Cnotes 2012 CFL Seasons Best Bets !

[CNOTES]

CFL preview and pick: Alouettes and Blue Bombers

Montreal Alouettes vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-2, 55.5)

Friday, Aug. 3, Canad Inns Stadium, Winnipeg, 8:30 p.m. ET

It’s almost hard to believe, but Montreal has lost two games in a row for the first time since 2008. And it gets even worse when it comes to covering the pointspread.

The Als have now failed to cover the spread in three straight games and are 1-4 ATS (against the spread) this season. Going back to last season, Montreal has only covered one of its past 12 games, making the team one of the worst bets in sports recently.

If Montreal bettors are looking for a bright spot it’s that the lone moneymaking win for Montreal was a 41-30 drubbing over Winnipeg on July 6. The Bombers had their worst defensive performance since 2005 in that one, surrendering 551 yards of net offense.

Winnipeg is getting some bodies back on defense this week including linebacker Marcellus Bowman and some help on the D-line. The Bombers are also coming off their first win of the season after coming back from a 13-point deficit to beat Edmonton last week. It just happened to be the Blue Bombers’ first home game of the year too, after opening the season with four straight road games.

Alex Brink will get the start again at QB in place of the injured Buck Pierce. Brink earned his first win as the starting QB last week and looked much more comfortable than the week before when he started and lost to Toronto.

Things could be looking up for the Bombers.

Pick: Covers Contest players like Montreal by a big margin.

Note: Keep an eye on the weather for this game. Forecasters are calling for showers and thunder storms in Winnipeg Friday.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Week 6 power rankings

Parity continues to rule as we head into Week 6 of the CFL season.

No fewer than five teams are deadlocked with three victories apiece, good enough for top spot. Just two games separate the best from the worst, and even the Blue Bombers, who looked like a down-trodden team a couple of weeks ago, appear ready to make some noise.

Here's my take on how the league shakes down from 1-through-8.

1. B.C. Lions The Lions suffered through a tough two-week stretch, dropping a heart-breaker in Saskatchewan before returning home to be shocked by the Eskimos. They more than righted the ship last week, however, blasting a quality Stampeders squad 34-8 in Calgary.

2. Hamilton Tiger-Cats There's no question, the talent is there for the Ti-Cats to contend for a title this season. It wasn't surprising that they struggled out of the gate, given all the new faces at key positions, but now that they've got things rolling, they're going to be tough to stop. Hamilton's offense remains the driving force, putting up a league-high 162 points to date.

3. Saskatchewan Roughriders The Riders will enjoy a much-needed week off before hitting the road for a tough back-to-back set in Edmonton and B.C. They're coming off a pair of disappointing losses, first blowing a 17-point lead in Calgary and then coughing up an 18-point cushion at home against Hamilton last week.

4. Toronto Argonauts Despite their sputtering offense, I'm a believer in this Argos squad. They've gutted out back-to-back division wins over the Bombers and Als thanks to stifling defensive efforts. Now it's measuring stick time with a Monday date against the Lions.

5. Edmonton Eskimos No team has given up fewer points than the Eskimos this season. In fact, they've allowed a grand total of just 40 points in their two losses. Unfortunately, I don't think Steven Jyles is the answer at quarterback.

6. Calgary Stampeders The Stamps are a much better team than they showed in last week's shellacking at the hands of the Lions. Prior to that no-show, they had scored at least 32 points in each of their first four games. Perhaps a bye week will help them get their defense in order.

7. Montreal Alouettes Montreal has gotten used to being the 'hunted' over the years, but it's currently looking up at two teams in the East Division, and headed in the wrong direction following back-to-back losses to the Ti-Cats and Argos. Until the Als get their offensive line issues sorted out, they'll continue to struggle.

8. Winnipeg Blue Bombers I see the Bombers as a team on the rise, but they'll remain in the basement for one more week thanks to their league-worst 1-4 record. Alex Brink has brought some stability at the quarterback position, breaking out with his best game of the season in last week's win. He'll continue to get better, and so will the Bombers.

Feel free to chime in with your thoughts on this week's rankings.

You can check out my complete Week 6 card at Covers Experts, where I'm off to a 13-3 start this season, and 41-20 going back to the start of 2010.

Best of luck this weekend!

 

[CNOTES]

TORONTO – Following a Week 5 that saw three of the four games be decided by three points or less, Week 6 will feature a shortened schedule, as half the league takes a breather during their bye week,

The two games this week will have major implications on the standings in both divisions. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers continue their four-game home stand on Friday night, as they play host to the Montreal Alouettes.

With a win, the Bombers will leapfrog the Als for third place in the East Division, while the Als will be in an unfamiliar last.

Monday will see the BC Lions travel east to take on the Toronto Argonauts at Rogers Centre. Last week, the Lions snapped a two-game losing streak with a convincing victory over the Calgary Stampeders, placing them in a three-way tie for first in the West.

The Argos, meanwhile, will aim for their third win in as many weeks, hoping to earn some much needed breathing room atop the East Division.

Equipped with the most up-to-date storylines, roster moves, stats, milestones and trends, the Week 5 CFL.ca Game Notes will provide you with everything you need for the upcoming week of Canadian football.

By the Numbers

Heading into their Week 6 clash with the Bombers, the Alouettes are in much more unfamiliar territory than you might have initially thought.

