Christmas Day Service Plays 12/25/09

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

Confidential Tip Off

*L.A. LAKERS over Cleveland

(NBA)Prime time exposure seems to bring out the best in Kobe Bryant and the Lakers, and ABC has been touting this Christmas Day game for weeks. Last season the LeBron-vs.-Kobe matchup was a wash, but Lakers Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom tipped the scales by combining for 26 rebounds per game in a pair of double-digit L.A. wins.

*L.A. LAKERS 109 - Cleveland 92 RATING - 10

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

Hoops

*NEW YORK over MIAMI by 7
Last week, after a string of lackluster performances that dropped Miami to 11-10 after a 7-2
SU & 6-3 ATS start to the season, Pat Riley publicly called out Dwyane Wade for playing “inefficient
basketball.” Regardless of the front office’s motivational tactics, these Heat lack the
team talent to sustain a high winning percentage – especially with Wade dinged up by numerous minor injuries.
NEW YORK 104-97

*ORLANDO over BOSTON by 3
The Magic have been one of the few teams to experience regular success against the Celtics,
going 6-3 SU over their last nine meetings – but that record has been accompanied by a
mediocre 4-5 ATS record. The Celtics will come out motivated for this game, having dropped
a game to Orlando at home earlier in the season and playing the Christmas day game – expect
a closely contested game decided by a bucket or two.
ORLANDO 97-94

BEST BET
*L.A. LAKERS over CLEVELAND by 15
Fourth and final game of Cleveland’s West Coast road trip and they have spent most of the
month on the road while playing a healthy schedule of games. This will be third week in
a row they’ve played four games, traversing the majority of the country in the process. In
contrast, the Lakers have been hanging out in Los Angeles for most of the month, dominating
a cake slate of opponents and having two full days to prepare for this game. Even
without the peripheral advantages enjoyed by the Lakers, they would probably dominate
the Cavaliers – that’s how good this year’s Lakers team is – but with the benefits of
schedule and preparation, look for Kobe and his teammates to have their way with
Cleveland for the whole country to see.
L.A. LAKERS 118-103

RECOMMENDED
*PHOENIX over L.A. CLIPPERS by 18

It’s been a long road trip for the Clippers, who have played well after a poor start to the
season. However, the last game of the road trip is always the most dangerous – especially
on the heels of back-to-backs in New York and Philly, then San Antonio and Houston. This
is one ragged Clippers squad that is ready to be home! Phoenix has been playing a pretty
easy schedule after a difficult road-heavy start to the season, and their performance
should bump again after lagging a bit these past three weeks. Rumor has it that there’s
something in the water in Phoenix, one more reason why the Suns training staff is able to
keep their players so healthy despite expectations.
PHOENIX 116-102

DENVER over *PORTLAND by 3
The Trail Blazers are struggling to find their identity after a crush of injuries wreaked havoc on
their rotation and style of play. The loss of Greg Oden should theoretically open up scoring
opportunities for LaMarcus Aldridge and Brandon Roy, but the addition of Andre Miller has created
more issues than solutions in the backcourt. For a point guard, Miller certainly seems
cause more angst among his teammates than you’d expect. Look for the veteran Nuggets to
take advantage tonight against a Blazers team that will be tempted to run against Denver’s
style of play, before ultimately falling short.
DENVER 108-105

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

Winning Points

Hoops

*New York over Miami by 3
After opening the season winning seven of its first nine, the Heat have gone just 6-9
through Dec. 19. Miami’s defense has fallen apart giving up at least 100 points in six
of their past eight games through Dec. 19. The Knicks have covered five of their last
seven through Dec. 19, while ranking among the top eight teams in scoring.
NEW YORK 106-103.

*Orlando over Boston by 2
The veteran Celtics own the best road record in the NBA by far. Boston also has had
two full days of rest and preparation. However, Orlando has covered 15 of its last 18
games versus Atlantic Division foes and is getting another monster year from Dwight Howard in the middle.
ORLANDO 97-95

***BEST BET
*Los Angeles Lakers over Cleveland by 15

The Lakers have too many scoring options for the Cavaliers with Kobe Bryant, Pau
Gasol, Ron Artest, Lamar Odom and Andrew Bynum. Idle since Tuesday, the Lakers
will be pointing to this nationally televised Christmas Day matchup. This marks
Cleveland’s fourth road game in six days. The Cavaliers’ focus could be distracted, too,
with Shaquille O’Neal returning to Los Angeles. The big guy is sure to be weary following the road trip.
LA LAKERS 107-92

