Bryan Burnham drew the penalty by going up high for a pass while being double-covered in the end zone. BC made the most of the positive field position with White taking the short hand off and scoring his third touchdown of the season. Kicker Sergio Castillo added the extra point to put the Lions up 15-0.


Calgary got on the board just after the start of the second quarter when punter Rob Maver sent a kick through the end zone for a single point.


The Stamps were close to having a key defensive stop after a big sack from linebacker Wynton McManis forced BC to punt, but a roughing the kicker penalty extended the Lions’ drive. Reilly seized the opportunity provided by the Calgary penalty and added to his team’s lead with a beautiful 22-yard touchdown pass to receiver Lemar Durant on a deep out route.


Reilly stood tall and took a hit while making the touchdown throw, his thirteenth consecutive completion of the game. Castillo’s extra point attempt hit the upright, leaving the Lions with 21-1 lead.


Mitchell began to get things going for Calgary near the end of the second quarter, with the quarterback driving the Stamps’ offence down the field for five first downs and their best possession of the half. Mitchell completed key throws to receivers Michael Klukas, Reggie Begelton and Markeith Ambles before finding Eric Rogers for a three-yard touchdown pass. Calgary added the two-point convert with Ambles taking a short pass from Mitchell and fighting his way into the end zone, cutting BC’s lead down to 12 points.


But BC continued to move the ball on offence, and Reilly responded to the Calgary touchdown with another big drive. The Lions’ offence quickly drove down the field once again and was on the doorstep in position to score until a solid goal line stand from Calgary’s defensive front shut down the drive. Stamps defensive back Royce Metchie finished the drive off with a third down tackle to keep Reilly out of the end zone on a quarterback sneak, leaving BC with a 22-10 lead heading into half time.


The Lions managed to get some momentum back at the start the third quarter when defensive back Aaron Grymes made an impressive play to intercept Mitchell, but BC’s offence was unable to convert the turnover into points. The interception was the first for the Lions’ defence this season.


Calgary continued to chip away at the Lions’ lead with a 43-yard field goal from kicker Rene Paredes, making the score 22-13. But Reilly put distance between the two teams once again by responding with a field goal drive. Castillo made the 21-yard kick to put the Lions up 25-13 in the fourth quarter.


The Stamps found a big momentum boost after that when Mitchell found Rogers deep down the field for a 42-yard touchdown. Mitchell then completed another pass in traffic to Rogers for the two-point convert, cutting the BC lead down to just four points.


But Calgary simply could not find a way to slow down Reilly and the efficient BC offence. The quarterback put together a lengthy drive with sharp and accurate throws, leading his team down the field and finishing off the 12-play, 76-yard drive with a 10-yard touchdown run up the middle. Castillo added the extra point to put the Lions up 32-21.


Things took a bad turn for Calgary after that when Mitchell was forced to leave the game with what appeared to be a shoulder injury. But Arbuckle came in at quarterback for the Stamps and led the team down the field with under two minutes to go. Arbuckle capped off the drive with a one-yard rushing score, and the quarterback completed the two-point convert pass to follow it up and make the score 32-28 with 1:20 remaining.


The Stamps then recovered an onside kick and proceeded to make magic happen once again on offence with Arbuckle. The quarterback capped off a beautiful drive with a three-yard touchdown pass to Rogers to give Calgary its first and only lead of the game.


Week 4 will see the BC Lions face the Toronto Argonauts on the road next Saturday, while the Calgary Stampeders will be on the road against the Saskatchewan Roughriders next Saturday.

 

[CNOTES]

CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


06/29/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50






Totals..............13-5-0 72.22% +38.40




******************************




BEST BETS:




DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL


06/29/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00




Totals..................... 6 - 3...................+13.50.................7 - 2..................+18.50............+32.00

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack


Spreads for football games on August 29/30:


— Cincinnati (-3.5) vs UCLA


— Tulane (-3) vs Florida Int’l


— Utah (-6) vs BYU


— Wake Forest (-3.5) vs Utah State


— Wisconsin (-11) vs South Florida


— Colorado (-11) vs Colorado State


Quote of the Day
“We have to repair this bridge between the current players and the people who paved the way – the true trailblazers in this game who helped give us this platform that allow us to make millions of dollars while doing something that we love.”
Caron Butler


Sunday’s quiz
Who is the only catcher to lead either league in home runs for a season?
(Hint: He is in the Hall of Fame)


Saturday’s quiz
Terry Collins was the manager of the Mets before Mickey Callaway.


Friday’s quiz
Drew Bledsoe threw the most passes in an NFL game, 70.


*******************


Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..


13) Today is June 30 but we’re going to hear a lot of stuff about the NBA starting tonight, with free agency starting. NBA’s offseason is often more interesting than the season itself.


12) New York 17, Boston 13— Game was 6-6 after the first inning with neither pitcher getting three outs; this game looked more like beer league softball than major league baseball.


