Cnotes 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

Search
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
CFB POWER LINES


12:00 pm 9/17/2016
(183) KANSAS @(184) MEMPHIS
Play Line: MEMPHIS -19.5
BTB PowerLine: MEMPHIS -30
Edge On: MEMPHIS 10.5


12:00 pm 9/17/2016
(165) AKRON @(166) MARSHALL
Play Line: MARSHALL -14.5
BTB PowerLine: MARSHALL -22
Edge On: MARSHALL 7.5


3:00 pm 9/17/2016
(145) FRESNO ST @(146) TOLEDO
Play Line: TOLEDO -20
BTB PowerLine: TOLEDO -29
Edge On: TOLEDO 9


3:30 pm 9/17/2016
(153) W KENTUCKY @(154) MIAMI OHIO
Play Line: W KENTUCKY -15
BTB PowerLine: W KENTUCKY -29
Edge On: W KENTUCKY 14


6:00 pm 9/17/2016
(175) LA MONROE @(176) GA SOUTHERN
Play Line: GA SOUTHERN -24.5
BTB PowerLine: GA SOUTHERN -34
Edge On: GA SOUTHERN 9.5


7:00 pm 9/17/2016
(157) LOUISIANA TECH @(158) TEXAS TECH
Play Line: LOUISIANA TECH 11.5
BTB PowerLine: LOUISIANA TECH +4
Edge On: LOUISIANA TECH 7.5


7:00 pm 9/17/2016
(199) NAVY @(200) TULANE
Play Line: NAVY -7
BTB PowerLine: NAVY -16


Edge On: NAVY 9
7:30 pm 9/17/2016
(161) TEXAS ST @(162) ARKANSAS
Play Line: ARKANSAS -32.5
BTB PowerLine: ARKANSAS -41
Edge On: ARKANSAS 8.5


8:00 pm 9/17/2016
(203) USC @(204) STANFORD
Play Line: STANFORD -6.5
BTB PowerLine: STANFORD -14
Edge On: STANFORD 7.5


10:30 pm 9/17/2016
(205) TEXAS @(206) CALIFORNIA
Play Line: CALIFORNIA 7.5
BTB PowerLine: CALIFORNIA -6
Edge On: CALIFORNIA 13.5
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Monday’s six-pack


Six most popular picks in the Westgate Super Contest in Las Vegas:


6) Jets +2.5– 403– W


5) Ravens -3– 411– W


4) Texans -6– 419– W


3) Giants -1.5– 428– L


2) Cardinals -6– 452– L


1) Lions +3.5– 465– W (4-2 in Week 1)
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Monday’s List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..


Random thoughts on all of Sunday’s NFL games………


Buccaneers 31, Falcons 24– Three of Bucs’ four TDs came on plays of 23+ yards; former Atlanta HC Smith gets some revenge here- he is Tampa Bay’s new DC. Before the 2015 Draft, there was a lot of debate as to whether Winston/Mariota was better choice as the #1 pick. Not much debate now; Winston is very good.


Vikings 25, Titans 16– Minnesota won despite not scoring TD on offense; LY, that happened only two times in whole NFL, with Denver getting both wins. Titans led this game 10-0 at half; Vikings looked awful on offense, but then the Minnesota defense scored two TDs in second half to win the game. Three trips to red zone, only six points for Minnesota. Hard to believe Bradford won’t be the starting QB soon.


Eagles 29, Browns 10– Philly had 17-yard edge in average starting field position; Wentz was 22-37/270 passing as he won his first NFL start. Browns have 17 rookies on their squad and it showed. RGIII hurt his left arm late in game (check status). Cleveland had four plays of 20+ yards; all four came on 1st down plays (rest of NFL, 38 of 83 plays of 20+ yards came on first down plays).


Bengals 23, Jets 22– Jets had seven sacks, outrushed Cincy 152-57, but Dalton led Bengals 55 yards on nine plays on GW drive, with Nugent making 47-yard FG with 0:54 left for the win. Teams got to red zone a combined eight times, with only three TDs- they combined to go 7-23 on third down. This was a fun game to watch; Dalton threw for 366 yards for Bengals.


Game of the Day: Raiders 35, Saints 34– Old-style AFL game here, with total yardage 507-486. Jack Del Rio went for 2 points and the win with 0:47 here and got it- on their last three drives, Oakland ran 17 plays for 210 yards and three TDs. Brees threw for 419 yards including a 98-yard TD pass. Raiders survived 14 penalties for 141 yards.


Comeback of the Day: Chiefs 33, Chargers 27 OT– San Diego led this game 24-3 with 5:00 left in 3rd quarter; horrific loss. On their last six drives, Chiefs scored four TDs, kicked a FG, gaining 317 yards on 42 plays with one turnover. Alex Smith is now 69-52-1 as an NFL starter.


San Diego started three drives in KC territory, but scored only one TD, one FG on those drives and that wound up costing them.


Ravens 13, Bills 7– Bills ran only 48 plays for 160 yards. My one thought here is: thank God Rex Ryan doesn’t coach the Rams. Buffalo had a 9-yard edge in field position, which is pretty strong, but still lost.


NFL-wide this week, 16 of 67 TDs this week (so far) came on scoring plays on 20+ yards; 51 of those 67 TDs came on drives of 70+ yards. No TDs on defense/special teams (yet).


Texans 23, Bears 14– Houston converted 12 of 20 third down plays, ran 18 more plays than Chicago, outscoring Bears 13-0 in second half. On four drives that started 75+ yards from goal line, Texans did not score; on their other seven drives with better field position, they scored three TDs, kicked two FGs. Houston sacked Jay Cutler five times.


Packers 27, Jaguars 23– Green Bay led 21-17 at half, won despite scoring only six points in second half on a sweltering day in North Florida. Jacksonville was pretty impressive in defeat; they outgained Pack 348-294, averaged 7.1 yards/pass, but ran for only 48 yards.


Seahawks 12, Dolphins 10– After not scoring a TD the whole game, Russell Wilson led Seattle on a 14-play, 75-yard drive to win the game in last minute. Tough loss for Miami; they were +2 in turnovers and had 10-yard edge in field position, but were outgained 352-222 and had only 64 rushing yards. Dolphins had a 26-yard FG blocked and lost ball on downs in red zone early in game.


Giants 20, Cowboys 19– First time Giants beat Cowboys in eight Week 1 meetings. Not many teams go 10-17 on third down and score only one TD; only Dallas TD drive was 35 yards. Giants had three TDs, no FG tries; Dallas had one TD, four FG tries.


Lions 39, Colts 35– Watching last 2:00 of this game, with Luck/Stafford driving their teams in 2:00 drill for go-ahead scores; star QBs cannot be overpaid– really difficult to have good team without one. Detroit led this game 21-3, almost let it slip away.


Patriots 23, Cardinals 21– Garoppolo passed his first of four tests as Brady’s stand-in; Pats were 10-16 on 3rd down, averaged 7.3 yds/pass attempt. Arizona missed a 46-yard FG with 0:04 left that would’ve won it. Weird week; teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 3-1, very unusual.


Favorites are 4-10 vs spread so far this week, home teams 6-8; over is 6-8.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
4th Quarter Covers - Week 2
September 12, 2016


Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the second college football weekend. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.


Louisville (-17) 62, Syracuse 28: The Cardinals stormed out to a 21-0 lead less than five minutes into the first quarter with some big plays, but despite allowing huge numbers, the Orange managed to stay in the game and eventually trailed by just 14 points heading into the final quarter. Louisville settled for a pair of field goals early in the quarter to keep Syracuse within a score of an underdog cover, but turnovers on three consecutive Syracuse possessions in the fourth quarter allowed the Cardinals to add a few more points to create a lopsided final margin though the Cardinals deserved it with an eye-popping 845 yards of offense.

Boston College (-16) 26, Massachusetts 7: The Minutemen struck first vs. Boston College with a big play to take a 7-0 lead, but by halftime the Eagles were up by six and the margin inched closer to the spread with a 19-7 lead through three quarters. A strong punt return put Boston College in good field position late in the game and a five-play, 35-yard drive put the Eagles past the road favorite spread with just over four minutes to go.

Arkansas (+10½) 41, TCU 38: Despite dominating the yardage, TCU dug an early hole vs. Arkansas to trail 13-0 at the half with the lone Razorbacks touchdown coming on an interception return. The Frogs still trailed by 13 entering the fourth quarter, but finally started to cash in opportunities, scoring three straight touchdowns to take a 28-20 lead, past a spread that sat at -7 early in the weekend before a big late line move. The defense let the Frogs down again as Arkansas managed to tie with a touchdown and a successful two-point conversion with just over a minute to go. TCU got a 64-yard kickoff return and looked certain to take the win but a failed cover, lining up a 28-yard field goal attempt only to have it blocked. After trading touchdowns in the first overtime, TCU settled for a kick in the second session and Arkansas found the end zone for the upset.

Michigan (-37) 51, Central Florida 14:The heavy favorite spread on this game eventually climbed to 37 and that is right where the final score landed. The Wolverines reached that margin early in the third quarter with a 44-14 advantage, but a long run put Central Florida in the end zone as Michigan led by just 30 heading into the fourth quarter. Wilton Speight threw another touchdown pass with about 10 minutes to go to make it 51-14 and the final three drives for Central Florida ended on downs in Michigan territory as the Knights were certainly in position to spoil the cover despite not quite getting there.

Appalachian State (-21) 31, Old Dominion 7: Coming off the strong opening week performance against Tennessee, Appalachian State had a little trouble pulling away from Old Dominion as a 24-7 lead at the half stayed right there for over 29 minutes in the second half before a short run on just a 39-yard drive put the Mountaineers ahead 31-7 and past the favorite spread in the final minute of the game. The Monarchs came up empty on two long second half drives, stopped with an interception on the 15-yard line and on downs from the 30-yard line.


Pittsburgh (-3) 42, Penn State 39: The hosting Panthers were a bigger favorite than -3 most of the week and they had a 28-7 lead until a touchdown in the final minute of the first half for Penn State. After trading scores in the third quarter, Pittsburgh still had a 14-point edge entering the fourth quarter. A touchdown and a field goal in the span of less than two minutes put the Nittany Lions down by just four early in the final frame. Pittsburgh answered on a short field off a turnover to lead by 11, but with five minutes to go in the game Penn State found the end zone and lined up for a critical two-point conversion down by five. The conversion was good to cut the margin to three points and the Penn State defense held to get the ball back. With the Lions down to the Pittsburgh 31-yard line, an interception ended the threat and the game landed on the closing number.

Indiana (-17) 30, Ball State 20: Indiana had a 30-0 lead in the third quarter, but Ball State would score the final 20 points in the game including getting a blocked punt returned for a touchdown as they wound up stealing a backdoor cover on the Hoosiers with the last touchdown coming with just over three minutes to go.

Navy (-3½) 28, Connecticut 24: A 21-0 lead for Navy was erased quickly as an 86-yard fumble return late in the third quarter became a third straight Huskies score to knot the game at 21-21, returning the favor as Navy had scored on a fumble return touchdown early in the game. In the final quarter, Connecticut took its first lead of the game with a 38-yard field goal but after trading punts, the Huskies were pinned deep and punting from the end zone Navy wound up with incredible field position late in the game. It took just a 17-yard scoring drive as the Midshipmen took the lead with about four minutes to go, slipping just past the closing spread as well. The Huskies were not done as they reached first and goal with 45 seconds to go but the Huskies mangled the clock management burning a final timeout when they didn’t need to and eventually running out of time after running the ball on second down.


Texas (-31) 41, Utep 7: Texas led by just six until a touchdown just before halftime. The margin was still 13 well into the third quarter before the Longhorns had back-to-back short touchdown drives in a span of just over two minutes. The margin was just 27 at that point, but Texas would add another touchdown in the fourth quarter to sneak past the big number that rose all week.

