Cnotes 2017 NFL Trends/Stats/News/Picks Thru The Super Bowl

[CNOTES]

SuperContest Picks - Week 11
November 18, 2017


The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.


Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.


The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.


This year's contest has 2,748, which is an all-time record.


Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.


Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8


Week 9 | Week 10




Week 11


1) Philadelphia -3.5 (1306)
2) New England -6.5 (1086)
3) Detroit -2.5 (928)
4) Minnesota -2 (749)
5) New Orleans -7.5 (586)


SUPERCONTEST WEEK 11 MATCHUPS & ODDS
Away Team Selections Home Team Selections
Tennessee (+7) 207 Pittsburgh (-7) 181
Detroit (-2.5) 928 Chicago (+2.5) 382
Kansas City (-10.5) 426 N.Y. Giants (+10.5) 300
Tampa Bay (PK) 331 Miami (PK) 320
Baltimore (-2) 535 Green Bay (+2) 474
L.A. Rams (+2) 561 Minnesota (-2) 749
Arizona (PK) 209 Houston (PK) 432
Jacksonville (-7.5) 421 Cleveland (+7.5) 400
Washington (+7.5) 433 New Orleans (-7.5) 586
Buffalo (+5.5) 251 L.A. Chargers (-5.5) 561
Cincinnati (+2.5) 216 Denver (-2.5) 583
New England (-6.5) 1086 Oakland (-6.5) 329
Philadelphia (-3.5) 1306 Dallas (+3.5) 349
Atlanta (+2.5) 453 Seattle (-2.5) 506

WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS
Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage
1 0-5 0-5 0%
2 3-2 3-7 30%
3 2-3 5-10 33%
4 4-1 9-11 45%
5 1-4 10-15 40%
6 2-3 12-18 40%
7 0-5 12-23 34%
8 2-3 14-26 35%
9 3-2 17-28 38%
10 1-4 18-32 36%
11 - - -
12 - - -
13 - - -
14 - - -
15 - - -
16 - - -
17 - - -

 

[CNOTES]

NFL WEATHER WATCH:




The weather will match the quality of football in Cleveland when the Browns play the Jaguars as 7.5-point home dogs. Temperatures will drop to 30 degrees with wind gust of up to 35 mph and a chance of rain/snow mix. Total at 37.5 points.




East Rutherford could get blown away with wind gust up to 40 mph for the Giants’ home stand with the Chiefs. Kansas City is a 10-point favorite on the road while the total is at 45.5 points.


NFL WEATHER WATCH:




Chicago will see some wind – surprise, surprise – with gusts up to 40 mph and temperatures just below freezing. The Bears are 3-point home underdogs to Detroit with total at 41 points.




It's going to be chilly and windy at Lambeau Field, where the Packers host the Ravens as 2-point dogs. Temperatures will feel like they're in the low 20s with wind gusts of up to 40 mph. Total at 38.5 points

 

[CNOTES]

Essential Week 12 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday


Oakland Raiders wideout Amari Cooper has picked up his production of the the last few weeks but he still leads the NFL in receiver drops at 10 this season according to Pro Football Focus.


Los Angeles Rams at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5, 45.5)


The Rams own one of the best offenses in the league and a menacing defense led by defensive lineman Aaron Donald. Special teams can get lost in the shuffle sometimes and just like the second last round of your fantasy football draft, people are forgetting about the kicker. Greg Zuerlerin, who also goes by Legatron according to ESPN’s Alden Gonzalez, is on pace to score 203 points this season which would top the single season points record held by LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006.


Legatron is 28 for 29 on his field goal tries this season and is a perfect 30 for 30 on his extra-point kicks.


LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 2-point chalk but the line has moved up a half point in their favor. The total opened at 46 and has dropped down to 45.5.


TRENDS:


*The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games.
*The Vikings are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 home games.
*The over is 4-0 in the Rams’ last four road games.


Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers (+2, 38)


Former Ravens tight end Dennis Pitta went on Baltimore radio and told listeners the problem with Baltimore’s offense is that his good friend and former teammate Joe Flacco isn’t set up for success.


"Right now, Joe has one read, and then he's got to check it down if it's not there," Pitta said. "That's really the offense they have set up for him. It's difficult to play quarterback under those circumstances."


Flacco is in the midst of his worst season as a pro and sits at No. 31 in the league in passer rating at 72.7.


LINE HISTORY: The Ravens opened as 2.5-point road faves but the line has been bet down to as low as 1.5 at some shops. The total is also moving down from 38.5 to now 37.5 at a few locations.


TRENDS:


*The over is 5-0 in the Ravens’ last five games overall.
*The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.


Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (+3, 41)


Good news for Lions backers. Detroit should have all five of its preseason projected starters available for the first time this season. The Lions were ranked 29th in Pro Football Focus’ elite pass blocking efficiency after the first four weeks of the season. Only four other teams have allowed more sacks than the Lions at 30.


LINE HISTORY: No movement on the spread but the total has come down three points after opening at 44.


TRENDS:


*The Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
*The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Chicago.


Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (-7.5, 51)


The fight with flight Saints have been replaced by the ground and pound unit of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. The pair are on pace to accumulate the most yards from scrimmage for a running back duo since 1978 according to FiveThirtyEight.


New Orleans gashed the Bills for 298 rushing yards on 48 carries last weekend. Washington has allowed 139.7 rushing yards per game over its last three contests. Only the Dolphins, Bills, Giants and Bengals have allowed more yards per game over that stretch.


LINE HISTORY: The Saints have bounced between 7.5 and 8.5-point faves this week. The total has been bet up a point from 50 to 51.


TRENDS:


*Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
*The Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with losing records.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (7.5, 37)


There isn’t much the Browns do well but stopping the run is one thing they do. Cleveland allows the fourth fewest rushing yards per game at 86.4 and a league-best 3.1 yards per carry.


The Jags might be without their best running back this weekend. Leonard Fournette missed practice on Friday and is questionable to play on Sunday. Jacksonville will force feed backup tailback Chris Ivory if Fournette is a no-go. Quarterback Blake Bortles didn’t do much to instill confidence in the Jags coaching staff after last week’s performance.


LINE HISTORY: The Jags have floated between 7.5 and 8-point chalk this week. The total opened at 38 but is listed at 37 at most shops heading into the weekend.


TRENDS:


*The Browns are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games.
*The Jags are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
*The under is 13-3 in the Browns' last 16 home games.


Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans (-1.5, 37.5)


Blaine Gabbert will start at quarterback for the Cardinals against the Texans but this isn’t just a meaningless, mop-up spot. Gabbert is liked by the Arizona coaching staff as demonstrated by the fact the team held onto Gabbert even though he didn't win the backup QB job in preseason.


Drew Stanton is out of the picture this weekend because of a twisted knee which gives Gabbert a chance to prove to offensive coordinator Harold Goodwin that he should be in contention for the starter’s job next season.


LINE HISTORY: The Cardinals opened as 1.5-point favorites offshore and are now getting between 1.5 to 2 points depending on the book. The total opened as high as 45 and is now down to as low as 37.5.


TRENDS:


*The under is 7-1 in the Cards’ last eight games.
*The Cards are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins (+1, 41.5)


This is the game the Bucs and Dolphins were originally scheduled to play in Week 1 but had to delay to this weekend because of Hurricane Irma.


The Phins sure could have used that bye week right about now to fix their defense. The club has given 112 points in their last three games – all loses – and opponents are averaging 407 offensive yards while converting better than 52 percent on third down.


LINE HISTORY: The Fish opened as short faves but the line has drifted to the other side with the Bucs now 1-point chalk.


TRENDS:


*The Bucs are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
*The over is 4-0 in Miami’s last four games.


Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants (+10.5, 46)


How bad is it for the G-Men? They are double-digit home dogs for only the fifth time since 1978 according to ESPN Stats and Info. New York covered in each of those previous four instances but it’s hard to imagine a situation uglier this one for the Giants.


LINE HISTORY: The Chiefs opened as high as 13-point road faves but the line has been bet down to 10.5. The total has moved up two points from 44 to 46.


TRENDS:


*The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
*The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.


Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5, 41)


The Bills decided to make a switch at quarterback by dropping Tyrod Taylor to the bench in favor of rookie Nathan Peterman. He tossed for 2855 yards and 27 touchdowns last season at Pitt and completed 43 of 79 pass attempts for 453 yards and a touchdown in NFL preseason action this past summer.


The Bolts were worried Philip Rivers wouldn’t be able to play this weekend as he recovers from a concussion from last weekend but he has been medically clear to play.


LINE HISTORY: The books installed the Chargers are 4-point home faves and moved the spread up a couple points after Buffalo announced it would start a rookie at QB this weekend.


TRENDS:


*The Bills are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
*The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
*The over is 4-0 in Buffalo’s last four games.