Not since 2008 – Marc Trestman’s first year in the CFL – has Montreal been below .500 at this point in the season.

Is it a matter of Montreal struggling? Or is it that the Als are no longer the only team with the potential to dominate the East?

When looking at the numbers, it’s likely the latter.

Through five weeks this season, 65 per cent of the games have been decided in the final three minutes, while 50 per cent of them have been decided by four points or less.

Last week there were no kick return touchdowns but the trend remains strong with seven in 20 games. Each team has at least one player with “big play” return capability and there have been 28 such returns this year.

An emerging trend this season is the possibility of a big comeback in each game. Of the 20 games played, teams have overcome 10+ point deficits with two of those from 17 points or more.

Hamilton’s Henry Burris became only the third QB since 2002 to record four or more TD passes in consecutive games. Casey Printers last did it in 2005, while Khari Jones did it for Winnipeg in 2002.

BC’s Travis Lulay completed his last 17-of-18 passes in the second half for a perfect QB rating of 158.3 in the win over Calgary.

Toronto and BC meet in Week 6 and they rank one and in both offence and defence after five games.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Montreal at Winnipeg
The Blue Bombers look to take advantage of a Montreal team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 road games. Winnipeg is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Bombers favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 3

Game 231-232: Montreal at Winnipeg (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 108.755; Winnipeg 111.950
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 3; 58
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+2); Over

MONDAY, AUGUST 6

Game 233-234: BC at Toronto (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 118.414; Toronto 113.426
Dunkel Line: BC by 5; 50
Vegas Line: BC by 2 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-2 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet

Friday, August 3

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MONTREAL (2 - 3) at WINNIPEG (1 - 4) - 8/3/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, August 6

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 2) at TORONTO (3 - 2) - 8/6/2012, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in August games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Home (11-9). Favorites (8-12), Over (10-10). West 6-4 vs the East.

Montreal (2-3) @ Winnipeg (1-4)-- Blue Bombers won home opener last week after starting season with 0-4 road trip; they lost 41-30 (+6.5) in Montreal back in Week 2, giving up 551 yards to Alouette offense that hasn't gained more than 441 in any other game this year. Montreal allowed 30+ points in four of its five games this season; they're 0-2 on road, losing 38-10 (+2.5) at Calgary, 39-28 at Hamilton (+2) two weeks ago. Bombers trailed in all five games at halftime, with home side winning all five, and Winnipeg covering only one of the five- their last two games were decided by a total of four points.

BC Lions (3-2) @ Toronto (3-2)-- Teams played in consecutive weeks LY, with BC winning both, 29-16 (-1.5) here, then 28-6 (-7.5) at home. Both games went under the total. All three Argo wins this season are by three points; only one of their five games was decided by more than four points- Toronto is 2-0 at home, beating Calgary 29-26, Winnipeg 25-22. BC scored 33-39-34 points in its wins, 20-14 in losses; they're 1-1 on road, losing 23-20 in Regina, crushing Stampeders 34-8 in Calgary last week. Lions have yet to trail at halftime (4-0-1) this season. Four of five Lion games stayed under the total.





CFL

Week 6

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Trend Report
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Friday, August 3

8:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Montreal's last 12 games on the road
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home


Monday, August 6

5:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
British Columbia is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing British Columbia

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, August 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Montreal - 8:30 PM ET Winnipeg +2 500

Winnipeg - Over 55.5 500


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Monday, August 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

BC Lions - 5:00 PM ET Toronto +3 500

Toronto - Over 52.5 500

 

[spottie2935]

im with you lets see if peg can score on the Als D

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 7

August 8, 2012

While last week's schedule in the CFL was limited to just two games in light of two straight weeks of byes, the action was not. Last Friday, Montreal reasserted itself as a force in the East with a 36-26 victory over Winnipeg as a two-point road favorite.
In a special Monday edition of the CFL, the defending champion British Columbia Lions extended their current winning streak to two games by grinding out an 18-9 win over Toronto on the road as three-point favorites

The following is brief preview of this week's CFL games along with the opening point spread and 'over/under' lines as provided by 5Dimes.

Thursday, Aug. 9

Calgary Stampeders vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-4) Total: 61

Calgary finds itself in last place in the West Division coming off of its bye with a 2-3 record both straight up and against the spread. The Stampeders' normally potent offense ground to a halt in a 34-8 loss to BC as one-point home underdogs right before the break. The total stayed 'under' the 58-point line after going 'over' in three of their first four games. With Kevin Glenn as its starting quarterback, Calgary will try and recapture the formula that led to an average of 36.8 points a game in its first four outings of the year.

The Tiger Cats went into their bye week with a thrilling 35-34 victory over Saskatchewan as 3 ½-point road underdogs. The win boosted their overall record to 3-2 SU and a profitable 4-1 ATS. The total has now gone 'over' in all five of their games. Hamilton is another team with a potent offensive attack, but it has to be a bit leery of a defense that is giving-up an average of 33.4 points a game.

The Stampeders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss and 6-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week. The total has gone 'over' in six of their last eight games overall. The Tiger-Cats have enjoyed recent success in the month of August with a 5-2 record ATS in their last seven games. The total has gone 'over' in eight of their last 10 home games. Head-to-head, Calgary is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and total has gone 'over' in five of those games.

