BBB's NHL consecutive over/under system thread for November (25-5 in October)

[bluebirdsbaby]

I will be back tomorrow to post the results from Saturday and Sunday. I did not forget, I just have very little time right now.

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Sunday, November 23, 2008 plays

Sunday, November 23, 2008 plays:

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - Nashville at Carolina to win 1 (Game 1)

DETAILS:
DATE H/A TEAM OPPONENT LINE OVER UNDER RESULT DESCRIPTION
11/15/08 A Nashville 3 Los Angeles 1 5.5 -112 102 U
11/17/08 H Nashville 1 San Jose 4 5.5 107 -117 U
11/21/08 A Nashville 1 Tampa Bay 4 5.5 -107 -103 U
11/23/08 A Nashville Carolina

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Saturday, November 22, 2008 results

LIST:
UNDER 5.5 - Washington 2 at San Jose 7 - LOST -1.2 units
OVER 5.5 - Boston 3 at Montreal 2 - LOST -1.77 units
OVER 5 - NY Rangers 1 at Ottawa 4 - PUSH
TOTAL - 0-2-1 for -2.97 units.

UPDATED RECORDS:
GAME 1: 23-36-0
GAME 2: 16-17-2
GAME 3: 7-12-0
TOTAL PLAYS: 46-65-2 (41.4%)
SERIES RECORD: 54-12 (-34.61 units)

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Sunday, November 23, 2008 results

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - Nashville 5 at Carolina 2 - WON 1 unit
TOTAL - 1-0-0 for +1 unit.

UPDATED RECORDS:
GAME 1: 24-36-0
GAME 2: 16-17-2
GAME 3: 7-12-0
TOTAL PLAYS: 47-65-2 (42.0%)
SERIES RECORD: 55-12 (-33.61 units)

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Monday, November 24, 2008 plays

Monday, November 24, 2008 plays:

LIST:
UNDER 5.5 - Washington at Minnesota to win 2.2 (Game 2)
OVER 5.5 - NY Islanders at Montreal to win 3.72 (Game 3)

DETAILS:
DATE H/A TEAM OPPONENT LINE OVER UNDER RESULT DESCRIPTION
11/15/08 A Washington 5 New Jersey 6 5.5 120 -130 O
11/19/08 A Washington 6 Anaheim 4 5.5 105 -115 O
11/20/08 A Washington 2 Los Angeles 5 5.5 -110 100 O
11/22/08 A Washington 2 San Jose 7 5.5 110 -120 O GAME 1: LOST -1.2 UNITS
11/24/08 A Washington Minnesota

11/15/08 H Montreal 1 Philadelphia 2 5.5 -130 120 U
11/16/08 A Montreal 3 St. Louis 2 5.5 -127 117 U
11/18/08 A Montreal 1 Carolina 2 5.5 -120 110 U
11/20/08 A Montreal 3 Ottawa 2 5.5 105 -115 U GAME 1: LOST -0.95 UNITS
11/22/08 H Montreal 2 Boston 3 5.5 110 -120 U GAME 2: LOST -1.77 UNITS
11/24/08 H Montreal NY Islanders

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Monday, November 24, 2008 results

LIST:
UNDER 5.5 - Washington 3 at Minnesota 4 - LOST -3.08 units
OVER 5.5 - NY Islanders 4 at Montreal 3 - WON 3.72 units
TOTAL - 1-1-0 for +0.64 units.

UPDATED RECORDS:
GAME 1: 24-36-0
GAME 2: 16-18-2
GAME 3: 8-12-0
TOTAL PLAYS: 48-66-2 (42.1%)
SERIES RECORD: 56-12 (-32.97 units)

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Tuesday, November 25, 2008 plays

Tuesday, November 25, 2008 plays:

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - St. Louis at Nashville to win 1 (Game 1)

DETAILS:
DATE H/A TEAM OPPONENT LINE OVER UNDER RESULT DESCRIPTION
11/16/08 H St. Louis 2 Montreal 3 5.5 -127 117 U
11/21/08 H St. Louis 3 Anaheim 2 5.5 116 -126 U
11/22/08 A St. Louis 2 Minnesota 1 5 -115 105 U
11/25/08 A St. Louis Nashville

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Tuesday, November 25, 2008 results

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - St. Louis 1 at Nashville 0 - LOST -1.02 units
TOTAL - 0-1-0 for -1.02 units.

