At about the midway point, predict the AFC/NFC seedings for the playoffs

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Moving forward? No, not all of it matters.

But some of it does. Lack of explosive players on the outside to stretch the field matters. A rookie QB with no playoff experience playing on the road at Arrowhead Stadium matters. Those things matter a lot.
nobody afraid of playing against that defense in Arrowhead
This isnt college football, right??
i said a BETTER schedule not Steelers playing against NFL teams while Pats play CFL ones.
 

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nobody afraid of playing against that defense in Arrowhead
So starting a rookie QB on the road against the 2x defending AFC Champs is an ideal situation huh?

If that's what unfolds.. Ok... Good luck Mac.
 

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Fair point. I'll check back in on 12/26 and add 2 wins over New England to the list. ;)
Hahaha very possible Bills win both

I think the Bills are still the better team and should be able to hold them off. I’m just semi surprised at New England’s turnaround. They are gonna be a tough out because of that defense .

Their lack of firepower on offense will probably doom them but at least the division is gonna be competitive. How long has it been since we’ve seen a truly competitive AFC East??
 

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I'll take a stab at this


I think in the AFC it's especially tough for those wild card teams. Patriots seem like a nice bet to take one of the three, but also think the Colts/Browns/Steelers will be right there with Chargers and Bengals. Basically 5 similar teams

In the NFC I think the West is gonna start to beat each other up a little more. Could see Cards and Rams both struggle down the stretch


AFC

1 Ravens
2 Chiefs
3 Bills
4 Titans
5 Patriots
6 Chargers
7 Bengals


NFC

1 Cowboys
2 Packers
3 Bucs
4 Cardinals
5 Rams
6 Saints
7 49ers
 
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Mac has played 5 road games this season

Jets
Houston
Chargers
Panthers
Falcons

Not really hostile crowds

Lets see what he does when he goes to Buffalo
 

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Mac has played 5 road games this season

Jets
Houston
Chargers
Panthers
Falcons

Not really hostile crowds

Lets see what he does when he goes to Buffalo

Don't give up, don't ever give up
 

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Mac has played 5 road games this season

Jets
Houston
Chargers
Panthers
Falcons

Not really hostile crowds

Lets see what he does when he goes to Buffalo
5-0 on the road in the NFL isn’t easy no matter who you play

Didn’t that Buffalo team fail to score a touchdown when it visited that hostile environment in Jacksonville?
 

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5-0 on the road in the NFL isn’t easy no matter who you play

Didn’t that Buffalo team fail to score a touchdown when it visited that hostile environment in Jacksonville?
What says more about the Pats that they are 5-0 on the road or that they are 2-3 vs winning teams?
With that being said....considering it is the Pats and they have a growing rookie QB what is most important is how they are playing towards the end of the season. And so far they look like they are improving or have improved
 

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AFC

1 Ravens
2 Chiefs
3 Bills
4 Titans
5 Patriots
6 Chargers
7 Bengals
It would take a collapse/choke of epic proportions for the Titans to finish as the 4th seed in the AFC. Especially considering how easy their schedule is down the stretch. And also the heads up tie breakers over KC and Buffalo.

I'd put that at about a 2% or less chance of happening.
 

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It would take a collapse/choke of epic proportions for the Titans to finish as the 4th seed in the AFC. Especially considering how easy their schedule is down the stretch. And also the heads up tie breakers over KC and Buffalo.

I'd put that at about a 2% or less chance of happening.
Yep you're right. Originally had them 2 or 3. Probably should've kept them there

I'm just gonna say they figure out a way to lose like 3 in a row at some point, combined with Chiefs and Bills heating up a bit.

I do think Tennessee is gonna regress quite a bit so I wouldn't be shocked if they lose one to the Jags or something like that down the stretch.

But you're right. Very unlikely
 

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No doubt the Patriots look good and are clicking. But lets take a look at who they have beat.

Jets (2-7)
Texans (1-8)
Jets (2-7)
Chargers (5-4)
Panthers (w/Darnold) (5-5)
Browns (5-5)
Falcons (4-6)

That's wins against opponents with a combined record of 24-42. Only one win against a team that currently has a winning record.


Meanwhile their four losses.

Dolphins (3-7)
Saints (5-4)
Buccaneers (6-3)
Cowboys (7-2)

Their 4 losses against teams with a combined record of 21-16.

They are a good team. But let's pump the brakes on this Super Bowl talk. They have beaten the teams they should beat. And there's something to be said for that. But there is a celing with this team. Lack of experience at the QB position and lack of weapons on offense will catch up with them.

One and done in the playoffs. If they make it.

You guys get way too into schedule like it is CFB compared to just looking at how the team has played.

Killing bad teams is more predictive of future success than close wins vs good teams.....The Panthers have a top D, the Browns got blown off the field, Dallas/TB came down to the final moments. NE clearly outplayed Miami.

