Houston may be a tough place to play, but they are 2-4 ATS at home ( so they don't play as well as they are projected to), and the Titans are 6-0 on the road, and 6-0 ATS. That means the Titans can and do play well on the road.
So if you say Houston is a tough place to come and play, the Titans have answered every challenge they have had on the road.
Houston has one of the best backup QB's in the league, and him over Schaub may not actually be that much of a big deal. I like Gary Kubiak and he has put together a strong defense, but how does that address that defense?
Houston's D can't stop the run, and that is the Titans bread and butter? If Houston gives up 4.6 per carry ( like they average), and the Titans rush for 4.4 per carry ( like they average), then Matt Schaub is going to have to throw a whole lot of TD passes to Andre Johnson against one of the leagues top 3 defenses.
I also don't like the angle that a team has " nothing to play for". These guys are prideful, they have an awsome coach, and nobody likes losing. Nobody is going to run out there 75% for the titans, and if some of the backups come in, they will try their very best to shine.
The only validity I do see to " they have nothing to play for", is that the Titans might not bust out their trick plays, or bread and butter plays on 3rd down for the eye in the sky. They might run more base sets so that future opponents won't see what they are really looking to do.
I may place a wager on all 5 home dogs this weekend anyway, but I think saying Houston is a tough place to play doesn't have so much validity.
Well stated and some very good points.
If you take turnovers away from the Texans they are playing some of the best Football worth watching today. Keep in mind, they had Indy by 3 scores with time running out at home. I agree the Titans hove owned them the past few years, and I think that adds fuel to the fire. I think they come out fired up and win straight up.
You have not talked me out of the ML bet yet, but keep trying. If the Texans hold onto the ball, they will win this game by a touchdown.