11) At 2:13 Saturday afternoon, after the 6-6 first inning, Dave Cokin posted on Twitter that in live betting, the total on the New York-Boston game was 23.5 (+$130). It went way over that.


10) Lot of college basketball coaches are over in Greece for the FIBA u19 World Cup, where there are six uncommitted American 5-star prospects playing, as well as several prospects from Canada and Puerto Rico- the tournament runs thru July 7th.


9) Mets’ manager Mickey Callaway makes $850,000 to manage the Mets, and in reality, he is just a button-pusher who is ordered around by the team’s GM. Not a lot of cash for a manager, and in a big market at that.


What I’m suggesting is that being the Indians’ pitching coach might be a better job than managing the Mets, seeing how the Indians’ pitching coach probably makes around $250,000 with a hell of a lot less stress and a lot more job security than Callaway has now, and he actually gets to coach the pitchers.


8) Orioles 13, Indians 0— Over last two days, Baltimore outscored the Tribe 26-0.


Orioles are 24-58 this season, but 10-6 when Andrew Cashner starts. Cashner should be the O’s representative on the All-Star team.


7) Baseball stuff:
— Cardinals put OF Marcell Ozuna (broken finger) on the IL.
— Cubs DFA’d OF Carlos Gonzalez.
— Red Sox put P Brian Johnson (non-baseball injury) on the IL.
— Twins activated Byron Buxton, Martin Gonzalez from the IL.


6) Nikola Mirotic signed a contract with Barcelona of the EuroLeague; most people thought he would get an NBA deal for $45-50M, but sounds like he didn’t like the NBA very much.


5) Hamilton 41, Montreal 10— CFL games don’t often have scoreless first quarters; according to Ralph Michaels on Twitter, this was just the 27th scoreless first quarter in the last 973 CFL tilts. 24 of those 27 games stayed under the total, including this one.


4) This week is the first time since 2005 that the 54-hole leader at PGA Tour events led by 6+ shots in back/back weeks. Nate Lashley shot a 63 Saturday, is 23-under thru three rounds.


3) SLS casino in Las Vegas is changing its name back to the Sahara Las Vegas: I stayed there for ten days in 2015. Nice enough casino, small rooms, very tight video poker, good eating places, but no sports book, just a counter in a restaurant to bet on games.


2) Minimum salary for a rookie in the NBA next season: $898,310.


1) The Mets have won only two World Series:
Jerry Koosman was on mound for the Mets for the last out of the ’69 World Series.


In ’78, he was traded to the Twins for a package including Jesse Orosco.


Jesse Orosco was on the mound for the last out of the ’86 World Series.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 3
David Schwab


Monday, July 1


Toronto Argonauts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -13
Total: 54


Game Overview


Toronto started this season pretty much the way it played last season with a bad loss. The 2017 Grey Cup Champions sunk to just four straight-up victories last year. The Argonauts’ defense allowed a touchdown on six consecutive Hamilton drives in Saturday’s loss, in what was the team’s worst loss ever in this heated East Division battle. James Franklin got the call at quarterback and he threw for 211 yards and no scores against one interception. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson completed nine-of-16 passes for 99 yards and the team’s only touchdown throw.


The Roughriders hung tight against Ottawa last Thursday coming off a tough loss to Hamilton on the road in Week 1. With quarterback Zach Collaros once again sidelined with an injury, Cody Fajardo took over the reins and completed 27 of his 34 passing attempts against the RedBlacks for 360 yards and two touchdowns against zero interceptions. Saskatchewan’s defense allowed 354 yards and three scores through the air.

Betting Trends


-- Saskatchewan has a SU 5-1 record against Toronto in the last six meetings with a 4-2 edge ATS. However, the Argonauts are 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against the Roughriders.




************************




CFL


Dunkel


Week 3




Monday, July 1


Toronto @ Saskatchewan


Game 687-688
July 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
96.166
Saskatchewan
115.386
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 19
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 13 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-13 1/2); Over




***********************




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 3




Monday, July 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (0 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 2) - 7/1/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in July games since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




********************************




CFL


Week 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Monday, July 1


Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan


Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Saskatchewan is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto




*********************************




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up




Toronto (0-1) @ Saskatchewan (0-2)— Roughriders won five of last six series games; Toronto is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Regina, losing last two, 27-19/38-27. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Argonauts lost their home opener 64-14 to Hamilton LW, getting outscored 44-0 in 2nd half; they gave up 604 yards to the TiCats. Riders lost their first two games by 3-6 points, falling 44-41 in Ottawa LW. Argos are 6-18 vs spread in their last 24 road games. Happy Canada Day to our friends north of the border.




********************************




CFL Week 3 preview, odds, picks and predictions: Riding the Roughriders offense
Rohit Ponnaiya




TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS


Line: Saskatchewan -11.5, 53.5
Time: Monday, July 1, 7:00 p.m. ET


I faded Riders replacement QB Cody Fajardo last week and paid the price. Fajardo completed 27 of 34 passes for 360 yards and two touchdowns, and the Riders put up 41 points against the Redblacks in a three-point loss. Fajardo and dangerous running back William Powell should have a big game on Canada Day against an Argonauts defense that was gashed for 64 points by Hamilton last Saturday.


