Probably going to tread very lightly during this first week. A 7-3 SoCar, NC State game? A 19-8 Boise State Oregon Game?
I'm feeling even better about my UGA/OK State under, but at the same time these first few games look to be pretty unpredictable. Going to add 1 MAYBE 2 more small plays this weekend. Keeping everything under 3 units for sure.
I'm feeling even better about my UGA/OK State under, but at the same time these first few games look to be pretty unpredictable. Going to add 1 MAYBE 2 more small plays this weekend. Keeping everything under 3 units for sure.
Posting style suggestion, Slayer
With your weekly threads catching many eyes and moving into multiple pages, if you were to conclude each formal selection writeup with "This week's selections so far".
With no disrespect to much of the interesting and often informative chat that fills a multi-page thread, if a skimmer (like me) can skate through, spot your LARGER FONT writeup posts and then at the bottom see your selections to date, it's handy. And then if I want to know more detail about one of the listed selections, I can scroll backward in the thread to the pertinent writeup post.
Thanks for your consistent contribution of good, personalized work product
With your weekly threads catching many eyes and moving into multiple pages, if you were to conclude each formal selection writeup with "This week's selections so far".
With no disrespect to much of the interesting and often informative chat that fills a multi-page thread, if a skimmer (like me) can skate through, spot your LARGER FONT writeup posts and then at the bottom see your selections to date, it's handy. And then if I want to know more detail about one of the listed selections, I can scroll backward in the thread to the pertinent writeup post.
Thanks for your consistent contribution of good, personalized work product
This is good advice.
Also Box I would love it if you would post in the tracker forum. Not for the purpose of keeping up with your record because you do a fine job of that right here in the main forum, but because in the tracker room your the only one that post in that thread and I can subscribe to the thread and get a memo on my email everytime you make a post.
Your the only person on this forum that I give a rats as for in college football, it would help me not to have to weed through all the garbage on this forum to read your post. But with all that being said your free product is better then 99% OF THE the garbage that a lot of clowns charge good money for, so if I have to weed through the garbage to read your post, then weed through the garbage is what I will do.
keep up the awesome work. I have been on this forum longer then 95% OF THE posters here.
I have seen many one year wonders come and go. Box is without question the best capper on this site. Good luck this season, because a good year from you means a good year for me.
Thanks for the suggestions. I will either post my current plays in my signature, or always list them everytime I have a new play like below:
Card:
3* UGA/OKState under
1.5* NC State -4.5 -110 (Loss)
2* Navy Midshipmen +22 -110
One of the fundamentals of handicapping is to take a strong running team on the road. You have to be able to go into your opponents house and run the ball, keep drives alive, keep your defense off the field, and keep the pressure of your QB to make decisions, audibles, etc. Running the ball also shortens the game, keeps clock running, and doesn't allow teams like Ohio State to run away with a game. Navy is going into their 4th straight year as the nation's leading ground attack with their triple option, and that shortens this game and makes it much more difficult for OSU to cover a lofty 22 point spread.
Hakuna-Matada is gone at QB. However, Navy sports arguably their greatest recruit of all time, Ricky Dobbs, a junior who has been being groomed from day 1 to take over as QB. He started just one game last year but was the team's 3rd leading rusher. And unlike previous Navy QBs, this kid can actually throw the ball and keep defenses honest.
Navy is a team that relies on their system, moreso than their personnel. They have lead the nation in rushing 4 straight years, so it doesn't matter who they plug in.... the system works. There is no reason to suggest that any change in personnel should cause any problems for Navy to be able to gel effectively on offense.
This Navy attack is a tough task for a defense during week 1. It goes against all traditional offenses, and for an Ohio State defense that graduated key defensive players like anchor James Lauranitis, stud CB Malcolm Jenkins, and Marcus Freeman. Then their starting lineback goes down for the year with a suspension. The Buckeye defense has new players in the 2 or 3 most important positions: MLB, and #1 CB. The combination of new players on the Buckeye defense, mixed with the big play ability and trickery of the Navy offense means Navy should be able to get a few scores in this game, like they always do, making it difficult to cover the lofty 22 point spread.
Tyrelle Pryor came into Ohio State as the savior, but his young career has been short of spectacular as he develops. He'll be relied on heavily this year to realize his potential and that won't be easy with the losses of all of his key skill position players with whom he formed chemistry with: stud running back Beanie Wells, and WRs Brian Robiskie and Hartline. With new skill position players around him and the pressure to perform as the centerpiece now, expect Pryor to struggle some out of the gate as he forms a chemistry with his new guys.
With Navy scoring a few times, clock running, and the new parts on OSU gelling, it should be difficult for the Buckeyes to put up a ton of points, run away and cover this game. This is Navy's game of the year, and they will empty the playbook to keep this as winnable as they can.
Ohio State 27
Navy 17
Card:
3* UGA/OKState under
1.5* NC State -4.5 -110 (Loss)
2* Navy Midshipmen +22 -110
One of the fundamentals of handicapping is to take a strong running team on the road. You have to be able to go into your opponents house and run the ball, keep drives alive, keep your defense off the field, and keep the pressure of your QB to make decisions, audibles, etc. Running the ball also shortens the game, keeps clock running, and doesn't allow teams like Ohio State to run away with a game. Navy is going into their 4th straight year as the nation's leading ground attack with their triple option, and that shortens this game and makes it much more difficult for OSU to cover a lofty 22 point spread.
