5000 DOLLAR CHALLENGE:nohead:
yeah. that's verifiable sure. i'll take the challenge. meet you at the back of the stardust hotel in vegas on thursday night. i'm driving a white rent-a-car.
c gold verifies all of his picks by listing them beforehand. stating units. tallying his w/l afterwards. being accountable. i've tracked the guys for years. he's always solid +500. anyone talking 5 dimes challenges is talking shit.
don't you have homework due or are you out already for christmas break? i thought all girl parochial schools get the whole month off.
:cripwalk:
opinion on parlay and teaser
C-gold, i got an early parlay of IND -17, TEN -3 and PHI -14 (to win 6 units), i´m just picking all IND and TEN games and they have been good to me last few weeks. On the other hand, i have a 3 team TEASER (to win 1 unit) with wins already on NO +8.5, CHI OV 40.5 and pending PHI OV 34.5.
Would you suggest any way of hedging, how good would be to add a new parlay with CLE +14 and PHI OV 39?
First timer but wanting to learn from the best.
All opinions are welcome, thanx!
C-gold, i got an early parlay of IND -17, TEN -3 and PHI -14 (to win 6 units), i´m just picking all IND and TEN games and they have been good to me last few weeks. On the other hand, i have a 3 team TEASER (to win 1 unit) with wins already on NO +8.5, CHI OV 40.5 and pending PHI OV 34.5.
Would you suggest any way of hedging, how good would be to add a new parlay with CLE +14 and PHI OV 39?
First timer but wanting to learn from the best.
All opinions are welcome, thanx!
So basically, you have a parlay with 2/3 of the legs hitting already. The best advice might be to be at or near a computer for the monday night game, watch the first half, and if you want, you could hedge the Philly under.
I wouldn't suggest trying to hedge a 3 leg parlay with anything until you start knocking out wins in it.
One thing I like to do with Parlays, is stack games at 1pm, with games at 4pm, and then maybe even a SNF or MNF game so that I do have that time gap inbetween, and I can hedge of needed.
So let's say you have a 5 game parlay going. Pick your 3 best games at 1pm, throw in a a 4pm game, and throw in the SNF or MNF game. A 5 team parlay all ATS could pay 20/1 off the top of my head. If you win your first 3 1pm games, you could have a small hedge on the 4pm game, and a small hedge on the last night game as well.
So before you worry about hedging philly, make sure your colts/titans win first.
I wouldn't suggest trying to hedge a 3 leg parlay with anything until you start knocking out wins in it.
One thing I like to do with Parlays, is stack games at 1pm, with games at 4pm, and then maybe even a SNF or MNF game so that I do have that time gap inbetween, and I can hedge of needed.
So let's say you have a 5 game parlay going. Pick your 3 best games at 1pm, throw in a a 4pm game, and throw in the SNF or MNF game. A 5 team parlay all ATS could pay 20/1 off the top of my head. If you win your first 3 1pm games, you could have a small hedge on the 4pm game, and a small hedge on the last night game as well.
So before you worry about hedging philly, make sure your colts/titans win first.
I'm adding a nice long crazy teaser. Last week I had a nice Parlay that would have hit, but the book "boxed" the Patriots ML vs Seattle so I had to cancel it. They are "boxing" the Patriots ML vs the Raiders, so I am going in a teaser format.
I would have won last week, so I am probably wasting my money this week, but here is my shot.
ADD: Crazy Teaser:
1pm
Miami Dolphins 0.5 ( Just winning should be easy)
Seattle/ST Louis under 49.5 ( two crappy teams)
Texans +10.5 ( a live home dog, getting DD)
4pm
Patriots -0.5 ( Pats should beat the Raiders in their sleep)
Den/Carolina Over 41 ( Both teams should score over 20)
Arizona +4 ( Zona 5-1 @ home, Minny has T-Jack)
night
Giants +10 ( have they been underdogs at all this year?)
Pays 8 to 1
Risk .5 units to win 4
When I do parlays ( and occasional more than 2 team teasers), I like to have it broken down by time period. It segments that teaser up so you could always hedge later on at the night game, or the 4pm if it is looking good.
:toast:
I would have won last week, so I am probably wasting my money this week, but here is my shot.
