Brainiac’s Winter Sports

[chriscol]

i líke it..i have also Jonson on my card today

Neuner over Sleptsova @ 2.52

there might be better matchups for Neuner, but only available at pinny...i expect the turn around from Neuner this weekend...she is talking about having had important practice over x-mas and being much better in shape now. she is also saying that she like the track in oberhof where she won first Worldchampionship and also first race of season last year...she has positive vipes with her and that often help with the girls...in a 2 shoot competition she can overcome shaky shooting, especially vs. sleptsova who had big problems herself yesterday...it s just very genorous odds at 2.52

Jonson over Semerenko 1.57
and over Berger @ 2.11 (if you dont want to lay chalk)

Brain said it all about Jonson..she is very reliable in sprint

Hitzer over Domracheva @ 2.24


Domrachenko- Khvostenko:leaning Domrachenko , but its more against Khvostenko who had a very bad track time yesterday (17.40) vs. Domr (16.40), so she has to go 0 errors here.

Henkel over Hauswald @ 1.78

Hauswald very ahky shooting yesterday, Henkel rested should be better

 

[TheBrainiac]

I agree with all those bets , hopefully this will be a profitable day , lost few dollars yesterday thanks to ukrainian men team .

I think Kaisa Mäkäräinen over Vita Semerenko can be tried at + 120 odds . Kaisa is solid most of the time , I somehow think Vita will make atleast 2 errors today .

 

[SonnyCrockett]

is that final?

GL boys!

 

[SonnyCrockett]

and Brainiac, please do post all your leans and unofficial bets... you hit some nice values lately

Thanks

 

[SonnyCrockett]

jonsson down to 1,36 at sportingbet... would you still take it?

 

[SonnyCrockett]

I would try Iourieva over Slepstova +119:nohead:

Talking like someone who knows this shit:nohead: man I don't even know the basics

Brainiac... how come you know so much about wintersports? did you train something? how old are you if I may ask (I'm 24)

 

[TheBrainiac]

This is very very low , I would rather bet more on the other match up , its a slow runner but solid shooter vs Jonsson with Khvostenko and OK runner but not good shooter vs Jonsson with Vita Semerenko , think those are even h2h but if Jonsson doesnt make more than 1 error she should be fine against both of them .

 

[TheBrainiac]

I would try Iourieva over Slepstova +119:nohead:

Talking like someone who knows this shit:nohead: man I don't even know the basics

Brainiac... how come you know so much about wintersports? did you train something? how old are you if I may ask (I'm 24)

I would do it the other way ... take them both TOP 3 if you can get it at plus odds , bet same amount and I think atleast one of them will sure make it into the TOP 3 . If one of them makes it you win some change but if both do you will be in solid plus .

I just like to watch biathlon , been watching it for over 8 years on TV and visited 5 races here in Germany . I dont train but do skiing for fun and I just turned 22 few monthes ago .

 

[SonnyCrockett]

what about Oksana Khvostenko vs Darya Domracheva at pinny?

 

[TheBrainiac]

I would take Domracheva , she is pretty stable with shooting most of the time however she had 1 or 2 races where she missed really a lot but it was due to problems with the rifle .
Khvostenko is a solid shooter but she is a slow turtle and will likely lose atleast 1 penalty loop time with running to Domracheva .

 

[TheBrainiac]

Their results from the relay 2 days ago :

Rank Bib Name Nat. T​

​

Loop 1Time Rk.Loop 2Time Rk.Loop 3 Time Rk.
​

Result Behind Rank

DOMRACHEVA Darya​

Cumulative Time 28:22.8 +1:43.6 10 35:55.2 +2:21.5 9 41:01.2 +2:18.4 8
Loop Time 7:26.3 +28.3 6 7:32.4 +51.9 8 5:06.0 +3.4 3
Shooting 0+1 59.0 +28.0 90+3 1:27.0 +59.0 10 0+4 2:26.0 +1:27.0 11
Range Time 1:29.2 +29.2 8 1:54.7 +56.9 9 3:23.9 +1:26.1 7​

Course Time 5:57.1 0.0 1 5:37.7 +9.0 3 5:06.0 +3.4 3 16:40.8 +3.4 2


vs

KHVOSTENKO Oksana​

Cumulative Time 1:05:55.2 +1:19.0 2 1:12:40.6 +1:28.4 2 1:17:57.9 +1:10.2 2
Loop Time 7:09.5 +3.9 3 6:45.4 +9.4 2 5:17.3 +17.6 4
Shooting 0+0 23.0 0.0 10+1 35.0 +4.0 4 0+1 58.0 0.0 1
Range Time 54.7 0.0 1 1:03.1 +4.4 3 1:57.8 0.0 1​

Course Time 6:14.8 +10.0 7 5:42.3 +7.6 4 5:17.3 +17.6 4 17:14.4 +24.7 4


KHVOSTENKO Oksana 0+0 0+1 0+1 19:12.2

DOMRACHEVA Darya 0+1 0+3 0+4 20:04.7


Something was wrong with Domracheva's shooting time once again , I dont remember watching her shoot in the relay but this time cant be right if everything was OK .

 

[SonnyCrockett]

thanks... took both iourieva and slepstova to finish top 3 +115 and +100

 

[TheBrainiac]

Looks good ... good luck this race .

 

[Cobalt]

Hey, Brainiac!

The shooting time you posted is valid indeed! Khvostenko did some incredibly fast, accurate shooting this season. Guess she was the fastest by far two days ago...

About Ukrainia in general: I've read that ukrainian men-team probably simply had a bad waxing day and that was the reason for the poor laptimes yesterday! So, I wouldn't be too sure about a decline of form of the whole team.

GL with Jonsson. I hope she shows up today. For me, odds are too low to take.

The german girls who did not take part in relay may be worth a try, esp Neuner (Henkel+Beck have been slightly ill lately).

 

[SonnyCrockett]

Iuorieva been pounded down to -101

 

[TheBrainiac]

Khvostenko pretty slow but 0 first shooting , this sux , I hope she does miss some standing .

 

[TheBrainiac]

Twice 0 ... this is gonna be close , hopefully Jonsson goes 0 as well ...

 

[SonnyCrockett]

semerenko didn't start?

well... I'll be rooting for russian duo then...

GL!

 

[SonnyCrockett]

jonsson looks like a winner vs. kvohstenko... too bad the odds were so low for me to take

 

[TheBrainiac]

Semerenko didnt start but can always count on Helena Jonsson to deliver , too bad Vita Semerenko didnt start cuz it would have been an easy winner .