Colorado State (-8) 23, Texas San Antonio 14: The line on this game dropped all week to just -8 for the Rams and at halftime it was a tight game with a 20-14 lead for the hosts. The Rams stalled on offense in the second half, but the defense stopped the Roadrunners twice on fourth down attempts just outside of field goal range as the margin remained at six. In the final minutes, Colorado State added a field goal which was critical for many supporting the home team. An interception by Texas San Antonio in their own territory seemed to offer Colorado State a chance to tack on more points to cover the early week numbers as well, but they were able to run out the clock.

Washington (-36) 59, Idaho 14: Washington was up 42-0 at one point, but Idaho was back within 35 early in the fourth quarter. The Huskies added a field goal and an interception return touchdown late in the game to put away the Vandals.


Alabama (-27) 38, Western Kentucky 10: While the closing line dipped below four touchdowns, many had to lay -28.5 or higher on the Crimson Tide. Alabama only led by 17 entering the fourth quarter, but back-to-back touchdown drives put the lead to 35 points. Western Kentucky managed to spoil the cover for some however, finding the end zone in the final minute on a short field following an Alabama fumble.

Oregon (-24) 44, Virginia 26: The Ducks led by 24 at the half and then by 31 late in the third quarter, but the scoring for Oregon stopped from there on as Virginia added two late touchdowns to score the underdog cover. Oregon was to the Virginia 38-yard line in the final three minutes, but there was no urgency to put points on the board and they stayed at 44.


Miami, FL (-26) 38, Florida Atlantic 10: The Hurricanes led 24-3 late in the third quarter, but Florida Atlantic hit a big play to find the end zone for the first time in the game. Miami added two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to slip past the spread including the final score coming with just a minute to go in the game despite the victory being in hand.


Georgia Southern (-12½) 24, South Alabama 9: At the half, Georgia Southern led just 10-6 but they added scores early in both the third and fourth quarters to lead 24-6 and past the road favorite spread. South Alabama threatened in the middle of the fourth quarter, but wound up kicking a short field goal to leave the margin at 15 points. The Jaguars then were stopped on downs after an 11-play drive to the edge of field goal range and then late in the game a 71-yard drive to the Georgia Southern 6-yard line ended in an interception as the Eagles escaped with a lucky road favorite cover.

Nebraska (-26½) 52, Wyoming 17: For the second straight week, Nebraska turned in a big fourth quarter as they led Wyoming by just seven through three quarters. Nebraska scored four touchdowns in the final frame with a few short fields as Wyoming eventually ended up with six turnovers in the game. The late scoring also turned a likely ‘under’ into an ‘over’.


Utah (-3½) 20, BYU 19: The Holy War was sloppy this season with nine combined turnovers and Utah opening the scoring with an interception return touchdown. At halftime, the Utes led by one but they pushed past the slight home favorite spread with a field goal in the third quarter. Utah entered the red zone in the final minutes looking to put the game away, but they settled for a short field goal to lead by just seven. Taysom Hill engineered a 75-yard drive in the final three minutes to pull the Cougars within one and the new coaching staff made the bold play to go for two, a decision those on the slight underdog certainly favored as well. BYU didn’t convert as Utah held on, but BYU backers collected without having to sit though overtime.

Boise State (-13) 31, Washington State 28: The Broncos led by 10 heading into the fourth quarter and pulled ahead by 17 on the first play of the final frame. Washington State quickly answered to get back within the number and a touchdown pass with about four minutes to go in the game put the Cougars within three. A second straight Boise State interception gave Washington State the ball back and a real shot at the upset but the drive stalled near midfield, though the Cougars had done enough to win plus the points.

San Diego State (-5½) 45, California 40: With the help of a kickoff return touchdown and an interception return touchdown, the Aztecs pulled to a 10-point lead at the half and that was extended to a 17-point lead halfway through the third quarter. A 59-yard pass play gave the Bears a bit of momentum and by the end of the third quarter, California trailed 38-31, right even with the common spread on the game, though just before kickoff the home favorite number did slip. The Bears scored a field goal early in the fourth quarter, but San Diego State seemed to lock up the game with a touchdown drive to lead by 11 with less than three minutes to go in the game. California converted a fourth down play in their own territory and eventually went the distance on a 12-play drive to score a spread-spoiling touchdown in the final minute of the game, trailing by five after missing the two-point conversion. The on-side kick was actually successfully recovered and the Bears reached the San Diego State 22-yard line in the final seconds before an interception ended the game.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Opening Line Report - Week 3
September 12, 2016


In college football, one loss can hamper a team’s national championship hopes. It can also have a significant impact on the betting line, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing with three top-shelf games on the Week 3 college football card.


Here’s a snapshot of some of the best games of what promises to be another thrilling weekend on the college gridiron. Line are from the Wynn as of 6 p.m. ET on Monday, 24 hours after the sports book posted Las Vegas’ first point spreads on the card.


Ohio State at Oklahoma -2


When the South Point posted its college football games of the year back in May, Oklahoma was installed as a 9-point favorite. A week before the season started, the number was down to Oklahoma -5 at the South Point and -3.5 at the Westgate. The Wynn opened Ohio State -3.5 on Sunday night.


“Total mea culpa on that one, I really had the wrong angle,” South Point oddsmaker Chris Andrews said of his May number. “I thought Ohio State would really struggle early in the season.”


According to Andrews’ math, Ohio State – after rolling through rolling its first two opponents, Bowling Green (77-10) and Tulsa (48-3) – grades out as the best team in the country. “They are way better than I thought they would be, much quicker than I thought they would be,” he said.


Meanwhile, Oklahoma “looks nowhere near as good as advertised,” Andrews said. “I thought they were the second or third best team in the country, right behind Alabama and about even with Clemson, and it doesn’t look like they’re nearly that good.”


To be fair, Andrews wasn’t alone. The Golden Nugget opened Oklahoma -6.5 on its games of the year board.


Westgate oddsmaker Ed Salmons, whose shop was dealing Oklahoma -3.5 before the season started, noted a lot of handicappers are down on the Sooners because of their poor performance in a season-opening 33-23 loss to Houston.


“I think it’s the way they lost,” said Salmons. “It’s hard to understand how Oklahoma could score a touchdown on the first drive of the game, and the rest of the game they did nothing. ... They should outclass Houston 100 days out of 100, It should never be an issue of Oklahoma not scoring points against Houston.”


Still, though, early bettors are taking Oklahoma plus the points for next week’s clash. Twenty four hours after the Wynn opened OSU -3.5, the number was down to -2 at that shop and as low as -1.5 elsewhere. “The right line on that game is Ohio State favored, but definitely not 3,” according to Salmons.


Added Andrews, “Oklahoma still has a ton of talent, and they’re probably a lot better at home than people give them credit for, and if they go out and beat Ohio State by 10 or 14, I would not be all that shocked.”


Alabama -10 at Ole Miss


This SEC showdown in Oxford features another big point-spread swing from games of the year lines. The South Point was dealing Alabama -4 and the Westgate -3.5 a week ahead of the season, but Ole Miss lost to Florida State in Week 1, and ‘Bama opened -10.


“Ole Miss is a really good team, but Alabama looks like they have all the elements again this year. The quarterback (freshman Jalen Hurts) is getting a little bit better,” the Wynn’s John Avello said. “10 seems like a high number when you’re playing in the SEC on the road, but I’ve got to put up a number where I think I can balance it out.”


The Crimson Tide, in fact, laid a shorter number (-9) at home vs. Ole Miss last season, and lost to the Rebels outright for the second straight season.


Salmons pointed to three factors pushing the line in Alabama’s direction: injuries on the Ole Miss side, double revenge for Alabama, and the way Nick Saban’s men have performed through two weeks.


“I’m sure all that is baked into the line,” Salmons said.


From a schematic perspective, Andrews added Mississippi’s running game will be “almost non-existent against Alabama. (Chad) Kelly, who is a pretty good quarterback, is going to be forced into passing situations almost the entire game, and that just plays into Alabama’s hands. I don’t think (the line move is) a huge overreaction.”


USC at Stanford -8.5


This Pac-12 contest follows a pattern similar to the two games discussed above: One team loses in its first game of the season, and we see a major shift from the lines bettors were finding over the summer. In this case, Stanford goes from -3 on the SuperBook’s game of the year lines and -5 at the South Point to opening as a touchdown favorite at the Wynn and getting pushed to -8.5.


The line did dance around Sunday night at the Wynn, as it was bet up to 7.5, then down to 6.5, before favorite money started dominating the action.


“It’s always hard to give USC too many points. It just doesn’t feel right,” Avello said. “But in this particular spot, Stanford might be the better team, at least at this point of the season.”


While the Trojans followed a pathetic showing against Alabama with a 45-7 win over Utah State, Stanford had last week off.


Andrews said of USC, “I think they’re tremendously talented but I think they’re very poorly coached. Teams like that can be wildly inconsistent, but inconsistent means good sometimes, too. I think we saw USC at nearly their best last week.”


He added, “Stanford is the kind of team that will win a lot of games but maybe not cover some big numbers.”


Louisville at Florida State -3 even


Louisville is getting plenty of respect from the betting market, as gamblers grabbed the +3.5 posted at the Wynn Sunday night, pushing the line to -3 (even) at that shop, while other betting locales were dealing 2.5 on Monday. Salmons expects this ACC battle to feature the classic sharps vs. public betting scenario.


“The public’s going to bet Florida State, and the sharps are going to bet Louisville,” Salmons said.


While Louisville hung 70 points on Charlotte in Week 1 and 62 at Syracuse last week, this week’s game will help reveal how good they really are.


Asked how good he thinks Louisville is, Avello responded, “Offensively, really good. But we haven’t seen them against a top-notch team. This is a big game for them because this shows us if they belong. I think Florida State’s a complete team, so if Louisville can beat them, they can show me they belong.”


Said Salmons, “I don’t think their defense is up to the standard of a Clemson or a Florida State, but their offense sure looks like it right now. A lot of people think Louisville belongs in the discussion with Florida State and Clemson (in the ACC), but the public is going to want to see it on the field, that they can beat a Florida State or a Clemson, but obviously the oddsmakers think they’re more than capable.”


Michigan State at Notre Dame


Avello opened Notre Dame -6.5 on Sunday and watched money on the favorite push his line to 7.5 on Monday.


“Michigan State for some reason in these types of games just does not get any respect,” Avello said. “I thought 6.5 was a number that would make you think about both sides, but obviously the bettors think that Notre Dame is better than that, so they laid it, and the first bets came on Notre Dame.”


Salmons seems to be with the chalk players in this case.


“This game sets up real well for Notre Dame because Michigan State plays Neanderthal football, where they just want to run the ball and use clock. The style that can beat Notre Dame is the way Texas plays, quick no-huddles, just keep snapping the ball and running play after play and outscoring them. Michigan State will never outscore Notre Dame."


Quick hits on two more good ones


Oregon at Nebraska: The Wynn opened Nebraska -2.5 and moved to -3 about four hours later. “This is not the Oregon team we remember that used to put up 40 in the first half, but it’s still a good team,” Avello said. “Nebraska is also a good team. I consider these teams to be kind of equal. They’re not at the top of the heap, but they’re just below it. The top of the heap is ‘A’ teams, these are like A-, B+.”


Texas A&M at Auburn: Avello opened Auburn -3.5 and stuck there through the first day of wagering, while other shops were dealing -4. Said Avello, “A&M has got a lot of firepower offensively. Auburn had a nice showing last week (51-14 over Arkansas State). But ever since the national championship game (in 2013), they really haven’t been the same. I don’t know what to think of them. I think the coach (Gus Malzahn) does a good job. I think they’re certainly better than they were last year, but A&M was better than they were last year, too, so I gave them a little home-field advantage, that’s it.”