ADD: Crazy Teaser:
1pm
Miami Dolphins 0.5 ( Just winning should be easy)
Seattle/ST Louis under 49.5 ( two crappy teams)
Texans +10.5 ( a live home dog, getting DD)
4pm
Patriots -0.5 ( Pats should beat the Raiders in their sleep)
Den/Carolina Over 41 ( Both teams should score over 20)
Arizona +4 ( Zona 5-1 @ home, Minny has T-Jack)
night
Giants +10 ( have they been underdogs at all this year?)
Pays 8 to 1
Risk .5 units to win 4
When I do parlays ( and occasional more than 2 team teasers), I like to have it broken down by time period. It segments that teaser up so you could always hedge later on at the night game, or the 4pm if it is looking good.
:toast:
Miami
Miami leads the NFL in take aways give aways, San Fran is dead last. San Fran quarterbacks have also been sacked 45 times, 3rd worst in the NFL. To compound those problems, this is one of the famous 1 PM kick offs for a west coast team traveling east. Miami also needs this win to go from 1-15, to make the playoffs. -0.5 means I just need them to win. Sounds good right?
Seattle/St. Louis
Seattle's offense looked better at home last week, but that was vs a very injured Pats team that was picking people up off the street. Seattle sucks on the road, and St Louis just plain sucks. The only that that I don't like, is that these teams suck on offense and defense. Sometimes bad teams just get into an ugly low scoring game, but sometimes they get into scoring fests. However, ST Louis is 31st in the league with 13 points per game, and Seattle also averages under 20 ( 8th worst in the NFL). Seattle is also starting a wide receiver at QB. Under 49.5 looks good for two teams that average under 20 and 15 ppg.
The Texans may win this game outright, they are a double digit dog at home ( when you tease them), and Kyle Vanden Bosch may not play. That should only help the Houston offense even more when they don't have a grizzley bear chasing them.
Pats are playing a horrible horrible football team and they need a win. The only reason this line is so low, is because their front 7 is banged up, and Matt Cassell has been missing practice. Too bad Jemarcus Leaf won't do anything about it.
Carolina/Denver should go over the 48, nevermind the 41. These teams can score points, Denver scores on the road, works well as a dog, and Carolina is up against a weak run d. Both teams should move the ball, as long as they convert enough red zone trips into scores this works.
Arizona is 5-1 at home, Minny is a weak road team and they are breaking in an inept quarterback. Arizona should win this game, but getting 4 points means Minny needs to win by more than a FG.
The Giants have been the best team in football all year long. If I get to this last league of the teaser, I can always hedge too. 10 points though, seems excessive.
Good luck.
Miami leads the NFL in take aways give aways, San Fran is dead last. San Fran quarterbacks have also been sacked 45 times, 3rd worst in the NFL. To compound those problems, this is one of the famous 1 PM kick offs for a west coast team traveling east. Miami also needs this win to go from 1-15, to make the playoffs. -0.5 means I just need them to win. Sounds good right?
Seattle/St. Louis
Seattle's offense looked better at home last week, but that was vs a very injured Pats team that was picking people up off the street. Seattle sucks on the road, and St Louis just plain sucks. The only that that I don't like, is that these teams suck on offense and defense. Sometimes bad teams just get into an ugly low scoring game, but sometimes they get into scoring fests. However, ST Louis is 31st in the league with 13 points per game, and Seattle also averages under 20 ( 8th worst in the NFL). Seattle is also starting a wide receiver at QB. Under 49.5 looks good for two teams that average under 20 and 15 ppg.
The Texans may win this game outright, they are a double digit dog at home ( when you tease them), and Kyle Vanden Bosch may not play. That should only help the Houston offense even more when they don't have a grizzley bear chasing them.
Pats are playing a horrible horrible football team and they need a win. The only reason this line is so low, is because their front 7 is banged up, and Matt Cassell has been missing practice. Too bad Jemarcus Leaf won't do anything about it.
Carolina/Denver should go over the 48, nevermind the 41. These teams can score points, Denver scores on the road, works well as a dog, and Carolina is up against a weak run d. Both teams should move the ball, as long as they convert enough red zone trips into scores this works.
Arizona is 5-1 at home, Minny is a weak road team and they are breaking in an inept quarterback. Arizona should win this game, but getting 4 points means Minny needs to win by more than a FG.
The Giants have been the best team in football all year long. If I get to this last league of the teaser, I can always hedge too. 10 points though, seems excessive.
Good luck.
