CBB - Added Games Fading & Other Stuff

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Rx. Senior
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i'm in the process of updating all the MLB masters and pdws, so let me know if you have any ideas on key items that could be added.

if anyone wants the Free Agent and Last Year of Contract for Pitchers this year. i'll need a list of the pitchers in each of those catagories.
 

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Poking around at SO. Gonna invest in this pops. I know u love it. Trying to see whats useful (tab wise). Moves vs Public is interesting. Probably worth it for inj. reports alone.
 

Rx. Senior
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ok, right now i plan to start the MLB thread on March 15th and will do my normal daily pdws and master updates thru the AS break and will make a decision on continuing with threads at that point.

still would like to get any input or suggestions for any adds etc. i plan to use much more of sports options data than in all my previous years, so having an account with them (even just the basic) would be a hugh plus for everyone

now that i'm set for the next 4 month, let's get the show on the road. i do except some early LM on tomorrows games

so let's get it on
 

Rx. Senior
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Poking around at SO. Gonna invest in this pops. I know u love it. Trying to see whats useful (tab wise). Moves vs Public is interesting. Probably worth it for inj. reports alone.

i sure do, never turn it off. cant believe i bet w/o it for all those year. guess that why i was always in hiding from my bookies
 

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ok, right now i plan to start the MLB thread on March 15th and will do my normal daily pdws and master updates thru the AS break and will make a decision on continuing with threads at that point.

still would like to get any input or suggestions for any adds etc. i plan to use much more of sports options data than in all my previous years, so having an account with them (even just the basic) would be a hugh plus for everyone

now that i'm set for the next 4 month, let's get the show on the road. i do except some early LM on tomorrows games

so let's get it on

Thanks pops. That's great news. You're way too young to retire.
 

Rx. Senior
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15 added games 4 tomorrow, should find some gold in those later
 

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I wonder if leaving Colorado has an effect on teams. Do you think they are inclined to struggle their first game outside of that ballpark, both the Rockies and opposing teams?
 

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ok, right now i plan to start the MLB thread on March 15th and will do my normal daily pdws and master updates thru the AS break and will make a decision on continuing with threads at that point.

still would like to get any input or suggestions for any adds etc. i plan to use much more of sports options data than in all my previous years, so having an account with them (even just the basic) would be a hugh plus for everyone

now that i'm set for the next 4 month, let's get the show on the road. i do except some early LM on tomorrows games

so let's get it on

Would there be any use for offense statics. Team batting average r runs scored against L r R handed pitchers, errors per game, walks per game. I don't know, just thinking out loud.
I use the the average number of pitches per game for each umpire, seems to be helpful for the over/under. I get this info from covers.
 

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ok, right now i plan to start the MLB thread on March 15th and will do my normal daily pdws and master updates thru the AS break and will make a decision on continuing with threads at that point.

still would like to get any input or suggestions for any adds etc. i plan to use much more of sports options data than in all my previous years, so having an account with them (even just the basic) would be a hugh plus for everyone

now that i'm set for the next 4 month, let's get the show on the road. i do except some early LM on tomorrows games

so let's get it on

What about more umpire data, average runs per game National League/ American League. Walks to strike out ratio.
 

Rx. Senior
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wednesday feb 15th

working on today's now. will upload in a few

quick check for old business
 

Rx. Senior
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What about more umpire data, average runs per game National League/ American League. Walks to strike out ratio.

umps are going to be tough in 2012. just look at last years b4 the gods of odds started getting the rotations early and plug them into the numbers
 

Rx. Senior
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9 possible for today, one is already a 1.5 LM

most of the OL fav have been bet the opp way

NP on an 1.5 to 2.0 LM around 10 min to post time

let's get it on
 

Rx. Senior
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Would there be any use for offense statics. Team batting average r runs scored against L r R handed pitchers, errors per game, walks per game. I don't know, just thinking out loud.
I use the the average number of pitches per game for each umpire, seems to be helpful for the over/under. I get this info from covers.

my biggest problem is that i dont trust anything that's on covers. all the casino's have covers on the back of the line sheets and we all know how good that data is. you give me a site with that info (other than covers) and i'll consider it if i can mine it
 

Rx. Senior
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I wonder if leaving Colorado has an effect on teams. Do you think they are inclined to struggle their first game outside of that ballpark, both the Rockies and opposing teams?

i take it that u didnt use any of my mlb masters last year
 

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umps are going to be tough in 2012. just look at last years b4 the gods of odds started getting the rotations early and plug them into the numbers

[FONT=&quot]I agree on the umpire thoughts of being tough for 2012. Not sure for the same reasoning’s. Researching umpires during the offseason, I found some interesting stuff.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Long story short, several years back, MLB started using an outside consulting firm which leverages specific algorithms to determine the umpire’s schedules for the entire season. A large part of this need was to accommodate specific rules the umpires association looked to achieve each year i.e. certain amount of travel distance for each umpire, consecutive games w/o a break, how many time an ump works a certain team, stadium etc. The umpires association tracks these metrics built into these algorithms to ensure not many exceptions exist to the parameters they set up.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]I have to believe that if the powers that be feel exposed by umpire crews and whose working a new series, that this scheduling algorithm would have been reversed engineered at this point. Now, I do believe that there are still times throughout the season that curve balls and changes are made to the set schedule. Umps get sick, personal time off etc. I believe these are the true 'Waldo' type situations where the information even takes the books by surprise and where you might see quick adjustments in the line as soon as the information is released. [/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Also, with technology becoming ever more relevant and efficient, umpires are getting daily feedback based on the way they called a game behind home plate the night before. I wonder how much the feedback alters an umpire’s game. If I'm consistently being told that certain ratios and metrics of mine being looked at are outliers to the averages based on my peers, at some point I think I would purposely adjust to get in-line with the masses.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]On a whole - I still feel good about tracking umpires and looking for tendencies based on the strike zones of some of these guys, but for me, this is just one filter of many things to look at.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Just some thoughts - to get some dialogue started. [/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
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[FONT=&quot]I agree on the umpire thoughts of being tough for 2012. Not sure for the same reasoning’s. Researching umpires during the offseason, I found some interesting stuff.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Long story short, several years back, MLB started using an outside consulting firm which leverages specific algorithms to determine the umpire’s schedules for the entire season. A large part of this need was to accommodate specific rules the umpires association looked to achieve each year i.e. certain amount of travel distance for each umpire, consecutive games w/o a break, how many time an ump works a certain team, stadium etc. The umpires association tracks these metrics built into these algorithms to ensure not many exceptions exist to the parameters they set up.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]I have to believe that if the powers that be feel exposed by umpire crews and whose working a new series, that this scheduling algorithm would have been reversed engineered at this point. Now, I do believe that there are still times throughout the season that curve balls and changes are made to the set schedule. Umps get sick, personal time off etc. I believe these are the true 'Waldo' type situations where the information even takes the books by surprise and where you might see quick adjustments in the line as soon as the information is released. [/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Also, with technology becoming ever more relevant and efficient, umpires are getting daily feedback based on the way they called a game behind home plate the night before. I wonder how much the feedback alters an umpire’s game. If I'm consistently being told that certain ratios and metrics of mine being looked at are outliers to the averages based on my peers, at some point I think I would purposely adjust to get in-line with the masses.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]On a whole - I still feel good about tracking umpires and looking for tendencies based on the strike zones of some of these guys, but for me, this is just one filter of many things to look at.[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Just some thoughts - to get some dialogue started. [/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]

good info, i dont think we can just throw money at the waldo's like in the past, need to pick the right spots with the right numbers. i'll always track them etc. still one of the best ways to find decent o/u
 

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