MONDAY, Oct 20
I'm using FLA +1.5 (-145) in my 2Teamer O' Day thread
Panthers 9-1 in past 10 H2H with Habs when graded at +1.5
Panthers playing Away with rest last season 23-8 at +1.5
Previous season 25-8 in same role
In ALL Games with rest, Panters were 55-13 at +1.5 last season and 54-16 in previous season
This current month they are only 1-2
MEANWHILE, Habs at Home with rest are 1-1 so far this year at -1.5
Last season just 14-20
Note also that Montreal is currently on a +10 scoring differential in past four games. This is still a roughly researched Angle in my database, but I'm confident that teams playing with double digit PlusScoring differential are not prone to continue winning by 2+
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ALSO like the COL/LAK game to stay Under 6, but will wait until later tonight and see if I can get better than the current +105
Best to us all for a profitable Monday
I'm using FLA +1.5 (-145) in my 2Teamer O' Day thread
Panthers 9-1 in past 10 H2H with Habs when graded at +1.5
Panthers playing Away with rest last season 23-8 at +1.5
Previous season 25-8 in same role
In ALL Games with rest, Panters were 55-13 at +1.5 last season and 54-16 in previous season
This current month they are only 1-2
MEANWHILE, Habs at Home with rest are 1-1 so far this year at -1.5
Last season just 14-20
Note also that Montreal is currently on a +10 scoring differential in past four games. This is still a roughly researched Angle in my database, but I'm confident that teams playing with double digit PlusScoring differential are not prone to continue winning by 2+
-------------------
ALSO like the COL/LAK game to stay Under 6, but will wait until later tonight and see if I can get better than the current +105
Best to us all for a profitable Monday
HINDSIGHT note on my Calgary selection with score currently in my favor at 2-1 halfway through the game.
I was primarily Fading Caps due to their dismal Away record with 2+Days rest.
This season so far 1-1, but last season 4-9 and season before that just 4-12
Mix in a dash of "West Better Than East" and we have a regular sized wager
I was primarily Fading Caps due to their dismal Away record with 2+Days rest.
This season so far 1-1, but last season 4-9 and season before that just 4-12
Mix in a dash of "West Better Than East" and we have a regular sized wager
Thank goodness for the nice Under win in ATL/TB
As some of you have observed, I received a really nice stake for the coming fall months with my TBRays Future payout at Betjam
So last night I stuck my paw out with five MNF prop bets and a single NHL wager and promptly lost like $30 - leading to paranoid visions of the entire Future win crumbling away in a couple weeks.
heh....Dunno why I'm worried. Put up a big $100 at my other offshore on Aug 29 and it's still got a big $15 in it almost two months later. I'm not winning, but I'm losing Real Slow by keeping my exposure to 1% or less of bank until I can figure out how to do all this better.
As some of you have observed, I received a really nice stake for the coming fall months with my TBRays Future payout at Betjam
So last night I stuck my paw out with five MNF prop bets and a single NHL wager and promptly lost like $30 - leading to paranoid visions of the entire Future win crumbling away in a couple weeks.
heh....Dunno why I'm worried. Put up a big $100 at my other offshore on Aug 29 and it's still got a big $15 in it almost two months later. I'm not winning, but I'm losing Real Slow by keeping my exposure to 1% or less of bank until I can figure out how to do all this better.
WEDNESDAY, Oct 22
STINKINGPANTHER/SENATOR Undah 5.5 (-105) $5
Only putting a smaller Lay out for now as I'm afraid the price may move against me. If I'm mistaken I'll likely add some later
To top 5.5, at least one team must score 4 goals.
Past 10 Overall, Florida and Ottawa have done that three times between them (3-17). In same games, they have allowed 4+ a combined seven times (7-13)
Also really liking FLA +1.5 (-190) but need a second item with which to parlay it so I can keep my exposure low.