Friday, Aug. 10

Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Eskimos (- 1 ½) Total: 45

The Roughriders fast 3-0 start both SU and ATS was short-lived with SU losses in their last two games heading into their bye week. They dropped a 41-38 decision to Calgary in overtime as 3 ½-point road underdogs before losing to Hamilton by just one point in Week 5. Saskatchewan is still a healthy 4-1 ATS with the total going 'over' in three of the five games. The defense started the season on solid footing, but has given-up a total of 76 points in the last two games.

Edmonton dropped to 3-2 both SU and ATS right before its bye week with a tough 23-22 loss to Winnipeg in Week 5 as a one-point road favorite. The Eskimos remain just a half of a game out of the lead in the West, but have to be concerned about a rash of injuries to their offensive line. Two of their tackles remain out indefinitely with knee injuries and center Gord Hinse is listed as questionable for Friday night's game.

Saskatchewan has failed to cover in five of its last six games following a SU loss and the total has stayed 'under' in its last five games following a bye. The Eskimos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. The total has stayed 'under' in nine of their last 13 home games. Edmonton has won five of the last seven meetings SU and is 4-3 ATS. The total has stayed 'under' in 16 of the last 21 meetings in Edmonton.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Calgary at Hamilton
The Stampeders look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games in August. Calgary is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 9

Game 291-292: Calgary at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 115.828; Hamilton 113.746
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2; 57
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 4; 61
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+4); Under


FRIDAY, AUGUST 10

Game 293-294: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.771; Edmonton 121.235
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-1 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 9

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CALGARY (2 - 3) at HAMILTON (3 - 2) - 8/9/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, August 10

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SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 2) at EDMONTON (3 - 2) - 8/10/2012, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 107-68 ATS (+32.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Home (11-11). Favorites (10-12), Over (11-11). West 7-4 vs East.

Calgary (2-3) @ Hamilton (3-2)-- TiCats won last three games after 0-2 start by scoring 36-39-35 points; they've also allowed 34+ points in three of five games, as all five contests went over total. Hamilton is 2-1 at home, with all three games decided by 9+ points. Calgary lost three of last four games, allowing 33+ points in all four; they're 0-2 on road, losing 39-36 (-5)/33-32 (+6) in couple previous trips east. Underdogs covered Stampeders' last four games. Home side won both meetings LY, with Calgary losing 55-36 (pick) in wild shootout here. Calgary has already lost twice when scoring 30+ points, always a red flag.

Saskatchewan (3-2) @ Edmonton (3-2)-- Both teams lost last game by one point; Roughriders blew 32-14 lead in 4th quarter at home, their second loss in row after a 4-0 start- they scored 43-38 points in two road games, but they've allowed 55 second half points in last two games. Eskimos are 2-0 at home, allowing 15-10 points; they lost 17-1 (+4) in Regina in Week 2, passing for just 116 yards in a game Riders led 6-1 at half. Four of five Edmonton games stayed under the total. Eskimos have ten takeaways (+5) in last three games, after having one (-1) in its first two games. Riders' last three games were all decided by 3 or less points.




CFL

Week 7

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Trend Report
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Thursday, August 9

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 13 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Hamilton's last 13 games when playing Calgary


Friday, August 10

9:30 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
Saskatchewan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Edmonton's last 14 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


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CFL

Week 6

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CFL preview: Calgary Stampeders at Hamilton Tiger-Cats
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Calgary Stampeders vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-4, 61)

Ivor Wynne Stadium, Hamilton, 7:00p.m. ET

After an 0-2 start to the season the Hamilton Tiger-Cats have become one of the hottest bets in summer sports after winning three straight games outright and four straight games against the spread.

The streak comes just in time for quarterback Henry Burris to face his old team, the Calgary Stampeders, Thursday night in Hammertown. Burris has helped the Ticats score at least 35 points in each of their last four games, making them the highest scoring team in the league. He has tossed 15 touchdowns against just three interceptions.

Things are a little more bleak on defense where Hamilton ranks last in the league in points allowed (33.4 per game), yards allowed (426.4), and fewest sacks (6). The only good part about that for bettors is the over has been reliable at 5-0 in Hamilton's games this season.

Calgary’s defense hasn’t been any better than its opponent. The Stampeders have surrendered at least 33 points in each of its last four games and they went 1-3 straight up and against the spread during that span.

The offensive line is a huge area of concern for Calgary entering Week 7 after it helped the offense gain just 29 yards rushing in a 34-8 loss to B.C. in its last game in Week 5. There are key injuries at left guard and right tackle and they’ll be plugging holes with less experience than they’d like.

Underdog Calgary will need a big game from wide receiver Nik Lewis, who leads the league with six touchdowns this season.

Trends and notes:

Over is 5-0 in Stampeders last five vs. a team with a winning record.
Stampeders rank second in the league with just 90.8 rushing yards against.
Stampeders rank last in the league in time of possession at 22:50 per game.
Stampeders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
Kevin Glenn is 1-2 as starting QB for Calgary in replacement of the injured Drew Tate. Glenn was traded to Calgary in the Burris trade in the offseason.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, August 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 7:00 PM ET Calgary +4.5 500

Hamilton - Over 61 500

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Friday, August 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Saskatchewan - 9:30 PM ET Saskatchewan +1.5 500

Edmonton - Under 45.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 8

August 14, 2012

Week 7 in the CFL wrapped up the last of the two bye weeks this season so the action was limited to just two games. Last Thursday night, Calgary rolled over Hamilton 31-20 as a four-point road underdog to even its record to 3-3 straight up on the year.

