Anyone watching the GGG/Canelo fight Saturday?

[PatsFan1283]

Yeah, man. You're making it about Cruise vs GB....I'm talking math, Cruise had a worse chance this way than the 10 picks vs 10 picks way. You would maybe have a point if we're getting to sample sizes like 200-300 picks vs 200-300 picks but even then with these two there would be no real edge as they're both gonna regress to the mean because of market efficiency type of bettors. The fact you don't understand this tells me you are -EV in sports betting. It's such a simple concept to grasp.

I think we're done here. You can ask anyone else in the main board that understands this stuff (Try maybe Zit, HC off my head but obviously most fish sports bettors don't really understand this stuf) and they're gonna legitimately tell you that is horrible logic and they will agree with me there is no way you are +EV. That's awful man.

Stay broke, I guess.

 

[Greenbacks]

Lmfao. Anybody with half of a brain would know Justine cruise in a 10 pick contest with Greenbacks would lose.

It is not about common percentages. It is about your own individual ability. Are you really trying to argue now that Justine cruise has an equal chance of Greenbacks in a 10 pick contest???

I laugh so hard at that welching nonsense. Greenbacks offered many chances to this clown Justine. After Justine had made thread after thread calling him out.

I honestly do not care if you don’t like Greenbacks. ANYBODY who sides with Justine cruise on that whole situation needs to be slapped. Justine made thread after thread calling GB out. And then denied many opportunities to actually go head to head. Justine waited until he felt comfortable in a bet and had to make up his own guidelines instead of a simple h2h contest.

Which GB agreed to because it was the only way this clown would accept. He even had the opportunity to be helped in the h2h pick contest LMFAO. Patsfans, chop, Enflameo, Justine cruise vs GB. Y’all still would have ALL lost LMFAOOOOOOOO


You all had the chance to team up in a contest and Justine STILL declined. He had to side with the top 3-4 schools most likely to win it in order to make a prediction. How pathetic. I’m sorry but anybody who co-signs Justine after that should be ashamed that he needed to go that route in order to have a chance.


Hilarious you truly think Justine Cruise vs Greenbacks is an even matchup in handicapping BAHahahahhahahahahhahahahahahha. You really are a dumbass aren’t you

You been smacking the shit out of Patsfan for 5 days now.

He thought you were a push over.

Defamed...LMAO

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

This is why I don’t give a fuck about your stupid ass percentages. I don’t care what they say. Percentages like that don’t factor in peoples capability or incapability. You are acting as if they have the same skill set....when they don’t.

 

[Avocado33]

He might be the next one I expose if he keeps it up

Next one you expose? Haha. You've never exposed anyone. You are the laughing stock of this place, along with that welcher you keep irrationally defending. I'm surprised Patsfan is even taking the time to talk to you.

 

[PatsFan1283]

If Cruise in a 10 pick contest would be 20% to win then let's let these 2 do that type of contest right now in NFL.

If Cruise loses you're banned for a year (no welching) and if GB wins then I gotta be banned for 3 months. Obviously I don't get the same duration as you since you are a massive favorite with GB picking vs Cruise. You said it is 80/20...So ratio wise, you serve 4x longer ban than me.

This won't happen, Mobdeeper yo isn't gonna keep it this real. But this is why arguing with guys like this is stupid, they don't know anything. They have no logic and no money. And anytime you take their comments to their logical extension, you get pure garbage and deflection.


Or how about me vs you? Or me vs GB? Since I'm a fish just like Cruise.

Mobb will comeback with "LOL LMAAOOOO NOW HE WANTS 3 MONTHS VS A YEAR...But youre the one saying he's at a massive disadvantage to win, so risk more.

And I know this won't happen, it'll just be more BS deflection.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Yeah, man. You're making it about Cruise vs GB....I'm talking math, Cruise had a worse chance this way than the 10 picks vs 10 picks way. You would maybe have a point if we're getting to sample sizes like 200-300 picks vs 200-300 picks but even then with these two there would be no real edge as they're both gonna regress to the mean because of market efficiency type of bettors. The fact you don't understand this tells me you are -EV in sports betting. It's such a simple concept to grasp.

I think we're done here. You can ask anyone else in the main board that understands this stuff (Try maybe Zit, HC off my head but obviously most fish sports bettors don't really understand this stuf) and they're gonna legitimately tell you that is horrible logic and they will agree with me there is no way you are +EV. That's awful man.

Stay broke, I guess.

Lmfao you are a moron just admit it.


Can shaq beat Kobe in a free throw contest with just 10 freethrows? Maybe 1 out of 100 times.


You won’t find a better analogy bro. Time for you to start learning. No more of this talking out of your ass shit like it is fact

 

[Greenbacks]

If Cruise in a 10 pick contest would be 20% to win then let's let these 2 do that type of contest right now in NFL.

If Cruise loses you're banned for a year (no welching) and if GB wins then I gotta be banned for 3 months. Obviously I don't get the same duration as you since you are a massive favorite with GB picking vs Cruise. You said it is 80/20...So ratio wise, you serve 4x longer ban than me.

