Sure.. they're all in the public domain.
For UCL i go to uefa.com, for EPL sportinglfie.com.
You have to sift through all the stats yourself though.
I only use this season's data as i don't use a system so i don't go and look at a few seasons back. I just look at this season's matches, and how the teams fare home/away against top/poorer sides. Sometimes i identify the anomaly matches and leave them out if i need to.
For UCL i go to uefa.com, for EPL sportinglfie.com.
You have to sift through all the stats yourself though.
I only use this season's data as i don't use a system so i don't go and look at a few seasons back. I just look at this season's matches, and how the teams fare home/away against top/poorer sides. Sometimes i identify the anomaly matches and leave them out if i need to.
2 statistic plays on the early CL game:
CSKA mustered up 5 SOG in total in their last 2 games, i do not expect this to be any different, especially against an Inter team that is stronger than them.
I see CSKA getting in at most 3-4 SOG. Inter can have up to 7/8 SOG and the total will still stay under.
Generally not too many offsides in these the team's matches, i think there will be around 5 offside calls. Hope there aren't any poor calls that might send this total over.
CSKA mustered up 5 SOG in total in their last 2 games, i do not expect this to be any different, especially against an Inter team that is stronger than them.
I see CSKA getting in at most 3-4 SOG. Inter can have up to 7/8 SOG and the total will still stay under.
Generally not too many offsides in these the team's matches, i think there will be around 5 offside calls. Hope there aren't any poor calls that might send this total over.
Looked through this one more time before i put money on it, and i have some slight doubts about sevilla's defence, though i think they will win. They let in 2 goals against prague but bucharest are a much poorer team.
Roma has a good defence, they kept a clean sheet against dynamo, and even in the loss to Manu they only conceded a goal. Sporting scored their only goals of the campaign against dynamo and they will not double their tally tonight.
I expect Arsenal to keep a clean sheet today, while i do not see dynamo getting 2 goals, even though they are at home.
Rangers not a strong team in winning corners, while in the past 2 matches Barcelona have got 8 corners to their opponent's 4. Barca will have enough offensive power to continue this trend today.
I am pretty confident about the fouls play, wanted to play it at 2 units but just erring at the side of caution. In 2 matches Barca have only conceded 15 fouls in total, and rangers themselves do not concede too many fouls.
I expect the match to be slightly more laidback because i think both teams would see a draw as a good result. Rangers, although at home, will be cautious going in front with Barca's dangerous counterattack in mind. Furthermore they currently have maximum points and this is not some must-win game. Barca are in a similar situation, an away draw will be ok with them even though they will try to win the match. I see this match going under 28 fouls.
I expect the strikeforce led by Rooney and Tevez to push Dynamo tonight. Won't be surprising to see Manu with more corners than Dynamo.
The only reason the fouls line is at 36.5 is because dynamo have conceded 39 fouls in 2 games. Dynamo might concede 20 fouls as they try to stop the big red machine but i don't see manu going above 15 fouls.
here are some other leans and stats that i am watching in today's games. do note that i am not putting any money on these.
Summing up today's plays since some are left behind on the second page:
A good day (in the sense that i didn't lose any money) that could have been better if dynamo did not score 2 goals.
please look 2 posts above for the details of the plays.
#24 win +0.70 units
#25 lose -1 unit
#26 lose -1 unit
#27 win +0.52 units (psv was a push so odds are lowered)
#28 win +0.80 units
#29 win +1.28 units
#30 lose -1 unit
#31 win +0.70 units
5-3 today.. +1 unit
YTD 14-13-2 -1.95 units
10 SOG in the CSKA match, with CSKA actually getting 6.. the match also had 10 offsides which was the only game that the went over the offside total in the matches that i bet/leaned.
the 2nd dynamo goal cost me my combo bet.. rangers match produced 29 fouls, with barcelona getting 10 corners to rangers' 4. The foul counter stayed well under the total at 22 fouls in the manu match, but they only got 4 corners to dynamo's 5.
in case you guys want to know how the leans went:
lol had i bet on them i would have gone 5-2 and another 2.45 units up, the early offside loss made me slightly more cautious.
please look 2 posts above for the details of the plays.
#24 win +0.70 units
#25 lose -1 unit
#26 lose -1 unit
#27 win +0.52 units (psv was a push so odds are lowered)
#28 win +0.80 units
#29 win +1.28 units
#30 lose -1 unit
#31 win +0.70 units
5-3 today.. +1 unit
YTD 14-13-2 -1.95 units
10 SOG in the CSKA match, with CSKA actually getting 6.. the match also had 10 offsides which was the only game that the went over the offside total in the matches that i bet/leaned.
the 2nd dynamo goal cost me my combo bet.. rangers match produced 29 fouls, with barcelona getting 10 corners to rangers' 4. The foul counter stayed well under the total at 22 fouls in the manu match, but they only got 4 corners to dynamo's 5.
in case you guys want to know how the leans went:
lol had i bet on them i would have gone 5-2 and another 2.45 units up, the early offside loss made me slightly more cautious.
