Boxslayer's 2009 Bowl Season Plays and Writeups

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Love the play on Navy. Maybe im putting too much stock in 1 game but the last I saw this Wake team was against BC. Even with BC's QB out for most of the game, they would have been blown out if not for 3 defensive TD's.

Most turnovers are in the passing game, and Navy wont pass very often, so a INT is not likely. And i'd say that the majority of fumbles are by QB's droping back to pass.
 

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Sorry, thanks for asking that.

During the regular season it is 1*-5*.

1* = Small play.
2* = Typical sized play
3* = Slightly above average play
4* = Real solid play
5* = Very rare play, almost every angle in my favor

During bowl season, however, it is a bit more common for me to bet higher units - and as we approach the bigger games I throw more money on them. National Title games past two years have been 8* plays. BCS Bowls are usually minimum 3* or higher. Reason being not because it is a bigger game so I want more action, but because I am typically the guy who wagers on the big teams only, I know the big market teams very well, I am a big game hunter, and when I have seen both teams play a bunch and cap the game, I hit at a good rate so I invest more money.

I am keeping my plays relatively small as bowl season starts and as it progresses I will begin bumping units up.

Good luck


Is 8* the max? Or do you just play it as high as you want based on how strong you fell about the game?
 

UF. Champion U.
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are you against the 3rd one, or just not playing it?

which 2 are you on board with?

GL tomorrow
 

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Is 8* the max? Or do you just play it as high as you want based on how strong you fell about the game?

honestly ill play it as much as i feel is right. there really is no max, but i'd like to think that 10* is the max.
 

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*Lean to BYU in the night game. My line BYU -5, plus I have them as the better team in a few key areas of the game, just dont like them matching up against a pretty good AZ D. If I end up playing it, it will be for 1* max.
 

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PHEW!

I put in my plays before coming here, and thankfully we agree on all 3 thus far!

You are correct on Fresno, they are crappy this yr, while Colo St is scrappy. You can also add in Fresno is -11 in TO ratio this yr, while Colo St was +2. What a disparity.

I like those 3, but no opinion on the ARI gm? That was my biggest play, as I think the Pac-10 is stronger than MWC, and ARI has a conquerable "D" to TCU (although ARI did lose to NM). Plus ARI's TO ratio is better than BYU's.
 

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wow. navy really was a big disapointment in the 2nd half.. whatever it happens i guess- but that ending was just so frustrating.. from a win to a push to a loss on a meaningless 40 yard run in.. anyway thats how this game goes... lets get colorado state as i have a very good feeling about them.. i think they win SU.. bol to us and all the csu backers!!!!!
 

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Keep it goin Box, bad beat special on Navy (I even had them +3.5 at my local).

Any play for BYU/AZ tonight?
 

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wow. navy really was a big disapointment in the 2nd half.. whatever it happens i guess- but that ending was just so frustrating.. from a win to a push to a loss on a meaningless 40 yard run in.. anyway thats how this game goes... lets get colorado state as i have a very good feeling about them.. i think they win SU.. bol to us and all the csu backers!!!!!

:toast:

thankfully we were both right!!!!
colorado state outright like expected!!

interested to see who you like or lean in the BYU/ARIZONA game.. i like BYU also as a SU winner!
 

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yea this is one of my biggest games of the bowl season.. bol! hope box is on this or is leaning this way as well..
 

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I posted on page 2 i think it was that I leaned to BYU. A lot of handicapping angles, stats, trends lean to BYU, but my gut as a football fan tells me Arizona's toughness and ability to play defense may make this game interesting so I am laying off.

Really pissed about Navy. In order for Wake to cover that game, both 2 point conversions had to go just as planned, plus that broken tackle for a TD which would have lead to a few kneel downs if they tackle him there.

Bottom line, can't be too upset about it. Bowl season has just started and as the teams get "bigger" my plays will get bigger. You dont win 74 units the past two bowl seasons betting 1 and 2 units. What I mean by that, is plays are small right now and I will be unloading a few times this bowl season, and 3*. 4* and 5* plays will become a little more regular....I will have a few big plays, so keeping it small for now and waiting for good spots to unload.

Again, lean to BYU, but no play for me.

GL guys
 

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