Toronto's offense wasn't much better with 14 points and 322 yards but has the talent to play much better with S.J. Green, Armanti Edwards and Derel Walker catching passes and James Wilder Jr. running the ball.


Saskatchewan's defense played very well in Week 1 against Hamilton before getting shredded for 447 yards and 44 points against Ottawa. With the O/U set at a very reasonable 53.5, back the Over.


PICK: Over 53.5

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, JULY 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TOR at SSK 07:00 PM


SSK -10.0


U 52.0

 

[CNOTES]

GAME RECAP


CODY FAJARDO LEADS RIDERS TO DECISIVE WIN OVER ARGOS
CFL.CA STAFF


REGINA — Cody Fajardo led the Saskatchewan Roughriders to a 32-7 Canada Day victory over the Toronto Argonauts on Monday, with the quarterback accounting for a career-best 430 passing yards and three total touchdowns. The Riders excelled on both sides of the ball to grab their first win of the season in the home opener.


Fajardo put the Riders up early and had a huge first half with 293 passing yards, two touchdown passes and a rushing touchdown.


Riders receiver Kyran Moore contributed another big performance by reeling in four passes for 127 yards, including an incredible 98-yard touchdown. Shaq Evans also stretched the field for the Riders and caught five passes for 112 yards.


Running back William Powell provided valuable yardage for Saskatchewan, accumulating 112 total yards on the ground and in the air.


James Franklin was up against a strong defensive showing from the Riders and finished with 224 yards and a touchdown on 20 completions before leaving with an injury in the fourth quarter. Franklin also added 34 rushing yards.


Saskatchewan’s defence got to the Argos’ quarterbacks for four sacks and two interceptions, with defensive end Charleston Hughes notching two sacks for the second straight game.


The Riders had a big play right off the bat when Christion Jones returned the opening kickoff 43 yards up the middle to give Fajardo and the offence solid field position. Fajardo then fired completions to Evans and Cory Watson for consecutive first downs, but the Argos’ defence stood strong and forced Saskatchewan to settle for a short field goal. Brett Lauther knocked the 2o-yard kick through the uprights to put the Riders up early. Lauther added a 33-yard field goal soon after to extend Saskatchewan’s first quarter lead.


The Argos then began to move the ball on offence until Riders linebacker Derrick Moncrief made a strong play to intercept a Franklin pass over the middle. The play was the first interception for the Riders’ defence this season. Fajardo then continued to look sharp passing the ball and did not waste time capitalizing on the Toronto turnover.


The Saskatchewan quarterback showed exceptional touch and accuracy to find Moore for an incredible 98-yard touchdown strike. Fajardo placed the ball perfectly over Moore’s shoulder as the receiver streaked down the field, and Moore took the ball 40 yards after the catch to find paydirt. The play was the longest completion for Saskatchewan since the 2002 season. Lauther added the convert kick to put Saskatchewan up 13-0 heading into the second quarter.


Saskatchewan kept things rolling on both sides of the ball with stingy defensive play and an effective passing game. Receiver Naaman Roosevelt hauled in a 33-yard pass from Fajardo on a jump ball down the right side of the field against defensive back Caleb Ham, and Watson then took a short pass and made a move to break a tackle and get across the goal line for the score. But the ensuing two-point convert attempt was shut down with Argos defensive back Abdul Kanneh in tight coverage against Roosevelt.


Fajardo led another impressive scoring drive just before halftime, completing a deep 42-yard pass to Evans and capping off the drive with a one-yard quarterback sneak rushing touchdown. Powell also helped set up the score with 14 rushing yards and an 18-yard catch-and-run on the drive. Lauther added the extra point after a lengthy weather delay due to thunder and lightning.


The Argos looked like a different team after the delay, with Franklin stepping up under pressure while taking a hit to complete a 56-yard bomb to receiver Derel Walker. Running back James Wilder Jr. followed up the big play with a 14-yard catch-and-run, and Franklin put the Argos on the board with a 12-yard touchdown pass to receiver Llevi Noel. Drew Brown kicked the extra point to make the score 26-7. Toronto went 92 yards in just over a minute.


Fajardo responded by leading the Riders on another scoring drive, this time ending with a 21-yard field goal from Lauther after Fajardo drove the team down the field with throws to receivers K.D. Cannon and Evans. Powell also chipped in 21 yards on the drive.


Franklin was leading another promising drive in the fourth quarter until he was intercepted by defensive back Nick Marshall in the end zone while trying to get a deep touchdown pass to receiver S.J. Green. Lauther later added a 45-yard field goal to put the Riders up 32-7 with 10 minutes to play.


Franklin left the game due to injury after taking a sack from Hughes with five and a half minutes to go. McLeod Bethel-Thompson came in to replace Franklin under centre for Toronto, but the Riders remained in control to walk away with their first win.