Edmonton moved into a tie for first in the West Division at 4-2 SU with a 28-20 victory over Saskatchewan as a two-point home favorite in Friday night's game. The following is brief preview of this week's CFL games along with the opening point spread and 'over/under' lines as provided by 5Dimes.

Thursday, August 16

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-3) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Total: 55

Hamilton is currently is sitting in a three-way tie in the East Division at 3-3 SU (4-2 against the spread). It is 2-0 SU in the division and the total has gone 'over' in five of its first six games. The Blue Bombers are bringing up the rear in the East at 1-5 SU but are 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

The Tiger-Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss, while Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall. Winnipeg is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and the total has gone 'over' in six of the last seven meetings at Canad Inns Stadium.

Friday, August 17

Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Eskimos (-1) Total: 52

Montreal is also part of the mix in the East at 3-3 SU but 2-4 ATS overall and 1-2 ATS on the road. The total has gone 'over' in four of the six games. The Eskimos are 4-2 both SU and ATS and a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home this year.

The Alouettes are just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win and the total has gone 'over' in 10 of their last 13 road games. Edmonton is 4-0 ATS in its last four games at home. Montreal is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings overall, but just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games in Edmonton. The total has gone 'over' in seven of those 10 games.

Saturday, August 18

Toronto Argonauts vs. Calgary Stampeders (-4) Total: 55

Toronto is the third team in the East at 3-3 SU and it is 2-4 ATS with the total staying 'under' in four of the games. The Stampeders are 3-3 both SU and ATS with the total going 3-3 as well. They are one game behind the Eskimos and BC Lions in the West Division.

The Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following both a SU and ATS loss. The total has stayed 'under' in five of their last seven road games. Calgary is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games played in August. Toronto is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings but only 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Calgary. The total has stayed 'under' in the last five games played there.

Sunday, August 19

Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. British Columbia Lions (- 6 ½) Total: 51

The Roughriders have dropped three straight after winning their first three, but they are 4-2 ATS. The total has gone 'over' in four of six games this season. BC has won its last two games SU to move to 4-2 SU (3-3 ATS) on the year with the total has staying 'under' in five of the games.

Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games and the total has stayed 'under' in 15 of its last 21 games overall. The Lions are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games and the total has stayed 'under' in 16 of their last 21 games overall. The Roughriders are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in BC. The total has stayed 'under' in eight of the last nine meetings at BC Place.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Hamilton at Winnipeg
The Blue Bombers look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 Thursday games. Winnipeg is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Bombers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 441-442: Hamilton at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.600; Winnipeg 111.950
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+3 1/2); Under

FRIDAY, AUGUST 17

Game 443-444: Montreal at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 113.755; Edmonton 113.635
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 52
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+1); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 18

Game 445-446: Toronto at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.426; Calgary 113.102
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4 1/2); Over


SUNDAY, AUGUST 19

Game 447-448: Saskatchewan at BC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 116.399; BC 115.688
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 48
Vegas Line: BC by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+6 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 16

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HAMILTON (3 - 3) at WINNIPEG (1 - 5) - 8/16/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-4 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, August 17

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MONTREAL (3 - 3) at EDMONTON (4 - 2) - 8/17/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-0 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, August 18

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TORONTO (3 - 3) at CALGARY (3 - 3) - 8/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, August 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 3) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 2) - 8/19/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 66-40 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 107-69 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, August 16

8:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
Hamilton is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


Friday, August 17

9:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. EDMONTON
Montreal is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal


Saturday, August 18

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CALGARY
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Toronto is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games at home
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto


Sunday, August 19

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, August 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Connecticut - 7:00 PM ET Connecticut -4.5 500

New York - Under 153 500

Washington - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -11.5 500

Indiana - Over 148 500

Phoenix - 10:00 PM ET Seattle -9 500

Seattle - Under 148 500

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Hamilton at Winnipeg
The Blue Bombers look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 Thursday games. Winnipeg is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Bombers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 441-442: Hamilton at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.600; Winnipeg 111.950
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+3 1/2); Under

FRIDAY, AUGUST 17

Game 443-444: Montreal at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 113.755; Edmonton 113.635
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 52
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+1); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 18

Game 445-446: Toronto at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.426; Calgary 113.102
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4 1/2); Over


SUNDAY, AUGUST 19

Game 447-448: Saskatchewan at BC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 116.399; BC 115.688
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 48
Vegas Line: BC by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+6 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (3 - 3) at WINNIPEG (1 - 5) - 8/16/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-4 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, August 17

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MONTREAL (3 - 3) at EDMONTON (4 - 2) - 8/17/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-0 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, August 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (3 - 3) at CALGARY (3 - 3) - 8/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, August 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 3) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 2) - 8/19/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 66-40 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 107-69 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 8

Home (12-12). Favorites (11-13), Over (12-12). West 8-4 vs East.