Early moves


Here are Week 3 lines that saw at least a 2-point swing in the first 24 hours of wagering at The Wynn.


Temple at Penn State
Open line: Penn State -7
After 24 hours: Penn State -9.5


Middle Tennessee State at Bowling Green
Open line: MTSU -3
After 24 hours: MTSU -5.5


Georgia State at Wisconsin
Open line: Wisconsin -31.5
After 24 hours: Wisconsin -33.5


Florida Atlantic at Kansas State
Open line: Kansas State -20
After 24 hours: Kansas State -22


UL Monroe at Georgia Southern
Open line: Georgia Southern -27
After 24 hours: Georgia Southern -25


Duke at Northwestern
Open line: Northwestern -4.5
After 24 hours: Northwestern -6.5


Navy at Tulane
Open line: Navy -11
After 24 hours: Navy -6.5
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
NCAAF Opening Line Report: After a slow Week 2 the marquee matchups are back in Week 3


Alabama is already out of the gate with a 2-0 SU and ATS record but the Rebels dealt ‘Bama its only loss last year, 43-37 catching 9 points on the road.


Week 3 of the college football season looks a whole lot better than Week 2, which featured a boatload of gigantic favorites. We talk about the opening lines on a few key games with John Lester, senior lines manager for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.


No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 17 Mississippi Rebels (+9.5)


Defending national champion Alabama is already out of the gate with a 2-0 SU and ATS record. The Crimson Tide opened the year with a 52-6 shellacking of Southern California as a 13.5-point neutral-site favorite, then dumped Western Kentucky 38-10 laying 27 points on Saturday.


Mississippi (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) blew a big lead against Florida State in its opener, losing 45-34 as a 4-point neutral-site underdog. The Rebels then rolled past FCS foe Wofford 38-13 Saturday, but fell miles short as 43-point home faves.


The Rebels dealt ‘Bama its only loss last year, 43-37 catching 9 points on the road.


“Both teams had somewhat of a warmup game last week, but Alabama has looked much better collectively during the first two weeks,” Lester said. “It’s going to be tough for Ole Miss to shake off that early loss, and we felt confident opening up ‘Bama as a decent favorite.”


No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes at No. 14 Oklahoma Sooners (+2)


The Buckeyes have shown no mercy through the first two weeks of the season, piling on Bowling Green 77-10 as a 27.5-point home chalk in Week 1, then drubbing Tulsa 48-3 laying 28 points at home Saturday.


Meanwhile, the Sooners were dealt an upset opening loss by rapidly rising Houston, falling 33-23 as 13-point favorites at NRG Stadium, home of the Houston Texans. Oklahoma took out its frustration on Louisiana-Monroe on Saturday with a 59-17 home victory, though the Sooners fell a few points short against the spread as 46-point favorites.


“If Oklahoma beats Houston in the opener, we probably make the Sooners a small favorite here,” Lester said. “But that might have been a mistake, as these squads look far apart, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. Look for the spread to move up before down.”


No. 8 Michigan State at No. 18 Notre Dame (-7.5)


Michigan State comes in at 1-0, but that stems from an uninspired 28-13 Week 1 victory as a 37.5-point home favorite against Wofford, as the Spartans had a bye in Week 2. Notre Dame is more battle-tested, losing an overtime thriller at Texas 50-47 in its opener, then besting Nevada 39-10 Saturday as 27.5-point home chalk.


“With the Spartans coming off an idle week, it really feels like they should be less of a ‘dog here,” Lester said. “But we know the square support will be there on Notre Dame, so had to be wary of that.”


No. 2 Florida State Seminoles at No. 10 Louisville Cardinals (+2.5)


Florida State (2-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) has the lofty ranking, but is laying less than a field goal in its ACC opener. The Seminoles opened the year with a stirring comeback victory, topping Mississippi 45-34 as 4-point neutral-site favorites, then beat up on FCS foe Charleston Southern 52-8 Saturday in an unlined home game.


Louisville (2-0 SU and ATS) opened conference play in convincing fashion Saturday, whipping host Syracuse 62-28 laying 17 points, after a 70-14 beatdown of Charlotte as a 38.5-point home fave in Week 1.


“This is going to be a great gauge as to where these teams are early,” Lester said. “Florida State has seen a quality opponent, but this is going to be a gritty road test for freshman quarterback Deondre Francois. He was very jittery the first half or so against Ole Miss and then settled down. He’ll have to come out poised from the start to get a win here.”
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
NCAAF
Long Sheet


Week 3


Thursday, September 15


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (2 - 0) at CINCINNATI (2 - 0) - 9/15/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, September 16


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BAYLOR (2 - 0) at RICE (0 - 2) - 9/16/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 111-83 ATS (+19.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA ST (2 - 0) at UTSA (1 - 1) - 9/16/2016, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARKANSAS ST (0 - 2) at UTAH ST (1 - 1) - 9/16/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, September 17


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
CHARLOTTE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (2 - 0) at ILLINOIS (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
W MICHIGAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 118-153 ATS (-50.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 118-153 ATS (-50.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 76-117 ATS (-52.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E CAROLINA (2 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (2 - 0) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEMPLE (1 - 1) at PENN ST (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARYLAND (2 - 0) at UCF (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VIRGINIA (0 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (0 - 2) at TCU (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (2 - 0) at MICHIGAN (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 106-139 ATS (-46.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (1 - 1) at RUTGERS (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 1) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 2) at MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 2) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA ST (0 - 2) at WISCONSIN (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNLV (1 - 1) at C MICHIGAN (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 78-113 ATS (-46.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VANDERBILT (1 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARMY (2 - 0) at UTEP (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 1) at KANSAS ST (0 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 140-103 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (1 - 1) at TOLEDO (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 73-48 ATS (+20.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S FLORIDA (2 - 0) at SYRACUSE (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 0) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 2) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W KENTUCKY (1 - 1) at MIAMI OHIO (0 - 2) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTH TEXAS (1 - 1) at FLORIDA (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 1) at KENTUCKY (0 - 2) - 9/17/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 88-118 ATS (-41.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 88-118 ATS (-41.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against SEC opponents since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 80-114 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS ST (1 - 0) at ARKANSAS (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (1 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AKRON (1 - 1) at MARSHALL (1 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OREGON (2 - 0) at NEBRASKA (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 43-17 ATS (+24.3 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OREGON is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 141-108 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UCLA (1 - 1) at BYU (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI (2 - 0) at APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) at OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 80-53 ATS (+21.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (1 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
GA SOUTHERN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
GA SOUTHERN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
GA SOUTHERN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA MONROE is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (1 - 1) at NC STATE (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 2-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TROY (1 - 1) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S ALABAMA (1 - 1) at LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KANSAS (1 - 1) at MEMPHIS (1 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 115-151 ATS (-51.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 115-151 ATS (-51.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 43-73 ATS (-37.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 43-73 ATS (-37.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 107-143 ATS (-50.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MICHIGAN ST (1 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS A&M (2 - 0) at AUBURN (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DUKE (1 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (0 - 2) - 9/17/2016, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OHIO ST (2 - 0) at OKLAHOMA (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 173-126 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 173-126 ATS (+34.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 143-107 ATS (+25.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
OHIO ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 157-112 ATS (+33.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 118-82 ATS (+27.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in September games since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (2 - 0) at OLE MISS (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ALABAMA is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 2-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA (2 - 0) at MISSOURI (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 1) at LSU (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NAVY (2 - 0) at TULANE (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 154-114 ATS (+28.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 154-114 ATS (+28.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 75-37 ATS (+34.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 75-37 ATS (+34.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 141-104 ATS (+26.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 100-65 ATS (+28.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TULANE is 88-119 ATS (-42.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAWAII (1 - 2) at ARIZONA (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (1 - 1) at STANFORD (1 - 0) - 9/17/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS (2 - 0) at CALIFORNIA (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BUFFALO (0 - 1) at NEVADA (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTAH (2 - 0) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 1) - 9/17/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (0 - 2) - 9/17/2016, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 55-86 ATS (-39.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
WASHINGTON ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
NCAAF


Week 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 15


7:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
Houston is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games



Friday, September 16


8:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. RICE
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rice's last 9 games at home
Rice is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games


9:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. UTAH STATE
Arkansas State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arkansas State's last 11 games
Utah State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Utah State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home


9:30 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. UTSA
Arizona State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
UTSA is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games
UTSA is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games



Saturday, September 17


12:00 PM
MIAMI vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Appalachian State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Appalachian State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home


12:00 PM
OHIO vs. TENNESSEE
Ohio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ohio's last 9 games
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee's last 15 games at home


12:00 PM
S. CAROLINA ST vs. CLEMSON
S. Carolina St is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
S. Carolina St is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Clemson is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Clemson is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games


12:00 PM
AKRON vs. MARSHALL
Akron is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Marshall is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Akron


12:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games
Bowling Green is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Bowling Green is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


12:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
Florida State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Florida State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisville's last 7 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


12:00 PM
KANSAS vs. MEMPHIS
Kansas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Memphis is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games


12:00 PM
NORTH DAKOTA STATE vs. IOWA
North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Iowa is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 9 games at home


12:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. PENN STATE
Temple is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Penn State
Temple is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Penn State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Temple
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games when playing at home against Temple


12:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. TCU
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 9 games on the road
Iowa State is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
TCU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Iowa State
TCU is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home


12:00 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. RUTGERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games
New Mexico is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Rutgers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home


12:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. WISCONSIN
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia State's last 8 games
Georgia State is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Wisconsin's last 13 games
Wisconsin is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games


12:30 PM
VANDERBILT vs. GEORGIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 11 games
Vanderbilt is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Georgia Tech is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Georgia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


1:30 PM
VIRGINIA vs. CONNECTICUT
Virginia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Virginia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
Connecticut is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games


2:00 PM
IDAHO vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Idaho is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Idaho's last 7 games
Washington State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Idaho
Washington State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho


2:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA A&T vs. TULSA
North Carolina A&T is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tulsa is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games at home
Tulsa is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games


2:30 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 8 games
Florida Atlantic is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas State's last 10 games at home


3:00 PM
EASTERN KENTUCKY vs. BALL STATE
Eastern Kentucky is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games
Eastern Kentucky is 1-22 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Ball State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ball State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games


3:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. TOLEDO
Fresno State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 7 games on the road
Toledo is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
Toledo is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home


3:00 PM
UNLV vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
UNLV is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNLV's last 5 games on the road
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Central Michigan's last 19 games at home


3:30 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games
Boston College is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Virginia Tech is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston College
Virginia Tech is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston College


3:30 PM
MONMOUTH, N.J. vs. KENT STATE
No trends available
Kent State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Kent State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home


3:30 PM
OREGON vs. NEBRASKA
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Oregon is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Nebraska's last 19 games


3:30 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. SYRACUSE
South Florida is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of South Florida's last 19 games on the road
Syracuse is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Syracuse is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home


3:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma State's last 8 games at home
Oklahoma State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


3:30 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games
Florida International is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Massachusetts is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games


3:30 PM
COLORADO vs. MICHIGAN
Colorado is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
Colorado is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games
Michigan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


3:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. MISSISSIPPI
Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
Mississippi is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


3:30 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Western Kentucky is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Miami (Ohio) is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games


3:30 PM
JAMES MADISON vs. NORTH CAROLINA
James Madison is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
James Madison is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
North Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
North Carolina is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games


3:30 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego State is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Northern Illinois is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Northern Illinois is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home


4:00 PM
UC DAVIS vs. WYOMING
UC Davis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
UC Davis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
Wyoming is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home


4:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. KENTUCKY
The total has gone OVER in 18 of New Mexico State's last 21 games on the road
New Mexico State is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games at home
Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


4:00 PM
N. COLORADO vs. COLORADO STATE
N. Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
N. Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games
Colorado State is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home


4:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
East Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
South Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing East Carolina
South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina


4:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Western Michigan's last 20 games on the road
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


5:00 PM
IDAHO STATE vs. OREGON STATE
Idaho State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Idaho State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home


6:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Eastern Michigan's last 17 games
Eastern Michigan is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home


6:00 PM
OLD DOMINION vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Old Dominion is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
Old Dominion is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
North Carolina State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games


6:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. GA SOUTHERN
Louisiana-Monroe is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Ga Southern is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Ga Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


6:30 PM
DELAWARE vs. WAKE FOREST
Delaware is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Delaware is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Wake Forest is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Wake Forest's last 19 games at home


7:00 PM
LIBERTY vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Liberty is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games
Liberty is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games at home
Southern Methodist is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home


7:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Maryland's last 13 games on the road
Maryland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Central Florida is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 6 games


7:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. LSU
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Mississippi State's last 12 games when playing LSU
Mississippi State is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing LSU
LSU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
LSU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


7:00 PM
ARMY vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Army is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Army is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas El Paso's last 8 games
Texas El Paso is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home


7:00 PM
TROY vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Troy is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Troy is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Southern Miss is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Southern Miss is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


7:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. AUBURN
Texas A&M is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Texas A&M is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Auburn is 2-11-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Auburn is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games


7:00 PM
NAVY vs. TULANE
Navy is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Navy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Tulane is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games


7:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. TEXAS TECH
Louisiana Tech is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Texas Tech's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games


7:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
South Alabama is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
South Alabama is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


7:30 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. ARKANSAS
Texas State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Texas State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Arkansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arkansas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home


7:30 PM
OHIO STATE vs. OKLAHOMA
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Ohio State's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 6 games at home
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


7:30 PM
GEORGIA vs. MISSOURI
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games on the road
Missouri is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Missouri's last 14 games


7:30 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. NOTRE DAME
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
Michigan State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games


7:30 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. FLORIDA
North Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 9 games
Florida is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games


8:00 PM
PORTLAND STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Portland State is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
Portland State is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games


8:00 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. STANFORD
Southern Cal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Stanford
Southern Cal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Stanford
Stanford is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Southern Cal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 9 games when playing Southern Cal


8:00 PM
DUKE vs. NORTHWESTERN
Duke is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games on the road
Northwestern is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Northwestern is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home


9:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Nevada's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Nevada's last 16 games at home


10:15 PM
UCLA vs. BYU
UCLA is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
UCLA is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
BYU is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games


10:30 PM
UTAH vs. SAN JOSE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
San Jose State is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games


10:30 PM
TEXAS vs. CALIFORNIA
Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
California is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games at home
California is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


10:45 PM
HAWAII vs. ARIZONA
Hawaii is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Hawaii's last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Arizona is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Timing is everything and sharps are watching these college football lines very closely


The South Florida Bulls have been explosive in their first two games, scoring 56 and 48 points while averaging 551 total yards per game and 7.1 yards per play.


Spread to bet now


South Florida (-14) at Syracuse


South Florida opened as a 12.5-point favorite and the line quickly climbed to -14 with some locations already moving to -14.5. The Bulls have been explosive in their first two games, scoring 56 and 48 points while averaging 551 total yards per game and 7.1 yards per play. Their defense has also been strong, allowing just 18.5 points per game and just 3.7 yards per play.


Syracuse is playing their third straight home game, however this could be a bit of a letdown spot after a high profile national TV home game last Friday night versus Louisville. The Orange were unable to slow down a potent Louisville offense as the Cardinals scored 62 points and gained an incredible 845 total yards (414 rushing / 431 passing).


Spread to wait on


Colorado (+20.5) at Michigan


Colorado opened as low as +19 in some spots and +20 in others, and was quickly bet up to +20.5. This line will likely hit the key number of +21 or more, especially since Michigan has been so dominant in their first two games this season. The Wolverines have won their other two games at home by scores of 63-3 (vs. Hawaii) and 51-14 (vs. UCF). Michigan has out-gained their two opponents by an average of 479-281 total yards (6.8-4.4 yppl).


While there is no question Michigan is loaded, this is a possible flat spot after two easy home wins and with their conference opener on deck next week versus Penn State. In fact, Michigan will play five straight home games to start this season, so there is a chance they become a bit complacent this week. Colorado has been very impressive in their first two games, winning 44-7 and 56-7, out-gaining their opponents by an average of 587-160 in total yards (6.6-2.7 yppl).

Total to watch


Ohio State at Oklahoma (64.5)


This Over/Under line opened at 64.5 and has held steady so far. This game obviously has huge national championship playoff implications, especially for Oklahoma who has already lost this season, 23-33 versus Houston. The Sooners struggled to stop the pass in that game, allowing the Cougars to throw for 321 yards. Oklahoma also allowed UL Monroe to throw for 272 yards last week. The Sooners are allowing 7.7 yards per pass this season (versus opponents that average just 6.8 ypp).


Ohio State has been potent on offense so far this season, averaging 62.5 points per game and 596 total yards (7.3 yppl). They are averaging 313 rushing yards (6.1 ypr) and 283 passing yards (9.3 ypp). However, the Buckeyes defense has yet to be tested. Oklahoma is a capable scoring machine as they showed last week when they put up 59 points on 640 total yards.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
ACC Report - Week 3
September 14, 2016

2016 ACC STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Boston College 1-1 0-1 1-0-1 0-2


Clemson 2-0 0-0 0-2 0-2


Duke 1-1 0-1 1-1 0-2


Florida State 2-0 0-0 1-0 1-0


Georgia Tech 2-0 1-0 0-0-1 0-1


Louisville 2-0 1-0 2-0 2-0


Miami (Fla.) 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1


North Carolina 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1


North Carolina State 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-0-1


Pittsburgh 2-0 0-0 0-2 1-1


Syracuse 1-1 0-1 1-1 1-1


Virginia 0-2 0-0 1-1 0-1-1


Virginia Tech 1-1 0-0 0-2 1-1


Wake Forest 2-0 1-0 1-1 0-2




Florida State at Louisville (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)


We're going to find out a lot about Louisville Saturday afternoon, as ESPN's College Gameday visits for the first time in the program's history. More importantly, we're going to find out if Lamar Jackson is ready for prime time or still needs some seasoning. He has been putting up video game-like numbers in the first two outings, but a visit from Florida State's battle-tested defense is a different story. The Seminoles opened as 3 1/2-point favorites and it has been bet down to 2 at most shops, with more movement to come. The 'Noles are 4-1 ATS in their past five ACC games, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven road outings against teams with a winning home record. The Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games dating back to last season. The 'over' is 7-2 in FSU's past nine on fieldturf, while the 'under' is 9-3 in their past 12 ACC battles. The 'over' is 4-0 in the past four on fieldturf and 4-0 in the past in the ACC for the Cards.


Miami-Florida at Appalachian State (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)


Miami invades Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. for perhaps the biggest game in Appalachian State's history. Well, the biggest game outside of their upset win at Michigan as an FCS squad. App State is an FBS team now in the Sun Belt Conference, and they're looking to make headlines again. The Mountaineers nearly pulled off an upset at Tennessee, taking the Vols to overtime before succumbing 20-13. Miami has rolled through Florida A&M and Florida Atlantic at home, going 2-0 ATS in the process. The line for this game opened at 4 1/2 and slipped to 3 1/2 as of Tuesday night. Can the Mountaineers shut down the speedy Hurricanes? Miami is 5-1 ATS in their past six games in September, while App State is 0-5 ATS in their past five following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home.


Vanderbilt at Georgia Tech (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)


Vandy goes from the capital of Tennessee to the capital of Georgia to battle the Ramblin' Wreck. Anyone going to this game have a slaw dog for me at The Varsity and tell me all about it. The Commodores are 14-6 ATS in their past 20 road games, and 12-4 ATS in their past 16 on the road against teams with a winning home record. The Yellow Jackets are 13-6-1 ATS in their past 20 in September, but just 1-4 ATS in their past five at home, 2-5 ATS in their past seven against the SEC and 1-9-1 ATS in their past 11 games overall. The trends point to an 'under' result, as the under is 7-1 in Vandy's past eight on the road and 7-2 in their past nine against teams with an overall winning record. The under is 5-1 in Ga. Tech's past six and 5-2 in their past seven against SEC foes. The line for this game is set at Georgia Tech -6 1/2 points and a total of 43.

Virgnia at Connecitcut (ESPN3, 1:30 p.m.)


Virginia heads to UConn searching for their first taste of victory after an extremely disappointing opening game loss to FCS Richmond, and a drubbing at the hands of Oregon at Autzen last weekend. UConn nearly met the same fate in their opener, edging FCS Maine 24-21 despite entering as a 27-point favorite. The Huskies played Navy tough in Annapolis, but were dumped 28-24. The 'over' has connected in each of UConn's first two games while going 0-2 ATS. The Cavaliers are also 0-2 ATS in their first two games, so something's gotta give. Connecticuts enters as 4 1/2-point favorite with a total of 48 1/2.


Boston College at Virginia Tech (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)


The Eagles head to Blacksburg for their second conference game of the season already, while the Hokies look to rebound after Tennessee raced past them at Bristol Motor Speedway last weekend. The Eagles have already been to Ireland and Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, and now head to Virginia, failing to play a game on campus yet. They're 5-1 ATS in their past six games on the road, including last weekend's cover against UMass. The Hokies have covered just once in the past five at Lane Stadium, and they're a dismal 5-16-1 ATS in their past 22 in the month of September. Boston College has owned this series, at least against the number, going 4-1 ATS in the past five, and 8-3 ATS in their past 11 trips to Blacksburg. The underdog is also 4-1 ATS in the past five.


Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)


The Panthers outlasted Penn State in an emotional rivalry game, and now turn around for another difficult matchup on the road. Oklahoma State was jobbed by the refs last weekend before falling on a miraculous hook and ladder play against Central Michigan that should have never been allowed to occur. OK State enters as a six-point favorite, and they should be mighty angry after their loss last weekend. Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in their past eight road games, but just 2-6 ATS in their past eight in September and 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference tilts. OK State is 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning record, and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 after a straight-up loss.

South Florida at Syracuse (ACC Network, 3:30 p.m.)


South Florida tuned up Northern Illinois at the Ray Jay last weekend, now they hit the road for the Carrier Dome against a Syracuse team which served as punching bag for Lamar Jackson and Louisville last Friday. USF has been hot against the number, covering six of their past seven in the month of September, 6-2 ATS in their past eight non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their past seven on the road. The Orange is still 5-2 ATS in their past seven against winning teams despite being manhandled last weekend, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six under the dome. however, they are just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.


Old Dominion at North Carolina State (ACC Network, 6:00 p.m.)


Old Dominion pummeled FCS Hampton in their opener to cover a 24-point line, and then were smashed at App State 31-7. N.C. State returns home from the coastal plain after being dumped by East Carolina last weekend. These sides met last season in Virginia, with the Wolfpack pushing aside the Monarchs 38-14 to cover a 17-point number. The last time these teams met in Raleigh, ODU covered a 15 1/2-point number in a 46-34 loss, but that was also with their former dynamic QB Taylor Heinicke, who now carries a clipboard on Sundays for the Minnesota Vikings. N.C. State enters as a 21 1/2-point favorite with a total of 58. ODU is 1-7 ATS in their past eight non-conference tilts, and 1-5 ATS in their past six on the road. The Wolfpack are 8-2 ATS in their past 10 non-conference battles despite last weekend's debacle, but they're just 1-4 ATS in their past five at Carter-Finley.


Duke at Northwestern (Big Ten, 8:00 p.m.)


