BoSox04 NFL Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

There’s the pizza money bet on Agholor to score. It was around +550 for those who were on it. Lamar had Andrews wide open also which would have been nice. Still a lot of game left.

 

[BoSox04]

And there’s the Hudson TD. Not official bets, they won’t get put on my record. Still nice to hit +550 and +900 props, even when they are small bets. Hope some of you tailed.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-2/YTD: 74-73, +5

It’s hard to believe I lost the under and the Lamar prop with where we were at halftime. With that said, I still turned a small profit on my posted plays and picked up some extra cash on those long shot anytime touchdowns I mentioned. I haven’t bet any of this weekend’s games yet. I want to bet Dallas plus the points, I just don’t know if I can stomach them again after last week. I like betting dogs in divisional games when I think they have a chance to win outright. I just don’t know if I can make a compelling case for Dallas winning this game. It sounds like Parsons will be back, maybe Bland returns as well. I’m not going to make any decision on that game or any others right away.

 

[BoSox04]

November 10th

Jaguars +7 (-110), 1*

I don’t think there will be much of a drop off to Mac Jones. It’s not like the Jaguars have been great with Lawrence. Minnesota is coming off the SNF game. Could overlook this game a bit.

 

[BoSox04]

Cowboys +7.5 (-115), 1*

I am going to bet this now. I don’t want to lose this number. It feels like the 7.5’s aren’t going to be around on Sunday. Divisional games are different. I’m not going to go into a long explanation, I did that yesterday. I guess I’m going to bet backup quarterbacks this weekend. I will add another bet tomorrow I think.

 

[BoSox04]

November 10th

Giants -6.5 (-110), 1*
Jaguars +7 (-110), 1*
Bears -6 (-110), 1*
Cowboys +7.5 (-115), 1*

I am going to add a couple teasers tomorrow with the Steelers involved. Maybe one more side as well. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Six Point Teaser: Steelers +8.5 & Chiefs -1.5 (-115), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Steelers +8.5 & Cardinals +7.5 (-115), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Steelers +8.5 & Dolphins +7.5 (-115), 1*

The fact that this line dropped from +3 to +2.5 makes me feel even better about having the Steelers in these teasers. I would be surprised if the Steelers don’t keep this within one score. They are coming off a bye, they should be able to get more pressure on Daniels then anyone else has this season. I think these two teams are dead even on a neutral field, so give me Steelers teasers. If I’m wrong, I’ll take the L.

 

[BoSox04]

Quentin Johnston over 39.5 (-110), 1*
Davante Adams over 70.5 (-115), 1*
Saquon Barkley over 93.5 (-110), 1*

I am going to bet Tank Dell’s yardage prop over whether Nico Collins plays or not. If he does play, the yardage should go down on Dell.

 

[BoSox04]

Texans/Lions over 49 (-110), 1*
Tank Dell over 64.5 (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Joe Mixon over 76.5 (-110), 1*
Xavier Hutchinson anytime TD (+500), .5*
Cade Stover anytime TD (+1200), .5*
Jared Goff under 235.5 passing yards (-115), 1*
Jared Goff under 30.5 pass attempts (-114), 1*

All odds courtesy of FD or DK. GL!

 

[BoSox04]

Texans +4.5 (-110), 1*

Meant to have this in the previous post.

 

[BoSox04]

Six Point Teaser: Texans +10.5 & Dolphins +8.5 (-115), 1*

I like the Dolphins tomorrow and will definitely bet them if that spread gets to 3. This is like the Steelers a couple weeks ago against the Jets when nobody wanted to bet Pitt. I bet them +2, teased them from 2.5 to 8.5 and bet them +3. Money has come in on the Rams, but I definitely think those two teams are even, despite Miami’s record. They are much better with Tua.

 

[BoSox04]

Tua over 247.5 passing yards (-110), 1*
Waddle over 45.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Davis Allen anytime TD (+1300), .5*
Tyreek Hill anytime TD (+130), 1*

I’m going to stick with my two Dolphins teasers and not add anything on the side or total. This game isn’t getting to 3, and I have no need to bet Miami +2/2.5. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 4-2/YTD: 83-86, +1.15

Tough week with props. Lost a little with sides and totals, but props were primarily the issue. On the bright side, teaser’s went 4-0. Closing out those last two teaser’s got me back into profitability which was important.

 

[BoSox04]

November 14th

Goedert over 30.5 receiving yards (-120), 1*
AJ Brown under 80.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
McLaurin anytime TD (+135), 1*
Dotson anytime TD (+750), .5*

I lean the Eagles and the under, but I don’t feel strongly enough about either one to make a bet. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-2/YTD: 85-88, +1.65

It wasn’t a great day for receivers. McLaurin and Zaccheus had ten receiving yards, which led Washington’s receivers. AJ Brown was the only receiver with 30+ yards on either side. Goedert and Ertz got some late yardage, but this game was primarily controlled by running backs and defense. I’ll take the small profit and move onto this weekend.

 

[BoSox04]

November 17th

Packers -5.5 (-110), 1*
Cowboys +7.5 (-120), 1*

I would prefer 7.5 to 7 with Dallas. There are multiple books that have 7.5. This is the third straight week I’m betting Dallas. It’s easy to say you aren’t going to bet a team. If you believe there is value, then you should be making the bet. I think this number should be 6.5 and I like winning with 7 instead of pushing on that number. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Browns ML (-125), 1*
Steelers +3 (+100), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Chiefs +8.5 & Bengals +7.5 (-115), 1*

Adding these three to the two bets I posted Friday. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Chargers ML (-110), 1*
Chase over 76.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-4/YTD: 87-92, -0.95

I can’t believe Chase didn’t go over by two yards. I still have the Cowboys tonight and a prop or two potentially.