Hamilton (3-3) @ Winnipeg (1-5)-- TiCats scored 35+ points in four of their six games this year, losing by 27-11 points when they score less than 35. Bombers were 4-0 vs Hamilton LY, with a 19-3 win in Eastern Conference finals-- they're 1-5 this year, allowing average of 31.5 ppg. TiCats lost 30-27/19-3 here LY; they won three of last four games, covered four of last five, splitting pair of road tilts, losing 39-36 at BC (+6), winning 35-34 at Regina (+4). Bombers split their first two home games. Five of six Hamilton games went over total.

Montreal (3-3) @ Edmonton (4-2)-- Alouettes scored 41-33-36 points in their three wins this season, 10-24-20 in losses; Edmonton hasn't allowed anyone to score more than 23 this season. Eskimos are 3-0 at home this season, with wins by 4-32-8 points; they're +8 (13-5) in turnovers last four games, after being -1 in first two, with only one takeaway. Montreal lost two of three on road, with only win 36-26 (-1.5) at Winnipeg in last game, before last week's bye. Alouettes won both meetings LY, 27-4 (-6.5) at home, then 34-21 (-1.5) here. Four of last five Montreal games went over the total.

Toronto (3-3) @ Calgary (3-3)-- Argonauts (+5) upset visiting Stampeders 39-36 in Week 2, outrushing them 118-57, outgaining them 525-293 in game where they had four takeaways (+2). Calgary scored 31+ points in five of six games; they're 1-3 as a favorite this year, as underdogs covered five of their six games. Toronto is 1-2 on road, losing 19-15 (+1.5) at Edmonton, 36-27 (+5) at Hamilton, winning 23-20 (+4) at Montreal. Last three Toronto games stayed under the total. Four of six Argonaut games were decided by four or less points.

Saskatchewan (3-3) @ BCLions (4-2)-- Roughriders (+2.5) beat visiting BC by a FG in Week 3, 23-20, but haven't won since, losing by 3-1-8 points- they've yet to trail at halftime this year, but were outscored 73-48 in second half of their last three games (0-3, after 3-0 start). BC outgained Riders 460-266 in first meeting, but were -2 in turnovers; they're 2-3 as favorite, 1-2 at home, winning by 17-3 at home, losing to Edmonton. Saskatchewan allowed 16-1-20 points in winning first three games, then allowed 41-35-28 in losing its last three. Five of BC's six games stayed under the total. Riders' last three games all went over.




CFL

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, August 16

8:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
Hamilton is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


Friday, August 17

9:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. EDMONTON
Montreal is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal


Saturday, August 18

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CALGARY
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Toronto is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games at home
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto


Sunday, August 19

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




CFL

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Canadian Bacon: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Winnipeg Blue Bombers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+3, 55)

Hamilton was dealt a reality check, losing 31-20 to the Calgary Stampeders in Week 7 following a three-game winning streak that saw the TiCats extend a four-game ATS run.

Heavy rain kept both teams from getting on the scoreboard early in the game and Hamilton was outworked by former QB Kevin Glenn and a scrappy Stamps team looking for its first road win of the season.

Now, the Tiger-Cats turn their attention to a Blue Bombers squad that is trying to climb out of the league’s basement. Winnipeg followed its first win of the year with a 36-26 loss to Montreal in Week 6 and had the bye week to ready itself for Thursday’s home date with Hamilton.

The Bombers are making a switch at QB, giving the nod to Joey Elliott over Alex Brink for Week 8. Elliot hasn’t started a CFL game since 2010 but head coach Paul LaPolice is confident in Elliot. LaPolice has come under fire after the 1-5 start but told the media he isn’t worried about job security.

“I’m preparing to win a football game,” LaPolice told the Winnipeg Sun. “We’re one-third through our season, we’ve had some challenges for our first third of the season. There’s still 12 football games to play. Nobody in the CFL has established themselves as elite. We’re certainly not happy (with how) we’re playing and we need to get better and I think we will. I’m concerned about winning a football game.

“Sometimes, I think people gloom and doom very much. Things out of my control are out of my control. We’ve got a lot of football left to be played.”

LaPolice will also match wits with one of his former staff, Hamilton’s defensive coordinator Casey Creehan. Creehan, who served two years under LaPolice, has helped the TiCats improve against the pass, ranking third in the CFL. Hamilton will attack Winnipeg’s untested arm early and often.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Winnipeg.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Tiger-Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss.
* Blue Bombers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL

Thursday, August 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Hamilton - 8:00 PM ET Hamilton -3 500

Winnipeg - Under 55 500

 

[CNOTES]

Best NFL preseason Week 2 over/under bets

It takes a while for NFL offenses and defenses to gain traction. That’s why they have four weeks of preseason football.

Starters made a brief appearance in Week 1 and will get more run in the second set on the exhibition schedule. Here’s a look at the top over and the top under bets in Week 2 of the preseason, going back over the past 16 years.

Records from Week 2 of the preseason since 1995.

Best Week 2 preseason over bets

Green Bay Packers (12-4 SU, 12-4 over/under)

Offense is the name of the game for the Packers in Week 2 of the preseason. Not only are the Cheeseheads the best over play since 1995, but they’re also the best ATS bet with an identical 12-4 ATS mark in that span. Green Bay is 4-0 over/under in Week 2 since Aaron Rodgers was named the No. 1 QB, however, much of that record has to do with the Packers’ porous defense. The total for Thursday’s game with Cleveland is set at 39 points.

