BoSox 2023-2024 Season Long Thread

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-1/YTD: 183-149, +17.73

Future:

Norman Powell to win Sixth Man of the Year (+1000), 1*

I thought I had given this out in November at 20/1 and I never did. I bet him, Gobert 10/1 to win DPOY and Chris Finch 20/1 to win COTY and I forgot to post them. While Gobert and Finch aren’t worth betting now, I think Powell still is. He fits all the criteria for someone who can win. Yes, Hardaway and Monk are ahead of him right now and are more likely to win. Things can change and this bet is about value as much as anything else. I gave out Kuminga at 50/1 on February 1st to win most improved player. He is around +750 right now. That doesn’t mean he is going to win, but clearly 50/1 was a valuable bet. The Clippers are going to finish ahead of Dallas and Sacramento in the standings and could win the west. If Powell can find himself in the closing group at the end of games and continue to produce, this number will continue to go down.

I will probably have a couple bets tomorrow for All-Star weekend.

 

[BoSox04]

February 17th

Trae Young to win three point contest (+450), 1*
Karl Anthony-Towns to win three point contest (+650), 1*
Jacob Toppin to be a finalist in the dunk contest (+115), 1*

I think McClung is going to win the dunk contest again, but I don’t feel like laying -250. I think Brown is being bet because he is the biggest star by a mile in this competition. Toppin would be my second favorite, so I will bet him to be a finalist. Guys like McClung and Toppin will take this more seriously. They aren’t getting minutes in the nba, which makes this more important to them.

As for the three point contest, I don’t have a read on this, but I want some action. I like Young more then Haliburton or Lilliard among the favorites. There hasn’t been a repeat winner since 2007 and 2008 with Jason Kapono. Towns won two years ago which gives me the confidence that he has the stamina and poise to get it done. Once again, these aren’t locks. Just looking for a little action tonight. Good luck.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 0-3/YTD: 183-152, +14.73

I had 2/3 of the finalists in the three point contest and found a way to lose. That’s all I can ask for going into the final. As for the dunk contest, Brown’s dunks were overvalued. Should have been Toppin losing to McClung in the final, as I expected. If you laid the lumber with Mac, congrats on the W. I like the first half over in the all-star game tomorrow. Let’s see what the number is tomorrow morning when it gets posted on all the legal sportsbooks.

 

[BoSox04]

February 18th

All Star Game under 357 (-110), 1*

I was going to bet the first half over and full game under. I will just stick with the full game under. Good luck.

 

[BoSox04]

Haliburton over 16.5 points (-115), 1*
Doncic over 10.5 points (-115), 1*

Based on their MVP prices, I think these overs make sense.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-2/YTD: 184-154, +13.48

 

[BoSox04]

Future:

Mavericks to win the Southwest Division (+165), 2*

Dallas is only one game back of the Pelicans, so they don’t have much ground to make up. When Lively comes back for Dallas, they will be as healthy as they have been pretty much all year. Dallas has two elite talents who can carry them to a victory on nights when the supporting cast doesn’t have it. I don’t know if Zion and Ingram can quite do affect games the same way. Obviously, Zion can go down at any time, as we saw with Embiid. I am not hoping for that and not using that as part of my reasoning for the bet, I’m just saying he is a wildcard to stay healthy for the final third of the season. This is a 2 unit bet for me. I am willing to double my normal bet size in order to get a larger return. If this was 10/1 or 50/1 which is more of a longer shot, I would only bet 1 unit. The number is only +160 and I feel pretty strongly about this, so I’m putting 2 units down. GL if you tail.

 

[BoSox04]

I am probably going to bet the first half or first quarter unders today in the nba across the board. Half unit bets on each. I will let you know if I choose the first quarter or first half. I’m not sure if I will post them all as official bets, but I will have an update later. This was a profitable angle to bet first period unders when the NHL came back from their all-star break. If you had two teams who had not yet played since the break ended, you bet their first period under which was always 1.5 with varying odds. Once players health statuses for today’s games becomes official, I will have a couple side or total bets and I will let you know if I am pulling the trigger on what I just discussed.