Both teams will be in action again this Saturday night, with the Toronto Argonauts hosting the BC Lions and the Saskatchewan Roughriders hosting the Calgary Stampeders.

 

[CNOTES]

CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


07/01/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/29/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/28/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/27/2019 2-0-0 110.00% +10.00
06/22/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/21/2019 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
06/20/2019 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
06/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -0.10
06/13/2019 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50






Totals..............15-5-0 75.00% +48.40




******************************




BEST BETS:




DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTAL




07/01/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/29/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/28/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/27/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/22/2019.............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/21/2019.............1 - 0................... +5.00..................1 - 0...................+5.00.............+10.00
06/20/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................0 - 1....................-5.50..............-11.00
06/15/2019.............1 - 1.....................-0.50..................1 - 1....................-0.50..............-1.00
06/13/2019.............0 - 1.....................-5.50..................1 - 0....................-0.50..............-6.00




Totals..................... 7 - 3...................+18.50.................8 - 2..................+23.50............+42.00

 

[CNOTES]

[B]Tuesday’s 6-pack[/B]


Odds for NFL teams to make playoffs:


— Jacksonville Jaguars: No -$310, Yes +$250


— Kansas City Chiefs: Yes -$400, No +$300


— Indianapolis Colts: Yes -$180, No +$150


— Houston Texans: No -$170, Yes +$145


— Green Bay Packers: No -$115, Yes -$105


— Detroit Lions: No -$500, Yes +$375

Quote of the Day
“I want to welcome Coach Robinson and his wife Miss Beverly to the LSU Family,. Coach has been a great friend and mentor to me and he will be a very valuable resource for us in growing our championship culture at LSU.”
LSU football coach Ed Orgeron


Tuesday’s quiz
Of the 32 NFL franchises, which one is the newest?


Monday’s quiz
D’Angelo Russell played his college basketball at Ohio State.


Sunday’s quiz
Johnny Bench is the only catcher to lead either league in home runs for a season; he did it twice.


**************************


Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……


13) Angels’ pitcher Tyler Skaggs passed away Monday in Texas; he was 27 years old.


Monday’s Angels-Rangers game in Arlington was postponed.


RIP, young man.


12) 29 years ago today was the only time I was ever fired from a job; it was a job in the NY State court system, and I was there for 10 months- the person they wanted to have the job didn’t score well enough on her civil service test, so they needed a schmuck to fill the item until she became reachable on the list.


I was that schmuck.


So on July 2, 1990 I was told to take a hike by the Chief Clerk, which taught me a few lessons, the biggest one being: Money ain’t everything; happiness is way more valuable.


Don’t stress out about things you can’t control. Do your best, be a good person, and things will work out well enough in the end. Health and happiness are the most important things.


11) Friday/Saturday, the Cleveland Indians became the first major league team EVER to get shutout in consecutive games, while allowing 13+ runs in both games.


10) Think about how much the NFL has changed over the last 40 years.


In 1976, the Eagles hired Dick Vermeil as coach; he had open tryouts for the public- a 30-year old bartender made the team as a special teams player, a story that was chronicled in the fine movie Invincible, with Mark Wahlberg.


That summer, the Eagles did 2-a-day practices six days a week for six weeks, played six games in the preseason. Now, 2-a-days are forbidden, they play four preseason games (the better players play 2 or 3 games, if that) and there is very little hitting in camp, to avoid injuries.


9) LSU’s football team hired former USC/Rams’ head coach John Robinson as a consultant; LSU coach Ed Orgeron became friends with Robinson when Orgeron was as assistant at USC. Robinson’s wife is from New Orleans; he last coached at UNLV in 2005, is 83 years old.


8) Tampa Bay Rays’ rookie Brendan McKay won his MLB debut on the mound over the weekend, allowing one hit, no runs in six IP. Monday night, he was the Rays’ DH.


7) Mets will pay All Stars Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso a combined $1,122,714 this season


Mets are paying Bobby Bonilla $1,193,248 this season, and every year until 2035.


6) Golfer Zach Johnson dropped out of the top 100 in the world rankings for the 1st time in over 15 years (April 2004).


5) St John’s sports teams (mostly their basketball team) switched from Under Armour to Nike this week; their 300 athletes will be outfitted wearing the swoosh.


4) Two Cleveland State basketball players joined the transfer portal Monday: Tyree Appleby (17.2 ppg, 5.6 apg) and Jaalam Hill (11.2 ppg, 6.1 rpg). There are rumors that four other players are also considering leaving- they’re not happy with coach Dennis Felton.


3) Charlie Blackmon hit .412 in June, scoring 30 runs, knocking in 25 in 22 games.


2) Kevin Durant played three whole seasons for Golden State, but the Warriors are going to retire his #35, which is weird. Golden State went 140-24 the two years before Durant got there, splitting a pair of Finals appearances. Will Andre Iguodala get his number 9 retired? Have to think Curry, Thompson, Green will all get theirs retired.


