Apothic Football Thread

[Apothic]

8/30 Soccer O/U Play

Spain Primera: Eibar (Under 2,2-1/2) (.5 units)

*73 % chance this game is under 2-1/2 goals

 

[Apothic]

8/30 MLB PLAY: Arizona (-114) (.5 units)

MLB This Thread: 21-12 = 64.70%

 

[Apothic]

8/30 Results - First day of unit plays


Chile Primera: Colo Colo (-161) (1 unit)(WINNER)(Units won .62)

Russian Premier: CSKA Moscow (-128)(.5 Unit)(WINNER)(Units won .39)

Spain Primera: Eibar (Under 2,2-1/2) (-208)(.5 units)(WINNER)(Units won .24)


Units Play Record:3-0
Units Total: +1.25

Note: This is first day of units play

Thread: 116-88=56.86 %

 

[indiana]

Apothic..........nicely done, missed last two.....took Colo Colo -1 and pushed..........continued success.............indy

 

[Apothic]

Thanks Indy

 

[Apothic]

8/31 Soccer Play

England Conference Premier: Forest Green (-151) (2-Unit Play)

*1st Place vs 19th Place Game
**Forest Green 3-1-1 last 5 at home / Bromley 0-2-1 last 3 away in premier league. 0-3-2 last 5 away games
***Forest Green 8 scored 1 conceded at home / Bromley 3 scored 8 conceded away
****Home field is big advantage in Premier league and Favorites usually win
***** Probability 73% Forest Green Win / 20% Draw / 7% Bromley win

 

[Apothic]

8/31 O/U Play

England Conference Premier: Tranmere vs Kidderminster (Under 2.5) (-113) (.5 unit)

*Probability 85% under 2.5
**Capped at 1-0 game; or 1-1 game

 

[indiana]

Apothic.........thank you for the early info.........BOL Monday..............indy

 

[Apothic]

I am going to try and post the plays the night before...good luck!

 

[Apothic]

8/31 added play

Russia FNL: Volga (-1/-1.5) (-103)(.5 unit play)

*4th place vs 20th place game (20 teams in FNL)
**Kamaz has not scored a goal in last 5 away and conceded 12
***Volga has only scored 5 and conceded 3 last 5 home. Conceded goals to much better teams than Kamaz
****Capped at 2-0
*****Probability % are 65% Volga wins / 20 draw / 15 Kamaz wins

 

[Apothic]

8/31 Results

Forest Green (-151) (2-Unit Play)(WINNER) (Units Won 1.32)

Tranmere vs Kidderminster (Under 2.5) (-113) (.5 unit)(LOSS)(Units Lost .5)

Volga (-1/-1.5) (-103)(.5 unit play)(PUSH / LOSS)(Units Lost 24.27)

8/30/15 (First Day of Unit Plays)

Units Play Record:4-2
Units Total: +2.22

Thread: 118-90=56.73 %

 

[Apothic]

9/1 O/U Play (Probably only play today)

Argentina Primera- Lanus Under 2.5 (-170)(.5 Units)

*80% Lanus Home games are under
**73% of Nueva away games are under
***DO NOT PLAY LANUS -1/2 or -1; THIS HAS A 40% DRAW CHANCE
****Capped at 1-0 game; Could be 1-1 if PK or RED given.

 

[Apothic]

Argentina Primera- Lanus Under 2.5 (-170)(.5 Units)(WINNER)(Units Won .29)

8/30/15 (First Day of Unit Plays)

Units Play Record:5-2
Units Total: +2.51

Thread: 119-90=56.93 %

 

[Apothic]

9/1 O/U Play Venezuela Night Game

Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes (Under 2 , 2-1/2)(-130)(.5 Unit Play)

* 77% chance under 2.5
**Metropolitanos last 6 games Under 2.5 (They have scored 2 goals last 6 games)
***Estudiantes 5 draws and 1 loss last 6 games. They have scored 1 goal in all away games
****Capped at 1-0 win for Estudiantes
*****Draw possibility 48% so 1-1 game very possible


8/30/15 (First Day of Unit Plays)

Units Play Record:5-2
Units Total: +2.51

Thread: 119-90=56.93 %

 

[Apothic]

9/1 Play Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes (Under 2 , 2-1/2)(-130)(.5 Unit Play)(WINNER)(.38 Units Won)


8/30/15 (First Day of Unit Plays)

Units Play Record:6-2
Units Total: +2.89

Thread: 120-90=57.14 %

 

[Apothic]

9/2: No Good Plays Today

 

[Apothic]

9/3 Play: International Euro Qualifier

Croatia vs Azerbaijan: (Over 2;2-/2)(-128)(.5 Unit Play)

* 77% chance this game goes over 2.5
**Odds at over 2.5 are (+104) but 1-1 draw is possible
***I have it capped 2-1 Croatia

 

[indiana]

Apothic............nicely done...........continued success..........my book has no out for some leagues.............indy

 

[Apothic]

I am only posting plays you can make on 5 dimes. If you are not on with them you need to be. They beat my euro books lines every day. Thanks again Indy.

 

[Apothic]

9/3 Results

Croatia vs Azerbaijan: (Over 2;2-/2)(-128)(.5 Unit Play)(LOSS)(.5 Units Lost)

8/30/15 (First Day of Unit Plays)

Units Play Record:6-3
Units Total: +2.39

Thread: 120-91=56.87 %