 

[BoSox04]

February 22nd

Scottie Barnes over 7.5 rebounds (-125), 1*

I think this number should be 8.5-9.5. If you prefer to play Scottie Barnes to record a double double, you can find that in the +140/+150 range. I don’t mind laying a little bit of juice on this one. I will have sides and totals for tonight in an hour or so.

 

[BoSox04]

Nets +1.5 (-112), 1*
Suns/Mavericks over 244.5 (-110), 1*

New coach angle for the Nets. Often teams get a bump from a coaching change, whether it be for a game, a week or two, or sometimes longer. But more often then not, the first game with the new coach brings a really good effort from the team. Brooklyn is fully healthy and I like needing them to just win this game with their new coach. GL

 

[BoSox04]

Looks like the Nets didn’t get the bump. Not a good sign for them making a run. Barnes prop was a lock. He already has nine halfway through the third quarter. If you bet him to have a double double like I mentioned, you should be feeling pretty good.

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-2/YTD: 185-156, +12.26

Low scoring fourth quarter in the Suns game makes it a losing day. One positive today, for those of you that bet Powell for sixth man of the year, his odds are down to +450. Someone else clearly thinks he has a path. It would be great to have a winning ticket on him and/or my Kuminga bet.

Five potential bets tomorrow. Let’s get the first positive day after the break out of the way then.

 

[BoSox04]

February 23rd

Hawks -7.5 (-110), 1*
Clippers -9 (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Trae Young over 36.5 P+A (-108), 1*
Heat +1.5 (-105), 1*

I kind of like the Suns and Blazers, but I will pass on both. Good luck.

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-3/YTD: 186-159, +9.98

I am going to bet Minnesota today. Good bounce back spot for them against a Brooklyn team that showed no life coming out of the break. I am waiting on Gobert’s status, who sprained his ankle last night against the Bucks.

 

[BoSox04]

February 24th

T-Wolves -7.5 (-110), 1*

 

[BoSox04]

Today: 1-0/YTD: 187-159, +10.98

It took a while for Minnesota to assert themselves and pull away, but they ended up getting an easy cover. I lean Atlanta tomorrow. Early money has come in on Orlando which tells me someone important on Atlanta is going to be out or people are fading the Hawks who are on a three game losing streak. Bucks/Sixers over, Golden State and Dallas are some other sides and totals I have my eye on. As we all know, we have to wait and see who is active before placing any bets. There are always surprises on the injury report.

 

[BoSox04]

February 25th

Cavaliers -13 (-115), 1*
Mavericks -1 (-108), 1*
Hawks +1 (-110), 1*
Warriors -2 (-110), 1*

I missed the boat on betting the Bucks/76ers over. That total has skyrocketed and I am not going to chase it. The Cavs number has gone up a couple points, I’m not as worried there. Cleveland has lost their first two games after the break. Playing Washington is the perfect antidote for a big win and some confidence. Mitchell is also returning to the lineup. As I expected, Trae Young is out for Atlanta tonight. With that said, I’m still going to bet them. With the way he has played lately, they might be better off without him. Orlando played in Detroit yesterday and then spent the night in Atlanta. Let’s see how many lap dances this young Magic team received last night.

 

[indiana]

B. Sox....BOL with todays action buddy....
on G. St. with you....sweep'em....indy

 

[BoSox04]

Yesterday: 1-3/YTD: 188-162, +8.65

February 26th

Raptors +6 (-105), 1*

Crappy day yesterday. Cleveland has not looked the same post all-star break. I want to bet Miami, but they could be pretty shorthanded tonight. Butler and the other guys who were involved in the altercation with the Pelicans are out. Herro and Rozier are questionable. I will have to check in on this one later.