At about the midway point, predict the AFC/NFC seedings for the playoffs

[Dr.Love]

The "few people" like you are representative of a lot of people.

Square homers like you, who bet their team every week regardless of the number, influence lines more than any other profile posting in this thread.

 

[Dr.Love]

Your neglect of Patriot special teams creates line value for me.

Well, that's just dumb. Just because I haven't posted about the Patriots special teams, doesn't mean I neglect the value.

New England has excellent special teams. The people setting these lines are much sharper than anyone posting in this thread. They absolutely take special teams into consideration when developing the lines.

 

[Avocado33]

I think Tenny will be a tougher matchup than Buffalo. I think we have a chance to beat Buff in both games. Buffalo does not run the ball well from the RB position. Josh Allen is a wildcard because he does run, and effectively. But his passing game is heavily weighed to downfield. I think the Pats defense that big passing game this year.

I expect the Pats to be in dogfights in both the Buff games, and the Tenny game. Turnovers will be crucial in all three games.

Let's say this, the Pats D is as good or better than those teams and the Pats offense is more balanced than those two teams. The Pats passing game is not sexy. The deep balls are few. But Mr Accuracy, Mac Jones, picks you apart patiently. The run game is well above average. The Pats special teams are superb, FG kicker, punter, punt returner, and punt and kickoff coverage.

Their young offensive players are learning the importance of not giving the ball away. Turnovers cost them early games.

Those games are gonna be must see football. I think the probability of the Pats going 3-1 is better than their odds of going 1-3.

We'll see.

Tend to agree, though not sure about points regarding offense. Though Mac has been solid, no doubt

I'm gonna be boring and say they go 2-2 over that stretch. I think they split with Buffalo and lose to Indy personally

 

[Michelangelo]

Square homers like you, who bet their team every week regardless of the number, influence lines more than any other profile posting in this thread.

Well, that's just dumb. Just because I haven't posted about the Patriots special teams, doesn't mean I neglect the value.

New England has excellent special teams. The people setting these lines are much sharper than anyone posting in this thread. They absolutely take special teams into consideration when developing the lines.

Go away.

Show me where I bet the Patriots every week. I've got a board record to prove every bet I make.

As for calling me square, please go to the monthly contest and bring my November record here.

But you won't because like I said, you're a pompous ass. Anybody else want to bring it here to establish credibility?

PS Where can we find your record of accomplishment? How come you don't participate in the monthly contests, Mr Smart Guy?

 

[exploited17]

The "few people" like you are representative of a lot of people. Get it square.

Your assessment of Mac Jones is completely subjective and creates line value for me.

Your neglect of Patriot special teams creates line value for me.

Mac Jones hasn't really done a lot
But he has done a lot
If that makes sense
This team will not win the SB
But it is very similar to when Brady took over
Defense is pretty good (not quite as good)
Even better running game
Jones is just doing what he needs to do to keep them winning by making plays in those situations
But is is different in the playoffs when facing the best of the best 4 times and you have to make so many clutch plays
But they may remain undervalued the rest of the way betting wise

 

[Dr.Love]

Go away.

Uh.. No. I will not.

This is my thread. If you are getting your feelings hurt, maybe you should consider going away. Getting all worked up with your homerism probably isn't good for you.

 

[Dr.Love]

you're a pompous ass.

I definitely can be.

I have no patience when it comes to homer squares who feel they need to defend their teams under any and all circumstances. Who get offended when anyone says anything critical of their teams. Whether it makes sense to or not. Pet peeve of mine.

I'd apologize for it. But I wouldn't really mean it. So I won't.

 

[Dr.Love]

After embarrassing the Seahawks yesterday in Seattle, the Cardinals are now 6-0 on the road. And even more stunning, they have won every single one of those games by double digits. 4 of the 6 wins were against teams that made the playoffs in 2020. 2 of the 6 wins were without Murray and Hopkins.

Is this team still being undervalued? Hmmmm...

 

[Knightrofins]

Yet I lost a shit ton on the cards last week vs the panthers

 

[Avocado33]

Yeah they are.

I’ve finally come around on them. Defense has proven it’s good enough. McCoy has looked hit or miss but the team all around is legit

 

[Avocado33]

I also would not sleep on the Bengals to make a run at the a top 2-3 seed in the AFC

They play 5 of their next 6 games at home against a lot of middle of the pack teams

 

[Dr.Love]

This Daniel Jones thing needs to end. He's had enough starts now. It's obvious he's not the guy.

Could be a decent career backup. But a team is not going anywhere with him as a QB1.

 

[Avocado33]

This Daniel Jones thing needs to end. He's had enough starts now. It's obvious he's not the guy.

Could be a decent career backup. But a team is not going anywhere with him as a QB1.

Who tf is Daniel Jones?

 

[Willie99]

Go away.

Show me where I bet the Patriots every week. I've got a board record to prove every bet I make.

As for calling me square, please go to the monthly contest and bring my November record here.

But you won't because like I said, you're a pompous ass. Anybody else want to bring it here to establish credibility?

PS Where can we find your record of accomplishment? How come you don't participate in the monthly contests, Mr Smart Guy?

If you did bet the Patriots every week, you'd be 7-4 ATS

That's awesome

And you'd be close to 60% for the last 20 years

And you'd win money every year in that time frame save for last year

And you know why all that winning is possible? Haters who never learn. Gotta love those guys

 

[REDEYE]

If you did bet the Patriots every week, you'd be 7-4 ATS

That's awesome

And you'd be close to 60% for the last 20 years

And you'd win money every year in that time frame save for last year

And you know why all that winning is possible? Haters who never learn. Gotta love those guys

You really think anyone that is semi serious about NFL wagering , bets against the Pat's or doesn't wager on them , is because they hate the team ?

 

[Willie99]

You really think anyone that is semi serious about NFL wagering , bets against the Pat's or doesn't wager on them , is because they hate the team ?

Absolutely, positively, undeniably YES

Now that's not saying every hater does, but some do. "They're not believers yet"

There's enough of them to make betting on the Patriots the best system play in the new millennium.

If you have another plausible explanation, I'm listening

 

[REDEYE]

Absolutely, positively, undeniably YES

Now that's not saying every hater does, but some do. "They're not believers yet"

There's enough of them to make betting on the Patriots the best system play in the new millennium.

If you have another plausible explanation, I'm listening

Not denying that there are numerous haters out there.. We all know that. But to suggest that this ATS run is fueled by hate is kinda out there..

Maybe you can point me to a semi serious gambler that actually states that he or she refuses to wager on or against the Pat's because of hatrid.

 

[Willie99]

I can only cite a 20 year history

Do you have a better theory

 

[Dr.Love]

If you did bet the Patriots every week, you'd be 7-4 ATS

That's awesome

If he would have just admitted he bets his team every week regardless of the # and circumstances, he could have come out looking slightly better considering the stats you provided.

Instead we got a round about denial. Add WAFFLER now to help describe the square homer.

I'm not sure why being called a homer upsets him so much. I thought he was a PROUD Patriots fan??

 

[Avocado33]

I can only cite a 20 year history

Do you have a better theory

Vegas slightly undervaluing them for 15-20 years?