Oakland Raiders (5-10 SU, 10-5 over/under)

Anyone who was lulled to sleep by the Raiders’ 3-0 loss to the Cowboys in Week 1 Monday is LMFAOing right now. Oakland, however, headed into that game with a 6-10 over/under count in Week 1 of the preseason since 1995, so there might be some weight in this trend. You can be sure the offense got the gears following the exhibition opener and will be out to impress versus Arizona Friday.

Houston Texans (5-5 SU, 8-2 over/under)

The Texans have only been around since 2002 but are an instant money maker for over bettors in Week 2 of the preseason. Houston is hitting the over at 80 percent in that span, including six straight Week 2 overs heading into Saturday’s showdown with San Francisco (+3, 36.5). The Texans ramped up their defense versus Carolina in Week 1, collecting eight sacks, but still played over the 35.5-point total.


Best Week 2 preseason under bets

Miami Dolphins (10-6 SU, 5-11 over/under)

The Dolphins ATS and the under has been a profitable parlay in Week 2 of the preseason recently. Miami is 10-5-1 ATS in Week 2 of the exhibition slate since 1995 and has played below the number in nearly 69 percent of those games. The Fins are down a QB after David Garrard injured his knee, leaving playcalling duties to Matt Moore and rookie Ryan Tannehill for Friday’s game against Carolina, which has a 37-point total. Miami is also the most consistent under bet throughout the preseason with a 23-40-1 over/under count in exhibition play since 1995.

Kansas City Chiefs (5-11 SU, 6-10 over/under)

The Chiefs haven’t had much success against the spread in Week 2 of the preseason, with a dreadful 2-14 ATS count since 1995. Kansas City was making money for fans of the under during that stretch but aren’t a guaranteed low score after topping the Week 2 total the past two preseasons and playing over the number in their Week 1 win against Arizona.

Atlanta Falcons (8-8 SU, 6-9-1 over/under)

The Falcons are among nine teams that have played under the total in nine of their past 16 Week 2 preseason contests. Atlanta does have that one push which is enough to get the nod as one of the best under plays. It has gone 2-3 SU and 1-4 over/under since 2007 and has had a hard time getting on the scoreboard during that span. The Falcons host Cincinnati with a total of 37.5 points Thursday.

 

[CNOTES]

NFLX
Dunkel

Week 2

Cincinnati at Atlanta
The Falcons look to bounce back from a 31-17 loss last week against Baltimore as they host Cincinnati on Thursday. Atlanta is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Falcons favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 401-402: Cincinnati at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 114.628; Atlanta 120.505
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 6; 35
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 4; 38
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under

Game 403-404: Cleveland at Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 121.403; Green Bay 121.399
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Over


FRIDAY, AUGUST 17

Game 405-406: Tennessee at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 125.191; Tampa Bay 124.123
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 34
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 38
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Under

Game 407-408: Miami at Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 117.302; Carolina 121.755
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Carolina by 4; 37
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-4); Over

Game 409-410: Detroit at Baltimore (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 122.432; Baltimore 126.337
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 39
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3); Over

Game 411-412: Buffalo at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 120.303; Minnesota 120.412
Dunkel Line: Even; 35
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+2 1/2); Under

Game 413-414: Jacksonville at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 122.409; New Orleans 132.877
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

Game 415-416: Oakland at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 120.749; Arizona 123.560
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Arizona by 5; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+5); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 18

Game 417-418: NY Giants at NY Jets (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 119.947; NY Jets 1123.655
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: Kansas City at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.318; St. Louis 117.200
Dunkel Line: Even; 40
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 1; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1); Over

Game 421-422: Washington at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.980; Chicago 124.807
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3; 33
Vegas Line: Chicago by 1; 37
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1); Under

Game 423-424: San Francisco at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 123.489; Houston 125.557
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Over

Game 425-426: Seattle at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 124.675; Denver 123.913
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 32
Vegas Line: Denver by 1; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+1); Under

Game 427-428: Dallas at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 126.304; Dallas 122.122
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 42
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-3); Over


SUNDAY, AUGUST 19

Game 429-430: Indianapolis at Pittsburgh (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 129.607; Indianapolis 120.144
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2); Over


MONDAY, AUGUST 20

Game 431-432: Philadelphia at New England (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 124.333; New England 124.506
Dunkel Line: Even; 38
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NFLX
Long Sheet

Week 2

Thursday, August 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (1 - 0) at ATLANTA (0 - 1) - 8/16/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (1 - 0) at GREEN BAY (0 - 1) - 8/16/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, August 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (0 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 0) - 8/17/2012, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (0 - 1) at CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 8/17/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog since 1993.
CAROLINA is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (0 - 1) at BALTIMORE (1 - 0) - 8/17/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (0 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1) - 8/17/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (1 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) - 8/17/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (0 - 1) at ARIZONA (0 - 2) - 8/17/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1993.
OAKLAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, August 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (0 - 1) at NY JETS (0 - 1) - 8/18/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1993.
NY JETS are 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY JETS are 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (1 - 0) at ST LOUIS (0 - 1) - 8/18/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in dome games since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all lined games since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as an underdog since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (1 - 0) at CHICAGO (0 - 1) - 8/18/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 0) at HOUSTON (1 - 0) - 8/18/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (1 - 0) at DENVER (1 - 0) - 8/18/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1993.
SEATTLE is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (1 - 0) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 0) - 8/18/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 15-37 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, August 19

