BoSox04 NFL Season Long Thread

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Raiders +9 (-108), 1*

I’m going to try and hit a middle in this Raiders game. If the Chiefs win by one possession, I hit both the straight bet and teaser. +8.5 is ok too. I will post my SNF bets separately.
 

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49ers -5.5 (-110), 1*
Mason over 83.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Ferguson anytime TD (+290), 1*

Hit the middle in the Raiders/Chiefs game and got the Panthers over. I thought the Panthers over was dead when Sutton fumbled the ball going into the end zone, but Bryce Young of all people got the garbage TD. McCarthy coming off a bye has been excellent in his career. 13-3-1 I believe. Not getting Parsons back is a blow for Dallas. Their run game has been so mediocre that they are going to play Dalvin Cook tonight. Their run defense has been lousy lately, which is why I’m going over on Mason’s rushing prop. Both teams need this game for their division hopes, I just think the 49ers match up well against the Cowboys. GL
 

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Today: 6-3/YTD: 62-56. +7.9

October 28th


Giants +6 (-110), 1*

Maybe this goes to 6.5 tomorrow. I’m not sure if people are going to line up to bet the Giants. Although today was a strong showing for bad teams that were less then ten point dogs. Raiders, Browns, Patriots, Colts and Jaguars all covered. Mason getting hurt was unfortunate tonight, still had a great day. The surge continues. GL
 

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Pickens over 62.5 (-110), 1*
Daniel Jones over 26.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*
Daniel Jones anytime TD (+460), .5*
Darnell Washington anytime TD (+1100), .5*

Little pizza money on those anytime TD’s. I really like the Jones anytime TD prop. I could see him having to use his legs repeatedly in this game. I might add one more prop in the next half hour. GL
 

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Giants/Steelers over 37.5 (-110), 1*

I was considering Wandale Robinson over receiving yards. I’m going to play the game over instead. This is a kitchen sink game for the Giants. If they drop to 2-6, they are done. All we need is 21-17 or 24-14 and this game goes over. We can get that.
 

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November 3rd

Cowboys +3 (-118), 1*

There are two prominent sportsbooks that still have +3. If you can only get 2.5, I would wait and tease Dallas up to 8.5 on Sunday. I’m not sure who the best teaser option is to pair them with, but I think that is a fine option. I expect Parsons to be back on Sunday. This is kind of it for Dallas. If they drop to 3-6, they are cooked. I think we are going to get a good performance from them. I bet them a couple weeks ago at Pitt and they won that game outright. I think we will get a similar result here. Obviously, having three points in your pocket is important.
 

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October 31st

Jets -2.5 (-110), 1*
Garrett Wilson over 61.5 receiving yards (-120), 1*

The Jets have been nauseating as a football team this year. If they lose this game, I might not bet them the rest of the season. With that said, I think they are the right side. I have read them pretty well so far. I had the Patriots last week. I had the Steelers the week before. I think this is the week to play on them. It’s tough being the road team on TNF as we saw in last week’s game. Texans are in a difficult situation without Collins or Diggs. This is a must win game for NY. I think they get it done and keep their season alive. I might add an anytime TD bet closer to game time. GL
 

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Tank Dell anytime TD (+160), 1*
Cade Stover anytime TD (+800), .5*

I don’t think I have to explain why Tank Dell is a good TD option for Houston. Houston will be looking for other guys to step up in the short and long term. I think Stover could be more involved tonight and is certainly an option in the red zone.
 

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Today: 2-2/YTD: 66-62, +7.15

Didn’t get there with either TD prop, but I turned a small profit which is no easy feat when betting on the Jets.
 

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November 3rd

Cowboys +3 (-118), 1*
Cowboys +3 (-102), 1*
Dolphins +6.5 (-108), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Packers +8.5 & Bengals -1.5 (-115), 1*
Six Point Teaser: Packers +8.5 & Rams +7.5 (-115), 1*

I am more then likely going to bet the Colts tonight. I will take a look at some props and post anything I bet in a couple hours. GL
 

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Cardinals -1.5 (-110), 1*
Brian Thomas Jr. over 52.5 (-110), 1*
Jayden Reed over 44.5 (-115), 1*
 

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Colts/Vikings over 47 (-110), 1*
Justin Jefferson over 85.5 (-115), 1*
Jefferson over 95.5 (+130), 1*
Jefferson over 105.5 (+185), 1*

I like the Colts tonight. With that said, I guess I’m the only one. Indy is up to 6.5 now at a couple prominent sportsbooks. That makes me nervous, so I will stay away. I think there will be big plays to be had in this game and Jefferson should have a lot to do with that. I am probably going to throw a few bucks on over 130.5 at +425 as well. GL
 

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I meant to say this in the last post. I would look at Minnesota’s tight ends in the anytime TD market. Both Hockenson and Oliver are guys I would feel comfortable betting on.
 

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Yesterday: 6-6/YTD: 72-68, +7.55

Jefferson came through in a big way for me. Hit all his ladders including over 130.5, which I didn’t post as an official play. For tonight’s game, I have no play on the side. I will post a couple props tonight.
 

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November 4th

Xavier Worthy over 39.5 (-110), 1*
Worthy over 45.5 (+120), 1*
Bucky Irving anytime TD (+220), 1*

Staying away from the side and total tonight. Worthy got eight targets last game and all it takes is one for him to break a big play. Irving is my favorite anytime TD guy tonight based on the prices. Honorable mention to Sean Tucker who is around 8/1. Josh Oliver came through last night at a big price for anyone who followed my advice. If this is a blowout, Tucker will get even more time and could get a garbage TD in the fourth quarter. GL
 

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Yesterday: 0-3/YTD: 72-71, +4.45

Frustrating close to the week, but still profitable this season. Once Worthy didn’t keep his feet in bounds on what should have been a 30 yard TD pass in the first quarter, Mahomes basically shut him out. He went to Hopkins and Kelce mostly and only looked Worthy’s way one other time the entire game. That happens, Brady used to do that to young receivers from time to time.
 

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November 7th

Bengals/Ravens under 53 (-110), 1*
Mark Andrews anytime TD (+175), 1*
JaMarr Chase over 84.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*

A couple longshot TD scorers I will probably throw a few bucks on are Agholor for the Ravens and Hudson for Cincinnati. GL
 

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Lamar Jackson under 238.5 passing yards (-110), 1*

I think this has been bet up too far. The public has been hammering this the past couple days. It was 233.5 when I checked last night. It has gone up another five yards today. If I’m on the wrong side, so be it. Obviously, he can go over this number with a good night. However, I think the fair number should probably be 8-10 yards less. Especially with how well he runs the ball.
 

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