vegas runner
101 SDC -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 102 TEN
Analysis:
** NFL "PRIME-TIME" 2* LATE STEAM **
If your book is using 3 (-110)...then go ahead and BUY the 1/2 POINT and take this up to +3.5....Which would really add some Value...That is what I am looking to do as well, VR
Bottom Line...VALUE...and ANY way that you look at it...the Oddsmakers/Bookmakers are forcing a HUGE PREMIUM on Tennessee...Because with the line where it is, they are almost telling us that on a Neutral Field...these 2 teams are EVEN...And nothing could be further from the truth...
And truth is...in the past, because I felt taking the Chargers was the "public" side...I may have Passed, or even liked the Titans...Which is actually where my mind went earlier in the week...But as I did my work, and gathered more information...it became obvious, that "square side or not"...the Chargers +3 is definitely the side with Value...
The books are making the bettors pay for this "mu‘st win" that Tennessee is in...And the "perception" is that the Chargers won't be motivated, and are on a short week...But Tennessee played on Sunday, and they actually played a little longer...needing Overtime to win...
Finally...I can assure you that the Wiseguys have sat this one out...So there is no "Smart Money" side at all...And this one comes down to which team offers the most betting value...Because my job as a professional sports bettor always comes down to trying to get my money in when I'm getting the best of it...Because if you can do that, then you will win more than you lose...Ultimately leaving you a Profit...
And in this spot...the CHARGERS +3 are definitely giving us the "Best of It"...So I will go ahead and take a position, on what may very well be the "public side"...Because we all know, that in today's sports betting market...the "public" has been able to hold their own at times...VR
101 SDC -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 102 TEN
Analysis:
** NFL "PRIME-TIME" 2* LATE STEAM **
If your book is using 3 (-110)...then go ahead and BUY the 1/2 POINT and take this up to +3.5....Which would really add some Value...That is what I am looking to do as well, VR
Bottom Line...VALUE...and ANY way that you look at it...the Oddsmakers/Bookmakers are forcing a HUGE PREMIUM on Tennessee...Because with the line where it is, they are almost telling us that on a Neutral Field...these 2 teams are EVEN...And nothing could be further from the truth...
And truth is...in the past, because I felt taking the Chargers was the "public" side...I may have Passed, or even liked the Titans...Which is actually where my mind went earlier in the week...But as I did my work, and gathered more information...it became obvious, that "square side or not"...the Chargers +3 is definitely the side with Value...
The books are making the bettors pay for this "mu‘st win" that Tennessee is in...And the "perception" is that the Chargers won't be motivated, and are on a short week...But Tennessee played on Sunday, and they actually played a little longer...needing Overtime to win...
Finally...I can assure you that the Wiseguys have sat this one out...So there is no "Smart Money" side at all...And this one comes down to which team offers the most betting value...Because my job as a professional sports bettor always comes down to trying to get my money in when I'm getting the best of it...Because if you can do that, then you will win more than you lose...Ultimately leaving you a Profit...
And in this spot...the CHARGERS +3 are definitely giving us the "Best of It"...So I will go ahead and take a position, on what may very well be the "public side"...Because we all know, that in today's sports betting market...the "public" has been able to hold their own at times...VR
Black Widow
6* Widow Wiseguy Chargers/Titans AFC GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego +3(-107 at 5dimes)
The Chargers have won 9 straight games, and for them to be catching points tonight against Tennessee is a complete gift on Christmas Day. Tennessee just lost two more key players on defense, losing LB's Keith Bulluck and David Thornton for the season in their 27-24 win over the Dolphins last week. The Titans gave up 349 passing yards to Chad Henne in the game, and Philip Rivers has to be licking his chops at the opportunity to face this banged-up Tennessee defense. The Titans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning record. Though the Titans are 7-1 in their last 8 games, they have done most of their damage against losing teams. The Chargers are 20-6-3 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog. San Diego is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Tennessee. The Chargers are 12-0 SU & 10-3 ATS in December under Norv Turner, and have won the L5 games between these teams, both SU & ATS. Take San Diego and the points as they continue to roll.
6* Widow Wiseguy Chargers/Titans AFC GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego +3(-107 at 5dimes)
The Chargers have won 9 straight games, and for them to be catching points tonight against Tennessee is a complete gift on Christmas Day. Tennessee just lost two more key players on defense, losing LB's Keith Bulluck and David Thornton for the season in their 27-24 win over the Dolphins last week. The Titans gave up 349 passing yards to Chad Henne in the game, and Philip Rivers has to be licking his chops at the opportunity to face this banged-up Tennessee defense. The Titans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning record. Though the Titans are 7-1 in their last 8 games, they have done most of their damage against losing teams. The Chargers are 20-6-3 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog. San Diego is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Tennessee. The Chargers are 12-0 SU & 10-3 ATS in December under Norv Turner, and have won the L5 games between these teams, both SU & ATS. Take San Diego and the points as they continue to roll.