*Phoenix over Los Angeles Clippers by 14
Death, taxes and Phoenix scoring 100 points at home are the only certainties these
days. The Suns have topped the century mark in their past 36 home contests through
Dec. 20. After just nipping the Clippers by two in their last meeting back in late
October, the Suns shouldn’t be overlooking Los Angeles. The Clippers hadn’t reached
triple-digits in nine of their past 12 games through Dec. 20.
PHOENIX 112-98

Denver over *Portland by 3
Injuries have wreaked havoc with Nate McMillan’s rotation. The Trail Blazers are without
Greg Oden, Nicolas Batum, Travis Outlaw and Rudy Fernandez. Portland hasn’t
been getting consistent production from its point guards, Andre Miller and Steve Blake.
DENVER 100-97

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

Pointwise

Hoops

(5:05) Miami Heat 103 - NEW YORK KNICKS 98 (ESPN)
(2:30) ORLANDO MAGIC 109 - Boston Celtics 97 (ABC)
(5:00) Cleveland Cavaliers 93 - LA LAKERS 90 (ABC)
(8:05) PHOENIX SUNS 108 - LA Clippers 88 (ESPN)
(10:35) Denver Nuggets 99 - PORTLAND 90 (ESPN)
BEST BETS: ORLANDO (1), DENVER

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

Pointwise

TENNESSEE 23 - San Diego 17

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

VEGAS HOTSHEET

San Diego +3

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

Axium Sports

Pick #9-NBA-Boston/Orlando UNDER 189 +104

Pick #10-NFL-1st Half-Tennessee -1.5 OVER San Diego +101

Pick #11-Australia A League Soccer-Brisbane Roar +0.5 OVER Gold Coast United -1

Born2Booze · Dec 25, 2009

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
12/25/09-Christmas Day Gift From DTB

NFL
4- Tenn-3

NCAA HOOPS
4- Unlv -5

Best Of Luck And Merry Christmas

fly73 · Dec 25, 2009

STATFOX

PLATINUM SHEET

(101)SANDIEGO at (102)TENNESSEE

Which team is playing the best football right now in the NFL? To me, there are just a few teams in consideration: San Diego, Philadelphia, or Indianapolis. One of these teams is an underdog this week, the Chargers, to a 7-7 Tennessee team. Sure the Titans are playing better football and have rallied since their 0-6 start, but this looks like one of those cases where the must-win team may be in over its head and oddsmakers are putting too much stock into the playoff scenarios. If you read this week’s feature NFL piece, you’ll see I reference something called Theoretical Line Value, which takes the teams’ points per game scored and allowed and creates a line based upon it, with 3.5 points built-in for home-field advantage. In this case, San Diego should be favored by a point. The Chargers are rolling in all facets of the game and have beaten Tennessee five straight times. Look for No. 6 here.

Play: San Diego +3

(501) MIAMI at (502) NEW YORK
If I’ve learned anything about the NBA and its high-profile national TV games, it’s to take the team with the star player in any game be- tween a club with one against another without a marquee player. Didn’t former ref Tim Donaghy say something like this a few weeks ago on “60 Minutes”? As much as New York has improved lately, I simply can’t overlook the presence of Dwyane Wade here. He is ca- pable of taking over this game, and figures to be motivated to do so in this holiday setting. The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 98-98 tie in this one, and I think that could be too low of a count for the Heat considering the Knicks allow opponents to score 105.8 PPG and shoot 50 percent from the floor at the Garden. Miami has a big defensive edge. Look for a small upset.

Play: Miami +2.5

(503) BOSTON at (504) ORLANDO
Orlando seems to be going through the motions lately, and I suspect there is still some internal strife regarding the offseason addition of Vince Carter. Despite their record (20-7 at press time), you can just see that something is amiss with the Magic, and it doesn’t take anything more than looking how far center Dwight Howard’s numbers have tumbled with Carter in the lineup. They were better when Howard was the focus. In any case, they face a tough Christ- mas matchup against the league’s best road team, the Celtics, who will be backed by a significant StatFox System: Play On—All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON)—excellent shooting team (>=47.5 percent) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5 per- cent). (101-58 since 1996.) (63.5 percent, +37.2 units. Rating = 2*). Getting back to Carter, when were the Magic ever an “average defensive team” prior to his arrival? Point made. Celtics get revenge for the Orlando win in Boston last month.

Play: Boston +2.5

(509) DENVER at (510) PORTLAND
Now that I’ve picked two road upsets for Friday’s Christmas NBA ac- tion, I need a solid home team to back, and while the Lakers were close, I have to think that the host with the best chance of getting it done is Portland, which figures to be a small favorite. Can you think of any scheduling situation less comfortable than traveling for the late-night game in Portland? Denver has to spend the whole holi- day away and then take on a team that does solid work at home: PORTLAND is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams—making >=46 percent of their shots over the last three seasons. The average score was PORTLAND 102.3, OPPONENT 96.5—(Rating = 1*). At the same time, Denver struggles on the road versus quality foes: Karl is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games versus good teams—outscoring their opponents by three- plus points/game as the coach of DENVER. The average score was DENVER 97.9, OPPONENT 106.2 - (Rating = 2*). The Blazers are get- ting back in stride. They win comfortably here.