New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (+7, 54.5)


The Raiders are rich in offensive playmakers but their receivers are letting down quarterback Derek Carr. Oakland receivers Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree and tight end Jared Cook have a combined 11 drop passes this season according to the Washington Post. Pro Football Focus scores it a little differently with Cooper leading the league in drops at 10 through 11 weeks.
The Raiders can’t afford a case of the dropsies if they want to keep pace with the Patriots in Mexico City on Sunday.


LINE HISTORY: The books opened with the Pats giving 5.5 points but the line has crept up to 7.5 at some shops. The total has moved up four points from 50.5 to 54.5.


TRENDS:


*The Pats are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with losing records.
*The Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.


Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-2.5, 38)


The Broncos are on a five-game skid that’s seen them be outscored 68-165 by their opposition. Team president John Elway told reporters he thinks the Broncos went “a bit soft” after going 4-0 in the preseason and then 3-1 to start the year.


LINE HISTORY: The total opened at 40 and has been bet down to 38. There has been no movement on the spread.


TRENDS:


*The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
*The under is 12-5 in the Bengals’ last 17 games overall.


Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+5, 48)


Dallas will be without left tackle Tyron Smith again this weekend as the All-Pro is dealing with groin and back injuries. The Falcons took advantage of the replacement offensive tackle by sacking Dak Prescott eight times last week.


LINE HISTORY: The Eagles opened as 3.5-point faves but the public has pushed the price up another point to 4.5. The total opened at 47 and is now sitting at 48 at most shops.


TRENDS:


*The Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
*The over is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last six games against teams with winning records.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL


Sunday, November 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Eagles at Cowboys
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


After throwing for 15 scores in his previous seven games, Prescott used his legs with a play-action touchdown run in Dallas' 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week.


Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+5, 48)


The Dallas Cowboys will enter Sunday night's home tilt versus the surging Philadelphia Eagles without star running back Ezekiel Elliott, and perhaps decorated Pro Bowl offensive tackle Tyron Smith. After seeing his team's offense remain stuck in neutral without both studs last week, quarterback Dak Prescott may need to outduel fellow second-year quarterback Carson Wentz at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.


After throwing for 15 scores in his previous seven games, Prescott used his legs with a play-action touchdown run in Dallas' 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week. The 24-year-old only threw for 176 yards - and for a 5.87 average - due in large part to constant pressure, with defensive end Adrian Clayborn recording six of his team's eight sacks to disrupt any offensive continuity. While the Cowboys saw their three-game winning streak halted, Philadelphia has emerged victorious in seven in a row and could put a stranglehold on the NFC East title should it avenge last season's 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas. Wentz threw for just 202 yards in that outing, but the 24-year-old has thrown 17 of his NFL-best 23 touchdown passes in the last five games and guides the league's second-ranked offense at 31.4 points per contest.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

POWER RANKINGS: Eagles (-5) - Cowboys (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Eagles -0.5.

LINE HISTORY: The Cowboys opened as 3.5-point home dogs against their NFC East rivals and money on the road team has pushed that line to +5 at most shops. The total hit the betting board at 46.5 and was quickly bet up to 48.5 where it currently sits.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Cowboys would have been the favorite in this game one month ago, but Dallas will now be missing several key players in this divisional primetime game and that is why the Cowboys are now a home underdog. Philadelphia is coming off their bye week and it will be interesting to see if they can continue their momentum as they are 7-0 SU (6-1 ATS) in their past seven games. Last season the Eagles started 3-0 SU/ATS, but then went 2-9 SU (3-8 ATS) after their bye week." - Covers Expert Steve Merril

WHAT BOOKS SAY: 
"Major sharp money on the Eagles has come in throughout the week. We briefly moved down to -3 right after opening, but Philly money has poured in since. The Cowboys didn't look well without Tyron Smith and Ezekiel Elliott last week, and the betting public is reacting as well." - Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

INJURY REPORT:


Eagles - CB Ronald Darby (Probable, Ankle), S Jaylen Watkins (Probable, Hamstring), WR Alshon Jeffery (Probable, Ankle), TE Zach Ertz (Probable, Hamstring), CB Sidney Jones (Questionable, Achilles), K Caleb Sturgis (Doubtful, Quadricep)


Cowboys - CB Chidobe Awuzie (Probable, Hamstring), WR Dez Bryant (Probable, Ankle), DT Maliek Collins (Questionable, Foot), LB Justin Durant (Questionable, Groin), TE Geoff Swaim (Questionable, Knee), CB Orlando Scandrick (Questionable, Hand), S Jeff Heath (Doubtful, Concussion), OT Tyron Smith (Out, Groin), LB Sean Lee (Mid December, Hamstring), RB Ezekiel Elliott (Eligible Week 16, Suspension).

ABOUT THE EAGLES (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS, 6-3 O/U): Offseason acquisition Alshon Jeffery has three touchdowns in his last two games and also found the end zone in two of his last three meetings with Dallas. Zach Ertz aims to return from a two-game absence due to an ailing hamstring and pick up where he left off, as the 27-year-old has five touchdowns in his last four contests. Ertz leads all NFC tight ends in receptions (43), yards (528) and TDs (six) this season and reeled in 13 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns versus the Cowboys last season.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 O/U): While Elliott's absence is due to his suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy, Smith could sit out his second straight game as a result of a groin injury that prevented him from practicing on Wednesday and Thursday. Byron Bell received first-team reps in his place in favor of Chaz Green, who started and struggled at Atlanta. Alfred Morris rushed five times on the opening drive last week and finished with 53 yards on 11 carries. Dez Bryant has been slowed by an ailing knee, limiting him to just 39 yards receiving in two of his last three games.

TRENDS:


* Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.


* Cowboys are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.


* Over is 14-2 in Eagles last 16 road games.


* Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road chalk Eagles at a rate of 74 percent and the Over is getting 73 percent of the totals action.

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LAR at MIN 01:00 PM
MIN -1.0


ARI at HOU 01:00 PM
U 38.5


BAL at GB 01:00 PM
BAL -2.5


JAC at CLE 01:00 PM
JAC -7.0


WAS at NO 01:00 PM
O 53.0


TB at MIA 01:00 PM
TB -1.5


KC at NYG 01:00 PM
KC -10.0
U 45.0


DET at CHI 01:00 PM
CHI +3.0
U 41.0


BUF at LAC 04:05 PM
LAC -7.0
O 41.0


NE at OAK 04:25 PM
OAK +7.0


CIN at DEN 04:25 PM
DEN -2.5
O 38.0


PHI at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL +5.5
O 47.5

 

[CNOTES]

NFL Today, Week 11
November 19, 2017


SCOREBOARD



Monday, Nov. 20


Atlanta at Seattle, 8:30 p.m. EST. The Falcons (5-4) are coming off their most impressive victory of the season, a 27-7 domination of Dallas last week. Matt Ryan and Atlanta take on Russell Wilson and Seattle for the third time in the past 13 months, with the teams splitting the last two meetings - including the Falcons' NFC divisional playoff win in January. The Seahawks (6-3) won't have defensive leaders Richard Sherman, Cliff Avril or Kam Chancellor in this one because of injuries.


---


STARS


Passing


- Tom Brady, Patriots, threw for 339 yards and three touchdowns to lead New England to an easy 33-8 victory over Oakland in Mexico City.


- Drew Brees, Saints, passed for 385 yards and two touchdowns, going 11 of 11 for 164 yards and his only two touchdowns on New Orleans' final two possessions of regulation in a 34-31 overtime win over Washington.


- Andy Dalton, Bengals, threw three touchdown passes in Cincinnati's 20-17 win over the Broncos on Sunday, their first win in Denver since 1975.


- Matthew Stafford, Lions, threw for 299 yards and two touchdowns in Detroit's 27-24 win over Chicago.


- Kirk Cousins, Redskins, passed for 322 yards and three touchdowns, finishing 22 of 32 with no interceptions in Washington's 34-31 overtime loss at New Orleans.


- Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buccaneers, threw for 275 yards and two touchdowns, and Tampa Bay snapped a six-game road slide by topping Miami 30-20.


- Carson Wentz, Eagles, threw for two touchdowns and three 2-point conversions after Philadelphia lost kicker Jake Elliott to a head injury, in a 37-9 victory over Dallas.


---

Rushing


- Mark Ingram, Saints, capped a 134-yard rushing performance with gains of 20 and 31 yards on back-to-back carries to set up the winning field goal by Wil Lutz in New Orleans' 34-31 overtime win over Washington.


- Jordan Howard, Bears, ran for 125 yards and a touchdown in Chicago's 27-24 loss to Detroit.


- LeSean McCoy, Bills, rushed for 114 yards and a score and also caught a 12-yard TD pass in Buffalo's 54-24 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers.


- Latavius Murray, Vikings, rushed for 95 yards and two touchdowns in Minnesota's 24-7 win over the Los Angeles Rams.


- Samaje Perine, Redskins, carried 23 times for 117 yards, including a 1-yard TD, in a losing cause as Washington fell to New Orleans 34-31 in overtime.


