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Oct 11, 2007
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Rooney turns from hero to zero.. and Robinson doesn't make a clean save for the second goal. Not sure whether the artificial pitch has anything to do with it.

Russia and England each get 2 yellow cards to make a total of 4.

#11 win +0.90 units
#12 lose -1 unit

YTD 5-5-1 -0.96 units

I didnt watch the game but im sure the artificial pitch had alot to do with it...
 

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Great call on the bookings. I think you had the game capped right. Artificial pitch was just a bullshit excuse that the media have been constantly banging on about. Both teams didn't really like the conditions. Russia had a lot of the ball but they were very blunt in attack. Ref gave Russia a penalty that was a foul outside the box, which gave them the momentum. Unlucky loss on that bet mate.
 

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Lol i if the match was replayed 10 times i would probably take the Russia <1 9 times. But these sort of things happen. I was quite surprised there were no bookings in the final 15 minutes so i'll count myself lucky on that.

2-4 day for me i have to rush out of the house, will update everything later. Iceland losing 0-3 was quite irritating for me.. seems that i have been over-estimating Iceland.
 

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Lol i if the match was replayed 10 times i would probably take the Russia <1 9 times. But these sort of things happen. I was quite surprised there were no bookings in the final 15 minutes so i'll count myself lucky on that.

2-4 day for me i have to rush out of the house, will update everything later. Iceland losing 0-3 was quite irritating for me.. seems that i have been over-estimating Iceland.

Yes Iceland losing 0-3 was very irritating for me as well...
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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#10 lose -1 unit
#13 lose -1 unit
#14 win +0.75 units
#15 lose -1 unit

Will be back for this weekend's EPL.. looking forward to betting on the stats. Might come up with some leans on exact scores that will not go into my BR.

YTD 6-8-1 -3.21 units
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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The following are scorecasts for this weekend's EPL games.

I will be putting 1 virtual unit on each scoreline, and each game will have 3-4 scorelines. Each batch of scorecasts for a game will be counted as one play, and the scorelines appear in order of descending confidence.

However these will not go into my bet record, as i myself will not be playing them too. I am just trying out score predictions since i think they have potential. You guys here can follow my leans too, and if you think they are good money you can tail them.

But i will advice you not too until some results have been churned out.

Everton - Liverpool
0 - 1 @ 6.50
1 - 1 @ 6.50
0 - 0 @ 7.50

Wigan - Portsmouth
1 - 1 @ 6.50
0 - 1 @ 6.00
1 - 0 @ 8.00

Blackburn - Reading
1 - 1 @ 7.00
1 - 0 @ 6.50
2 - 1 @ 7.50

Man. City - Birmingham
1 - 0 @ 6.50
1 - 1 @ 7.00
0 - 0 @ 8.50
2 - 0 @ 6.00

Middlesbrough - Chelsea
0 - 1 @ 5.50
1 - 1 @ 7.00
0 - 2 @ 6.00
1 - 2 @ 7.50

Fulham - Derby
2 - 0 @ 6.50
1 - 0 @ 7.00
2 - 1 @ 7.50

Aston Villa - Man. Utd.
0 - 1 @ 6.50
1 - 1 @ 7.00
0 - 2 @ 6.50
1 - 2 @ 7.50

West Ham - Sunderland
1 - 1 @ 7.00
1 - 0 @ 6.50
2 - 1 @ 7.50

Newcastle - Tottenham
1 - 1 @ 7.00
0 - 1 @ 8.00
1 - 2 @ 11.00
1 - 0 @ 7.00

No call on the Arsenal game, there is some chance that it might turn into a goalfest.

I stress once again that this is highly experimental!
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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#16 Combo bet (1 unit)

Man. City - Birmingham Birmingham TG<1.5 @ 1.23

Arsenal - Bolton Bolton TG<1 @ 1.25

Fulham - Derby Derby TG<1 @ 1.47

K = 2.26

#17 corners Everton - Liverpool (-1) @ 1.85

#18 corners Everton - Liverpool <11 @ 1.85

.
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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Everton with 9.2 corners per game on average at home, while away Liverpool have an average of 9. This is a derby match but i feel that the corners will not be affected.