1) I’m guessing the people who make the NBA schedule (and TV schedule) have their hands full doing next season’s schedule— once the free agent dust settles, they can come up with the games they want to feature on opening night and Christmas Day.


Toronto-Brooklyn on opening night? Lakers-Warriors in Golden State’s new arena?

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack


Odds for PGA Tour event in Minnesota this week:


8-1- Brooks Koepka


10-1- Jason Day, Hideki Matsuyama


14-1- Bryson DeChambeau


25-1- Patrick Reed


30-1- Bradley, Finau, Niemann, Hovland, Sabbatini


40-1- Howell, Im, Mickelson, Moore, Na, Streelman


Quote of the Day
“You can shear a sheep many times, but you can only skin him once.”
Amarillo Slim


Wednesday’s quiz
Which major league team used to be known as the Colt 45’s?


Tuesday’s quiz
Of the 32 NFL franchises, Houston Texans are the newest.


Monday’s quiz
D’Angelo Russell played his college basketball at Ohio State.


****************************


Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….


13) On July 2, 1963, Giants beat the Braves 1-0 in 16 innings at Candlestick Park. Willie Mays homered in the 16th inning. Time of game: 4:10. No pitching changes.


Both pitchers threw complete games that night; Juan Marichal and Warren Spahn. Spahn faced 56 batters, Marichal 59.


Took me a while, but I found the pitch counts for this game; Marichal threw 227 pitches, and the 42 year-old Spahn threw 201. One of the most interesting major league games of all time.


If that ever happened today, both managers/pitching coaches would be fired before sunrise.


12) I think when they put in the 3-batter minimum in for relief pitchers, it is going to shorten games by 10-15 minutes a game. Pitching changes during an inning add around five minutes apiece.


11) One of first things I learned about baseball is that a team must be strong defensively up the middle to win a championship; some of the analytics people who run front offices now disagree with this. Take the Mets.


Amed Roasrio plays shortstop, Michael Conforto plays center for the Mets most days now; Rosario is a lousy SS and his on-base %age is .293. Mets have Lagares/Gomez, who both play CF better than Conforto but Dom Smith is hitting .330, so he plays left and Conforto plays center.


Wonder what the Mets’ pitchers would do if they made out the lineup card?


10) Speaking of the Mets, they’re skipping Steven Matz’s start this weekend and will go into the All-Star break after Zach Wheeler, Noah Syndergaard make starts the weekend.


9) According to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski, there is currently “no market” for DeMarcus Cousins, the free agent center who played for Golden State last year.


In 30 regular season games with the Warriors after recovering from an achilles injury, Cousins averaged 16.3 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.5 bpg, and 1.3 spg in 25.7 mpg- he was hoping at least for a one-year, 8-figure contract, but that looks unlikely right now.


8) Former NFL QB Anthony Wright was shot multiple times in North Carolina Monday by his girlfriend’s ex-boyfriend; Wright played for four NFL teams over the course of an eight-year career, starting 19 games- he went 5-2 starting for the 2003 Ravens.


7) Baseball stuff:
— Bronx put 1B Luke Voit (ab strain) on IL.
— 1B Kendrys Morales was released, is now a free agent.
— Cardinals put 3B Matt Carpenter (back) on the IL.


6) College basketball transfer portal:
— G Jaylen Fisher transfers from TCU to Grand Canyon.


5) Pretty good basketball trifecta at Barclays Center Dec 17:
Providence – Florida
Temple – Miami
Iona-Princeton


4) There was a hailstorm in western Mexico Sunday that covered parts of the region with as much as three feet of ice; hailstorms aren’t unusual for this time of year, but no one there had ever seen anything as extreme as this before.


3) Texas A&M has been in the SEC for seven years and still hasn’t played a football game against Georgia.


2) Red Sox will use Nathan Eovaldi as their closer when he comes off the IL.


1) One of my favorite hotel/casinos in Las Vegas turned 50 years old Tuesday; the Westgate, formerly the International and then the Las Vegas Hilton, opened on July 2, 1969.

 

[CNOTES]

Betting Recap - Week 3
July 2, 2019
By Joe Williams

This Week


-- Favorites went 4-0 SU in Week 3
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3


Year To Date


-- Favorites are 9-2 SU overall
-- Favorites are 6-5 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 8-3 SU overall
-- Away teams are 6-5 ATS overall
-- The 'Over' is 7-4 overall


Analysis


Winnipeg (2-0) picked up an impressive 28-21 victory, dealing Edmonton (2-1) their first setback of the season. The Blue Bombers have posted a 2-0 ATS mark across the first two outings, averaging 30.5 points per game (PPG) so far. They have split the totals so far.


For the Eskimos, they're averaging 30.5 PPG through two games at home, but they managed just 21 points in the road outing. The over is also 2-0 in their two home outings, and the under is 1-0 so far on the road. It's something to watch as we continue to go forward, as their next two games are also on the road.


