BoSox 2023-2024 Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

May 7th

Mavericks to win their series (+100), 2*

I think Dallas is the better team. I expect them to win one of the first two games in this series. Maybe they lose game one like they did to the Clippers and then bounce back in game 2. If that happens, I might add another unit on Dallas heading into game 2. OKC wasn’t tested against a mediocre Pelicans team without Zion. That will change in a big way this series.

 

[BoSox04]

May 7th

Evan Mobley over 2.5 assists (+100), 1*
Chet Holmgren over 8.5 rebounds (-120), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Cavaliers +12.5 (-110), 1*
Celtics to win in six games (+500), 1*

I think this spread should be a little lower at first. This is roughly what the spread was against Miami and the Heat didn’t have Butler or Rozier. I know Cleveland doesn’t have Allen tonight, but the Celtics don’t have Porzingis and he is the better player between the two. I think Cleveland is going to win a game or two. Maybe they have a big shooting performance like the Heat did in game 2. Mitchell is certainly capable of closing out a win at home in a close game. Boston has not been the type of team to sweep inferior opponents. It took them five last series. It took them six games against Atlanta last year. There is no way Boston loses this series which is why I’m not playing over 5.5 games. I like to make that type of bet when I think both teams have a chance to win the series. But I think this goes five or six and the odds are much better for a six game series.

The above bet on Mobley should have odds of +110. Small typo there. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-2/YTD: 298-250, +25.09

May 8th

Donte Divencenzo over 17.5 points (-125), 1*
Jalen Brunson under 37.5 points (-115), 1*

I know that Hartenstein has been going over his assists prop most nights. The number is up to 3.5 now. I am going to sit that one out and see if he can get 4+ again tonight. With the Brunson under, I am just playing the percentages. To go over, he has to be excellent for the whole game. He has been excellent for the majority of the playoffs, but there will be regression. He will be guarded differently. He will have a bad shooting night. Other guys will step up and he will have to do less. I know this bet will be live in the fourth quarter and I really think he is due for a more typical 30 point game.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-0/YTD: 300-250, +27.09

Much needed sweep for me, thanks in large part to Brunson missing a big chunk of the first half. Glad I didn’t play the regression angle on Hartenstein’s assists. I would have preferred if the Pacers had won for my future. Still, the Pacers just need to win two, which they are capable of doing at home. Particularly, if Anunoby is out.

 

[BoSox04]

May 9th

Dereck Lively over 11.5 points and rebounds (-115), 1*

I might add one more bet later. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Tatum over 27.5 points (-110), 1*
White under 3.5 threes (-150), 1*
Strus over 2.5 assists (-120), 1*
SGA under 6.5 assists (-160), 1*

If you prefer to bet under 5.5 at plus money, that’s your choice. I usually don’t lay a lot of juice on any nba bets, but I think 6.5 is a valuable number in this case for SGA. I also think White is bound to come back to earth a little bit. That doesn’t mean he has to play bad to make less then four threes. Cleveland should try to defend him a little better. And he has a lot of talented teammates who are capable of filling up the stat sheet.

 

[BoSox04]

Luka under 30.5 points (+105), 1*
Luka under 3.5 threes (-120), 1*

I thought I included these in the above post. Luka doesn’t seem right health wise. He has shot the ball poorly consistently in the playoffs and now is being defended primarily by Lou Dort, who is excellent. If Luka goes off tonight and beats me, so be it. I am hoping he goes under tonight and Dallas loses. Then, I can play his overs when they go home for game 3 in a must win spot. GL

 

[phillyfranko]

Love the Thunder -5 tonite and bet Dallas at home & won

 

[BoSox04]

It’s going to be one of those nights. We all have them. Should have been 2-1 in the Celtics game, but Tatum came up 3 short due to the blowout. Betting Luka’s unders was a mistake. Oh well, it happens.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 2-5/YTD: 302-255, +22.89

May 10th

Pacers -7.5 (-110), 1*
Nuggets +4 (-110), 1*

May 11th

Celtics -8 (-110), 1*

GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-1/YTD: 303-256, +22.79

May 11th

Kyrie over 22.5 points (-120), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Luka under 9.5 assists (EV), 1*
Derrick White under 3.5 threes (-150), 1*
Al Horford under 1.5 threes (+105), 1*

Adding these to the two bets I already have today. GL

 

[indiana]

B. Sox.....BOL with all your action today buddy....
on Bost. with you.....indy

 

[BoSox04]

B. Sox.....BOL with all your action today buddy....
on Bost. with you.....indy

Good luck Indy. I might add another unit on Boston if Allen gets ruled in and the number goes down to 7.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 4-1/YTD: 307-257, +25.64

May 12th

Haliburton under 3.5 threes (-120), 1*
Towns under 1.5 threes (+130), 1*

I might bet the Nuggets again tonight. I think Gordon goes under 4.5 assists, but I don’t want to lay -175. If you want to bet his alt number of 3.5, I wouldn’t mind that. GL

 

[indiana]

B. Sox....well done (Sat.) buddy....thank you....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Annoying loss with Haliburton. He only played 28 minutes, but took ten threes. Some money is coming in on Minnesota. I understand why people are betting them. They are going to play better then they did in game 3. They are certainly capable of winning this game at home and should be favorites. With that said, if I can get +3.5 or +4 on Denver like I did in game 3, I’m going to jump on that.

 

[BoSox04]

Nuggets +4 (-110), 1*

Can’t pass up this number. I get why people are betting Minnesota, but this is close to a must win for Denver. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 2-1/YTD: 309-258, +26.74

I still have a unit on Denver to win the series and 2 units on Dallas to win their series. I feel much better about those bets after this weekend.