- D'Onta Foreman, Texans, ran for two fourth-quarter touchdowns to help Houston to a 31-21 win over Arizona, but was carted off the field with an ankle injury after his second score.


---

Receiving

- Keenan Allen, Chargers, had 12 receptions for 159 yards and two touchdowns in Los Angeles' 54-24 win over Buffalo.


- Kenny Stills, Dolphins, had seven catches for 180 yards and a TD in Miami's 30-20 loss to Tampa Bay.


- Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals, caught nine passes for 91 yards and a TD in Arizona's 31-21 loss at Houston.


- Davante Adams, Packers, had 126 yards on eight catches in Green Bay's 23-0 loss to Baltimore.


- Brandin Cooks, Patriots, caught six passes for 149 yards, including a 64-yard touchdown, in New England's 33-8 rout of Oakland.


- Adam Thielen, Vikings, finished with 123 yards, including a 65-yard TD, on six receptions in Minnesota's 24-7 win over the Los Angeles Rams.


---


Special Teams


- Wil Lutz, Saints, kicked a 28-yard field goal in overtime to lift New Orleans to a 34-31 triumph over Washington.


- Matt Prater, Lions, booted a 52-yard field goal through a gusting win with 1:35 remaining and Detroit held on to beat Chicago 27-24.


- Patrick Murray, Buccaneers, kicked a go-ahead 35-yard field goal with 4 seconds remaining to help Tampa Bay beat Miami 30-20.


- Aldrick Rosas, Giants, kicked a 23-yard yard goal in overtime to lead New York to its second win of the season, 12-9 over Kansas City.


- Ardarius Glanton, Buccaneers, recovered a fumble for a TD on the final play as Miami tried a lateral-filled last-ditch attempt at a kickoff return in Tampa Bay's 30-20 win.


- Stephen Gostkowski, Patriots, set a New England record with a 62-yard field goal at the end of the first half of a 33-8 victory over Oakland.


---


Defense


- Yannick Ngakoue, Jaguars, had 2 1/2 sacks of DeShone Kizer to help lift Jacksonville to a 19-7 win at Cleveland.


- Casey Hayward, Chargers, made two of the Chargers' five interceptions by Buffalo rookie quarterback Nathan Peterman and Los Angeles cruised to a 54-24 victory.


- Telvin Smith, Jaguars, recovered a fumble in the end zone for a touchdown with 1:14 remaining in Jacksonville's 19-7 win at Cleveland.


- DJ Hayden, Lions, ran back a fumbled snap 27 yards for a touchdown in Detroit's 27-24 victory at Chicago.


- Korey Toomer, Chargers, returned an interception 59 yards for a touchdown in Los Angeles' 54-24 rout of Buffalo.


---


STREAKS & STATS


With their 34-31 overtime victory over Washington, the New Orleans Saints became the first team since the 1970 merger to win eight consecutive games immediately following an 0-2 start. ... DJ Hayden ran back a fumbled snap by Chicago for a touchdown to give Detroit seven return TDs this season, tying a team record. The Lions also beat the Bears for the eighth time in nine games. ... Minnesota's Adam Thielen had 123 yards on six receptions in the Vikings' 24-7 win over the Los Angeles Rams, giving him 916 yards this season. The only player in Vikings history to reach 900 yards receiving by the 10-game mark was Randy Moss, who did it in 2000 and 2003. ... The Giants' Eli Manning started his 209th consecutive game, moving into second place ahead of his brother, Peyton. Brett Favre holds the record of 297. ... Bills kicker Stephen Hauschka set an NFL record by making his 13th consecutive field goal of 50 yards or longer during the third quarter of Buffalo's 54-24 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. He also tied the franchise record with his sixth 50-yard field goal of the season. ... Philadelphia's 37-9 win over Dallas was its eighth straight, the Eagles' longest streak since 2003-04 and tied with New Orleans for the best current run in the NFL.


---


MILESTONES


Arizona's Larry Fitzgerald (15,157) passed Tony Gonzalez (15,127) for the fifth-most yards receiving in NFL history. He also joined San Francisco's Jerry Rice was the only players in league history to record 15,000 or more yards receiving with one team. ... New Orleans' Michael Thomas has 151 catches in 24 career games, joining Odell Beckham Jr. (176) and Anquan Boldin (154) as the only players in NFL history with at least 150 catches in his first 25 career games. ... New England's Tom Brady became the first quarterback with 300-yard games in three countries, throwing for 339 in a 33-8 win over Oakland in Mexico City. Brady has also passed for 300 yards or more twice in London and 79 times in the United States.


---


STILL GOING


With a 33-8 win over Oakland, the New England Patriots improved to 8-2 and clinched their 17th straight season without a losing record, tying the 1957-73 Cleveland Browns for the second-longest streak in NFL history. Dallas has the record with 21 straight from 1965-85.


---

STINGY DEFENSE


Baltimore's 23-0 victory over the Green Bay Packers was its third shutout of the season. The Ravens last accomplished the feat when the Ray Lewis-led defense had four shutouts for the Super Bowl-winning team in 2000. The last NFL team to have three was New England in 2003. The Packers were last shut out on Nov. 19, 2006, when then-starter Brett Favre left with an elbow injury in the first half of a 35-0 loss to New England.


---

DARK DAYS


The Cleveland Browns fell to 1-25 under coach Hue Jackson with a 19-7 loss to Jacksonville. They are 4-43 since Nov. 30, 2014 - the worst 47-game stretch in NFL history.


---


IT'S BEEN A WHILE


Cincinnati's 20-17 win over the Broncos on Sunday was the Bengals' first victory in Denver since 1975, when franchise founder Paul Brown was their head coach. That snapped the Bengals' 10-game losing streak in Denver and sent the Broncos to their sixth straight loss, their longest skid in 27 years.


---


DRE DAY


Houston inducted Andre Johnson as the inaugural member of the Texans Ring of Honor. Johnson spent 12 seasons in Houston and is the team's leader in yards receiving (13,597), receptions (1,012) and touchdown receptions (64). He was given a red jacket and feted with a halftime ceremony attended by dozens of former Texans. ''I just wanted to come here and play. Just do things the right way,'' Johnson said. ''I just wanted to be a good football player.''


---


SWARMING D


Casey Hayward made two of the Chargers' five interceptions during an awful first half by Buffalo rookie quarterback Nathan Peterman, and Los Angeles cruised to a 54-24 victory over the slumping Bills on Sunday. Korey Toomer returned Peterman's first interception 59 yards for a touchdown on Buffalo's opening drive. Tre Boston and Trevor Williams had the Chargers' other picks. Peterman was pulled from his first NFL start with a 37-7 halftime deficit after just 14 pass attempts for the Bills.


---

ROARING JAGUARS


With Jacksonville's 19-7 win at Cleveland, the Jaguars are 7-3 and leading their division after 10 games for the first time since 1999, when they were atop the AFC Central at 9-1. It's a stunning turnaround for a team that went 3-13 last year and wasn't expected to do much. Jacksonville has won four straight, its longest winning streak since 2007.


---


SIDELINED


Miami quarterback Jay Cutler left the Dolphins' 30-20 loss to Tampa Bay with at least his third concussion over the past seven years. Miami linebacker Chase Allen and Tampa Bay right guard Evan Smith also suffered concussions. ... Houston running back D'Onta Foreman suffered a leg injury after scoring on a 34-yard run against the Cardinals. Texans trainers looked at Foreman for a few minutes before a cart arrived on the field, and Foreman was driven to the locker room. The severity of the injury wasn't immediately known. ... Washington running back Chris Thompson broke his right fibula in the third quarter of the Redskins' 34-31 overtime loss at New Orleans after his leg was caught awkwardly under Saints defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins. ... Chicago linebacker Leonard Floyd was carted off after trying to defend a rushing play against Detroit. ... Green Bay lost defensive lineman Kenny Clark, who was taken off on the cart in the Packers' 23-0 loss to Baltimore. Clay Matthews hurt his groin in the first half. ... Buffalo lost recently acquired wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin to a right knee injury after a 20-yard catch on the Bills' opening drive in a 54-24 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. Buffalo safety Micah Hyde injured his knee early in the second half.


---


SPEAKING


''It was just a fiesta all over the field.'' - New England tight end Rob Gronkowski after the Patriots cruised to a 33-8 victory over Oakland in Mexico City.


---


''I am trying to win. These players are trying to win. ... This team is in games. This team is hanging around games. The defense is playing good. The offense will make a play here and there. We just do not make enough NFL plays to win the game. That is what we have to do, and we have to do it better.'' - Cleveland coach Hue Jackson, who dropped to 1-25 with the Browns after a 19-7 loss to Jacksonville.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL notebook: Darby refutes allegations against Winston
November 19, 2017


Philadelphia Eagles cornerback Ronald Darby said he was in an Uber ride with Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston in 2016 and the accusations that his former college teammate groped the driver "are just not true."


The NFL is investigating the female Uber driver's allegation that Winston groped her during a ride after she picked him up in Scottsdale, Ariz., on March 13, 2016. Winston has denied the allegation.