BC Lions (0-3) is struggling, although it's their defense which is holding them back. They fell 36-32 on the road against Calgary (1-1) on Saturday, but it was their first cover of the season in three tries. The Lions have averaged 28.7 PPG through the first three games, which is fantastic offense, but their defense is awful, allowing 36.0 PPG, with at least 33 points yielded in each outing. As such, the 'over' has connected in all three of their games.


Toronto (0-2) fumbled their way through another ugly outing on Monday, falling 32-7 at Saskatchewan (1-2). While they sliced the points they allowed from the first game in half, they're still yielding 96 points through two outings.


The Roughriders have covered back-to-back games after opening with a loss and no-cover in Hamilton (3-0). The Riders are averaging 30.0 PPG through the first three contests, but the 'under' is 2-1. Outside of the Ottawa game, when they yielded 44 points, they have allowed just 30 total points in the other two outings.


Speaking of the Ti-Cats, they're looking like the CFL's best team so far. They steamrolled Montreal (0-2) by a 41-10 count, covering for the third consecutive weekend. Hamilton is averaging an impressive 42.7 PPG, posting 41 or more in two of the three outings. Just as impressive has been the defensive performance, yielding 13.7 PPG, with 17 or fewer points given up in each contest.


Team Betting Notes


-- The Ti-Cats and Alouettes will battle, this time in Montreal. Hamilton has managed an 8-3 ATS mark in the past 11 against losing records, and they're 11-5-1 ATS in the past 17 road contest.


-- The Alouettes are 6-1 ATS in the past seven games, and 6-1 ATS in the past seven against the East. They're also 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams. However, that didn't do them much good in Week 3 when they were rolled by the Ti-Cats at Tim Horton's. Montreal is 0-4 ATS in the past four home games against Hamilton, and 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings in this series.


-- The Bombers and Ottawa (2-0) square off in Canada's capital city in an early battle for the top spot in the CFL. The Bombers are 8-2 ATS in the past 10 overall, 21-8 ATS in the past 29 road games and 21-8 ATS in the past 29 against winning teams.


-- The RedBlacks are 4-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams and 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall. However, Winnipeg has dominated this series, going 4-0 ATS in the past four trips to Ottawa, and 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The over is also 4-1 in the past five in Ottawa, and 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series overall.


-- The Lions are 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall, and 2-8 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a losing overall record. The Argonauts aren't much better, going 1-4 ATS in the past five at home, and 1-5 ATS in the past six against losing teams. The Lions have cashed in four of their past five trips to Toronto. The under is also 14-2 in the past 16 meetings in Toronto, and 22-8 in the past 30 meetings in this series.


-- The Stampeders have managed a 1-5 ATS record in the past six against losing teams, and 4-12 ATS in the past 16 against West clubs.


-- The Stamps travel to meet the Roughriders, and the over is 6-2 in the past eight meetings in Regina. The over is also 6-2 in Calgary's past eight games on a Saturday, while the over is 4-1-1 in Saskatchewan's past six on a Saturday.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
July 2, 2019
By David Schwab

Last week’s slate of games in the CFL started on Thursday night with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers edging Edmonton 28-21 as five-point home favorites to stay perfect on the year. Hamilton moved to 3-0 straight-up with its 41-10 rout over Montreal on Friday night closing as a heavy 12 ½-point favorite at home.


In a wild one out west on Saturday, Calgary came from behind to beat the British Columbia Lions 36-32, but the Stampeders could not cover as 10 ½-point home favorites. In the matchup between Toronto and Saskatchewan to celebrate Monday’s Canada Day, the Roughriders rolled to a 32-7 victory closing as 11 ½-point favorites at home.


Thursday, July 4


Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -12 ½
Total: 56 ½

Game Overview


The Tiger-Cats come into the backend of this home-and-home series with a trio of wins both SU and against the spread by a combined score of 128-41. They rolled up 64 points against Toronto on the road in Week 2 after getting past Saskatchewan 23-17 in their season opener as five-point favorites at home.


Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli has thrown for 924 yards and five touchdowns against four interceptions. He has completed 72.2 percent of his first 90 passing attempts. Brandon Banks leads the CFL in receiving yards with 20 catches for 334 yards and one touchdown.


Montreal held Hamilton scoreless for the first quarter of Friday’s game before falling apart at the seams. The defense gave up 417 yards through the air and 112 yards on the ground and the offensive line gave up six sacks. V


ernon Adams Jr. took the majority of the snaps at quarterback and threw for 173 yards and one score. Matt Shiltz completed six of his eight throws for another 64 yards through the air. The Alouettes have scored a total of 35 points in their first two games while giving up 73 points in the pair of losses.


Betting Trends


-- Hamilton has covered ATS in four of its last five games against Montreal and the total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings between these two division foes. The Alouettes have lost four of their last five home games SU against the Tiger-Cats.






Friday, July 5


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3 ½
Total: 54 ½


Game Overview


The Blue Bombers have now won eight of their last 10 games both SU and ATS with last Thursday’s victory in their home opener. The total stayed UNDER 57 ½ points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven outings. Wide receiver Lucky Whitehead made the most of his CFL debut in front of the hometown crowd with a 75 yard catch for a score in the first half of that game followed by a 41-yard catch and run in the third quarter.