Headed to bed and should be able to be back in office by about 5:30pm for further review of Wednesday card
STINKINGPANTHER/SENATOR Undah 5.5 (-105) $5
Only putting a smaller Lay out for now as I'm afraid the price may move against me. If I'm mistaken I'll likely add some later
To top 5.5, at least one team must score 4 goals.
Past 10 Overall, Florida and Ottawa have done that three times between them (3-17). In same games, they have allowed 4+ a combined seven times (7-13)
Also really liking FLA +1.5 (-190) but need a second item with which to parlay it so I can keep my exposure low.
Headed to bed and should be able to be back in office by about 5:30pm for further review of Wednesday card
Otay....packaged the FLA +1.5 (now at -175) with TB Rays for 2ToD thread
Meanwhile, Adding For Wednesday
HAWK -1.5 (+210) vs Oil $7
Edmonton off to the nice 4-0 start, but here we have them in a role (Away After Home) which though they are 1-0 this season, they were just 4-12 last season with eight of those 16 by 2+ goals
MIGHTYSTARS/DEVILTRY Undah 5 (-110) $7
New Jersey playing Home After Away are 10-26-1 vs "5" in past 2+ seasons
Dallas playing After an AwayWin is 7-15 vs "5.5",...not an exact match but one that further works against the Over hitting tonight
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2TeamParlay
SHARK -130 at Fly
WING -140 at Blue
Lay 9
Pays 18.06
Sharks are 12-6 since beginning of last season AfterAllowing 4+ goals. Roll it back another season and they're 29-13
Meanwhile, Philly is an infathomable 3-17 in their past 20 IsolatedHome games.
In St Louis, we get a team that is just 3-10 in their past 13 outings After Scoring 4+ in two straight games.
Detroit otoh is 12-4 in their past 16 After Allowing 4+ in two straight games.
Best to us all for a profitable Wednesday
Meanwhile, Adding For Wednesday
HAWK -1.5 (+210) vs Oil $7
Edmonton off to the nice 4-0 start, but here we have them in a role (Away After Home) which though they are 1-0 this season, they were just 4-12 last season with eight of those 16 by 2+ goals
MIGHTYSTARS/DEVILTRY Undah 5 (-110) $7
New Jersey playing Home After Away are 10-26-1 vs "5" in past 2+ seasons
Dallas playing After an AwayWin is 7-15 vs "5.5",...not an exact match but one that further works against the Over hitting tonight
===========
2TeamParlay
SHARK -130 at Fly
WING -140 at Blue
Lay 9
Pays 18.06
Sharks are 12-6 since beginning of last season AfterAllowing 4+ goals. Roll it back another season and they're 29-13
Meanwhile, Philly is an infathomable 3-17 in their past 20 IsolatedHome games.
In St Louis, we get a team that is just 3-10 in their past 13 outings After Scoring 4+ in two straight games.
Detroit otoh is 12-4 in their past 16 After Allowing 4+ in two straight games.
Best to us all for a profitable Wednesday
Thanks fellas
Oct 22 summary
5-0 (+37.76)
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An "isolated" Home game is a single game that falls between two Away games.
Isolated Away is the inverse.
The musing on my inclusion of those roles in my spreadsheet is that some teams are likely better (or worse) when "dropping" into home city for a single game and then having to pack up and go right back out.
Same with "packing up for one game" and then returning right back home.
Philly Isolated Home is likely the most dramatic Fade role I've spotted so far. (not typing this from home where I can review spreadsheet at the moment)
Oct 22 summary
5-0 (+37.76)
--------------------
An "isolated" Home game is a single game that falls between two Away games.
Isolated Away is the inverse.
The musing on my inclusion of those roles in my spreadsheet is that some teams are likely better (or worse) when "dropping" into home city for a single game and then having to pack up and go right back out.
Same with "packing up for one game" and then returning right back home.
Philly Isolated Home is likely the most dramatic Fade role I've spotted so far. (not typing this from home where I can review spreadsheet at the moment)