Darby, who played with Winston at Florida State in 2013 and 2014, released a statement Sunday, two days after the NFL confirmed the investigation.


"I felt the need to come forward and clarify some inaccurate accounts of the evening of March 13, 2016 when myself, a friend and Jameis Winston took an Uber ride in Arizona," Darby said in his statement. "There were three of us in the car, not just one as has been reported. Myself and Jameis were in the backseat. I am confident that nothing inappropriate in nature happened in the car that evening and Jameis did not have any physical contact with the Uber driver. The accusations are just not true."

--A proposed contract extension for commissioner Roger Goodell reportedly is on track to be completed soon despite Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones recently threatening to sue the NFL if the extension is approved.


Goodell's proposed extension is expected to be completed at or before the NFL owners' Dec. 13 meeting in Dallas, sources familiar with the deal told ESPN's Adam Schefter.


According to the report, if all the bonus criteria are achieved in the proposed new deal, Goodell's total potential compensation could average about $40 million for each year from 2019 to 2023, making it a five-year extension worth up to about $200 million.

--Miami Dolphins quarterback Jay Cutler was removed from his team's game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers due to a concussion evaluation.


Cutler was tackled on the next-to-last play -- a 1-yard run -- of the first half by Tampa Bay's Ryan Russell. Cutler stayed down for a moment and got up slowly.


He did not return for the second half, and the team announced he was under evaluation for a concussion and was ruled out for the rest of the game.


--Browns defensive tackle Jamie Meder left Cleveland's game against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the second quarter because of an ankle injury.


He did not return to the contest.


Meder was working as a backup to starter Danny Shelton in the Browns' defensive line rotation.

 

[CNOTES]

SuperContest Picks - Week 11
November 20, 2017


The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry.


Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.


The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.


This year's contest has 2,748, which is an all-time record.


Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.


Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8


Week 9 | Week 10




Week 11


1) Philadelphia -3.5 (1306) WIN
2) New England -6.5 (1086) WIN
3) Detroit -2.5 (928) WIN
4) Minnesota -2 (749) WIN
5) New Orleans -7.5 (586) LOSS

SUPERCONTEST WEEK 11 MATCHUPS & ODDS
Away Team Selections Home Team Selections
Tennessee (+7) 207 Pittsburgh (-7) 181
Detroit (-2.5) 928 Chicago (+2.5) 382
Kansas City (-10.5) 426 N.Y. Giants (+10.5) 300
Tampa Bay (PK) 331 Miami (PK) 320
Baltimore (-2) 535 Green Bay (+2) 474
L.A. Rams (+2) 561 Minnesota (-2) 749
Arizona (PK) 209 Houston (PK) 432
Jacksonville (-7.5) 421 Cleveland (+7.5) 400
Washington (+7.5) 433 New Orleans (-7.5) 586
Buffalo (+5.5) 251 L.A. Chargers (-5.5) 561
Cincinnati (+2.5) 216 Denver (-2.5) 583
New England (-6.5) 1086 Oakland (-6.5) 329
Philadelphia (-3.5) 1306 Dallas (+3.5) 349
Atlanta (+2.5) 453 Seattle (-2.5) 506

WEEKLY AND OVERALL CONSENSUS RECORDS
Week Consensus Record Overall Record Percentage
1 0-5 0-5 0%
2 3-2 3-7 30%
3 2-3 5-10 33%
4 4-1 9-11 45%
5 1-4 10-15 40%
6 2-3 12-18 40%
7 0-5 12-23 34%
8 2-3 14-26 35%
9 3-2 17-28 38%
10 1-4 18-32 36%
11 4-1 22-33 40%
12 - - -
13 - - -
14 - - -
15 - - -
16 - - -
17 - - -

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday


Saints 34, Redskins 31 OT— Washington led 31-16 with 3:10 left to play, but then gave up two TD’s in 1:48, and screwed up a chance to win game at the end of regulation, getting intentional grounding called on them when they were in Saints territory.


Saints have now won eight games in a row (6-2 vs spread); Redskins were first team since Week 2 to pass for more than 5.0 yds/pass attempt against them (8.2). New Orleans has run ball for 150+ yards in five of their last six games. Over is 5-1 in Washington’s last six games.


Vikings 24, Rams 7— Rams scored on their first drive of the game, never scored again; they lost a fumble on 1-yard line when game was 7-7 in 2nd quarter- they’ve done that in two of their three losses. LA is -6 in turnovers in their three losses, +12 in their wins.


Minnesota has won six games in row, covered last five; they were held to 9-7 points in their two losses. Vikings only went 3/out once in this game, which helped their field position.


Giants 12, Chiefs 9 OT— KC has now lost four of its last five games after a 5-0 start, this one in dismal fashion- they didn’t score a TD against a Giant team that had given up 13 TD’s on its opponents’ last 32 drives. 6-4 Chiefs are still in first place in AFC West, but only because their division stinks this year.


Alex Smith threw three INTs, which led to Giants having an 8-yard advantage in field position; there will now be murmurs about Patrick Mahomes taking over at QB next year, when Smith is a free agent— the rumor mill thinks Kansas City will let Smith walk.


Texans 31, Cardinals 21— Houston’s 2nd-string QB beats Arizona’s 3rd-string QB; Cardinals scored three TD’s, but on drives of 17-15-51 yards, all set up by the Arizona defense. Redbirds lost despite a 13-yard edge in field position, which doesn’t happen much- they’re 1-6 when they allow more than 15 points.


Jaguars 19, Browns 7— Three NFL teams turned ball over five times Sunday; all of them played at home, including the God-awful Browns, who are now 0-10, 2-8 vs spread.


If you were optimistic (dumb) enough to bet on the Browns in this game, you were on the wrong side of the Bad Beat of the Week. Jaguars were sleep-walking their way to a 13-7 win— Cleveland had the ball on its own 20 with 1:24 left, but Kizer was sacked/fumbled and Jacksonville covered the 8-point spread on a defensive TD with 1:14 left.


Jacksonville has won four games in a row and is in first place in the AFC South.


Lions 27, Bears 24— Prater kicked a 52-yard FG with 1:35 left as Detroit won its third game in a row, scoring 31.7 ppg in those games; they’re 3-1 on the road. Having a kicker who makes long FG’s outdoors in November is a huge plus. Lions are 8-1 in their last nine games with Chicago, which had ball up 10-0 in 2nd quarter, before Detroit scored a defensive TD on a fumble return that helped turn the tide in their favor. Bears lost their last three games, are now 3-7.


7) UCLA fired football coach Jim Mora Jr on his birthday Sunday, which was the bad news. Good news for Mora? He gets an $11M severance package. Birthday cake is on him!!!!


Rumor mill has UCLA going heavy after former Eagles/Oregon coach Chip Kelly.


Buccaneers 30, Dolphins 20— Miami is awful; they turned ball over five times, were called for 17 (accepted) penalties for 133 yards- they threw an INT on three of their first four drives.


Down 20-7, Dolphins battled back to tie game 20-all, before Bucs won it on a FG with 0:04 left; Tampa Bay had an 11-yard edge in field position- their two TD drives were only 5-37 yards, as Miami’s turnovers were their undoing. Dolphins have now lost four games in a row.


Ravens 23, Packers 0— You know it could be a long day for a team when a score graphic comes on at 1:25 and that team’s QB already has two INT’s. Baltimore had a ridiculous 27-yard edge in field position in this game- five of their 13 drives started in Green Bay territory.


Packers have lost four of their last five games; Ravens are 13-3 in last 16 post-bye games. Four of Baltimore’s five wins have come against backup QB’s, Andy Dalton being the exception.


Chargers 54, Bills 24— Buffalo benched QB Tyrod Taylor despite a 5-4 record and started rookie Nathan Peterman in this game, who then threw four INT’s on his first nine passes, as Chargers jogged to a ridiculously easy win.


Bills have lost three games in a row; coach McDermott has to be careful he doesn’t lose his locker room, putting in an incompetent rookie QB when Buffalo was 5-4 and in possession of the last playoff spot. Taylor played the second half of this game, figures to start going forward.


Patriots 33, Raiders 8— New England won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); they outscored last four opponents 76-16 in first half. Oakland lost six of its last eight games, as AFC West suffers thru one of its worst seasons ever. Raiders have only two takeaways (-9) in their last seven games- they allowed 121 points in their last four games.


In college basketball Sunday, Ohio U beat Indiana State 96-94 in four OT’s; must’ve been a fun game to watch.


Bengals 20, Broncos 17— Denver lost its last six games (0-6 vs spread), thanks to a -14 turnover ratio in those games; they lost last three home games. Cincy ends a 10-game losing streak in the Mile High City, but in their last three games, Bengals have run 140 plays, their opponents 241- the Cincinnati offense needs to give the defense a break now and then.


Cincinnati had a 100-yard INT return in this game that wasn’t a TD— the guy dropped the ball while he was running and fell on it, on the 1-yard line.