Duke looks to rebound after taking it on the chin 24-14 to Wake Forest in Durham. Northwestern has really struggled to open the season, falling by a point in their opener to Western Michigan before being stunned by FCS Illinois State in a defensive slog last weekend. The Wildcats are averaging 14.0 PPG with two 'under' results and they're 0-2 ATS. The Blue Devils have split their first two games with a pair of 'under' results. The last time these clubs met, it was Northwestern winning 19-10 at Wallace Wade Stadium Sept. 17, 2016, in a game I actually attended. You can expect another low-scoring battle in Evanston between two disjointed offensive units.


Other Games


South Carolina State at Clemson (ACC Network, 12:00 p.m.)


James Madison at North Carolina (ACC Network. 3:30 p.m.)


Delaware at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 6:30 p.m.)


Other Games -- NOTES


Clemson was nearly tripped up by Troy last weekend. Look for the Tigers, 0-2 ATS, to get on track against an in-state FCS foe. The last time these squads met it was a 73-7 lesson that the Bulldogs are likely still feeling. SCSU enters 0-2, having lost to UCF 38-0 in their opener Sept. 3, and 53-24 to Louisiana Tech last weekend. ... UNC handled their business, topping a Power 5 team on the road, albeit a bottom-feeder in Illinois. Now, the Tar Heels take another breather against the Dukes of James Madison. The Dukes are averaging 68.0 points per game, including an 80-spot against Morehead State in their opener. ... Wake Forest is suddenly thinking bowl after winning at Duke to move to 2-0. A win against the Blue Hens and they're halfway home to bowl eligibility in mid-September.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Tech Trends - Week 3
September 14, 2016


THURSDAY, SEPT. 15


Matchup Skinny Edge


HOUSTON at CINCINNATI...Cougs had problems vs. Cincy LY and did not cover, though UH now 6-1 vs. spread away from TDECU Stadium. UH 29-14-1 vs. points since late 2012, though 0-2-1 vs. spread last three vs. Bearcats. Cincy 8-2 as home dog since 2006.
Slight to Cincy, based on team and series trends.


FRIDAY, SEPT. 16

Matchup Skinny Edge

BAYLOR at RICE...Bears 3-9-1 as visiting chalk since 2011, though 19-11-1 laying DD since 2013. Rice 0-3 as home dog LY and just 2-10-1 last 13 getting points.
Baylor, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at UTSA...UTSA 8-16 spread skid since mid 2014. Graham 6-3 last 9 as road chalk.
ASU,based on recent UTSA woes.


ARKANSAS STATE at UTAH STATE...ASU 2-5 last seven as visiting dog. USU 13-8 vs. line last 21 at Logan.
USU, based on team trends.

SATURDAY, SEPT. 17


Matchup Skinny Edge


EASTERN MICHIGAN at CHARLOTTE... EMU has not been road chalk since 2005 under Jeff Genyk in finale at Buffalo! EMU 9-16-1 vs. line since Creighton arrived in 2014, and no covers last 8 as chalk.
Charlotte, based on EMU chalk woes.


WESTERN MICHIGAN at ILLINOIS...Ugh! WMU now 3-0 vs. line against Big Ten since last season, 5-2 last seven since 2013 under Fleck. If getting points note Broncos 11-3 as dog since late 2013. Illini just 2-7 last 9 vs. spread against non-Big Ten foes.
WMU, based on team trends.

EAST CAROLINA at SOUTH CAROLINA... Muschamp was 9-18 his last 27 as chalk at Florida. Cocks only 2-7 as home chalk since 2013. ECU 7-3 as dog past three seasons.
Tech edge-
ECU, based on team trends.


FLORIDA STATE at LOUISVILLE...Noles have won and covered high-scoring games past two seasons. Jimbo 6-1 vs. line last 7 in reg season. Cards only 4-8 as home dog since 2006, Petrino 5-4 as dog since 2014.
FSU, based on team and series trends.


TEMPLE at PENN STATE...James Franklin 8-4 vs. line at Happy Valley since arriving in 2014, better than desultory road spread mark. Under Rhule, Owls 8-4 as visiting dog since 2013 and 12-7 as visitor vs. spread.
Slight to Temple, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at UCF...UCF no covers last 6 vs. line at home. Knights had been good dog for O'Leary in 2013-14 (6-1) before falling apart LY to 2-6 in role. Terps 8-4 vs. line as visitor since 2014.
Maryland, based on recent UCF woes.

VIRGINIA at UCONN...Cavs were 11-4 last 15 as dog to close the Mike London era. Bronco was 13-7 last 20 as dog at BYU & UVa. UConn now 0-7 as chalk for Diaco since 2014 and no covers last 13 in role dating to 2012!
Virginia, based on team trends.


IOWA STATE at TCU...ISU has been buried the past two years vs. TCU. Matt Campbell was 3-0 as dog at Toledo LY and is 12-7 in role since 2012. Though Cyclones 6-15-1 as DD dog the past four years of the Paul Rhoads regime.
TCU, based on team and recent series trends.

COLORADO at MICHIGAN...Buffs improved to 3-2 as road dog LY after 3-6 mark previous two years for MacIntyre and 6-19 mark in role (mostly Embree's fault) since 2010. CU on 9-5-1 spread run since late 2014. Harbaugh now 6-2 as home chalk and 6-3 laying DD after opening romps.
Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO at RUTGERS...NM 11-6-1 vs. spread away since 2013. Tough Rutgers debut for Ash at U-Dub. Under Flood, Scarlet Knights just 8-12 vs. line as host past three years.
New Mexico, based on recent Davie road marks.


MTSU at BOWLING GREEN...MTSU 3-2 vs. line as non-Belt visitor past two years. Post-Dino era at BGSU has begun slowly (Falcs 0-2 SU and vs. line since he left before Camellia Bowl, allowing 68 ppg in those losses!). Dino was only 4-5 as Doyt Perry chalk past two seasons.
Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.


FIU at UMASS (at McGuirk Stadium)... Minutemen just 2-5 vs. line last seven as host. FIU 7-4 vs. line away since 2014, 3-1-2 as chalk.
FIU, based on team trends.


GEORGIA STATE at WISCONSIN...Note Panthers on 15-5 road dog run since 2012 though 0-2 vs. line in 2016. Paul Chryst only 3-4 laying DD LY for Badgers, who have Mich State on deck.
GSU, based on team trends.


UNLV at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Rebs 13-5 as road dog since 2012. CM 3-4 as home chalk since 2014 but 17-7 last 24 vs. line.
UNLV, based on team trends.


VANDERBILT at GEORGIA TECH...Tech on 1-9-1 spread skid since early 2015. Derek Mason 11-7 as dog since 2014, Dores 22-13 as dog since 2011.
Slight to Vandy, based on team trends.


ARMY at UTEP...Army 6-0-2 vs. line last eight away from home! Though if chalk note 0-8 mark in role on road since 2006! Miners 9-2 vs. spread at Sun Bowl since 2014, but 1-6-1 vs. spread last eight non-CUSA Games.
Army, based on recent trends.


FLORIDA ATLANTIC at KANSAS STATE...FAU 9-6 as dog since 2014 for Partridge, 23-9 in role since 2012. Bill Snyder 0-3 as home chalk LY though was 5-1 in role in 2014. Cats 3-6 vs. spread last 9 at home vs. non-Big 12.
FAU, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at TOLEDO...DeRuyter 4-12 vs. line in non-MW games, three of those W vs. FCS, the other vs. Idaho. FSU 1-7 vs. line last 8 as dog away from home. Rockets 11-3-1 last 14, 3-0 as DD chalk since LY.
Toledo, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH...BC had covered four straight vs. Beamer prior to LY. Eagles 5-0-1 as visiting dog past two years. Hokies 8-17-1 as home chalk from 2011-15, but Fuente was 8-3 laying DD at Memphis past two seasons.
BC, based on team and extended series trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at SYRACUSE...USF has covered 10 of last 11 reg season games. Bulls covers last six as chalk. Dino Babers 10-4-1 vs. line since LY at BGSU & Cuse.
USF, based on recent trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Aztecs on 9-3 spread run since early 2015. Also covers last five away from home. NIU hasn't been home dog since 2011 vs. WMU and is 5-0 in that rare DeKalb role since 2006. Though Carey only 5-5 as dog past two years.
SDSU, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at MIAMI-OHIO...Miami was 6-0 as DD dog in 2014 but only 3-4 in role LY. Already 1-0 as DD dog in 2016. WKU rolled RedHawks 56-14 LY. Tops 9-3 last 12 as chalk and 7-2 laying DD since 2014.
WKU, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at FLORIDA...Littrell first road game with UNT, Mean Green now 8-17 vs. line since 2014 (0-1 for Littrell), 2-11 as road dog since 2014. McElwain however only 1-4 as Swamp chalk since last season after good home chalk marks with CSU.
Florida, based on UNT negatives.

LA TECH at TEXAS TECH...Skip Holtz 7-1 as dog since 2014, also 12-5 last 17 vs. spread away from Ruston.
La Tech, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at KENTUCKY...NMSU 4-4 vs. line away LY, improved from 3-13-1 spread mark away 2012-14. Stoops 4-15-1 last 20 vs. number since mid 2013.
Slight to UK, based on extended NMSU road woes.

TEXAS STATE at ARKANSAS...Withers impressive in debut win for TSU at Solich. Bobcats were 0-6 on road for Fran LY but were 4-0 in role the previous 2014. Bielema only 3-5 last 8 as home chalk.
Slight to Texas State, based on team trends.

OHIO at TENNESSEE...Solich was 2-1 as road dog LY but 1-8 as dog away from home previous two seasons. Solich 2-1 as DD dog in 2015 after 0-5 in role previous two years. Butch Jones only 7-10 as home chalk since arriving at UT in 2013.
Slight to Solich, based on team trends.

AKRON at MARSHALL...Zips 1-7 last 8 as DD dog since 2014. Marshall 13-5-1 as home chalk since 2013, 16-6-1 last 23 laying DD.
Marshall, based on team trends.

OREGON at NEBRASKA...Mike Riley lost his last 7 SU vs. Ducks when at OSU. Ducks were 5-0 vs. line as visitor LY and have covered 9 straight as visitor since early 2014. Riley just 4-10 vs. line at home (Oregon State & Huskers) since 2013, though 2-0 early in 2016.
Oregon, based on team trends.

UCLA at BYU...Bruins now 0-4 as dog since 2014. Favored team has covered last seven UCLA road games since mid 2014. Mora 2-8 vs. spread last ten non-Pac 12 games. Cougs 4-0-1 as home chalk since LY.
BYU, based on team trends.

MIAMI-FLA. at APPALACHIAN STATE...Canes 4-4 as road chalk since 2013. Richt was 10-8 as visiting chalk with Georgia 2011-15. App only 5-8 vs. spread at Boone since 2014.
Slight to Miami, based on team trends.

PITT at OKLAHOMA STATE...Narduzzi was 4-1 as reg season visiting dog LY. Panthers 6-3 vs. spread as visitor since late 2014. Gundy only 6-8 vs. line at Stillwater since 2014.
Pitt, based on team trends.

ULM at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...ULM was 6-6 as road dog past two seasons for Todd Berry, 4-5 as DD dog. Lost 51-31 at home vs. GaSo last season. Eagles 5-2 as DD chalk since LY.
Slight to GaSo, based on team trends.

ODU at NC STATE...Road team has covered last two. ODU 0-6 as DD dog since 2015. Pack good bully lately and 5-1 last six laying DD.
NCS, based on team trends.

TROY at SOUTHERN MISS...USM 11-4 vs. line since 2015, also 5-1 vs. spread at home that span. Also 6-0-1 last seven non-CUSA in reg season. Troy however 5-1 as road dog since LY for Neal Brown.
USM, based on recent trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at UL-LAFAYETTE...Jags 3-0 as road chalk since 2014, though only 9-17-1 overall vs. spread that span. Ragin' Cajuns only 5-8-1 vs. spread since 2015 since 2013.
Slight to USA, based on recent ULL negatives.

