Bar n Grill - Oct 2008 On Frozen Pond

Search

New member
Joined
Sep 29, 2008
Messages
63
Tokens
OK, I'm intrigued. I saw on your contest, (which I think is awesome by the way) that you chose Toronto. My question to you is, "is that a game where you believe Toronto truely does win, or is it kind of a shits and giggles contest pick-em play." I've been looking at this game all night, and would like to hear what you think of the game. Thanks. :smokingbb
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
My actual preference is TOR +1.5 (-170), but I've noticed the past four +1.5 selections I've used all won straight up.

Here's the dope:

New Jersey playing at Home with rest has beaten -1.5 only eight times in their past 41 chances (1-2 this season)

Take it back an additional season and they're just 17-62

Toronto is 10-6 Away with 0DaysRest when graded at +1.5 in past 16 chances

Finally, in H2H, Devils have beaten Buds by more than one goal just once in 12 meetings since the lockout.

Toronto has won six of those 12 straight up.

I'll be putting the +1.5 in some kind of parlay to reduce my exposure.
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
I'll also be using DET ml at Anaheim, but holding back in hopes I can score a bit better price than -125

Otherwise, it's on to Thursday
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
WEDNESDAY, Oct 29

As noted in above comment posts, I have used TOR +1.5 (-160) as one half of my 2Teamer O' Day thread post

Also on

WING -120* at Duck $11

*outlaw


Fellow Puxster SHERWOOD with some cogent breakdown of this one.

Me? I'm riding the same general reasoning I applied when playing Wing -1.5 two nights ago at LA Kings. (scroll back up this thread for those Notes)

Echoing Sherwood's mention of Anaheim returning from a four day roadie.....Last season Ducks were just 4-8 playing Home After Away with at least one day off in between and this year they've already lost one time in that same role.

Further, in those 13 games combined they're 9-4 vs +1.5 so given the strength of tonight's visitor Detroit, we might cut loose later this evening and see if we can figure out a small 2TeamParlay involving DET -1.5 and an NBA selection. Keep an eye on the "2Teamer O Day" thread, which though I've already posted one today, I might just go for another, especially if I get to the late 9pm hour and see the Toronto combo parlay heading to a win.

Best to us all for a profitable Wednesday
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
Oct 29 summary

The TOR +1.5 hits nicely to help carry the 2T o Day to victory.

Meanwhile, Detroit fails to bring it home out west

1-1 (-13.20 in NHL Bank)
------------
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
THURSDAY, Oct 30

Overnight bite

2TeamParlay

THRASHER/RANGER Over 5.5 (+115)
LANCHE -1.5 (+165) vs Jacket

Lay 6
Pays 28.18
-----------------

Notes to follow
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
THURSDAY, Oct 30 continued

BOLT/SWORD Over 5.5 (+105)
SENATOR/STINKING PANTHER Over 5.5 (-105)

Both for $10
 

New member
Joined
Oct 30, 2008
Messages
24
Tokens
i think the over on the nyr/atl game is risky. 7/12 games in the last 3 seasons have gone over, and last year it was split.
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
Late Night Left Coast

2TeamParlay

WING +1.5 (-235) at Shark
NUCK/KING Over 5.5 (-110)

Lay 25
Pays 43.04
==========

Laying out the big juice here which likely inspires a DET straight up win...but I'm hoping to really seal the deal on this one

Detroit has only lost four of their past 56 Away games by more than one goal.

Meanwhile, San Jose has only beaten the -1.5 in 14 of their past 46 Home games. They're 3-19 in this role when the opponent is a team that made the playoffs last season.

Down in LaLaLand we get the Nucks coming in allowing an average of 3.7 goals in Luongo's past 13 road starts, including 4.0 in five this season.

Kings playing Home with 2+DaysRest have seen 15 of past 20 top the 5.5 mark, including two of two so far this month.

Kings playing After past 34 OT games are 25-9 vs 5.5

Kings After past 34 games Allowing 4+ goals are 22-12 vs 5.5

Kings After past 32 Home Losses are 22-10 vs 5.5

=============
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
Wowza....for that late night parlay

Oct 30 summary

1-6 (-31.00)

*includes the COL -173 which was part of my 2Teamer O Day
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
FRIDAY, Oct 31

Using DAL +107 as part of my 2Teamer O' Day play

Also promoting this one:

MIGHTY STARS -1.5 (+315) at Hawk $8

IF TURCO starts

Dallas in past 17 games when Turco starts After a game off is 12-5 SU and 9-8 vs -1.5

Also 12 of those 17 finished Under 5.5...May well add the Under (+105) before tonight's drop.
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
Oct 31 summary

The misfire on DAL ml in 2ToD thread results in

0-1 (minus dollars in 2ToD thread)

----------------
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
OCTOBER summary

35-34 (-9.03)

Beginning NHL Bank 300.00
Current NHL Bank 290.97
-------------------------------
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
46,540
Tokens
urp...
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,120,946
Messages
13,589,120
Members
101,021
Latest member
bradduke112
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com