ADD:
Teaser: Washington -1, Miami -.5 ( 1.5 units)
Houston +3.5 ( 1 unit)
I hate the Redskins more than anybody, but they should beat that punching bag known as the bengals. If they do win alright, it is a decent hedge vs my under in that game. The Fins need to win and will as from all that analysis I provided. Turnovers, sacks, road trip, let down, motivation etc.
Beted is the only book I see right now with the 3 point hook. I don't think I will get it at 4, so i might as well play it now.
I am leaning to NOT take Denver later, I think the public didn't jump on Carolina the way I thought they would, and I am leaning on taking Baltimore if I can get a decent line.
Teaser: Washington -1, Miami -.5 ( 1.5 units)
Houston +3.5 ( 1 unit)
I hate the Redskins more than anybody, but they should beat that punching bag known as the bengals. If they do win alright, it is a decent hedge vs my under in that game. The Fins need to win and will as from all that analysis I provided. Turnovers, sacks, road trip, let down, motivation etc.
Beted is the only book I see right now with the 3 point hook. I don't think I will get it at 4, so i might as well play it now.
I am leaning to NOT take Denver later, I think the public didn't jump on Carolina the way I thought they would, and I am leaning on taking Baltimore if I can get a decent line.
I want them at -1 or -2, we will see depending on the Bungles/deadskins game and the Houston game go.
I can update my blog or email your iphone and tell you if I am on them. I hope you will be sober enough to realize who i pick buddy.
:toast::drink:
Off to the gym to go hulk it out, be back by kickoff.
I can update my blog or email your iphone and tell you if I am on them. I hope you will be sober enough to realize who i pick buddy.
:toast::drink:
Off to the gym to go hulk it out, be back by kickoff.
Week 15
Teaser: Pats -.5/Panthers + Denver Over 41 ( 2.5 units)
Redskins/Bengals under 37 ( 2 units)
Arizona Cardinals -3 ( 1.5 units)
Teaser: Washington -1, Miami -.5 ( 1.5 units)
Houston +3.5 ( 1 unit)
Crazy Teaser
ADD: Crazy Teaser:
1pmMiami Dolphins 0.5 ( Just winning should be easy)
Seattle/ST Louis under 49.5 ( two crappy teams)
Texans +10.5 ( a live home dog, getting DD)
4pm
Patriots -0.5 ( Pats should beat the Raiders in their sleep)
Den/Carolina Over 41 ( Both teams should score over 20)
Arizona +4 ( Zona 5-1 @ home, Minny has T-Jack)night
Giants +10 ( have they been underdogs at all this year?)
Pays 8 to 1
Risk .5 units to win 4
GL
May add ravens around 3pm or so if things are looking good and I get them less than -2.5.
Teaser: Pats -.5/Panthers + Denver Over 41 ( 2.5 units)
Redskins/Bengals under 37 ( 2 units)
Arizona Cardinals -3 ( 1.5 units)
Teaser: Washington -1, Miami -.5 ( 1.5 units)
Houston +3.5 ( 1 unit)
Crazy Teaser
ADD: Crazy Teaser:
1pmMiami Dolphins 0.5 ( Just winning should be easy)
Seattle/ST Louis under 49.5 ( two crappy teams)
Texans +10.5 ( a live home dog, getting DD)
4pm
Patriots -0.5 ( Pats should beat the Raiders in their sleep)
Den/Carolina Over 41 ( Both teams should score over 20)
Arizona +4 ( Zona 5-1 @ home, Minny has T-Jack)night
Giants +10 ( have they been underdogs at all this year?)
Pays 8 to 1
Risk .5 units to win 4
GL
May add ravens around 3pm or so if things are looking good and I get them less than -2.5.
The thing that is going to piss me off to no end, is I don't see my crazy teaser in my pending bets. If that wins, I am going to fly to costa rica and start going ape shit. I hope it is just their primitive IT shit.
ADD
Tampa +2 ( +110) .5 units
- Not even watching this game, but the Bucs have held Turner in check, Matt Ryan has 2 picks, and Griese is doing alright thus far.
- Washington UNDER 19.5 ( 1 unit)
- Washington -4 ( 1 unit)
- Houston Texans +3 ( .5 units)
ADD
Tampa +2 ( +110) .5 units
- Not even watching this game, but the Bucs have held Turner in check, Matt Ryan has 2 picks, and Griese is doing alright thus far.
- Washington UNDER 19.5 ( 1 unit)
- Washington -4 ( 1 unit)
- Houston Texans +3 ( .5 units)