NE is a top 8-10 team in pretty much every reasonable power ranking metric...DVOA, FPI, PFF

Every other team in the NFL that is considered a SB contender (sans Arizona who is all banged up right now) was considered 1 from before the season, so what else should people talk about? You can only say Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady are good so many times.
 
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Love it.

The more you guys underestimate New England the better lines I get. I'm sure Willie is loving this conversation.
They have a complete team. Offense, Defense, and Special Teams.
They have the best coach in history and a cool headed, smart QB who is one tenth of a point behind Dak Prescott for the second most accurate QB in the NFL.

Late turnovers cost them wins over Miami, Tampa Bay, and even Dallas. New Orleans is really the only team that beat them soundly.

Belly teams get better as the season progresses. This team is right in that mold.

Good luck betting against them. They are a top echelon AFC team. You will find out in the next four weeks (Tenny, Buff, Indy, Buff).

Good luck.
 

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Love it.

The more you guys underestimate New England the better lines I get. I'm sure Willie is loving this conversation.
They have a complete team. Offense, Defense, and Special Teams.
They have the best coach in history and a cool headed, smart QB who is one tenth of a point behind Dak Prescott for the second most accurate QB in the NFL.

Late turnovers cost them wins over Miami, Tampa Bay, and even Dallas. New Orleans is really the only team that beat them soundly.

Belly teams get better as the season progresses. This team is right in that mold.

Good luck betting against them. They are a top echelon AFC team. You will find out in the next four weeks (Tenny, Buff, Indy, Buff).

Good luck.
Out of curiosity, what do you think their record will be after that second game with Buffalo?
 
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Out of curiosity, what do you think their record will be after that second game with Buffalo?
I think Tenny will be a tougher matchup than Buffalo. I think we have a chance to beat Buff in both games. Buffalo does not run the ball well from the RB position. Josh Allen is a wildcard because he does run, and effectively. But his passing game is heavily weighed to downfield. I think the Pats defense that big passing game this year.

I expect the Pats to be in dogfights in both the Buff games, and the Tenny game. Turnovers will be crucial in all three games.

Let's say this, the Pats D is as good or better than those teams and the Pats offense is more balanced than those two teams. The Pats passing game is not sexy. The deep balls are few. But Mr Accuracy, Mac Jones, picks you apart patiently. The run game is well above average. The Pats special teams are superb, FG kicker, punter, punt returner, and punt and kickoff coverage.

Their young offensive players are learning the importance of not giving the ball away. Turnovers cost them early games.

Those games are gonna be must see football. I think the probability of the Pats going 3-1 is better than their odds of going 1-3.

We'll see.
 

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The more you guys underestimate New England the better lines I get.
Hilarious.

You are a square homer who is incapable of looking at things objectively when it comes to your team. Let me help you. Here is what breaking down a team objectively looks like..

* New England has one of the top defenses in the league
* New England has been steadily improving as the season progresses
* New England has arguably the best coach of all-time leading them
* New England is 7-4 and at this point looks like a solid playoff team

And..
* New England lacks explosiveness on the outside offensively to stretch the field
* New England has a rookie QB who has played well and within the system, but is clearly limited at this point in his career
* The Bills are still the favorite to win the division (and the Super Bowl) for good reason

There. That's what objectivity looks like.
 
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Hilarious.

You are a square homer who is incapable of looking at things objectively when it comes to your team. Let me help you. Here is what breaking down a team objectively looks like..

* New England has one of the top defenses in the league
* New England has been steadily improving as the season progresses
* New England has arguably the best coach of all-time leading them
* New England is 7-4 and at this point looks like a solid playoff team

And..
* New England lacks explosiveness on the outside offensively to stretch the field
* New England has a rookie QB who has played well and within the system, but is clearly limited at this point in his career
* The Bills are still the favorite to win the division (and the Super Bowl) for good reason

There. That's what objectivity looks like.
That's what objectivity looks like from a pompous ass.

What did you say that I didn't?

I also talked about special teams which you omitted.

PS Objectivity is saying a QB has the third best accuracy rate in the league. Subjectively is saying that the QB hasn "played well and within the system but is clearly limited at this point in his career."

And you neglected to respond to my whole point of the post which was to say that you guys are helping to create line value for Patriot bettors.
 
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And you neglected to respond to my whole point of the post which was to say that you guys are helping to create line value for Patriot bettors.
That's even more hilarious.

The few people posting in this thread have zero to do with any Patriot "line value" that you perceive. 2-3 random recreational gamblers posting NFL opinions on a message board influence the lines. Yeah. Ok. If that was your "whole point" then it makes you look even more square.
 
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That's even more hilarious.

The few people posting in this thread have zero to do with any Patriot "line value" that you perceive. 2-3 random recreational gamblers posting NFL opinions on a message board influence the lines. Yeah. Ok. If that was your "whole point" then it makes you look even more square.
The "few people" like you are representative of a lot of people. Get it square.

Your assessment of Mac Jones is completely subjective and creates line value for me.

Your neglect of Patriot special teams creates line value for me.
 

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