Quarterback Matt Nichols completed 13 of his 21 passing attempts for 200 yards and three touchdowns against one interception. He has thrown for 384 yards and six scores in his first two games this year.


Ottawa is coming off a bye week after scoring a combined 76 points in its first two games against Calgary on the road and Saskatchewan at home. It failed to cover as a 4 ½-point home favorite in the three-point win against the Roughriders in Week 2 and the total went OVER the closing line in each of the RedBlacks’ wins.


The total has gone OVER in four of their last five home games. Dominique Davis has thrown for 630 yards and three scores so far, but he has been picked off four times as well.


Betting Trends


Winnipeg has covered the closing spread in six of its last seven games against Ottawa and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings. The Blue Bombers also have 6-2 SU edge in their last eight road games against the RedBlacks.






Saturday, July 6


British Columbia Lions (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -6 ½
Total: 57.5


Game Overview


The Lions’ defense has been torched for 108 points in the unexpected 0-3 start. It has given up at least 33 points in each of those first three games. Quarterback Mike Reilly has completed 72 of his 108 passing attempts for 827 yards and four touchdowns against three interceptions.


John White has anchored BC’s running game with 92 total yards rushing on 26 carries. Bryan Burnham had a big game catching the ball against Calgary with 10 receptions for 94 yards. Reilly completed at least one pass to seven different players in the losing effort.


Toronto is picking up where it left off last season after posting just four SU wins in 2018. The offense was shutout for three of four quarters with James Franklin taking most of the snaps at quarterback. He completed 20 of his 28 passing attempts for 224 yards, but he only tossed one touchdown against two interceptions. The Argonauts gained 97 yards rushing on 18 carries with James Wilder Jr. leading the way.


Betting Trends


-- Toronto has the slight 4-2 edge ATS in the last six meetings with the total staying UNDER in six of the last seven games in this inter-division tilt. BC has won four of its last five home games against the Argonauts both SU and ATS.






Calgary Stampeders (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3 ½
Total: 51


Game Overview


The Stampeders won for the first time this season following a loss to Ottawa in Week 1, but they may have lost their quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell for this contest. He left Saturday’s game in the fourth quarter with a shoulder injury and is playing status for this Saturday is up in the air.


Nick Arbuckle took his place and led the game-winning scoring drive. He went a perfect 9-for-9 throwing the ball for 93 yards, including a touchdown throw to Eric Rogers with less than a minute left on the clock. Rogers ended the game with nine receptions for 100 yards and three scores.


Saskatchewan posted its first SU victory of year behind quarterback Cody Fajardo, in place of an injured Zach Collaros. He made a strong case to retain the starting role even if Collaros was healthy with 430 yards passing and two touchdown throws.


He completed 24-of-31 passing attempts highlighted by four completions to Kyran Moore for 127 yards and a score. William Powell ran the ball 15 times for 77 yards as the team’s leading rusher.

Betting Trends


-- Calgary has won nine of its last 12 games SU against Saskatchewan and it has covered the closing spread in six of the last nine meetings in this West Division clash. The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight matchups in Saskatchewan.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack


— Lakers 99, Kings 97— LA was down 21 points in 4th quarter.


— White Sox 7, Tigers 5— Dylan Cease wins his MLB debut.


— Stephen Strasburg struck out the side on nine pitches in 3rd inning last night.


— Brewers’ OF Ben Gamel learned to hit a baseball by hitting wine corks with a broom handle.


— There is a high school gym in Indiana where one side of the halfcourt line is in Indiana, the other side is in Ohio. Seriously.


— USC is going to pay $50M and apologize to UC San Diego for poaching its Alzheimer’s research program. Our world is slowly going crazy.


Quote of the Day
“You must be able to eat any food, sleep in any bed and make love to any woman…but not so well that she will want to follow you.”
Golfer Roberto De Vincenzo’s advice to a young Seve Ballesteros


Thursday’s quiz
Before the NBA’s Rockets played in Houston, where did they call home?


Wednesday’s quiz
Before the Houston Astrodome was built, the Astros used to be known as the Colt 45’s.


Tuesday’s quiz
Of the 32 NFL franchises, Houston Texans are the newest.


**************************


Thursday’s Den; Happy 4th of July, everyone……


13) If you know a kid who plays high school or college basketball who is really good and who dreams of making it to the NBA, make sure he watches some summer league basketball over the next couple weeks.


Lot of guys who were GREAT high school players, really, really good college players, all fighting like hell just to make an NBA roster. It ain’t easy, only the very best make it.


After the kid watches ball for a while, have him go out and practice his butt off; thats the only way to become a great player, to really work at it.


12) Speaking of which, golfer Nick Faldo said recently that when he changed his swing as a pro, he hit 1,500 balls a day to get his swing right. Thats about 38 buckets of balls. Every day.


