Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Chargers/Titans UNDER 47
The Chargers haven't had too many more exciting wins lately than Sunday's. Not only did Nate Kaeding kick a 52-yard field goal with three seconds left for the margin of victory, but the Chargers clinched their fourth consecutive AFC West title.
However, San Diego has to hop on a plane on Thursday and play the Titans on a short week on X-mas day.
Suffice to say, the Chargers are doing everything they can to snag the No. 2 playoff seed in the AFC, and that means a committed effort in Nashville.
But, the Chargers still can't run the ball, plain and simple. LaDainian Tomlinson did average 3.7 yards a carry and did have a long of 13, but it's obvious the Chargers no longer look to their running game as a strength.
That said, Philip Rivers wasn't as sharp as he has been through most of this nine-game winning streak—he threw two picks Sunday; look for the Chargers to put an emphasis on protecting the ball in this game.
Keep in mind that San Diego has seen the total go "under" the posted number in two of three contests this year when playing the roll of underdog.
On the other side of the field: For the Titans, the game plan will be simple. Give the ball to Chris Johnson and get out of the way; the Chargers' defensive weak spot is stopping the running game.
The Titans were sharp on the defensive side as well, playing a diverse team that utilizes the "wild-cat" and an ever improving young QB; Chad Henne threw 349 yards against the Titans, but Tennessee picked him off three times to help atone for such a substantial yardage total.
Remember; Tennessee has seen the total go "under" the posted number in four of six contests this season when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Bottom line: Here is another powerful "under" trend that the Chargers exhibit; San Diego has seen the total go "under" the posted number in five of six games where the total is between 42 1/2 and 49 points and over the last two years its seen it go "under" the number in nine of eleven games under the same circumstances.
Both teams are coming off emotional victories. Both teams are playing on a short week. This game is big for both teams.
Expect the defenses to be the main story-line in this one as the offenses look to limit their mistakes; when you take into account all of the above factors, the sharp money in this one is on the UNDER!
*10* UNDER.