UPDATED RECORDS:
GAME 1: 24-37-0
GAME 2: 16-18-2
GAME 3: 8-12-0
TOTAL PLAYS: 48-67-2 (41.7%)
SERIES RECORD: 56-12 (-33.99 units)

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Wednesday, November 26, 2008 plays

Wednesday, November 26, 2008 plays:

LIST:
UNDER 5.5 - Los Angeles at Edmonton to win 1 (Game 1)
UNDER 5.5 - Pittsburgh at NY Islanders to win 1 (Game 1) *** CONFLICT, DO NOT PLAY
OVER 5.5 - Pittsburgh at NY Islanders to win 1 (Game 1) *** CONFLICT, DO NOT PLAY
OVER 5.5 - St. Louis at Colorado to win 2.02 (Game 2)
UNDER 6 - Atlanta at Washington to win 5.28 (Game 3)

DETAILS:
DATE H/A TEAM OPPONENT LINE OVER UNDER RESULT DESCRIPTION
11/20/08 H Los Angeles 5 Washington 2 5.5 -110 100 O
11/22/08 H Los Angeles 3 Colorado 4 5.5 106 -116 O
11/25/08 A Los Angeles 2 Calgary 6 5.5 100 -110 O
11/26/08 A Los Angeles Edmonton

11/21/08 A NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 5 5 -111 101 O
11/22/08 A NY Islanders 4 Buffalo 2 5.5 -101 -109 O
11/24/08 A NY Islanders 4 Montreal 3 5.5 110 -120 O
11/26/08 H NY Islanders Pittsburgh

11/18/08 H Pittsburgh 1 Minnesota 2 5.5 130 -140 U
11/20/08 A Pittsburgh 3 Atlanta 2 5.5 -135 125 U
11/22/08 H Pittsburgh 1 Vancouver 3 5.5 115 -125 U
11/26/08 A Pittsburgh NY Islanders

11/16/08 H St. Louis 2 Montreal 3 5.5 -127 117 U
11/21/08 H St. Louis 3 Anaheim 2 5.5 116 -126 U
11/22/08 A St. Louis 2 Minnesota 1 5 -115 105 U
11/25/08 A St. Louis 1 Nashville 0 5.5 -102 -108 U GAME 1: LOST -1.02 UNITS
11/26/08 A St. Louis Colorado

11/15/08 A Washington 5 New Jersey 6 5.5 120 -130 O
11/19/08 A Washington 6 Anaheim 4 5.5 105 -115 O
11/20/08 A Washington 2 Los Angeles 5 5.5 -110 100 O
11/22/08 A Washington 2 San Jose 7 5.5 110 -120 O GAME 1: LOST -1.2 UNITS
11/24/08 A Washington 3 Minnesota 4 5.5 130 -140 O GAME 2: LOST -3.08 UNITS
11/26/08 H Washington Atlanta





Good luck!!

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Wednesday, November 26, 2008 results

LIST:
UNDER 5.5 - Los Angeles 2 at Edmonton 1 - WON 1 unit
UNDER 5.5 - Pittsburgh 5 at NY Islanders 3 - CONFLICT, DID NOT PLAY
OVER 5.5 - Pittsburgh 5 at NY Islanders 3 - CONFLICT, DID NOT PLAY
OVER 5.5 - St. Louis 1 at Colorado 3 - LOST -1.92 units
UNDER 6 - Atlanta 3 at Washington 5 - LOST -5.13 units. SERIES LOSS.
TOTAL - 1-2-0 for -6.05 units.

UPDATED RECORDS:
GAME 1: 25-37-0
GAME 2: 16-19-2
GAME 3: 8-13-0
TOTAL PLAYS: 49-69-2 (41.5%)
SERIES RECORD: 57-13 (-40.04 units)




And there goes the bankroll. I've officially stopped betting this.

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Thursday, November 27, 2008 plays

Thursday, November 27, 2008 plays:

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - Toronto at Ottawa to win 1.95 (Game 2)

DETAILS:
DATE H/A TEAM OPPONENT LINE OVER UNDER RESULT DESCRIPTION
11/13/08 H Ottawa 1 NY Islanders 3 5.5 -101 -109 U
11/15/08 A Ottawa 2 NY Islanders 3 5.5 105 -115 U
11/17/08 A Ottawa 1 NY Rangers 2 5 -120 110 U
11/20/08 H Ottawa 2 Montreal 3 5.5 105 -115 U GAME 1: LOST -0.95 UNITS
11/22/08 H Ottawa 4 NY Rangers 1 5 -130 120 P GAME 2: PUSH
11/27/08 H Ottawa Toronto

 

[heart222]

hi sorry to see your system blow up this yr. been a strange yr to say the least. best of luck to you. heart222

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Thursday, November 27, 2008 results

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - Toronto 1 at Ottawa 2 - LOST -2.34 units
TOTAL - 0-1-0 for -2.34 units.

UPDATED RECORDS:
GAME 1: 25-37-0
GAME 2: 16-20-2
GAME 3: 8-13-0
TOTAL PLAYS: 49-70-2 (41.2%)
SERIES RECORD: 57-13 (-42.38 units)

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Friday, November 28, 2008 plays

Friday, November 28, 2008 plays:

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - Chicago at Anaheim to win 1 (Game 1) *** 4 PM START
UNDER 5.5 - NY Islanders at Boston to win 2 (Game 2) *** 12 PM START

DETAILS:
DATE H/A TEAM OPPONENT LINE OVER UNDER RESULT DESCRIPTION
11/21/08 A Anaheim 2 St. Louis 3 5.5 116 -126 U
11/22/08 A Anaheim 2 Dallas 1 5.5 115 -125 U
11/24/08 H Anaheim 4 Colorado 1 5.5 103 -113 U
11/28/08 H Anaheim Chicago

11/21/08 A NY Islanders 2 New Jersey 5 5 -111 101 O
11/22/08 A NY Islanders 4 Buffalo 2 5.5 -101 -109 O
11/24/08 A NY Islanders 4 Montreal 3 5.5 110 -120 O
11/26/08 H NY Islanders 3 Pittsburgh 5 5.5 -111 101 O GAME 1: CONFLICT, DID NOT PLAY
11/28/08 A NY Islanders Boston




Due to the conflict on Game 1, the NY Islanders series is "TO WIN 2 UNITS" for 2 games.