Everton have been having problems with corners in their past few games while Liverpool have always won at least 1 corner more than their opponents in recent matches except against Portsmouth. Though Everton are at home i don't think they will get too many corners.

I estimate that Derby, Bolton, Birmingham have only about a 20% chance of getting 2 goals or more in their respective games. Wanted to throw Villa <1.5 in but they're at home so i shall pass it.

Slight lean on Eve/Liv over 31 fouls because its a derby match but the line is slightly too high for my liking.

Sorry for the late picks i was haivng problems with my internet..
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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Corners everton 5-3 liverpool now.. best result will be a double push.. i'll be hoping for a double push then haha
 

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On hindsight i shouldn't have touched a derby match, Everton won tons of corners.

Some things i was surprised to see:

The game hasn't ended yet but only a couple of minutes to go and there are only 20 fouls and 1 YC. Way below what i would have expected for a Merseyside derby.
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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#17 lose -1 unit
#18 lose -1 unit

YTD 6-10-1 -5.21 units
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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Just an update, no calls on stats for boro/chelsea.
Chelsea usually foul alot due to the physical nature of Drogba in the air, and their midfield isn't really the cleanest in terms of fouling.
However they only have 8 fouls in each of their past 2 games.
Both teams have accumulated an average of 5.1 YC together, but the pattern is pretty irregular and in this kind of matches it could go over or under.

I'm leaning towards fouls >26 and YC>3.5.

Seems that whenever i post my bets they tend not ot do well..
 

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#16 Combo bet (1 unit)

Man. City - Birmingham Birmingham TG<1.5 @ 1.23

Arsenal - Bolton Bolton TG<1 @ 1.25

Fulham - Derby Derby TG<1 @ 1.47

K = 2.26

#18 win +1.26 units

YTD 7-10-1 -3.95 units
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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#19 corners West Ham - Sunderland<11 @ 1.85

#20 fouls West Ham - Sunderland <26 @ 1.70

Sunderland have average about 9.4 corners away from home, generally due to their inability to win corners. Wanted to get West Ham (-1.5) for the corners but they themselves have some problems getting corners.

Sunderland are a rather well behaved team, in their last three matches they conceded just 31 fouls altogether. West Ham fare slightly worse with 12-15 fouls usually, but i don't see this going over 26.

Didn't have a good day yesterday on stats betting, so i'm probably good fade material atm.
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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#19 lose -1 unit
#20 win +0.70 units

YTD 8-11-1 -4.25 units

Reversal of roles today as West Ham only conceded 8 fouls to Sunderland's 17, bringing the total to 25.

Sunderland finally manages to get more than 3-4 corners, which brought the corners total to 13.

Late Bellamy goal screws up the scorecast again.. couple of late goals have cost me this week. Will be looking into fine tuning some stuff..
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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#21 Newcastle - Tottenham
Tottenham>1 Goal @ 1.60

I'll be surprised if Spurs don't score against Newcastle.
Spurs have scored in their last 4 EPL matches, and in their last 3 away. Spurs have also scored in their last 5 matches against Newcastle.
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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No.. in fact i'm taking a look at the Newcastle pk. While i expect Spurs to score the strikeforce of Martins and Owen is a fearful and fast one, and the damage they can do will be amplified by Tottenham's injury woes. Tottenham will be without Gardner, Lennon, King and Rocha.

However, Cerny, Robinson's replacement was Slavia Prague's first choice goalkeeper so he is not to be underestimated.

Not sure what i'll choose but i'll probably take both teams to score too.
 

Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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#22 Newcastle - Tottenham
both teams to score @ 1.60

pro11 just in case you're interested i will not be taking any sides on the newcastle/spurs match..
 

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