BoSox 2023-2024 Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

Pistons +11.5 (-112), 1*
Heat +7.5 (-110), 1*

I like betting teams who are missing their best player or a number of players. The public bets the other side with the thinking that these shorthanded teams will get steamrolled. In reality, teams like the Heat hang tough in these spots. Some of these guys on the bench actually get to play who don’t get many minutes. They play really hard and are motivated to show what they can do. Not to mention, they are still nba players. It’s not like Butler, Herro and Rozier are being replaced by three guys at the YMCA. The Kings had a big win on national TV last night versus the Clippers. This would have been a letdown spot before the Heat were depleted. I will take a shot on the Heat culture showing up in Sacramento.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 3-0/YTD: 191-162, +11.65

February 27th

Pelicans -2.5 (-115), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Pistons +11 (-112), 1*

 

[indiana]

B. Sox....well done (Mon.) buddy....thank you....
continue your winning ways tonight.....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Magic -6.5 (-110), 1*

This is another overreaction line move to a top player being out in my opinion. I played the Heat last night when they were very shorthanded. Banchero is out tonight for Orlando with an illness and this line has crashed. I still think the Magic have enough to win this game convincingly. The Nets finally won a game last night, but that was against Memphis and they only scored 101. No Simmons or Cam Thomas for Brooklyn tonight. Back to back road games. I will take the Magic and live with the results. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Blazers +7 (-110), 1*

Looks like a potential 3-0 start providing the Pistons don’t have a terrible fourth quarter. I’m going to take a shot with the Blazers here. I know the Heat are getting Butler and Rozier back. I know the Blazers are shorthanded in the backcourt. This is a letdown spot for Miami, similar to the letdown spot they took advantage of last night against the Kings. Are the Heat really going to be up for this game? Second straight night on the road. I’ll take the points with Portland.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 3-1/YTD: 194-163, +13.55

Annoying non-cover from the Blazers. They had a ten point lead at the half and were the fresher team, but got steamrolled in the second half. 6-1 the last two days, let’s keep stacking positive days. I hit a bit of a swoon, but I’m working my way back up to where I was pre all-star break. There are three bets I like tomorrow, but I’m nervous about betting the games early. I like the Pacers hosting the Pelicans. I think Zion could sit, but McCollum could also return. The line has already moved a couple points in the Pacers favor, so I might as well wait until I have more injury info. I like the Mavs to bounce back from a couple losses and handle business in Toronto. Let’s make sure Luka and Kyrie are playing. And I like the Bulls at home. Cleveland just played a hard fought game to the wire to beat Dallas by 2. Chicago is coming off an ugly home loss to Detroit, which we cashed. I will try to get a better feel for players statuses in the morning and hopefully place at least 1-2 bets then.

 

[BoSox04]

February 28th

Pacers -5.5 (-118), 1*

I'm going to bet this game now. This line has gone to -6 at a number of sportsbooks and the line opened at -3.5. I like the Pacers in this game even if Zion and CJ play, but this line movement tells me that somebody knows something. Those guys could play and this line could drop a couple points, but that's a risk I'm willing to take. I still like Indiana to cover this number with or without those guys in the lineup. The Pacers are healthy with the exception of McDermott and Nesmith, although Nesmith could return for this game. I will add Dallas and Chicago tomorrow once I know more about the health of their most important players.

 

[BoSox04]

Mavericks -3.5 (-110), 1*
Bulls +5.5 (-108), 1*

Not the best injury news for Pacers bettors, but I still would have bet the game. Unless Indiana wins by exactly five, it won’t make a difference. I would prefer if Caruso was playing for the Bulls, but it’s not a deal breaker.

 

[pigskinpete]

Nice night bosox!…I like the way that you are seeing things in the NBA and college lately…stay locked in, good luck!

 

[BoSox04]

Nice night bosox!…I like the way that you are seeing things in the NBA and college lately…stay locked in, good luck!

Appreciate it buddy. Good luck tonight.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 3-0/YTD: 197-163, +16.55

February 29th

Heat +4.5 (-110), 1*

This is a battle of two teams who are playing really well after the all-star break. Denver has won four in a row, Miami has won five straight. I will take the points with the fresher team. Maybe Murray rests tonight or Herro returns to give Heat bettors a little boost. I’m on a nice little 9-1 run this week to get back to where I was heading into the all-star break. I lost that three point contest with two of three finalists and that kicked off a bad stretch. I’m glad to be seeing the board clearly again.

I almost want to bet the Wizards in hopes that LeBron sits and I get a good number before the line drops. Then I remembered they are the Wizards and I’ll stick with Miami. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Thunder -11 (-110), 1*

 

[indiana]

B. Sox.....well done (Wed.) buddy....thank you.....
BOL with your plays tonight .....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Nothing else for tonight. I lean Brooklyn, but I think they are kind of lifeless. The line moved against me in the Heat game like it did last night in the Pacers game. It didn’t hurt yesterday, let’s hope for the same result. Obviously, I want to get the best line possible and get positive closing line value like I did with the Pelicans two nights ago. But I still feel fine with the bet I made. Best of luck.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 0-2/YTD: 197-165, +14.35

Brutal loss with Miami. I basically needed to avoid a Miami turnover. The only way they were going to foul again was if they scored and made it a one possession game. Or turned it over. Rozier, who had four air balls from three, lost it off his knee. Miami fouled and lost by 6. It has been a good week, but that one hurt.

 

[BoSox04]

March 1st

Hornets +12 (-110), 1*
Raptors +3 (-114), 1*
Pacers +5.5 (-115), 1*
Bulls +4.5 (-110), 1*

Pacers were 4/4.5 point favorites two nights ago. Now they get Nesmith back and are 5.5 point dogs at the Pelicans? Seems like an overreaction to me. As for the Hornets, I know the eye are shorthanded. I can’t buy the Sixers as 12 point favorites without Embiid, Oubre and Melton against anyone.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-3/YTD: 198-168, +11.96

March 2nd

Hawks ML (-110), 1*

We have a rematch angle with the Blazers and Grizzlies. This was certainly a good follow last night when New Orleans got revenge on the Pacers, much to my disappointment. If I am going to bet this, I need JJJ in the lineup. Let’s get there with the Hawks first. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 0-1/YTD: 198-169, +10.86

I like the Celtics this afternoon. I don’t know when to bet them. If Curry plays, I should wait. If he can’t go, I should bet them now. I will just wait for the news and bet the fair number. If Curry gets ruled out, the Warriors have no chance in this game. I wouldn’t mind laying 13 without him and Wiggins. I will update once we know, but I am 100% betting the Celtics today.

 

[BoSox04]

Celtics -8 (-115), 1*

I will take a shot on the Celtics at a reduced price. They are still much the better team here.