I’m guessing its not a lot of fun being around John Elway these days.


Eagles 37, Cowboys 9— Dallas led this game 9-7 at the half; in second half, Eagles had ball four times before they ran clock out the last time they had ball- Philly ran 29 plays for 271 yards three TD’s, just in the second half. Eagles have a three-game lead in NFC East with six weeks left to play.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL Record For November......Based on 5 units ( Best Bets and Opinons )


11/19/20178-8-150.00%-4.00
11/16/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
11/13/2017 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
11/12/2017 10-14-0 41.67% -27.00
11/09/2017 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00
11/06/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
11/05/2017 5-8-1 38.46% -19.00
11/02/2017 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50




Totals.........28 - 34 - 3.......45.16%.......-47.00




Best Bets:...................ATS...................Unit s........... ..O/U.............Units...............Total


11/19/2017..............4 - 3 - 1..............+3.50...............1 - 4............-17.00..............- 13.50
11/16/2017................1- 0..................+5.00...............1 - 0............+5.00..............+10.00
11/13/2017................0 - 1..................-5.50...............0 - 1.............-5.50...............-11.00
11/12/2017................1 - 2..................-4.50...............1 - 8............-39.00...............-43.50
11/09/2017..............0 - 0 - 1...............+0.00..............1 - 0............+5.00................+5.00
11/06/2017................1 - 0..................+5.00..............0 - 1.............-5.50................-0.50
11/05/2017................0 - 2..................-11.00..............3 - 1............+9.50................-1.50
11/02/2017................1 - 0..................+5.00..............0 - 0............+0.00...............+5.00




Totals.....................8 - 9 - 2..................-2.50................7 - 15...........-52.50..............-55.00


*******************


11 /02 / 17 -Thursday Night POM........New York Jets + 3....34 - 21............Winner

 

[CNOTES]

Betting Recap - Week 11
November 20, 2017


Overall Notes


NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 11 RESULTS


Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 11-2
Against the Spread 9-3-1


Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7
Against the Spread 5-7-1


Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-7


The largest underdogs to win straight up
Giants (+10, +350 ML) vs. Chiefs, 12-9 (OT)
Bengals (+2.5, +130 ML) at Broncos, 20-17


The largest favorite to cover
Chargers (-7) vs. Bills, 54-24
Jaguars (-7) at Browns, 19-7
Patriots (-7) at Raiders, 33-8
Steelers (-7) vs. Titans, 40-17


Giant Confusion

-- The New York Giants fell to the winless San Francisco 49ers in Week 10, so they were going to get creamed by the Super Bowl hopeful Kansas City Chiefs, right? Well, the hard-to-figure G-Men ended up putting up a tremendous defensive effort in a 12-9 overtime victory against the Chiefs. The Giants improved to 2-8 SU and 4-6 ATS, as you never know which team is going to show up. Remember when they won straight-up on the road against the Denver Broncos as 13 1/2-point underdogs back on Oct. 15. The 'over' was also 5-2 over their past seven, so naturally the game was the lowest-scoring game on the entire schedule after overtime no less.


STOP LATERALLING ON THE FINAL PLAY!!!


-- With a total of 44, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers kicked the game-winning field goal with :04 left in regulation, taking a 23-20 lead on the Miami Dolphins. 'Under' bettors are OK, right? Wrong. The Dolphins had a series of laterals, all the while going in the complete opposite direction. Naturally, the ball clips off a Miami player and falls into the end zone where Adarius Glanton of the Bucs pounces on it for the 29-20 left with :00 left. Of course, the NFL makes them kick the meaningless extra point, too, just in case bettors could use an adjustment to the result of their teasers, too.
Total Recall


-- The Philadelphia Eagles tried their hardest on Sunday Night Football to cash the 'over' (48.5), putting up 30 second-half points. The Dallas Cowboys didn't come along for the ride, however, going without any points in the second half, and with just three field goals for the entire game. Nah, they're not missing Ezekiel Elliott at all after two outings of his six-game suspension. No wonder Jerry Jones is working hard to make sure Roger Goodell is not brought back as NFL Commissioner.


-- The two lowest totals on the board -- Jacksonville-Cleveland (37) and Cincinnati-Denver (37.5) each cashed the 'under'. In fact, the Jags scored a defensive touchdown late, or the score would have been even lower. The Bengals-Broncos game might have been a push at some shops, but officially it cashed by a half-point at most shops. The 'over' had been 3-1 in the past four for Cincinnati, while the 'over' was 3-0 in the past thre for Denver, mostly because their defense hasn't been able to stop anyone.


-- The New England-Oakland (55.5) game at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City was expected to be a shootout at elevation, but only the Patriots got the memo. They posted 33 points, while the Raiders didn't score their first points until the fourth quarter well after the result of the game was decided. At least Washington-New Orleans (53) was as advertised. The teams combined for 25 points in the fourth quarter in a game decided in overtime. The 'over' is 3-2 at the Superdome this season.


-- The 'Over/under' is 1-1 through the first two primetime games of Week 11, and the 'over' is 21-13 (61.7%) through the first 34 primetime games of the 2017 season with Monday's Atlanta Falcons-Seattle Seahawks game still pending. Officially, the 'over' finished 27-24 (52.9%) through 51 games under the lights in 2016. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.


Injury Report


-- Rams WR Robert Woods (shoulder) had his arm in a sling after Sunday's loss at Minnesota due to a shoulder injury. He'll have an MRI on Monday.


-- Redskins RB Chris Thompson (leg) suffered a fractured fibula which requires surgery and he is done for the season.

Looking Ahead


-- The Lions will host the Vikings to kick off Thanksgiving. The teams met back in Week 4, with the Lions winning 14-7 as 2 1/2-point underdogs at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. These teams also met last Thanksgiving, with the Lions winning and covering. In fact, Detroit is 3-0 SU/ATS with the 'under' going 3-0 in the past three meetings in this series. The 'under' is 7-1 in the past eight meetings in this series.


-- The Redskins will host the Giants in the evening game on Thanksgiving. The Giants have dominated this series lately, going 6-2 SU/ATS in the past eight meetings. Washington has won just once in the past four home games against the G-Men, while going 1-3 ATS. Four of the past five meetings at FedEx Field have resulted in the 'under', too.


-- The Colts host the Titans looking to avenge a 36-22 loss on Monday Night Football back on Oct. 16, failing to cover a seven-point number. It also snapped an 11-game winning streak by Indianapolis in the series dating back to Oct. 30, 2011. The Titans haven't won in Indianapolis since Dec. 30, 2007. The 'over' has connected in four of the past five meetings in the series.


-- The Falcons host the Buccaneers, a team they haven't had a lot of luck against lately. Atlanta is just 1-3 SU/ATS over the past four meetings in this series. The 'over' has hit in three of the past four meetings in Atlanta, although this is the first meetings at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium.


-- The Patriots host the Dolphins, and they opened as 16 1/2-point favorites. New England has won eight straight games at Gillette Stadium against Miami dating back to Sept. 21, 2008. The Patriots are also 5-0 ATS in their past five home games against the Dolphins, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings overall.

 

[CNOTES]

Books survive Pats, Eagles
November 20, 2017


If I told you that Las Vegas' two biggest risks in Sunday's NFL Week 11 action would cover the spread, would you be inclined to believe the sports books lost on the day? How about if one them was the massive public favorite in a night game situation with almost every live parlay and teaser waiting to cash? Or how about if favorites went 8-3-1 against the spread on the day?


The answer isn't necessarily yes or no. It's complex. There were a lot of different moving parts happening in the books. Yes, the popular Eagles (-6.5) won 37-9 at Dallas on Sunday night and the Patriots (-7) beat the Raiders 33-8 while 7,200 feet above sea level in Mexico City. But some books found themselves able to withstand the most popular 13-to-5 parlay payout of the day (Pats-Eagles) and show a profit.


"Our day has actually been okay with big wins from the Bengals and Giants and covers by the Redskins (+9 at Saints) and Vikings (-2 vs. Rams)," said Station Casinos sports book director Jason McCormick. "The Patriots (-7) was our worst game of the day, but we're thankful that it stayed Under the total (55.5)."


It should be noted that the Patriots stayed in the high altitude of Colorado Springs all last week after winning at Denver to be prepared for the excessive heights of Mexico City. The Raiders flew straight in from Oakland, which is 43 feet above sea level, on Saturday. The Patriots (8-2) have won six straight and they've covered the past four weeks.
McCormick said that they did well enough from the first 11 games that an Eagles cover wouldn't make them a loser on the day. It was the same situation at the 10 MGM Resorts sports books across the strip.


"The Philly cover gives back about half of what we won on the day," said MGM's sports book hub manager Jeff Stoneback just prior to kickoff. "Philly and Over (48) would be our worst scenario."


Stoneback opened the Eagles as 3.5-point favorites at Dallas and they closed at -6 -115 while most other books like Wynn and Stations closed at -6.5.