11) If you’re going to be in Las Vegas and are interested in betting on summer league games, remember that teams need to find out what their players are capable of- the same guys aren’t going to play the same amount of minutes every game.


I’ve told this story before, how I sat behind a guy at a game a few years ago, and he was 100% sure he had a great bet, because Team A had won by 20 the day before and now today’s line was kind of low. Well, that was because Team A sat most of their better players, so they could take a look at the back end of their roster- they lost by 15.


This guy was not happy. Don’t be this guy.


10) Chicago Cubs have lost 14 of their last 18 road games; Joe Maddon is in the last year of his contract, things have to be a little tense in the Windy City. Cubs are only 45-41; first place is only 5.5 games ahead of last place in the NL Central.


9) Looking at SEC football teams are I begin prepping for this fall:
— Auburn’s offensive line has 104 returning starts, but is starting a new QB.
— Florida has a QB with 21 career starts, but its whole OL has a combined 24 starts.
— Mississippi State’s OL has 71 returning starts, but none of their QB’s have started a game.
— Missouri, Georgia, LSU have the best combination of experience at QB, offensive line.


8) This is why rookie head coaches need an experienced head coach on their staff:


Michigan’s new basketball coach Juwan Howard was asked on a radio show about recruit Franz Wagner, the younger brother of former Wolverines star Moritz Wagner. Franz Wagner is uncommitted, and could stay overseas and play pro ball instead of playing college ball.


Howard speaking publicly about the young man’s future recruiting decision is technically an NCAA violation, albeit a minor one. I’m guessing Howard got some advice from new assistant Phil Martelli when this hit the fan.


7) Baseball stuff:
— Twins put P Jake Odorizzi (blister) on the IL.


6) Coby Karl is coaching the Lakers’ summer league team; he is the son of former NBA coach George Karl who happily beat some health problems he had a few years ago. Good for him.


5) Bad news if you have Wilson Ramos on your fantasy team; Jason deGrom, Noah Syndergaard both want Tomas Nido as their personal catcher.


Mets need the DH to come to the National League as soon as possible.


4) OK, I get confused when NBA teams trade for a player, then buyout the guy’s contract and he goes to a better team as a free agent. They do it for salary cap reasons, but to sign who? Teams like the Suns are always going to suck unless they get some good players who actually stay there and play.


3) Back in the 90’s, Pat Riley wrote a book called The Winner Within; it dealt with stages of team building. One of the stages was called “The Disease of Me” which is when people who are a part of the team start to think they’re “THE reason” a team wins, rather than “A reason”


NBA free agency reminds me of this, players scattering to get paid and the whole league re-booting. When the dust clears in August, we’ll look at which rosters got better/worse, but all 30 teams re-boot this summer, with teams near the top of the league re-booting the most.


2) RIP to former Kentucky QB Jared Lorenzen, who passed away way too young this week at age 38; he appeared in four NFL games as a backup with the Giants, threw for 10,354 yards and 78 TD’s at Kentucky. RIP, sir.


1) When Virginia Tech lost basketball coach Buzz Williams to Texas A&M, they also lost almost all their players; all four of their incoming recruits jumped ship (three went with Williams to A&M), plus three of their seven returning players entered the transfer portal.


Former Wofford coach Mike Young will be a first-time ACC coach at age 56; the Hokies saw their top five scorers leave, five kids that accounted for 90% of Tech’s scoring and 73% of its rebounding in 2018-19. Young will have his hands full, for sure.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


Dunkel


Week 4


Thursday, July 4


Hamilton @ Montreal


Game 689-690
July 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
123.643
Montreal
106.138
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 17 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 12
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-12); Over




Friday, July 5


Winnipeg @ Ottawa


Game 691-692
July 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
116.158
Ottawa
114.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+3 1/2); Under




Saturday, July 6


BC Lions @ Toronto


Game 693-694
July 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
115.165
Toronto
103.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 12
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 7 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-7 1/2); Under


Calgary @ Saskatchewan


Game 695-696
July 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
112.350
Saskatchewan
118.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 6 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-4 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

This report will update....




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 4


Thursday, July 4


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAMILTON (3 - 0) at MONTREAL (0 - 2) - 7/4/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, July 5


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (2 - 0) at OTTAWA (2 - 0) - 7/5/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, July 6


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 3) at TORONTO (0 - 2) - 7/6/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (1 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 2) - 7/6/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

This report will update....




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Thursday, July 4


Hamilton (3-0) @ Montreal (0-2)— Ti-Cats waxed Montreal 41-10 at home LW, in game that was scoreless after a quarter; road team won seven of last ten series games- Alouettes are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Total yardage in last week’s game: 529-364, Hamilton, which also turned ball over four times but still scored 41 points. Four of last six series games went over the total. Ti-Cats won/covered first three games, scoring 64-41 points last two weeks. Montreal allowed 32-41 points in losing its first two games.


Season totals:
Home teams: 5-6
Favorites: 6-4
Over/under: 7-4