StatFox
The Hawaii Bowl has gone over the total 12 times in the last 14 games, and the winning team has scored almost 45 points. Nevada hits the
mark again this season, but the game total will fall just short of 73.5. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 27.2 PPG, SMU 29.1. Both FoxSheet game
estimators are calling for a total of 69 points and this key system also points to an unexpected finish:
Play Under - Any team against the total
(SMU/NEVADA) - in a bowl game, in a non-conference game between two teams from second-tier conferences. (34-8 over the last 10 seasons.)
(81 percent, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*). As of press time, 90 percent of the public says over – so go under! Nevada 49, SMU 20.
Game Breakdown
SMU last played in a bowl game in 1984, and will look to repeat that 27-20 Aloha Bowl win when it travels to the Island to take on Nevada on
Christmas Eve. It’s been a remarkable turnaround for the Mustangs, who have completed the journey from “Death Penalty” program to finally playing in a bowl
game. Much credit goes to June Jones, former coach of Hawaii, who guided the team to a 7-5 finish in 2009. They are a huge 14-point dog though, to a Nevada
team that was 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS down the stretch, scoring 49.6 points per game after starting 0-3. The Wolf Pack are in a bowl game for a fifth straight year
and last played in this game in ‘05, winning 49-48 over UCF. They have not won a bowl contest since.
StatFox Forecaster: NEVADA 40, SMU 29
The Hawaii Bowl has gone over the total 12 times in the last 14 games, and the winning team has scored almost 45 points. Nevada hits the
mark again this season, but the game total will fall just short of 73.5. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 27.2 PPG, SMU 29.1. Both FoxSheet game
estimators are calling for a total of 69 points and this key system also points to an unexpected finish:
Play Under - Any team against the total
(SMU/NEVADA) - in a bowl game, in a non-conference game between two teams from second-tier conferences. (34-8 over the last 10 seasons.)
(81 percent, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*). As of press time, 90 percent of the public says over – so go under! Nevada 49, SMU 20.
Game Breakdown
SMU last played in a bowl game in 1984, and will look to repeat that 27-20 Aloha Bowl win when it travels to the Island to take on Nevada on
Christmas Eve. It’s been a remarkable turnaround for the Mustangs, who have completed the journey from “Death Penalty” program to finally playing in a bowl
game. Much credit goes to June Jones, former coach of Hawaii, who guided the team to a 7-5 finish in 2009. They are a huge 14-point dog though, to a Nevada
team that was 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS down the stretch, scoring 49.6 points per game after starting 0-3. The Wolf Pack are in a bowl game for a fifth straight year
and last played in this game in ‘05, winning 49-48 over UCF. They have not won a bowl contest since.
StatFox Forecaster: NEVADA 40, SMU 29