"We got a lot of sharp Dallas buy back on the phones to keep us from going to -6.5," said Stoneback.


William Hill books had 95 percent of their action on the game taking the Eagles, most of it rumored to be from one bettor who has a duffle bag full of cash and who lays six-figures, or whatever he can get, at multiple bet shops in town. He's part of the reason why there was such a rapid line movement around town. The public is the other reason as William Hill had 89 percent of the tickets written on the game taking the Eagles. Philadelphia (9-1) has won eight straight and covered its last seven. Of course they're popular, everyone is cashing with them.


The night games this season have been a thorn in the side of books for most of the season.


"Seems like all these isolated night games finish the same way with the favorite and Over happening," said Stoneback, bracing himself for the worst decision Sunday night which didn't happen. "On Thursday night we had the Steelers and Over hit and the past four Monday night's have seen favorite to the Over."


A few books lost with the Eagles decision, and others remained in the black after posted, but most were unified in the key games they won with.


Before the Giants 12-9 overtime home win against the Chiefs, KC coach Andy Reid had been 16-2 coming off a bye. The Giants (+10.5) moved to 2-8 on the season while the Chiefs dropped to 6-4 after a 5-0 start. The Chiefs only win in their last five came against the lowly Broncos, who dropped their sixth straight Sunday at home against the tired Bengals. Both those games turned out to be the biggest wins between the first 11 games of the day for MGM books.


"The Giants win was huge for us," said Stoneback. "It was half our win on the day and most of the win came from big money-line parlays taking the heavily favorites teams; they bet a lot to win a little and we've got a couple of players that routinely bet the games like that.


The Chiefs led the NFL with the fewest turnovers on the season with four, but had three passes intercepted Sunday. The Wynn Las Vegas sports book closed the game a city high +400 on the Giants money-line.


"Our second-best win was Cincinnati beating the Broncos outright in the afternoon games," Stoneback said of the Bengals 20-17 win at Denver (-3 EV). "The Broncos had a ton of parlays attached to them, a lot of which were tied to the Patriots and Eagles, but the Bengals win got posted first in the system."


The last time Denver lost six straight was in 1990, a season John Elway started all 16 games. It's a shame with him as Executive VP that he wouldn't have the team better equipped at the QB position. Maybe there's a method to his madness with the continued losing turned into a positive for the future with QB's Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, Josh Allen and Mason Rudolph all figuring to be high draft picks.


By the way, the Bengals win snapped a 10-game losing at Denver dating back to 1975 and their win Sunday paid out at high of +135 on the money-line at the South Point. William Hill sports books reported having 92 percent of the cash on the game taking the Broncos.


The Browns looked to be on their way to getting a cover and maybe even a win, down 13-7 at home against the Jaguars with 1:14 to go and the ball. But Browns QB DeShone Kizer fumbled the ball backwards into his own end zone. After one of the Browns players couldn't recover, a Jaguars defender recovered for 6-points and a 19-7 lead. The Browns fail to cover the spread again in a brand new miserable way, this time getting +7.5. So close, and yet so far away. Cleveland is inventing new ways weekly for bettors to have epic bad beat stories. Wise guys are playing the perceived weekly value with Cleveland and getting buried.


The Buccaneers had a 30-20 win at Miami, a game where the Dolphins went from -3 to Tampa Bay -1.5 by kickoff. But the big swing with was the total which moved from 40.5 to 44. The game was sitting 23-20 with the books facing middle opportunities. Tampa Bay kicked off with seconds left after kicking the winning field goal and Miami tried a bunch laterals on the return, but their final lateral landed in the end zone and and a Buccaneer recovered for a TD. All steamed Over play gets there no matter when betting it.

 

[CNOTES]

MNF - Falcons at Seahawks
November 19, 2017

LAST WEEK


The Falcons (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS) won for the first time at Mercedes Benz Stadium since Week 2 as Atlanta trounced Dallas, 27-7 to easily cash as 3 ½-point favorites. Atlanta also covered for the first time in six games as quarterback Matt Ryan connected on a pair of short touchdown passes, while the Falcons’ defense yielded 233 yards to the Cowboys. Ryan put together an efficient 22-of-29 passing performance for 215 yards, while running back Tevin Coleman rushed for 83 yards on 20 carries and one touchdown.


Atlanta put together its best defensive effort of the season by allowing single-digit points for the first time since giving up seven points at Tennessee in 2015. Since the 3-0 start to the season, the Falcons own a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS record, but Dan Quinn’s squad has outgained opponents in six of the past seven contests.


The Seahawks (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) continued their ascent towards the top of the NFC West race behind the surprising Rams by picking up their fifth win in the past six games at Arizona last Thursday. Seattle held off Arizona, 22-16, while pushing as six-point road favorites to improve to 3-0 in the division, including a pair of away victories. Russell Wilson tossed a pair of touchdown passes to go along with 238 yards for Seattle, as he connected with tight end Jimmy Graham on both scores.


Seattle suffered a major loss in the secondary as standout cornerback Richard Sherman was lost for the season with a torn Achilles tendon. In spite of Sherman’s injury, the Seahawks managed to hold their seventh opponent to 18 points or fewer this season, while racking up their third consecutive victory away from CenturyLink Field.

ROAD WOES


Atlanta owns a winning record away from Mercedes Benz Stadium this season at 3-2, but the Falcons have covered only once on the highway. In fact, the Falcons’ lone road cover came at Detroit in Week 3 as three-point favorites, 30-26, as a late Lions’ touchdown was wiped off the board on a questionable tackle at the goal-line. Atlanta was limited to 17 points or fewer in road defeats at Carolina and New England, while rallying to beat the Jets, 25-20 as 6 ½-point favorites in Week 8. Last season, the Falcons posted a solid 7-2 ATS record on the highway, including a 4-2 ATS mark as an underdog.

HOME SWEET HOME


We know about Seattle’s domination at CenturyLink Field over the years (42-7 since 2012), but the Seahawks haven’t exactly played the greatest competition at home in 2017. Seattle’s three victories have come against San Francisco, Indianapolis, and Houston, who have combined for a 7-22 record on the season. In wins over the 49ers and Texans, Pete Carroll’s squad managed winning margins of three points apiece and failed to cover. In Seattle’s previous home contest against Washington in Week 9, the Redskins stunned the Seahawks, 17-14 as eight-point underdogs.


TOTAL TALK


The high-flying Falcons’ offense has been grounded this season by cashing the UNDER in six of nine games, compared to a 16-2-1 mark to the OVER last season. Atlanta is currently on a 5-1 UNDER run, while hitting the UNDER in five of six games with a closing total below 50. Seattle has finished UNDER the total in four of the past five contests, but its two highest-scoring games of the season came at home with OVERS against Indianapolis (46-18) and Houston (41-38).

SERIES HISTORY


The Falcons and Seahawks split a pair of matchups last season with the home team winning each time. Seattle blew a 17-3 lead in the first matchup at CenturyLink Field in October as Atlanta scored 21 unanswered points to go in front, 24-17. Running back Christine Michael scored a one-yard touchdown, but kicker Steven Hauschka missed the extra point as the Seahawks trailed by one. Hauschka redeemed himself late in the fourth quarter by booting a 44-yard field goal to give Seattle a 26-24 win, but the Falcons cashed as 6 ½-point underdogs.


Atlanta picked up revenge in the divisional playoffs against Seattle by blasting the Seahawks, 36-20 as 6 ½-point favorites. Ryan torched the Seattle defense for 338 yards and three touchdown passes, while running back Davonte Freeman picked up 125 all-purpose yards and a touchdown. The Falcons intercepted Wilson twice, while outscoring the Seahawks, 36-6 after falling behind 7-0 early.


Since 2010, the Falcons have won four of six meetings with the Seahawks, including a 2-1 mark at Seattle in this stretch. Five of these six matchups have eclipsed the total, including in both games last season.


UNDER THE LIGHTS


The Favorite-OVER combination has been money in the bank the last five weeks on Monday night football, while the OVER is 8-3 on Mondays this season. The Falcons have cashed plenty of tickets in Monday action since 2012 by going 5-1 ATS, including a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in the underdog role. The Falcons have yet to play on a Monday this season, but knocked off the Saints last season, 45-32 as three-point ‘dogs in its lone Monday affair. Under Carroll, the Seahawks own a perfect 7-0 record on Mondays, including a 5-0 mark at CenturyLink Field.


HANDICAPPER’S CORNER


VegasInsider.com expert Vince Akins provides a trend to keep an eye on for this contest. “The Falcons are 0-8-1 OU since Sep 14, 2014 as a dog facing a team Matt Ryan threw at least two touchdowns against in a win in their last meeting.” Atlanta has won and covered in four of the past five times in this trend as well, while going UNDER in this situation twice in 2016.