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INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 1) - 8/19/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, August 20

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (1 - 0) - 8/20/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[CNOTES]

NFLX
Short Sheet

Week 2

Thursday, August 16, 2012

Cincinnati at Atlanta, 8:00 ET FOX
Cincinnati: 9-21 ATS off an ATS win
Atlanta: 12-1 ATS off a loss by 14+ points

Cleveland at Green Bay, 8:00 ET
Cleveland: 1-5 ATS off a non-conference game
Green Bay: 30-12 Over as a favorite


Friday, August 17, 2012

Tennessee at Tampa Bay, 7:30 ET
Tennessee: 13-0 Over away off a loss
Tampa Bay: 10-3 ATS after allowing 50 or less rushing yards

Miami at Carolina, 8:00 ET
Miami: 26-13 ATS as an underdog
Carolina: 10-22 ATS off a loss

Detroit at Baltimore, 8:00 ET FOX
Detroit: 6-0 ATS off a non-conference game
Baltimore: 16-5 Under off an Over

Buffalo at Minnesota, 8:00 ET
Buffalo: 7-18 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Minnesota: 10-2 Over off a loss by 10+ points

Jacksonville at New Orleans, 8:00 ET
Jacksonville: 13-3 ATS away with a total of 35.5 to 42 points
New Orleans: 5-15 ATS at home off a road game

Oakland at Arizona, 10:00 ET
Oakland: 8-21 ATS vs. NFC West opponents
Arizona: 12-4 Over off BB games scoring 7 or less first-half points


Saturday, August 18, 2012

NY Giants at NY Jets, 7:00 ET NFL
NY Giants: 2-10 ATS off a combined score of 50+ points
NY Jets: 14-4 ATS vs. NY Giants

Kansas City at St. Louis, 8:00 ET
Kansas City: 2-11 ATS in dome stadiums
St. Louis: 16-5 Under at home off a non-conference game

Washington at Chicago, 8:00 ET
Washington: 3-9 ATS after scoring 9 points or less
Chicago: 12-1 Under at home off a home game

San Francisco at Houston, 8:00 ET
San Francisco: 0-7 ATS after gaining 400+ total yards
Houston: 5-1 ATS playing on grass fields

Seattle at Denver, 9:00 ET
Seattle: 16-6 ATS vs. AFC West opponents
Denver: 2-10 ATS at home after allowing 14 points or less

Dallas at San Diego, 9:00 ET NFL
Dallas: 11-19 ATS vs. AFC West opponents
San Diego: 25-10 ATS off a home game


Sunday, August 19, 2012

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, 8:00 ET NBC
Indianapolis: 27-13 Over as an underdog
Pittsburgh: 5-1 ATS as a favorite


Monday, August 20, 2012

Philadelphia at New England, 8:00 ET ESPN
Philadelphia: 13-28 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
New England: 14-7 ATS off a home win

 

[CNOTES]

NFLX

Week 2

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What Bettors Need to Know: Thursday's NFL preseason action
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Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (-4.5, 38)

The Bengals limp into Week 2 of the preseason after suffering some key injuries.

Left guard Travelle Wharton suffered a season-ending knee injury early into the Week 1 preseason win over the New York Jets and the team is looking to either second-year man Clint Boling or third-year practice squad player Otis Hudson to fill that spot.

Second-year quarterback Andy Dalton could be under fire if there are holes in the pass protection. Dalton went 4 for 9 for a total of 54 yards in the preseason opener while the Bengals offense mustered just 213 yards and a rushing touchdown.

"This game, we've got to go out, we've got to keep doing things, try to move the ball," Dalton told reporters of Thursday’s game plan. "When we have chances to make big plays, we've got to make them and capitalize on every opportunity we get."

Cincinnati will also be without linebacker Rey Maualuga, defensive end Carlos Dunlap, running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis, and safety Taylor Mays, who all suffered injuries in Week 1 of the preseason.

The Falcons got rolled in their preseason opener, falling 31-17 as 1-point favorites to the Baltimore Ravens after jumping out to a 14-0 start.

Starting QB Matt Ryan got a good workout, throwing for 155 yards, one touchdown and one interception on 9-of-15 passing. However, once the starters hit the bench in the second half, Atlanta’s reserves coughed the ball up three times.

Julio Jones and Roddy White are quickly becoming the premier receiving tandem in the NFC and dynamic running back Jacquizz Rodgers showed his speed on offense and special teams. New offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter is exploiting that speed with a regular three wide receiver set.

“That three-wide receiver set, one tight end and one back has been good for us in the past,” Ryan told reporters. “We’ve got talented guys to fill out those positions. It will probably be something that we use.”

The Falcons lost a big cog in their rushing game when rookie full back Bradie Ewing suffered a season-ending knee injury versus the Ravens. Atlanta signed veteran FB Lousaka Polite to take his place.

Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers (-3, 40.5)

The Browns opened their preseason slate with a 19-17 win over the Detroit Lions as 3-point underdogs in Week 1.

Cleveland is leaning towards a heavier work load for its starters this Thursday. This increase in action is because the Browns take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3 of the preseason then turn around and face them in Week 1 of the regular season and don’t want to tip their hand.

Rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden, who passed for 62 yards with an interception and a fumble in the preseason opener, may be one of the few players not having their minutes extended. Head coach Pat Shurmur doesn’t want to mix up his first and second strings too much, claiming “the game gets a little sloppy at times.”

Cleveland will continue to take a solid look at its options in the backfield, with rookie running back and first-round pick Trent Richardson on the mend after knee surgery. Running backs Chris Ogbonnaya, Brandon Jackson and Adonis Thomas got the bulk of the carries in Week 1 of the preseason, with Cleveland marching for 120 rushing yards on 30 carries. Montario Hardesty is penciled in as the starter with Richardson out, but only ran four times for 16 yards Friday.

The Packers took one on the chin in their preseason debut, losing 21-13 to the San Diego Chargers as 2.5-point underdogs.

Green Bay got a scare from running back James Starks, who left Thursday’s game with a turf toe injury. He’ll miss only a week of action but didn’t look sharp before leaving the field, rushing for just 16 yards with a dropped pass and a fumble. That prompted the Packers to sign RB Cedric Benson to bolster the running game. Benson has had his share of off-field troubles but told the media he’s a changed man.

Bettor could see a lot of Benson and the running game with Aaron Rodgers’ top two threats on the sidelines. Receiver Greg Jennings is expected to miss Thursday’s game while recovering from a concussion and tight end Jermichael Finley is doubtful with a bruised quadriceps.

Randall Cobb was the top target against the Chargers, reeling in four catches for 58 yards and second-quarter touchdown from backup Graham Harrell. Harrell is expected to get another long stint under center Thursday.

"I think it’s very important to see as much of Graham Harrell as we possibly can," head coach Mike McCarthy told the media. "That’s where he is in his development. He doesn’t have a lot of playing time under his belt. Really last year is the most significant time he was able to have in a preseason.

"So I feel like he’s a little behind as far as opportunities based on his age and how long he’s been out of college but also No. 1 is Aaron. We have to make sure he gets his allotted work and make sure the No. 1 offense is where we feel we need to be up to the second preseason game."

Rodgers was ushered out quickly after going just 2 for 8 for 16 yards and an interception, caused by a hard hit, in Week 1 of the preseason. Problems on the offensive line have the Packers playing it safe with the face of the franchise. Rodgers may playing limited minutes Thursday.

 

[CNOTES]

Atlanta Falcons Host Bengals In NFL Preseason

The Cincinnati Bengals visit the Atlanta Falcons to start Week 2 of the NFL preseason on Thursday night, and just staying healthy could be one of their primary objectives.

This duel from the Georgia Dome will start at 8:00 p.m. (ET) on FOX. The Don Best odds screen has Atlanta as 4½-point favorites with a total of 38, both moving up a point from the opening lines.

Neither team is getting a lot of ‘future odds love’ in their respective conferences. Cincinnati is 23/1 to win the AFC, ranking 12th among the 16 teams. Atlanta is a better 12/1 in the NFC, but that still just ranks tied for eighth.

The Bengals won their preseason opener over the Jets last Friday, 17-6 as 1-point home favorites. However, while they won the battle, they appear to have lost the war with a plethora of injuries that could affect their regular season chances.

Four Cincinnati starters were injured in the opener in guard Travelle Wharton, linebacker Rey Maualuga, defensive end Carlos Dunlap and safety Taylor Mays. Wharton is out for the year with a knee injury, while Dunlap (knee) and Maualuga (knee) are both expected out for Thursday. Mays should play despite being dinged with a concussion.

Quarterback Andy Dalton made the Pro Bowl last year as a rookie. He’ll be looking to avoid the dreaded sophomore slump and was 4-of-9 for 54 yards against the Jets. Dalton should play a bit more than the first quarter from last game and should be followed by the capable Bruce Gradkowski and far less impressive Zac Robinson.

Dalton doesn’t have the strongest of arms and his receiving weapons are suspect outside of wideout A.J. Green and tight end Jermaine Gresham. Brandon Tate and Armon Binns are two underwhelming candidates for the No. 2 receiver role.

Running back is also an issue Thursday. Cedric Peerman had two rushing TDs against the Jets, and he’ll need a similar performance with BenJarvus Green-Ellis (foot) and Bernard Scott (hamstring) both expected out. Cincy could end up missing departed running back Cedric Benson more than initially thought this season.

Atlanta had the opposite result in its opening preseason game, a 31-17 loss to Baltimore as a 1-point home favorite last Thursday. That final is a bit misleading as the Falcons led 17-7 midway through the third quarter before Curtis Painter threw three TDs against the third stringers and lower.

Note that Atlanta has lost 6-straight preseason games (1-5 ATS).

Quarterback Matt Ryan was 9-of-13 for 155 yards in the opener, also having one touchdown and one interception. He’s going to have more pressure on his shoulders this year with the up-tempo offense under new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter.

Ryan and the Falcons already have great weapons with Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez as receiving targets. Small but shifty Jacquizz Rodgers is a good complement to the bruising Michael Turner out of the backfield.

Expect the Atlanta starters to be very good at the outset again on Thursday with Chris Redman, John Parker Wilson and Dominique Davis following Ryan in the quarterback rotation.