Christmas Eve Service Plays 12/24/09

[fly73]

Dwayne Bryant 12/24

SMU coach June Jones returns to his old stomping grounds, as he spent nine seasons in charge of the Hawaii program. Now Jones brings his Mustangs to the island for the program's first bowl appearance in 22 years. Motivation will definitely NOT be a problem for SMU. SMU has had problems stopping the run this season, which should mean much trouble against Nevada's vaunted rushing attack. But Nevada has lost two-thirds of that three-headed monster, with RB Luke Lippincott out with a toe injury and RB Vai Taua ruled academically ineligible.

On the flip side, Nevada has the second-worst pass defense in the nation, which will be a problem in this one. SMU brings the nation's 29th best passing attack into this ballgame. Freshman QB Kyle Padron has really excelled in Jones' spread offense, winning four of his five starts while tossing 64.4% completions for 1,462 yards and 8 TDs with only 4 INTs. It should also be noted that Nevada defensive coordinator Nigel Burton resigned to become the head coach at Portland State. That leaves linebackers coach Ken Wilson to run the defense for the first time in this one.

Bottom line: Nevada is missing two-thirds of their rushing attack, and their defensive coordinator has "left the building." That should be more than enough issues to keep SMU in this game until the very end. Jones will have his troops ready to play on his former home field.Grab the points with SMU.

 

[fly73]

SEAN HIGGS - GTSA

5* BEST BET
Nevada gets the call here in Hawaii. Yeah, it's a nice story with SMU HC June Jones coming back to Hawaii. But unfortunately he isn't hear with his old Rainbows team. The Mustangs now have a freshman QB, Kyle Padron, running the show since taking over 5 games ago for the injured Bo Levi Mitchell. Though SMU improved from 1-11 last year to a respectable 7-5 this season, they will face a stiff challenge from Nevada. The Wolfpack led the nation in rushing coming in at 362 yards per game. Nevada has 3 1,000 rushers, but RB Luke Lippincot will miss the game because of injury and Vai Taua is ineligible. They still have QB Colin Kaepernick leading the offense. CK passesd for nearly 2000 yards, while running for almost 2000 more. He also accounted for 35 TDs. That can be a problem for SMU who ranked 88th in the country giving up about 170 yard per game on the ground. Nevada is at its offensive best against average defensive teams. They put up 63 on UNLV, 70 on Idaho, 62 at San Jose State and New Mexico State and 52 on bowl bound Fresno. This is exactly the type of team that Nevada blasts during the regular season. After a slow 0-3 start the Wolfpack ran off 8 in a row before bowing to Boise 44-33.

 

[BernieVegas]

Northcoast

MARQUEE SINGLE PLAY OVER72.5 SMU/NEVADA

Confirmed

MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL!!!

 

[fly73]

Northcoast

marquee single play
over 72.5 smu/nevada

 

[fly73]

KELSO
Kelso 15 units

Nevada

 

[fly73]

Tally

nev - 15
smu - 25
over - 5
und - 8

 

[fly73]

BANG THE BOOK ( 3-2 THUS FAR )

SMU and Nevada will face off in the Hawaii bowl and although the storyline should be about a great matchup and a solid year had by both programs it will inevitably come back to the return of June Jones to the islands. SMU is more than June Jones but this was still a rebuilding year for June Jones and the fact that SMU finished 7-5 and made a bowl game is impressive enough for the mustangs.


For Nevada it is a different story as they have flown under the radar all year long but are truly a talented bunch. In fact they own the nation’s best rushing attack and that will be bad news for the Mustangs of SMU. The Mustangs, who will take on the Wolf Pack in the Hawaii Bowl at Honolulu on Dec. 24, allow 169.2 rushing yards per game and an average of 4.4 yards per carry. The SMU offense is impressive in its own right as June Jones has begun to piece together is system he had in Hawaii.


This number is shooting through the roof since it opened and now has jumped over two touchdowns in some places, but you can get it for less if you shop around. The Wolf Pack are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater and the Mustangs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. Get this line now before it goes through the roof.


Bowl Pick: Nevada -14

 

[MaxWinners]

Street Rosenthal

*200 SMU +12.5

 

[Buffsfan]

STEPHEN NOVER
Thursday's Play
100 Dime - Smu-Nevada UNDER the Total

The oddsmaker has set a huge total on this SMU-Nevada Hawaii Bowl matchup taking into account both team's high-scoring offenses and lack of defense.

But the oddsmaker is ignoring the reality of the situation. The Mustangs and Wolf Pack are not going to reach this monster number.

Nevada leads the nation in rushing. The Wolf Pack set an NCAA record with three 1,000-yard rushers this season. But two of these players, Luke Lippincott and Vai Taua, aren't going to play. Lippincott is out with a toe injury, while Taua was ruled academically ineligible for the bowl game.

Their replacements are sophomore Lampford Mark and freshman Mike Ball. They have a combined 44 carries between them.

Nevada runs a finely-tuned Pistol Offense. But the Wolf Pack last played nearly a month ago. Their offense is going to be out of sync. Nevada has lost its bowl game each of the past three years, averaging just 18.3 points.

SMU coach June Jones is familiar with Nevada's Pistol Offense having coached at Hawaii from 1999-2007. Nevada and Hawaii are Western Athletic Conference schools.

The Mustangs averaged 27.9 points and 380 yards per game. Those marks are good, but not great ranking them 55th and 61st, respectively. Nevada's pass defense ranked 119th out of 120 FBS teams, giving up 284.3 yards per game.

So you can see why the oddsmaker has set such a high total.

But SMU's offensive rhythm is going to be off, too, since it last played two days after Thanksgiving.

The Mustangs averaged 25.4 points in their last five games. Nevada also has been playing better defense. If you discount the 44 points powerful Boise State scored on Nevada, the Wolf Pack have given up an average of 15.5 points in its last four games.

Nevada is a running team of course. SMU has become more balanced. A lot of running keeps the clock moving. That's important with

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow

NCAAF

1 unit Nevada -11
1 unit NEV/SMU OVER 71.5

 

[MaxWinners]

Cleveland Insider

NCAA Bowl
Nevada -12.5

Last 4 days 9-4 (3-0 Bowl games)

 

[fly73]

Big Al - 3* Smu +12.5

Northcoast - 4* Smu +12

 

[Born2Booze]

Lance's Lock


Pick: The over 72' Nevada/Smu

Overall: 891-778-32

Current Streak: 1 loss

 

[Born2Booze]

GSPWINS

Nevada -12

 

[Born2Booze]

JOHN MORRISON

Daily Football Picks

John Morrison's pick(s) for December 24 2009
Smu +12 This game is against Nevada at 8:00 PM ET

 

[fly73]

Primetime Sports Advisors

SMU Mustangs +12.5 vs Nevada Wolfpack -12.5
SMU Mustangs +12.5
Nevada Wolfpack -12.5
Over/Under:
Event Date: 12/24/2009
Event Time: 08:00 PM EST
Play: #211 SMU Mustangs +12.5

 

[fly73]

Double dragon hydra

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(3-0 in bowls so far)

DOUBLE DRAGON HYDRA

SMU +14 (posted several days ago)

 

[sassbud]

Big Al - 3* Smu +12.5

Northcoast - 4* Smu +12

thanks, wish he was on the other side though.

 

[Born2Booze]

doooooooooooooop

 

[soonerfanjames]

Big Al - 3* Smu +12.5

Northcoast - 4* Smu +12

Is this the newsletter or late phone play??