BOOKMAKER’S TAKE


Scott Cooley of BookMaker.eu gives his view from behind the counter, “Action has poured in on Atlanta over the last 48 hours, which has forced a 1.5-point drop. The injury bug has bit Seattle’s secondary in a big way, and the bettors have reacted. Currently, we have 65 percent of the bets on the Falcons and 70 percent of the money on that side as well. This will likely close at a pick ‘em.”

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


ATL at SEA 08:30 PM

SEA +1.0


O 46.0

 

[CNOTES]

Ryan's 2 TD passes enough as Falcons hold off Seahawks 34-31
November 20, 2017


SEATTLE (AP) Matt Ryan threw a pair of touchdown passes, Adrian Clayborn returned a fumble 10 yards for a score and the Atlanta Falcons held off a late rally to beat the Seattle Seahawks 34-31 on Monday night.


Atlanta stayed in the hunt for an NFC playoff spot thanks to its second straight victory and handed Seattle a second consecutive home loss. Ryan threw TDs to Mohamed Sanu and Levine Toilolo, while Tevin Coleman added a 1-yard TD run on Atlanta's opening possession. But it was Clayborn's fumble return that helped break the game open early in the second quarter and gave Atlanta a 21-7 lead.


Seattle attempted a late rally down by 11 points. Russell Wilson hit Doug Baldwin on a 29-yard TD with 3 minutes left, and Seattle got in range for a long field goal attempt by Blair Walsh in the closing moments, but his 52-yard attempt with 2 seconds left came up short and Atlanta escaped with the victory.

 

[CNOTES]

Thanksgiving Day Trends
November 20, 2017


Trends for Detroit-Minnesota


-- The Lions had lost nine straight on Thanksgiving Day prior to wins in each of the last four seasons


-- Detroit has seen the 'over' go 7-3 in the last 10 on Thanksgiving Day


-- Minnesota will be visiting Detroit for the second straight season on Thanksgiving and second time since 1995


-- The Vikings own an all-time 5-2 record on the holiday, but they've had more success against Dallas (3-0)


Trends for Dallas-L.A. Chargers


-- Dallas owns a 31-18-1 record on Thanksgiving Day


-- Five of the last eight wins by Dallas on Thanksgiving Day have come by double-digits


-- The Cowboys have allowed 30.8 points per game in their last five holiday matchups


-- Los Angeles will be making its first appearance on Thanksgiving. The San Diego franchise played in an AFL contest back in 1969


THANKSGIVING HISTORY - DETROIT


Year Matchup
2016 Detroit 16 Minnesota 13
2015 Detroit 45 Philadelphia 14
2014 Detroit 34 Chicago 17
2013 Detroit 40 Green Bay 10
2012 Houston 34 Detroit 31 (OT)
2011 Green Bay 27 Detroit 15
2010 New England 45 Detroit 24
2009 Green Bay 34 Detroit 12
2008 Tennessee 47 Detroit 10
2007 Green Bay 37 Detroit 26
2006 Miami 27 Detroit 10
2005 Atlanta 27 Detroit 7
2004 Indianapolis 41 Detroit 9
2003 Detroit 22 Green Bay 14
2002 New England 20 Detroit 12
2001 Green Bay 29 Detroit 27
2000 Detroit 34 New England 9
1999 Detroit 21 Chicago 17
1998 Detroit 19 Pittsburgh 16 (OT)
1997 Detroit 55 Chicago 20
1996 Kansas City 28 Detroit 24
1995 Detroit 44 Minnesota 38
1994 Detroit 35 Buffalo 21
1993 Chicago 10 Detroit 6
1992 Houston 24 Detroit 21
1991 Detroit 16 Chicago 6
1990 Detroit 40 Denver 27
1989 Detroit 13 Cleveland 10
1988 Minnesota 23 Detroit 0
1987 Kansas City 27 Detroit 20
1986 Green Bay 44 Detroit 40
1985 Detroit 31 N.Y. Jets 20
1984 Detroit 31 Green Bay 28
1983 Detroit 45 Pittsburgh 3
1982 N.Y. Giants 13 Detroit 6
1981 Detroit 27 Kansas City 10
1980 Chicago 23 Detroit 17 (OT)
1979 Detroit 20 Chicago 0
1978 Detroit 17 Denver 14
1977 Chicago 31 Detroit 14
1976 Detroit 27 Buffalo 14
1975 L.A. 20 Detroit 0
1974 Denver 31 Detroit 27
1973 Washington 20 Detroit 0
1972 Detroit 37 N.Y. Jets 20
1971 Detroit 32 Kansas City 21
1970 Detroit 28 Oakland 14
1969 Minnesota 27 Detroit 0
1968 Philadelphia 12 Detroit 0
1967 L.A. Rams 31 Detroit 7



THANKSGIVING HISTORY - DALLAS
Year Matchup
2016 Washington 26 Dallas 31
2015 Carolina 33 Dallas 14
2014 Philadelphia 33 Dallas 10
2013 Dallas 31 Oakland 24
2012 Washington 38 Dallas 31
2011 Dallas 20 Miami 19
2010 New Orleans 30 Dallas 27
2009 Dallas 24 Oakland 7
2008 Dallas 34 Seattle 9
2007 Dallas 34 N.Y. Jets 3
2006 Dallas 38 Tampa Bay 10
2005 Denver 24 Dallas 21 (OT)
2004 Dallas 21 Chicago 7
2003 Miami 40 Dallas 21
2002 Dallas 27 Washington 20
2001 Denver 26 Dallas 24
2000 Minnesota 27 Dallas 15
1999 Dallas 20 Miami 0
1998 Minnesota 46 Dallas 36
1997 Tennessee 27 Dallas 14
1996 Dallas 21 Washington 10
1995 Dallas 24 Kansas City 12
1994 Dallas 42 Green Bay 31
1993 Miami 16 Dallas 14
1992 Dallas 30 N.Y. Giants 3
1991 Dallas 20 Pittsburgh 10
1990 Dallas 27 Washington 17
1989 Philadelphia 27 Dallas 0
1988 Houston 25 Dallas 17
1987 Minnesota 44 Dallas 38 (OT)
1986 Seattle 31 Dallas 14
1985 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
1984 Dallas 20 New England 17
1983 Dallas 35 St. Louis 17
1982 Dallas 31 Cleveland 14
1981 Dallas 10 Chicago 9
1980 Dallas 51 Seattle 7
1979 Houston 30 Dallas 24
1978 Dallas 37 Washington 10
1976 Dallas 19 St. Louis 14
1974 Dallas 24 Washington 23
1973 Miami 14 Dallas 7
1972 San Francisco 31 Dallas 10
1971 Dallas 28 Los Angeles 21
1970 Dallas 16 Green Bay 3
1969 Dallas 24 San Francisco 24
1968 Dallas 29 Washington 20
1967 Dallas 46 St. Louis 21

 

[CNOTES]

NFL notebook: Former WR Glenn dies in car crash
November 20, 2017


Former NFL wide receiver Terry Glenn died early Monday morning after being involved in a car crash in Irving, Texas. He was 43.


Glenn was taken to Parkland Memorial Hospital, where he died shortly after midnight, the Dallas County medical examiner's office said.


The Irving Police Department confirmed to ESPN that an accident occurred at 12:18 a.m. local time Monday. According to police, the car left its travel lane and crashed into a concrete barrier that divides the express lanes from the local lanes. The driver was ejected from the car and a passenger suffered minor injuries, police told ESPN.


Glenn played parts of 12 seasons in the NFL with the New England Patriots, Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys. He made the Pro Bowl in 1999 as a member of the Patriots. He was drafted seventh overall by the Patriots in 1996 out of Ohio State. He caught Tom Brady's first NFL touchdown pass in 2001.


In his six seasons with the Patriots (1996-2001), Glenn played in 68 games and recorded 329 receptions for 4,669 yards and 22 touchdowns. He currently ranks eighth in team history in receiving yards and ninth in receptions.

--Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones' bid to derail a proposed contract extension for NFL commissioner Roger Goodell has hit a roadblock, according to a published report.


The NFL compensation committee basically told Jones to back down in his ongoing threat to sue the NFL if league owners approve Goodell's extension, the Wall Street Journal reported.


Jones wanted all the league owners to vote on Goodell's extension but his request was squashed by the committee, which told the Dallas owner that his continued threats "reflects conduct unbefitting an owner and is damaging to the League."


Atlanta Falcons owner Arthur Blank, chairman of the six-person compensation committee, wrote in a letter that Jones was on a mission "to satisfy your personal agenda" while ignoring the facts of the issue, the newspaper reported.

--Pittsburgh Steelers right tackle Marcus Gilbert was suspended without pay for violating the NFL's policy on performance-enhancing substances.


Gilbert will miss the Sunday night game with the Green Bay Packers and cannot return until Pittsburgh's Week 16 game against the Houston Texans.


"We are disappointed that Marcus Gilbert has been suspended without four games for using performance-enhancing substances. He will not appeal the NFL's decision," Steelers general manager Kevin Colbert said in a statement.


Colbert also said Gilbert will not be allowed to be in any of the team's facilities until Dec. 18.