KANSAS at MEMPHIS...KU actually improved a bit on the road for Beaty to 2-3 vs. line away LY after 6-15-1 spread mark away the previous four years. Jayhawks only 3-9 as dog since LY, however. Memphis 8-3 laying DD last two years at end of Fuente era, including 52-23 romp at Jayhawks LY.
Memphis, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at NOTRE DAME... First meeting since 2013. At that time, ND had won three straight in series, though MSU 5-2 vs. line last seven in series. If Dantonio a dog note 10-2 mark in role since 2012.
Michigan State, based on team trends.

TEXAS A&M at AUBURN...Malzahn has opened 2016 with two covers after 3-15 mark previous 18 vs. line. Road team has covered all four in series since Ags joined SEC in 2012. Auburn 1-8 last 9 as home chalk.
A&M, based on team and series trends.

DUKE at NORTHWESTERN... Cutcliffe 12-5 as dog 13-5-1 vs. spread away since 2013. Cats only 4-12 as Evanston chalk since 2013.
Duke, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE at OKLAHOMA... Urban 14-8 vs. line away from Big Horseshoe since 2012. Stoops only 15-16 vs. points at Norman since 2011.
Ohio State, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at OLE MISS...Rebs have won and covered last two vs. Bama, Hugh Freeze still 11-6 as dog with Rebs even after FSU loss. Freeze still 43-22-1 vs. line since 2011 at Ark State. Nick however has covered six straight as a visitor.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on recent series and team trends.

GEORGIA at MISSOURI...Georgia was 10-8 vs. spread its last 18 as visiting chalk for Richt. Mizzou now 4-10 vs. spread since last season though did cover vs. UGa in 2015.
Slight to Georgia, based on recent Mizzou woes.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at LSU...Dan Mullen has covered last two vs. LSU, and MSU 7-2-1 last 10 as SEC visitor in the days with Dak. Les Miles 8-3-1 as Baton Rouge chalk past two seasons.
Slight to MSU, based on recent trends.

NAVY at TULANE...Fritz 2-0 vs. line with Tulane, now 11-4 vs. spread last 15 since LY at GaSo. Wave was only 5-7 vs. line in new stadium past two seasons. Mids 20-12 vs. spread as visitor since 2010, 14-5 last 19 as visiting chalk. Wave covered at Annapolis LY.
Slight to Navy, based on team trends.

HAWAII at ARIZONA...UH just 4-9 as mainland dog past two seasons and 9-19 overall vs. spread since 2014, most of that with Norm Chow. Cats only 7-10 as chalk since 2014, but 5-2 laying DD past two years.
Slight to Arizona, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN CAL at STANFORD...Tree won and covered twice vs. SC LY. Trojans2-8 as dog away from Coliseum since 2013. Shaw 9-4 as Farm chalk 2014-15, though did blow game vs. Trojans in 2014.
Stanford, based on recent trends.

TEXAS at CALIFORNIA...Texas just 1-4 vs. line away LY though Horns might have turned the corner. Bears just 6-13 vs. line at home for Sonny Dykes (though distorted by 1-6 in 2013).
Texas, based on team trends.

BUFFALO at NEVADA... Leipold just 5-8 vs. line since LY for Bulls. Pack 8-6 as chalk past two seasons.
Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.


UTAH at SAN JOSE STATE... Utes 10-3 vs. spread away from home past two seasons, also 11-1 last 12 vs. spread against non-Pac 12. Though only 2-2 as road chalk past two seasons. Caragher just 2-13 as dog since 2014.
Utah, based on team trends.


IDAHO at WASHINGTON STATE... Though Leach only 1-3 laying DD since LY. He's still 11-4 vs. spread since 2015 even after EWU loss. Vandals 10-2 as visiting dog since 2014, 10-4 as DD dog that span.
Slight to Idaho, based on team trends.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Big 12 Report - Week 3
September 14, 2016


2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Baylor 2-0 0-0 0-2 0-2


Iowa State 0-2 0-0 0-2 0-2


Kansas 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1


Kansas State 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1


Oklahoma 1-1 0-0 0-2 1-1


Oklahoma State 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1


Texas 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1


Texas Christian 1-1 0-0 0-2 2-0


Texas Tech 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1


West Virginia 2-0 0-0 1-1 1-1




Baylor at Rice (Fri. ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)


Baylor hits the road for Rice Stadium Friday night looking to move to 3-0. So far the Bears are unbeaten, but they have appeared slightly off while failing to cover either of their games. The 'under' is also 2-0 in Baylor's first two games, something we haven't been accustomed to seeing too frequently in recent seasons. Still, Baylor is averaging 47.5 points per game (PPG), and it's more the result of a strong defensive effort that the under has been coming through. Rice has been anemic on offense, mustering just 28 total points through two games at Western Kentucky and at Army, and they're also 0-2 ATS with a pair of under results. Last season it was Baylor humbling Rice 70-17 in Waco, posting 793 total yards of offense to just 246 for Rice. You can expect a similar result, with the Owls struggling to take flight. Baylor is a 30 1/2-point favorite as of Wednesday AM.


Kansas at Memphis (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)


The Jayhawks were feeling good about themselves, topping FCS Rhode Island in the opener after a winless 2015 season. Things were looking up heading into Game 2 against Ohio University, but after a loss it's the same old ugly feeling heading down to Memphis Saturday afternoon. KU is 9-26-1 ATS in their past 36 road outings, 4-12 ATS in the past 16 overall, 2-7 ATS in their past nine against teams with a winning record and 3-11-1 ATS in their past 15 non-conference tilts. Memphis is coming off a bye, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six following a week off. They're also 15-5-1 ATS in their past 21 non-conference battles. Memphis failed to cover in their first game against FCS Southeast Missouri State, and they enter as a near three-touchdown favorite in this one.


Iowa State at Texas Christian (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m. ET)


Iowa State has not fared well with teams from the Hawkeye state, so perhaps traveling outside of its borders will result in a better outcome. The Cyclones were surprised at home by FCS Northern Iowa, and they were absolutely blown out of Kinnick Stadium at Iowa last weekend, falling 42-3. TCU displayed plenty of chinks in the armor in a 59-41 win over FCS South Dakota State. Arkansas exploited those chinks and turned it into a 41-38 overtime victory last weekend over their former Southwest Conference rivals. TCU has allowed 41 points in each of their two games, and no surprise the 'over' is 2-0 in their first two games. Iowa State has scored a total of just 23 points in two games, so it's doubtful they'll be able to reach that level. The 'under' is 2-0 in I-State's first two outings. TCU opened at 22 1/2 and the line quickly escalated to 24. The total is set at 61.


Florida Atlantic at Kansas State (NO TV, 2:30 p.m. ET)


Florida Atlantic opened with a win over FCS Southern Illinois, and then went down to Miami and hung around with a strong defensive effort before the Hurricanes pulled away in the second half. K-State hasn't played in two weeks since their opening game loss at Stanford, when Heisman hopeful Christian McCaffrey ran wild. The Wildcats do not have to worry about any Owls running wild on them, but they will be tested by FAU's up-tempo, no-huddle offense which has them averaging 24.0 PPG. On the flip side, FAU is allowing 34.0 PPG while going 0-2 ATS so far this season.


Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)


The Panthers outlasted Penn State in an emotional rivalry game, and now turn around for another difficult matchup on the road. Oklahoma State was jobbed by the refs last weekend before falling on a miraculous hook and ladder play against Central Michigan that should have never been allowed to occur. OK State enters as a six-point favorite, and they should be mighty angry after their loss last weekend. Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in their past eight road games, but just 2-6 ATS in their past eight in September and 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference tilts. OK State is 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning record, and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 after a straight-up loss.


Louisiana Tech at Texas Tech (NO TV, 7:00 p.m.)


It's the 'Tech Bowl', as the Bulldogs hit the road for Lubbock to battle the Red Raiders. Texas Tech was involved in an absurd game at Arizona State last weekend, falling 68-55 in the desert as the total of 80 was taken care of in the third quarter. Texas Tech has averaged 62.0 PPG on offense through two games. La. Tech will be hard-pressed to slow TTU down, although they did a good job holding Arkansas at bay in a near upset Sept. 3, losing 21-20 as 21-point underdogs. The Bulldogs rebounded last week and flexed a little muscle in a 53-24 win over South Carolina State, but their defense leaked a bit of oil. That cannot be good heading into a game with the Red Raiders, who are capable of 70 in this one. The Red Raiders are favored by just 10 1/2 with a total of 79 1/2.


Ohio State at Oklahoma (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)


One of the most anticipated matchups of the weekend comes from Norman, as Ohio State heads down to Oklahoma looking to deliver a knockout blow to the Sooners' playoff chances in mid-September. The Buckeyes have piled up 125 points through two games, routing Bowling Green 77-10 and shutting down a high-octane Tulsa offense 48-3 last week. Oklahoma rebounded after their stunning 33-23 loss to Houston, pounding on Louisiana-Monroe by a 59-17 count. Still, the Sooners are 0-2 ATS while the Buckeyes are 2-0 ATS. This is the first meeting between the schools. Ohio State was installed as a six-point underdog a few weeks ago, now they enter Norman favored by two.


Texas at California (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)


The Longhorns are climbing in the rankings after spanking Texas-El Paso last week, covering for the second time in as many games. California will be back home after dropping one at San Diego State last week against Heisman dark horse Donnel Pumphrey. The Bears were locked in a shootout last week, losing 45-40, and they figure to see more of the same against a Texas team averaged 45.5 PPG. Remember, the last time these two teams faced each other Sept.. 19, 2015, it was Cal coming away with a 45-44 win in Austin courtesy of a missed extra point. In this one, Texas is a much better team, while California isn't nearly as dangerous. Texas opened as a touchdown favorite and the line climbed to eight. The total is just shy of 80.

Team on a bye


West Virginia
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Houston at Cincinnati
September 13, 2016


This week’s Thursday night game puts the American Athletic Conference in the spotlight in a rematch of one of the best games from the conference race last season.


Cincinnati has been consistently successful in the last decade but this year Houston is the team to watch after turning in a big opening week victory and currently sitting at #6 in the AP Poll.


Here is a preview of the Thursday night showcase game between Houston and Cincinnati.


Match-up: Houston Cougars at Cincinnati Bearcats
Venue: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
Time/TV: Thursday, Sep. 15, 7:30 PM ET – ESPN
Line: Houston -8, Over/Under 64
Last Meeting: 2015, at Houston (-9) 33, Cincinnati 30.


Current head coaches at Michigan State, Notre Dame, and Tennessee had success at Cincinnati before taking higher profile jobs as the program has had just one losing season in the last decade while posting nine or more wins in seven of those seasons. Cincinnati is certainly a program that will be considered in the Big XII expansion and has to be considered one of the top programs outside of the current five major conferences.


Tommy Tuberville had a fairly successful 10-year run at Auburn before leaving after a marginal 2008 season. He coached at Texas Tech for three seasons and then after the 2012 season he made what most considered at best a lateral move to Cincinnati. After a pair of 9-4 seasons the Bearcats slipped to 7-6 last season, falling short of AAC titles the past two seasons after finishing in a three-way tie for the title in 2014.


Hayden Moore filled in successfully as a freshman for Gunner Kiel and he hasn’t surrendered the starting quarterback job leading the Bearcats to a 2-0 start with wins over FCS Tennessee-Martin and a notable win at Purdue last week. An offense that averaged nearly 34 points per game hasn’t been quite as prolific so far this season but Moore has thrown for 510 yards with five touchdowns and senior running back Tion Green has 150 yards on 32 carries so far to lead the offense. All of the top receivers from last season’s squad departed but so far senior Nate Cole has stepped up with 12 catches including three for touchdowns.