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

hi sorry to see your system blow up this yr. been a strange yr to say the least. best of luck to you. heart222

Yeah, terrible year. There's been way too many 6+ game streaks... but what's staggering is the amount of 6 game streaks (with the 7th game finally turning around.) Makes me wonder what would have happened if we waited for a 4-game streak to develop and chase it for 3 games after that.

 

[NumberFreak]

Makes me wonder what would have happened if we waited for a 4-game streak to develop and chase it for 3 games after that.

Naturally, the longer you wait, the higher the winning percentage will be but the less plays it will produce. Ever think of doing that? Waiting for one or two more and starting your chase then with more money behind it? I would test the last five years or so and see what the results would have been. I can guarantee your win rate would jump. You'd have to up the unit amounts though to make it worthwhile.

Your idea is decent but I don't think this specific situation is very profitable as it currently stands (you may remember me from last year). Last year was unusual because the prior years you tested were unprofitable. I personally wouldn't play anything without a consistent track record for several years at least. Just my .02

Best of luck.

 

[heart222]

hi for wahat its worth i use same concept in nba waiting for 5 games in a row to kick off. i am 11-4 ytd with 1 open. i dont martingale just same bet have not lost 3 in a row yet couple of 2,s. suspect hockey would be similar. good luck heart222

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Friday, November 28, 2008 results

LIST:
OVER 5.5 - Chicago 0 at Anaheim 1 - LOST -1.06 units
UNDER 5.5 - NY Islanders 2 at Boston 7 - LOST -2.56 units
TOTAL - 0-2-0 for -3.62 units.

UPDATED RECORDS:
GAME 1: 25-38-0
GAME 2: 16-21-2
GAME 3: 8-13-0
TOTAL PLAYS: 49-72-2 (40.4%)
SERIES RECORD: 57-13 (-46.00 units)

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

Naturally, the longer you wait, the higher the winning percentage will be but the less plays it will produce. Ever think of doing that? Waiting for one or two more and starting your chase then with more money behind it? I would test the last five years or so and see what the results would have been. I can guarantee your win rate would jump. You'd have to up the unit amounts though to make it worthwhile.

Your idea is decent but I don't think this specific situation is very profitable as it currently stands (you may remember me from last year). Last year was unusual because the prior years you tested were unprofitable. I personally wouldn't play anything without a consistent track record for several years at least. Just my .02

Best of luck.

I have thought about the "wait longer" theory. What that entails then, is missing out on "Game 1." The reason why I didn't want to wait for a 4th game is because of the Game 1 record in years passed. It's been above .500 every year, and the bulk of those wins that you accumulate pay for the occasional loss. When waiting one more game, or longer, you end up having fewer plays... and if the "loss" still results as -7 to -10 units, then you need as many winners as possible.

For example, if you wait 5 games for this to develop, than only a 8 game streak will beat you. Last year the number of 8+ game streaks outweighed the amount of Game # 6, 7, and 8 wins and therefore put you in the red. Every year this has happened, which is what has turned me away from doing this.

I do remember you from last year, and your input is always useful. I also have been following your "Pulse" thread this year. How much do you think the rule changes have affected this? Scoring is up, but the percentage of overs-to-unders is almost dead even. Yet there have been HUGE streaks this year:

Colorado: 6 consecutive
Dallas: 6 consecutive
Detroit: 8 consecutive
Minnesota: 8 consecutive
Nashville: 6 consecutive
Ottawa: 11 consecutive (and counting)
Pittsburgh: 6 consecutive (twice)
St. Louis: 6 consecutive (twice)
Toronto: 9 consecutive
Vancouver: 8 consecutive
Washington: 6 consecutive

What makes these teams so damn streaky, and others so unstreaky? Buffalo, for example, had a season high long of 4 consecutive ONCE, and only streaks of 2 for the rest of the season.

 

[bluebirdsbaby]

hi for wahat its worth i use same concept in nba waiting for 5 games in a row to kick off. i am 11-4 ytd with 1 open. i dont martingale just same bet have not lost 3 in a row yet couple of 2,s. suspect hockey would be similar. good luck heart222

I have no interest in the NBA. Personally, I don't follow it, and I have no data on that league. So I have no way of tracking it or looking at years passed. If you don't martingale, then it makes no sense. If you follow it for 3 games, then you absolutely MUST win on Game 1 otherwise its a losing proposition (L then W results in juice lost... and L, L then W results as 1 unit PLUS juice x2 lost.) After Game 1 loses, your basically betting to get your money back on Game 2 and then out of spite on Game 3.