Hakuna-Matada is gone at QB. However, Navy sports arguably their greatest recruit of all time, Ricky Dobbs, a junior who has been being groomed from day 1 to take over as QB. He started just one game last year but was the team's 3rd leading rusher. And unlike previous Navy QBs, this kid can actually throw the ball and keep defenses honest.
Navy is a team that relies on their system, moreso than their personnel. They have lead the nation in rushing 4 straight years, so it doesn't matter who they plug in.... the system works. There is no reason to suggest that any change in personnel should cause any problems for Navy to be able to gel effectively on offense.
This Navy attack is a tough task for a defense during week 1. It goes against all traditional offenses, and for an Ohio State defense that graduated key defensive players like anchor James Lauranitis, stud CB Malcolm Jenkins, and Marcus Freeman. Then their starting lineback goes down for the year with a suspension. The Buckeye defense has new players in the 2 or 3 most important positions: MLB, and #1 CB. The combination of new players on the Buckeye defense, mixed with the big play ability and trickery of the Navy offense means Navy should be able to get a few scores in this game, like they always do, making it difficult to cover the lofty 22 point spread.
Tyrelle Pryor came into Ohio State as the savior, but his young career has been short of spectacular as he develops. He'll be relied on heavily this year to realize his potential and that won't be easy with the losses of all of his key skill position players with whom he formed chemistry with: stud running back Beanie Wells, and WRs Brian Robiskie and Hartline. With new skill position players around him and the pressure to perform as the centerpiece now, expect Pryor to struggle some out of the gate as he forms a chemistry with his new guys.
With Navy scoring a few times, clock running, and the new parts on OSU gelling, it should be difficult for the Buckeyes to put up a ton of points, run away and cover this game. This is Navy's game of the year, and they will empty the playbook to keep this as winnable as they can.
Ohio State 27
Navy 17
Forgot to mention the fact that Navy is a traditionally strong road team:
NAVY is 53-22 ATS in their last 75 road games. That shows that their ability to run the football helps them on the road.
I have 1 more play for the Bama VT game and I'll have a play for the FSU/Miami game tomorrow, and then I'll be done for the week.
NAVY is 53-22 ATS in their last 75 road games. That shows that their ability to run the football helps them on the road.
I have 1 more play for the Bama VT game and I'll have a play for the FSU/Miami game tomorrow, and then I'll be done for the week.
Buckeyes struggled early last year with Ohio I think? This team is starting to get off to slow starts, not caring about beating up on crappy teams because they keep losing the big games that count. Those are the games they look forward to now, to see if they can get that big game monkey off their backs. USC on the horizon next week is their game of the year. This is Navy's game of the year.
Final Card (until UM/FSU game tomorrow)
3* UGA/OKState under 62
1.5* NC State -4.5 -110 (Loss)
2* Navy Midshipmen +22 -110
2* Alabama/Va Tech under 37 -110
I seriously wouldn't be surprised to see a 3-0 game in this one.
On one side you have the Bama defense, one of the most physical and outstanding defenses in the country, coached by a big boy NFL style no nonsense head coach in Nick Saban. No gimmick scrambling QB will be able to move the ball on this defense without A LOT of help. And the blow to Va Techs starting RB Evans who rushed for 1,200 yards last year being out for the year hurts big time.
Tyrod Taylor only got his team into the end zone twice last season through the air in 10 games started. That's horrible. You can't be that one dimensional vs. this Bama defense that returns 2 all-americans on defense.
Bama's new QB this year is McElroy. For a first year starter to play against this Va Tech defense out of the gate should be tough, especially with rumors of Mark Ingram having the flu. Superstar LT Andre Smith was the rock to this offensive line last year, and without him, Bama struggled in their bowl game vs. Utah, only scoring 17 points. A little known fact about McElroy as well is this guy didn't START at QB on his high school team until his senior year because they were so loaded at QB. This guy has 12 career high school starts under his belt, and 0 college starts under his belt. This guy will face a good Va Tech defense and Beamer Ball in his first career college start.
Both of these teams should struggle to move the ball today, and in the end, Bama is too physical and on a mission.
Alabama 17
Virginia Tech 10
3* UGA/OKState under 62
1.5* NC State -4.5 -110 (Loss)
2* Navy Midshipmen +22 -110
2* Alabama/Va Tech under 37 -110
I seriously wouldn't be surprised to see a 3-0 game in this one.
On one side you have the Bama defense, one of the most physical and outstanding defenses in the country, coached by a big boy NFL style no nonsense head coach in Nick Saban. No gimmick scrambling QB will be able to move the ball on this defense without A LOT of help. And the blow to Va Techs starting RB Evans who rushed for 1,200 yards last year being out for the year hurts big time.
Tyrod Taylor only got his team into the end zone twice last season through the air in 10 games started. That's horrible. You can't be that one dimensional vs. this Bama defense that returns 2 all-americans on defense.
Bama's new QB this year is McElroy. For a first year starter to play against this Va Tech defense out of the gate should be tough, especially with rumors of Mark Ingram having the flu. Superstar LT Andre Smith was the rock to this offensive line last year, and without him, Bama struggled in their bowl game vs. Utah, only scoring 17 points. A little known fact about McElroy as well is this guy didn't START at QB on his high school team until his senior year because they were so loaded at QB. This guy has 12 career high school starts under his belt, and 0 college starts under his belt. This guy will face a good Va Tech defense and Beamer Ball in his first career college start.
Both of these teams should struggle to move the ball today, and in the end, Bama is too physical and on a mission.
Alabama 17
Virginia Tech 10