Play: Portland -1.5

mtomto · Dec 25, 2009

Everybody, their brother, mother, drunk crazy Uncle---even Santa Claus and Rudolph are playing the Lakers...rarely a sign pointing to profit.

ACneverwins · Dec 25, 2009

Anyone wants to split Demarco or Delaney?

Merry Christmas

Mr.Maxx · Dec 25, 2009

mtomto said:
Everybody, their brother, mother, drunk crazy Uncle---even Santa Claus and Rudolph are playing the Lakers...rarely a sign pointing to profit.

Cleveland $$$ Line looking like a good bet.

cork999 · Dec 25, 2009

ACneverwins said:
Anyone wants to split Demarco or Delaney?

Merry Christmas

i will split delaney with you

sinkcom · Dec 25, 2009

ACneverwins said:
Anyone wants to split Demarco or Delaney?

Merry Christmas

Demarco Tenn/SD Un 47.5

ACneverwins · Dec 25, 2009

ok sweet just paypal me 17.50 to sdattas@yahoo.com.

i'm getting it give me 2 mins

cork999 · Dec 25, 2009

Scott Delaney
Friday ... 60-Dime SAN DIEGO CHARGERS ... Before I get into this analysis, let me let you know I want you to buy a half point in this game and take 3-1/2 points with the Bolts. It is important we play this underdog with the extra half point the oddsmakers are too cheap to give us. It's the better value when playing the three-point underdog on the highway.

Now, in looking at two of the hottest teams in the NFL, I have to side with the better overall football team.

San Diego comes in after squeaking past Cincinnati 27-24 last Sunday on a 52-yard Nate Kaeding field goal in the waning seconds. It was an emotional game for the Bengals, who were playing with heavy hearts for the late Chris Henry. Thus, I wasn't surprised the game the Bengals gave the Bolts ... aside from the fact they've been playing well all season.

With the victory, San Diego extended its win streak to nine games - six of which it has covered.

And the culprit in my opinion tonight will be Philip Rivers, who continues to lead the league’s fifth-best passing attack (268.9 yards per game), with his 3,891 passing yards and 25 touchdown strikes. Tonight he'll find it rather easy to pass against a porous pass defense that ranks 31st in the league.

Overall, the Titans' stop unit ranks 26th, and that won't cut it against a Chargers team that is fourth in scoring (27.8 points per game), and that has put up at least 27 points six times during their current nine-game win streak.

Most certainly, the Titans are not taking on the same caliber of team they've faced the past two weeks - the Rams and Dolphins.

The Chargers have won 17 straight December games - covering 11 of them - and haven't lost in the final month of the year since the 2005 season finale. The Bolts are also on additional ATS upticks of 5-2 overall, 4-1 after a non-cover, 4-1 with a suitcase in hand, 23-6 when catching points and 9-3 in December.

Conversely, the Titans come into this Christmas Day clash mired in ATS ruts of 1-8 against winning teams, 3-7 as the installed favorite, 2-6 off a non-cover and 3-7 in intraconference play.

The Chargers get their first-round bye with a win tonight, and I'm banking on them challenging for the outright win.

BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY ME AND ACHEVERWINS

ACneverwins · Dec 25, 2009

oh shit give me your email address. i will send you 17.50

cork999 · Dec 25, 2009

ACneverwins said:
ok sweet just paypal me 17.50 to sdattas@yahoo.com.

i'm getting it give me 2 mins

JUST SEND $19 TO MY PAYPAL cork999@sbcglobal.net--------thanks cork

ACneverwins · Dec 25, 2009

Al DeMarco
Friday's Play
5 Dime - Tennessee Titans

In San Diego’s favor tonight are two overwhelming streaks: 17 consecutive straight-up wins in the month of December and an in-season winning streak of nine in a row. But the number that concerns me the most is the fact this is the Chargers’ third road game in four weeks. That’s a tough enough situation to overcome, but when you factor in the short week plus this game being played on Christmas night, I think this is the spot where the two big winning streaks come to an end for the Bolts.

Not denying San Diego any props, but you can’t overlook what Tennessee has done since Vince Young took over at quarterback: a 7-1 SU and ATS record. And the offense has perked up to the tune of 29.5 points per game with Young at the helm.

Young, of course, hasn’t been doing it all alone; Chris Johnson has reeled off nine straight 100+ yard games, raising his season total to 1730 with two games to play. He might be even more important than Young in this contest. If Johnson has a big game that means the Titans are in control of the game clock, leaving San Diego quarterback Philip Rivers less time to work his magic on the field.