Defense is generally the concern for Cincinnati as the Bearcats allowed over 31 points per game last season with particular struggles against the run, allowing 192 yards per game on the ground on nearly 5.0 yards per rush. Cincinnati’s worst losses came against teams that could run, notable against BYU and South Florida in double-digit defeats as well as struggling to contain the run in the matchup with Houston last season.


While last season Cincinnati had three early season losses to fall short of expectations, they went into Houston last November with the Cougars a top 20 team at 8-0 and nearly came away with the upset. Houston took a 30-14 lead in the third quarter with a safety but Cincinnati outscored Houston 16-3 the rest of the way to get within three points and the Bearcats had the ball back near midfield before running out of downs.


Houston had a 589-427 yardage edge but also had three turnovers and very little success running the ball as the Cougars had a 266-66 yardage edge on the ground. Cincinnati also had 11 penalties in the game and a big disadvantage in time of possession.


These teams met in the regular season finale in 2014 with Cincinnati winning 38-31 at home in a win that gave the Bearcats a share of the AAC title. The stakes appear to be much higher for Houston this season, even though this is just the third game of the season.


After going 13-1 last season with a win over Florida State in the Peach Bowl the Cougars opened the season on the national radar and with an upset over Oklahoma in the opening week this is a team that continues to climb in the polls and most feel will have a shot to be undefeated.


The opening week win over Oklahoma was at NRG Stadium and despite falling behind early the Cougars rallied to take a lead at the half. The big play in the game was a third quarter return touchdown after a long field goal try for the Sooners that fell just short but Houston had eight more first downs in the game and more yardage as they shut down what was expected to be one of the nation’s top offensive teams. Quarterback Greg Ward Jr. kept up with Baker Mayfield throwing for over 300 yards and the lines on both sides of the ball had strong play.


Last week Ward did not play vs. FCS Lamar with a right shoulder injury as junior Kyle Potsma stepped in admirably as he did last season in a few instances. The running game led the way last week with 381 rushing yards and the defense was dominant in the shutout with just 73 yards allowed. Getting that type of performance will be a great challenge this week as Houston and second year head coach Tom Herman look to continue what they hope will be a special season.


Houston entered the season as the heavy favorite in the AAC West and the leading candidate to return to a major bowl game as the top Group of 5 squad. Those hopes are alive as Houston climbs the polls but down the road a perfect season may still not be enough as the schedule will be quite weak overall. This game projects to be the toughest road game of the season for Houston as the late season test against Louisville will be at home.


While the conversations about whether or not Houston has a chance at the College Football Playoff will be for another day, this Thursday night spotlight game is the matchup most expect to see again in December for the AAC title game. While more may be at stake for the Cougars this is a great opportunity for Cincinnati to get a signature win as well in what could be a bounce-back season for the program after last season’s mediocrity.


Historical Trends:


-- Last season’s win for Houston was the first in the series since 1999, snapping a five-game winning streak for Cincinnati.


-- Going back to 1993 Houston is just 3-8 S/U and ATS in this series with all of the S/U wins coming at home.


-- Six of the last eight meetings between these schools have been decided by seven or fewer points.


-- Since 1989 Cincinnati is 75-56-1 ATS at home with a 32-18 ATS mark as a home underdog.


-- Cincinnati was a 7-point favorite hosting this matchup in 2014 and has not been this big of a home underdog since ironically hosting Oklahoma (+14) in a 29-31 loss in 2010.


-- Going back to November of 2012 Houston is on a 15-1 ATS run as a road team with the only miss being the upset loss at Connecticut last November.


-- The Cougars are 6-1 S/U and ATS as a road favorite since 2013 and in that time the program has been among the nation’s best ATS performers at 28-14 ATS overall since the start of the 2013 season.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Pac-12 Report - Week 3
September 14, 2016



2016 PAC-12 STANDINGS


Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under


Arizona 1-1 0-0 0-2 0-2


Arizona State 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1


California 1-1 0-0 1-1 2-0


Colorado 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1


Oregon 2-0 0-0 0-2 1-1


Oregon State 0-1 0-0 1-0 0-1


Southern California 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1


Stanford 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-1


UCLA 1-1 0-0 0-2 1-0-1


Utah 2-0 0-0 0-2 0-2


Washington 2-0 0-0 2-0 2-0


Washington State 0-2 0-0 1-1 1-1




Arizona State at Texas-San Antonio (Fri. - ESPN2, 9:30 p.m. ET)


The Sun Devils hit the road for Texas-San Antonio after a 68-55 shootout win against Texas Tech, while UTSA looks to rebound after a 23-14 setback at Colorado State a week ago. The Roadrunners are 0-2 ATS and the 'under' has cashed in each of their two games. The 'under' hasn't been a problem for Arizona State, as they're averaging 56.0 PPG while allowing 34.0 PPG while covering each of their first two games. The Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their past eight road games, while going 2-6 ATS in their past eight in the month of September. The Roadrunners are 1-4 ATS in their past five non-conference games while going 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight overall.


Idaho at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 2:00 p.m.)


Idaho was waffled at Washington by a 59-14 score last weekend in Seattle, now they take on the Evergreen State's other Pac-12 representative. The last time these teams matched up it was WaZu winning 42-0 Sept. 21, 2013. The Vandals are averaging just 17.0 PPG while allowing 38.0 PPG. The Cougars are searching for their first win of the season after losing to FCS Eastern Washington in the opener, and at Boise State last weekend. However, the Cougs were much better in Boise. They nearly pulled off the upset, losing 31-28 as a near two-touchdown underdog. The Vandals are 1-4 ATS in their past five against the Pac-12, and 1-8 ATS in their past nine in September. The Cougs are still 5-1 ATS in their past six at home despite their loss to EWU, and they're 10-2 ATS in their past 12 overall.


Colorado at Michigan (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

The Buffaloes hit the road for the Big House to face the high-flying Wolverines. Seeing Colorado-Michigan on the schedule brings back memories of Kordell Stewart to Michael Westbrook on a Hail Mary to sadden Ann Arbor back in 1994. Colorado is off to a hot start, spanking Colorado State 44-7 and then punishing FCS Idaho State by a 56-7 count. So far the Buffs are 2-0 ATS, but they will face, by far, their stiffest test Saturday. Michigan is averaging 57.0 PPG while allowing just 8.5 PPG, and they have covered two spreads of 36 or more points with the 'over' cashing in each outing. Colorado is 3-1-1 ATS in their past five non-conference tilts, but they're 11-23-1 ATS in their past 35 road outings. Michigan has covered four straight non-conference games while going 7-3 ATS in their past 10 against teams with a winning overall record. However, they are 1-9 ATS in their past 10 tries against Pac-12 foes.


Oregon at Nebraska (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)


Perhaps this game doesn't have the interest of Florida State-Louisville, Ohio State-Oklahoma, etc. However, the Ducks meeting former Oregon State head coach Mike Riley, who is now the head man in Nebraska. How's that for a storyline? Riley coached Oregon State to a 4-10 record against Oregon. The Ducks are 27-10 ATS in their past 37 against teams with a winning record, and an amazing 22-5 ATS in their past 27 road games. However, they are 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference games, including 0-2 ATS in their first two outings. The Huskers are 5-1 ATS in their past six non-conference battles while going 5-2 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record. Nebraska enters as a 3 1/2-point favorite. The 'over' is also 4-1 in Oregon's past five against a team with a winning record, and the over is 8-2 in Nebraska's past 10 non-conference games and 5-1 in their past six against teams with a winning overall mark.

Southern California at Stanford (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)


USC rebounded last week against Utah State, spanking the Aggies to make themselves feel better after being emasculated by Alabama in their opener. Stanford topped Kansas State and then had a week off, so they're fresh and ready for a visit from the Trojans. This line opened at 6 1/2 and quickly moved to 9 1/2 while the total holds steady at 53. USC is 2-6 ATS in their past eight overall, while going 7-19 ATS in their past 26 road outings. They're also 4-12 ATS in their past 16 road outings against a team with a winning home record. Stanford is 36-16-1 ATS in their past 53 conference games, and 39-18 ATS in their past 57 home games. The Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their past 10 against the Cardinal, while the road team is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings. The underdog is also 8-2 ATS in the past 10 battles.


UCLA at Brigham Young (ESPN2, 10:15 p.m.)


UCLA heads to Provo looking to top BYU again. They held off the Cougars last season by a 24-23 score, averting a near disaster as 16 1/2-point favorites at the Rose Bowl. UCLA lost to Texas A&M in their opener, and rebounded with a win over UNLV. They have failed to cover in either of their outings, and they're 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference games. BYU has covered both of their games, topping Arizona in the opener and then slipping up at Utah in the Holy War last week, electing to go for two in the final moments rather than kick an extra point and battle in overtime. The 'under' is 2-0 for BYU so far.


Texas at California (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)


The Longhorns are climbing in the rankings after spanking Texas-El Paso last week, covering for the second time in as many games. California will be back home after dropping one at San Diego State last week against Heisman dark horse Donnel Pumphrey. The Bears were locked in a shootout last week, losing 45-40, and they figure to see more of the same against a Texas team averaged 45.5 PPG. Remember, the last time these two teams faced each other Sept.. 19, 2015, it was Cal coming away with a 45-44 win in Austin courtesy of a missed extra point. In this one, Texas is a much better team, while California isn't nearly as dangerous. Texas opened as a touchdown favorite and the line climbed to eight. The total is just shy of 80.


Hawai'i at Arizona (Pac-12 Network, 10:45 p.m.)


Hawai'i plays its fourth game of the season already, having lost to California in Sydney and Michigan in Ann Arbor. They are coming off a win against FCS Tennessee-Martin to make them feel better, but now it's back to reality in Tucson this weekend. Arizona was dumped by BYU in their opener before narrowly avoiding disaster against FCS Gramling State last weekend. The Wildcats have failed to cover in two games, and the 'under' has cashed in each outing. Hawai'i is 1-5 ATS in their past six road games, while going 1-7 ATS in their past eight overall. Arizona is just 2-9 ATS in their past 11 games in the month of September, while going 2-7 ATS in their nine non-conference battles.


Other Games


Idaho State at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 5:00 p.m.)
Portland State at Washington (Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m.)
Utah at San Jose State (CBS Sports Network, 10:30 p.m.)


Other Games -- NOTES


Oregon State is looking to rebound after a loss at Minnesota in their opener Sept. 1. They've had 16 days to rebound and get prepare for Idaho State in what should be their first win of the season. Idaho State was hammered last weekend by Colorado by a 56-7 score last weekend. ... Portland State heads to Seattle to battle U-Dub for the first time since Sept. 15, 2012 when the Huskies came away with a 52-13 win. That Washington team paled in comparison to this season's squad, which has lofty expectations. Washington has covered both of their games while averaging 53.5 PPG and allowed 13.5 PPG and the 'over' has cashed in each. ... Utah heads to the Bay Area to meet San Jose State, and they enter as near two-touchdown favorites. The Utes are 4-1 ATS in their past five battles against Mountain West foes, and they're 11-3 ATS in their past 14 non-conference games. The Spartans are 1-1 ATS in two non-conference games this season, and 19-9 ATS in their past 28 outside the MWC. They're just 2-9 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a winning overall mark.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Houston, Cincy possible Big 12 tilt?
September 14, 2016


CINCINNATI (AP) Sure, the Big 12 will be watching when two of the American Athletic Conference's top teams kick off on Thursday night. No. 6 Houston and Cincinnati haven't hidden their desires to jump to a Power Five league.


And now they get to show head-to-head how they match up in football, which is the sport driving conference realignment.


''I would imagine all those decisions are already made,'' Cincinnati coach Tommy Tuberville said. ''I don't think that (game) has got a lot to do with it. This is one game, the third game of the season. A lot is on the line for us, obviously, but we don't look at it that way.''