--The Denver Broncos fired offensive coordinator Mike McCoy and named quarterbacks coach Bill Musgrave as his replacement, head coach Vance Joseph announced.


Joseph informed McCoy on Monday morning that he was being relieved of his duties after the Broncos lost their sixth straight game on Sunday, falling to 3-7 with a 20-17 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.


Klint Kubiak, one of former coach Gary Kubiak's sons, will serve as the team's quarterbacks coach. He has been an offensive assistant working with the quarterbacks for the last two seasons.


The Broncos are 18th in the league in total offense (329.8 yards per game), 24th in scoring (18.3 points per game) and 30th in touchdown efficiency. Denver's offense has scored just 17 touchdowns this season.

--President Donald Trump is calling on the NFL to suspend Oakland Raiders running back Marshawn Lynch for sitting during "The Star-Spangled Banner" before Sunday's game in Mexico City but standing for the Mexican national anthem.


Trump, who has repeatedly criticized NFL players who do not stand for the national anthem, took to Twitter early Monday morning to criticize Lynch for his protest before the game against the New England Patriots, who went on to win 33-8.


"Marshawn Lynch of the NFL's Oakland Raiders stands for the Mexican Anthem and sits down to boos for our National Anthem. Great disrespect! Next time NFL should suspend him for remainder of season. Attendance and ratings way down," Trump tweeted.


Lynch was actually standing during the first few bars of "The Star-Spangled Banner" on Sunday before taking a seat, according to ESPN. While Lynch stood for the Mexican anthem, he was not completely at attention, ESPN reported.


--Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston has been ruled out this week after his injured throwing shoulder was re-evaluated by doctors on Monday.


Head coach Dirk Koetter told reporters that Winston is not ready to return for Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons. Winston will be re-evaluated next week, Koetter said.


Winston, who has missed the last two games, has been battling a sprained AC joint in his right shoulder since Week 6. He was sidelined two weeks ago to rest his shoulder.


Backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is 2-0 since starting for Winston, including Sunday's 30-20 victory over the Miami Dolphins when he threw for 275 yards and two touchdowns.


--The New Orleans Saints lost defensive end Alex Okafor to a season-ending torn Achilles suffered in Sunday's victory over the Washington Redskins, according to multiple reports.


Okafor, 26, injured his left leg in the fourth quarter of the 34-31 overtime win and was helped off the field by trainers and medical personnel before being taken to the locker room.


The 6-foot-4, 261-pound Okafor joined the team as an unrestricted free agent in March after signing a one-year deal worth up to $3 million, giving the first-place Saints (8-2) a defensive resurgence.


Okafor started all 10 games, recording 43 tackles, 4.5 sacks, nine quarterback hits and two forced fumbles.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL opening line report: Patriots open Week 12 as biggest betting favorites of the season
Patrick Everson


“It really doesn’t matter who’s under center for Miami in this game, it had to be the biggest spread of the season. Not sure what else to say here. It’s going to be ugly.”


Week 12 of the NFL season kicks off with a trio of Thanksgiving Day games, although only one of those matchups appears to be worth pulling you away from the kitchen or the dining room table. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening line for that contest and three others this week, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.


Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (pick)


Minnesota continues to get it done on the field and at the betting window, winning six in a row while cashing in the last five. The Vikings (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) pulled away from the Los Angeles Rams in the second half Sunday, nabbing a 24-7 victory as a 1-point home favorite.


Detroit (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) followed a three-game skid with a three-game win streak (2-0-1 ATS), though it was a struggle to get that last one. The Lions went to Chicago as a 3-point chalk and twice trailed by 10, but rallied for a 27-24 victory.


Bookmaker.eu opened the game pick ‘em, but the Vikings moved to -1.5 late Sunday night for the first game on Turkey Day, a 12:30 p.m. ET kickoff.


“The Lions can’t afford to fall behind here, as they seemingly do week after week,” Cooley said. “Minnesota has proven to be one of the best teams in the NFC, but Detroit is a quality club as well. It feels like the public will be on the chalk, but sharps may side with the home squad. We’ll just wait and see where this one goes.”


New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5)


Two of the NFL’s more surprising teams this season get together, with New Orleans riding a huge hot streak to the top of the NFC South. The Saints (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) lost their first two games, but have ripped off eight in a row since (7-1 ATS). The only game New Orleans didn’t cash in during that stretch came Sunday, a 34-31 home overtime victory against Washington laying 9.5 points.


Los Angeles (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) had its four-game SU and ATS run halted at the hands of another surprise team, Minnesota. The Rams were in a 7-7 tie on the road at halftime, but scored no more in a 24-7 setback as a 1-point underdog.


“I maintain that the Saints aren’t as good as their record indicates, but the public loves to play them each and every week,” Cooley said. “Meanwhile, the Rams’ loss wasn’t as lopsided as the score looked. Everyone will be expecting a shootout here, so we pumped up the total.”


Indeed, Bookmaker opened the total at 53.5.


Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-13.5)


After a bumpy first few weeks, Pittsburgh looks to be rounding into playoff form, with five consecutive wins (4-1 ATS) heading into this Sunday prime-time contest. In last week’s Thursday nighter, the Steelers (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) thumped Tennessee 40-17 laying 7 points at home.


Green Bay is a shell of itself in the absence of Aaron Rodgers (broken collarbone). The Packers (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four and hit rock-bottom Sunday in a 23-0 home loss to Baltimore as a 2.5-point pup.


“Brett Hundley is proving why Aaron Rodgers is worth so much to a line,” Cooley said. “The current Green Bay club is in the bottom third of the NFL. Pittsburgh is gaining momentum and finally finding its footing, so we wanted to be generous with this number. It’s doubtful we see any Packers money from the public.”


Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-17)


Defending Super Bowl champion New England is really dialing it up to 11. The Patriots (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) have won six straight, cashing the last five, including in Sunday’s 33-8 rout of Oakland as a 7-point fave in Mexico City.


Miami (4-6 SU, 3-5-2 ATS) has dumped four in row in falling below .500. The Dolphins went off as 1-point home ‘dogs to Tampa Bay on Sunday and lost 30-20. Quarterback Jay Cutler left the game with a concussion at the end of the first half, yielding to Matt Moore the rest of the way.


“There’s really no difference in terms of value between Jay Cutler and Matt Moore,” Cooley said. “It really doesn’t matter who’s under center for Miami in this game, it had to be the biggest spread of the season. Not sure what else to say here. It’s going to be ugly.”


The line actually ticked down to 16.5 Sunday evening.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL
Long Sheet


Week 12


Thursday, November 23


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MINNESOTA (8 - 2) at DETROIT (6 - 4) - 11/23/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 132-172 ATS (-57.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CHARGERS (4 - 6) at DALLAS (5 - 5) - 11/23/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
DALLAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (2 - 8) at WASHINGTON (4 - 6) - 11/23/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 37-63 ATS (-32.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 59-93 ATS (-43.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-116 ATS (-43.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-116 ATS (-43.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-116 ATS (-43.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 22-46 ATS (-28.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sunday, November 26


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (0 - 10) at CINCINNATI (4 - 6) - 11/26/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 72-99 ATS (-36.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 5-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (3 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 1) - 11/26/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (4 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (8 - 2) - 11/26/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (5 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (6 - 4) - 11/26/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (4 - 6) at ATLANTA (5 - 4) - 11/26/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (7 - 3) at NY JETS (4 - 6) - 11/26/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 82-49 ATS (+28.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 55-28 ATS (+24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (6 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 7) - 11/26/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (6 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 9) - 11/26/2017, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (8 - 2) at LA RAMS (7 - 3) - 11/26/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS is 181-228 ATS (-69.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 181-228 ATS (-69.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 129-180 ATS (-69.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 140-180 ATS (-58.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 61-93 ATS (-41.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA RAMS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (7 - 3) at ARIZONA (4 - 6) - 11/26/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (3 - 7) at OAKLAND (4 - 6) - 11/26/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 75-104 ATS (-39.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 75-104 ATS (-39.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 75-104 ATS (-39.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 37-77 ATS (-47.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (5 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 2) - 11/26/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 184-131 ATS (+39.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Monday, November 27


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (4 - 6) at BALTIMORE (5 - 5) - 11/27/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL


Week 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, November 23


MINNESOTA @ DETROIT
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games


LA CHARGERS @ DALLAS
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
Dallas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Dallas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games


NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
NY Giants is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants




Sunday, November 26


BUFFALO @ KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games when playing at home against Buffalo


TAMPA BAY @ ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 15 games at home


CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland


TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee


MIAMI @ NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami


CAROLINA @ NY JETS
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Jets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games


CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA
Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Chicago is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Seattle is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Seattle


NEW ORLEANS @ LA RAMS
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


DENVER @ OAKLAND
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Denver


JACKSONVILLE @ ARIZONA
Jacksonville is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Arizona's last 16 games at home


GREEN BAY @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home