Keep in mind San Diego is 21st in the league when it comes to stopping the run, allowing opposing backs to average 4.4 yards per carry.

While San Diego has the difficult task of being on the road once more, the Titans are spending the holidays at home with family and friends, preparing for their third straight home game in the process. That’s just another reason why I believe the travel catches up to San Diego, in addition to back-to-back physical big games with the Cowboys and Bengals, allowing Tennessee to post a surprisingly easy seven-point victory.

Strategy:

This line has been -3 all week long. You’ve got to buy the half-point down at -3 or even if the line moves up to -3 ½ or -4. And although I highly doubt it soars to 4 ½, you would buy down the hook in that case as well.

BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY me AND Cork999!

newty81 · Dec 25, 2009

Will not be around tomorrow, so need to post now. I hope this is okay.

Lenny Del Genio's Bowl Trifecta of the Year:

1.Lenny Del Genio | CFB Side Sat, 12/26/09 - 1:00 PM <o></o><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves/> <w:TrackFormatting/> <w

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Analysis:<o

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>
Play on Ohio at 1:00 ET. <link rel="File-List" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml"><link rel="themeData" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx"><link rel="colorSchemeMapping" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml"><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves/> <w:TrackFormatting/> <w

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ther; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style> 2. Lenny Del Genio | CFB Side Sat, 12/26/09 - 4:30 PM <o></o>
double-dime bet 216 Pittsburgh -2.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 215 North Carolina<o></o>
Analysis:<o

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Play on Pittsburgh at 4:30 ET. You have to love bowl games named "Little Caesars" and "Meineke Car Care," don't you? Probably neither Pitt nor North Carolina are happy to be here for this mid-level affair as each had aspirations of playing in New Year's Day games. In particular, the Panthers were very close to upsetting unbeaten Cincinnati in the de facto Big East title game on December 5th, blowing a 31-10 second half lead and ended up losing 45-44 thanks to a botched extra point attempt. Still plenty of progress was made in Dave Wannstedt's fifth season at his alma mater as the team can achieve its first 10-win season since 1981. That was back in the Dan Marino days (was a junior). The same cannot be said for Butch Davis and North Carolina, however, who finished a disappointing fourth in the ACC Coastal Division and ended their regular season on a low note~ by losing to rival NC State for a third straight year. Even playing in Charlotte may be of no use as we've already seen regional advantages (UCF in St. Petersburg Bowl) not work out for other teams + the players probably wanted to take a road trip. The key to this game will be offense. UNC finished the year ranked 107th in total offense and 97th in pass efficiency. Losing three NFL draft choices from the WR corps will do that to you. Pitt's offense ranked 11th in the pass efficiency department behind the solid QB Bill Stull and freshman RB Dion Lewis more than filled the void left by LeSean McCoy's departure to the NFL, compiling 1,640 yards and 16 touchdowns. Take Pittsburgh.<o

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3. Lenny Del Genio | CFB Side Sat, 12/26/09 - 8:00 PM <o></o>
double-dime bet 218 Southern Cal -7.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 217 Boston College<o></o>
Analysis:<o

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Play on USC at 8:00 ET. We expect the anti-Pac 10 sentiment and specifically anti-Trojans sentiment to run wild here as we've already seen this number get bet down substantially. It has not been a good start to the Bowl season for the Pac 10 as both Oregon State and Cal lost outright to Mountain West foes BYU and Utah, and badly at that. The big story heading into this game was supposed to be how motivated Southern Cal could possibly be after appearing in the Rose Bowl for four consecutive seasons. However, that all changed when three Trojans, two of them starters, were ruled academi~cally ineligible and then starting tailback Joe McKnight did not make the trip with the team due to incomplete paperwork and circumstances surrounding the improper usage of a SUV that was registered to a local businessman. Through all of this, USC HC Pete Carroll has vowed that his charges will play this game "like it's the National Championship" and we are inclined to believe him. Simply put, even with all the distractions, the Trojans are too much for a Boston College team that averaged just 14 PPG away from home this year. The passing game is almost non-existent and is non-comparable to many of the Pac 10 offenses that shredded the USC defense during the regular season. In their two road games vs. bowl opponents, the Eagles managed a paltry 215 combined yards of offense and turned the ball over seven times. Remember that for all their struggles, the Trojans D allowed an average of just 20.4 PPG and that number actually went down a full point when playing outside of the Coliseum. Seven of 12 opponents were held to 16 points or less. This is a team that has gone 6-1 SU/ATS in its last seven bowl games under Carroll. Take USC.<o

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Good luck to all.

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