The Bearcats (2-0) have a chance to make themselves relevant again after a 7-6 season. They're coming off a 38-20 win at Purdue, Cincinnati's first victory over a current Big Ten team in 59 years.


The Cougars (2-0) have a top 10 ranking in September for the first time since 1980. They started the season with an attention-grabbing 33-23 win over No. 3 Oklahoma and are trying to open AAC play with their first win in Cincinnati since 1971.


''You embrace it,'' Houston linebacker Tyus Bowser said. ''We have worked so hard to get to this point. We prepare and train for this type of moment.''


Some things to watch at Nippert Stadium on Thursday night:


WARD'S WEEK OFF


Houston quarterback Greg Ward Jr. was held out of a 42-0 win over Lamar last Saturday because of a sore shoulder. He's expected to be back to full strength against Cincinnati, looking for another big game against a defense that had five interceptions at Purdue. Ward has developed from a run-first threat into an all-around quarterback. He completed 23 of 40 throws for 321 yards with a pair of touchdowns in the win over Oklahoma.


''He's a quarterback that extends plays,'' Tuberville said. ''This is a Big 12 offense. When I was at Texas Tech, you saw this every week. They have it all.''


CAN'T RUN ON THE COUGARS


Houston has held its last four opponents under 100 yards rushing, the longest such streak in the country. Lamar managed only 73 yards in all - the best showing by a Houston defense in school history - and failed to cross midfield. In the last four games, the Cougars have held Temple, Florida State, Oklahoma and Lamar to a total of 199 yards rushing. Cincinnati rushed for 262 yards at Purdue, with dual-threat quarterback Hayden Moore throwing for three touchdowns and running for two more.


GET USED TO IT


The Cougars play the first of four weeknight games. They also host Connecticut and Louisville in Thursday night games. They finish the regular season at Memphis on a Friday night.


''I understand why they do it,'' coach Tom Herman said. ''The (television) ratings are off the charts when you play these Thursday night games, and we're in the entertainment business. But we play four of these. ... We're playing four games in 20 days. You do the math. That's a lot of pounding on a young man's body in a short amount of time.''


BEARCAT SELF-DESTRUCTION


During a 33-30 loss at Houston last season, Cincinnati had a punt blocked, fumbled into the end zone, botched an onside kick, got tackled for a safety and gave up a 51-yard interception return for a touchdown. No surprise, then, that one of its main points of emphasis this week is to keep its composure.

CAN MOORE ELEVATE HIS GAME?


Moore, a redshirt sophomore, has never face a defense the caliber of Houston's unit. He was ragged in the first half of a season-opening 28-7 win over Tennessee-Martin, but showed a lot of poise during the win at Purdue. Moore completed 19 of 32 passes for 250 yards and three touchdowns, and he ran 13 times for 71 yards and two more scores. The Bearcats need him to be steady against a defense that leads the nation with 111 forced turnovers since the start of the 2013 season.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Houston-Cincinnati Capsule
September 14, 2016


No. 6 Houston (2-0, 0-0 American Athletic) at Cincinnati (2-0, 0-0), 7:30 p.m. (ESPN).


Line: Houston by 8.


Series Record: Houston leads 14-10.


WHAT'S AT STAKE


Houston has more riding on a matchup between two schools campaigning to get into the Big 12. The Cougars are ranked in the top 10 for the first time since 1980. Cincinnati is looking for a signature win that would get the Bearcats back in the national conversation coming off a 7-6 season.


KEY MATCHUP


Redshirt sophomore QB Hayden Moore vs. the Houston defense: Moore regrouped from a sloppy opening game and accounted for five touchdowns during a 38-20 win at Purdue. He's never faced a defense like the Cougars' unit, which hasn't allowed another team to rush for 100 yards in the last four games and leads the nation with 111 forced turnovers since 2013.

PLAYERS TO WATCH


Houston: QB Greg Ward Jr. sat out a 42-0 win over Lamar with a sore shoulder. He has grown from more of a running threat into a complete quarterback, completing 23 of 40 passes for 321 yards and a pair of TDs in an opening 33-23 win over No. 3 Oklahoma.


Cincinnati: S Mike Tyson. He had three of Cincinnati's five interceptions in the win at Purdue, including one in the end zone and one at the Cincinnati 15-yard line. The Bearcats have seven interceptions in the first two games. It took them nine games last season to get that many.


FACTS & FIGURES


The last three games in the series have been decided by 18 points total, with Houston winning 33-30 last season. ... Cincinnati has won six straight over Houston at Nippert Stadium, where the Cougars haven't won since 1971. ... Cincinnati's last win over a top 10 team came against Rutgers in 2006. ... The Cougars held Lamar to 73 total yards, a school-record low for their defense. Lamar didn't cross midfield. ... In the last four games, Houston has held Temple, Florida State, Oklahoma and Lamar to a combined 199 yards rushing.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Oklahoma, Ole Miss facing potential September elimination
September 14, 2016


Top-ranked teams facing enormous road tests. Potential playoff elimination games. Crucial conference contests. Intriguing nonconference matchups.


The stakes are so high it's hard to believe it is only week three of the college football season.


Where to start? How about this? For the first time in the history of the AP college football poll, the Nos. 1, 2 and 3 teams will all be playing ranked teams in true road games. For two of the teams hosting those games, a loss likely means scratching at least one goal for this season off the list.


No. 19 Mississippi (which faces No. 1 Alabama) and No. 14 Oklahoma (which faces No. 3 Ohio State) each opened the season with high-profile losses. A second will make reaching the College Football Playoff a very long shot. You can throw No. 18 Notre Dame (1-1), which faces No. 12 Michigan State at home, into that category, too. Though be careful to bury a team with two losses.


Last season, Stanford with two losses found itself on the edge of playoff contention, in need of just a few Championship Saturday upsets, to have a strong case to make the field. As Power Five teams play more conference games and take on tougher nonconference challenges, it seems inevitable that a team with two losses will make the playoff at some point.


And if any of the Sooners, Rebels or Fighting Irish loses on Saturday, all will try to convince themselves that they will become the first two-loss team to make the playoff.


The picks:


COUGAR TRAP?


No. 6 Houston (minus 8) at Cincinnati


The Bearcats can score and the Cougars have a couple of aching stars in QB Greg Ward and RB Duke Catalon for their AAC opener ... HOUSTON 41-28.

FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS


No. 21 Baylor (minus 30+) at Rice


OK, Owls, win as a four-plus-touchdown underdog and you're in the Big 12 ... BAYLOR 45-20.


MAIN EVENTS


No. 1 Alabama (minus 10) at No. 19 Mississippi


The last team to beat one of Nick Saban's squads three straight seasons was Purdue (1997-99) when he was Michigan State coach. So how hard can it really be? ... ALABAMA 35-21.


No. 2 Florida State (minus 2) at No. 13 Louisville


As far as Heisman campaigns go, this is QB Lamar Jackson's New Hampshire primary after a strong showing in Iowa. Put up big numbers this week and he will be a serious contender for the long run ... FLORIDA STATE 38-31.


No. 3 Ohio State (minus 1+) at No. 14 Oklahoma


The Buckeyes have won 18 straight games on the opponents' home field ... OHIO STATE 30-28.

No. 12 Michigan State (plus 7+) at No. 18 Notre Dame


On the 50th anniversary of the Game of the Century this is certain: the Spartans and Fighting Irish won't play to a tie ... NOTRE DAME 27-21.


UNDERCARD


Southern California (plus 8+) at No. 7 Stanford


No team in the country could use a big victory more than the Trojans ... STANFORD 34-27.

No. 11 Texas (minus 8) at California


The Bears have the worst rushing defense in the nation, allowing 6.85 yards per carry ... TEXAS 42-35.


No. 22 Oregon (plus 3) at Nebraska


Two fragile fan bases, with much skepticism for their coaches. Mental health on the line in Lincoln ... NEBRASKA 38-32.


UPSET ALERTS


North Dakota State (no line) at No. 13 Iowa


Normally we skip the FBS-FCS matchups, but the five-time defending national champion Bison are the Hawkeyes' toughest opponent to date ... IOWA 31-17.


No. 25 Miami (minus 3+) at Appalachian State


The Hurricanes are the biggest thing to hit Watauga County, North Carolina, since Daniel Boone ... MIAMI 28-24.


CONFERENCE CALLS


No. 16 Georgia (minus 6) at Missouri


Bulldogs freshman QB Jacob Eason, who needs to loosen up a Tigers' defense focused on RB Nick Chubb ... GEORGIA 21-14.


No. 17 Texas A&M (plus 3+) at Auburn


When assessing the longtime security of Aggies coach Kevin Sumlin and Tigers coach Gus Malzahn, this game could really sting the loser ... TEXAS A&M 28-24 UPSET SPECIAL.


Mississippi State (plus 12+) at No. 20 LSU


The Tigers turn to Purdue transfer Danny Etling to fix their QB issues; it could be one of the stories of the season or one of the last straws for Les Miles ... LSU 28-14, BEST BET.


BLOWOUTS


Colorado (plus 20) at No. 4 Michigan


Kordell Stewart and Michael Westbrook aren't walking through that tunnel for the Buffaloes ... MICHIGAN 42-17.


Georgia State (plus 34) at No. 9 Wisconsin


Last tuneup for the Badgers before a daunting stretch against Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa and Nebraska. ... WISCONSIN 45-17.


Ohio (plus 27) at No. 15 Tennessee


The Vols get serious next week against Florida ... TENNESSEEE 45-13.


North Texas (plus 36+) at No. 23 Florida


Luke Del Rio's 320 yards passing against Kentucky last week was the most for a Gators QB in an SEC game since 2004 ... FLORIDA 56-14.


Texas State (plus 31) at No. 24 Arkansas


Arkansas OT Dan Skipper, who is 6-foot-10, has six blocked kicks in his career ... ARKANSAS 48-14


TWITTER REQUEST


Pitt (plus 6) at Oklahoma State - (at)nashman92


Forget the playbook. Cowboys needed to study up on the rulebook this week ... OKLAHOMA STATE 31-28.


Temple (plus 8+) at Penn State - (at)TheShlembear


Penn State will commemorate the 50th anniversary of Joe Paterno's first game as Nittany Lions coach ... PENN STATE 31-20.


UCLA (minus 3+) at BYU - (at)barredindc


Third straight Pac-12 opponent for the Cougars (1-1) and one of six games against Power Five opponents. Who needs the Big 12? ... UCLA 28-27.


Western Michigan (minus 3) at Illinois - (at)amygillsports


The Broncos look to go 2-0 against the Big Ten West after beating Northwestern to start season ... WESTERN MICHIGAN 30-23.


---


Record: Last week 12-3 straight; 8-6-1 vs. points.


Season: 24-9; 16-16-1.


Upset specials: 0-2.


Best bets: 0-2.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
UPDATE CFB BEST BETS:


WLT PCT UNITS


ATS Picks 62-44-3 58.49% +6800


O/U Picks 21-18-0 53.85% +600
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
Armadillo's Writeup:


Thursday’s games


Houston QB Ward (shoulder) sat out last week’s cakewalk; he is expected back here. Cougars lost five of its last six vs Cincinnati, losing last four visits here (0-3-1 vs spread) by average score of 44-30. Underdogs are 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine series games. This figures to be Houston’s toughest game until Nov 19 game vs Louisville. Bearcats had 262 rushing yards in 38-20 win LW at Purdue, but Boilers also threw for 401 yards, red flag vs Ward. Cincy was +5 in TOs last week.
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
105,966
Tokens
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 15


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


HOU at CIN 07:30 PM

CIN +8.0


O 64.0
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,947
Messages
13,575,541
Members
100,888
Latest member
bj88gameslife

Share this page

The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com
@2023 TheRX. All rights reserved.21+. Bet Responsibly: If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, seek help at 1-800-Gambler