1 unit placed on each bet.
Won't do much of a write up as i am rather tired. Went through the statistics and there are some that look to be sitting on the fence that i chose to go with.
I took Shakhtar TG>1, as i think they will be able to score against Milan today. Whether they can get goal number 2 i do not know, but at those odds its worth a try.
My leans on statistics bets:
These are mainly for me to see whether some trends continue as expected, or change due to the nature of the match etc.
Good luck to everyone today!
Zenit game ended 1-1, when i placed the bet i thought it was halftime.. oversight on my part
hno:Odds for a couple of matches have dropped and alot of value has been lost.
Villareal have been doing well in the domestic league and i expect them to do well at home today. Fiorentina themselves are doing well in Italy in 4th position. That is the only reason why i did not take the straight Villareal win.
Tottenham and Getafe are both in or near their respective relegation zones, but they haven't been too horrendous. I don't expect travelling Getafe to pose too much of a problem to Tottenham even though Spurs have a couple of injury problems, and the strikeforce of Keane and Berbatov will prove to be too much. Martin Jol will want to do well in this competition to ease some pressure off his shoulders, and will go all out for the win.
Everton have lost their last 2 matches but i feel that they are still too strong for Larisa. They beat Blackburn over 2 legs but will not get another English scalp.
Hapoel are rather poor travellers in terms of goalscoring and have not scored more than 1 away goal each match in 9 out of 10 matches. Anderlecht can easily put 2 past the Israelis who will struggle to find the net.
Bolton in a mini crisis now and are no longer the team of last season. Bolton matches have seen the under in 7 straight, my only worry is that Braga might cause an upset and push the total over. I think this match will end in a draw.
BOL everyone
For UCL:
#32 fouls Milan - Shakhtar <35.5 @ 1.70
win + 0.70 units
#33 offsides Milan - Shakhtar <6.5 @ 1.65
win +0.65 units
#34 corners Besiktas - Liverpool <10.5 @ 1.70
lose -1 unit
#35 shots on goal Besiktas - Liverpool <10.5 @ 1.70
lose -1 unit
#36 fouls Chelsea (+2.5) - Schalke @ 1.85
win +0.85 units
#37 yellow cards Real M. - Olympiakos <3.5 @ 2.10
lose -1 unit
#38 fouls Real M. - Olympiakos <33.5 @ 1.85
win +0.85 units
#39 possession % Real M. >57.5 @ 1.70
win +0.70 units
#40 Milan - Shakhtar Shakhtar>1 @ 2.90
push
#41 Combo bet
Rosenborg - Valencia
Rosenborg TG<1 @ 1.32
Real M. - Olympiakos
Olympiakos TG<1.5 @ 1.12
Benfica - Celtic
Celtic TG<1.5 @ 1.27
K = 1.88 lose -1 unit
#42 Combo bet
Besiktas - Liverpool
Besiktas TG<1.5 @ 1.20
Rosenborg - Valencia X2 @ 1.08
Chelsea (0) - Schalke @ 1.13
Real M. (-1) - Olympiakos @ 1.35
K = 1.98 lose -1 unit
5-5-1 -1.25 units
YTD 19-18-3 -3.2 units
#32 fouls Milan - Shakhtar <35.5 @ 1.70
win + 0.70 units
#33 offsides Milan - Shakhtar <6.5 @ 1.65
win +0.65 units
#34 corners Besiktas - Liverpool <10.5 @ 1.70
lose -1 unit
#35 shots on goal Besiktas - Liverpool <10.5 @ 1.70
lose -1 unit
#36 fouls Chelsea (+2.5) - Schalke @ 1.85
win +0.85 units
#37 yellow cards Real M. - Olympiakos <3.5 @ 2.10
lose -1 unit
#38 fouls Real M. - Olympiakos <33.5 @ 1.85
win +0.85 units
#39 possession % Real M. >57.5 @ 1.70
win +0.70 units
#40 Milan - Shakhtar Shakhtar>1 @ 2.90
push
#41 Combo bet
Rosenborg - Valencia
Rosenborg TG<1 @ 1.32
Real M. - Olympiakos
Olympiakos TG<1.5 @ 1.12
Benfica - Celtic
Celtic TG<1.5 @ 1.27
K = 1.88 lose -1 unit
#42 Combo bet
Besiktas - Liverpool
Besiktas TG<1.5 @ 1.20
Rosenborg - Valencia X2 @ 1.08
Chelsea (0) - Schalke @ 1.13
Real M. (-1) - Olympiakos @ 1.35
K = 1.98 lose -1 unit
5-5-1 -1.25 units
YTD 19-18-3 -3.2 units