This won't happen, Mobdeeper yo isn't gonna keep it this real. But this is why arguing with guys like this is stupid, they don't know anything. They have no logic and no money. And anytime you take their comments to their logical extension, you get pure garbage and deflection.


Or how about me vs you? Or me vs GB? Since I'm a fish just like Cruise.

Mobb will comeback with "LOL LMAAOOOO NOW HE WANTS 3 MONTHS VS A YEAR...But youre the one saying he's at a massive disadvantage to win, so risk more.

And I know this won't happen, it'll just be more BS deflection.

Shut up asshole.

What are you a contest maker?

You were DEFAMED.

Get over it idiot

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

If Cruise in a 10 pick contest would be 20% to win then let's let these 2 do that type of contest right now in NFL.

If Cruise loses you're banned for a year (no welching) and if GB wins then I gotta be banned for 3 months. Obviously I don't get the same duration as you since you are a massive favorite with GB picking vs Cruise. You said it is 80/20...So ratio wise, you serve 4x longer ban than me.

This won't happen, Mobdeeper yo isn't gonna keep it this real. But this is why arguing with guys like this is stupid, they don't know anything. They have no logic and no money. And anytime you take their comments to their logical extension, you get pure garbage and deflection.


Or how about me vs you? Or me vs GB? Since I'm a fish just like Cruise.

Mobb will comeback with "LOL LMAAOOOO NOW HE WANTS 3 MONTHS VS A YEAR...But youre the one saying he's at a massive disadvantage to win, so risk more.

I will say what I just said. Again. Shaq vs Kobe in a free throw contest shooting 10 freethrows. Shaq may win 1 time out of 100. That is what would happen with your friend that you claim has a 50/50 chance but refused to take it. And also was given the opportunity to have YOU, CHOP, and Enflameo all team up 4 vs 1. And he STILL declined.

Lol he didn’t even have the confidence in himself or ALL of you to help him win. And you want to claim he had a 50:50 shot. Right.


Somethings in sports might say 30% to your calculations but really are more like 100%. You wouldn’t know what I mean by that though.

 

[Greenbacks]

If Cruise in a 10 pick contest would be 20% to win then let's let these 2 do that type of contest right now in NFL.

If Cruise loses you're banned for a year (no welching) and if GB wins then I gotta be banned for 3 months. Obviously I don't get the same duration as you since you are a massive favorite with GB picking vs Cruise. You said it is 80/20...So ratio wise, you serve 4x longer ban than me.

This won't happen, Mobdeeper yo isn't gonna keep it this real. But this is why arguing with guys like this is stupid, they don't know anything. They have no logic and no money. And anytime you take their comments to their logical extension, you get pure garbage and deflection.


Or how about me vs you? Or me vs GB? Since I'm a fish just like Cruise.

Mobb will comeback with "LOL LMAAOOOO NOW HE WANTS 3 MONTHS VS A YEAR...But youre the one saying he's at a massive disadvantage to win, so risk more.

And I know this won't happen, it'll just be more BS deflection.

That shit between me and cruise is over with.

People move on old man.

Keep talking shit.

 

[PatsFan1283]

Lmfao you are a moron just admit it.


Can shaq beat Kobe in a free throw contest with just 10 freethrows? Maybe 1 out of 100 times.


You won’t find a better analogy bro. Time for you to start learning. No more of this talking out of your ass shit like it is fact

Then we should set it up.

Me (terrible handicapper) vs you (has a bag from this and the best capper on the site perhaps)

I lose, 3 months...You lose, a year. And no welching......You are a huge favorite, It's like Shaq vs Kobe in free throws.

Also, that's more terrible math. You have no clue how gambling markets work. It's sad.


Let's do 100 plays instead of 10 though. 200 works too. Take short term variance out of it.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Shut up asshole.

What are you a contest maker?

You were DEFAMED.

Get over it idiot

Bahahahahahha. This guy has never been tested here...the first time he gets called out he tries to turn the forum upside down. Truly despicable. I mean I’m glad he is showing his true colors now. I knew this dude was a fraud

 

[Avocado33]

If Cruise in a 10 pick contest would be 20% to win then let's let these 2 do that type of contest right now in NFL.

If Cruise loses you're banned for a year (no welching) and if GB wins then I gotta be banned for 3 months. Obviously I don't get the same duration as you since you are a massive favorite with GB picking vs Cruise. You said it is 80/20...So ratio wise, you serve 4x longer ban than me.

This won't happen, Mobdeeper yo isn't gonna keep it this real. But this is why arguing with guys like this is stupid, they don't know anything. They have no logic and no money. And anytime you take their comments to their logical extension, you get pure garbage and deflection.


Or how about me vs you? Or me vs GB? Since I'm a fish just like Cruise.

Mobb will comeback with "LOL LMAAOOOO NOW HE WANTS 3 MONTHS VS A YEAR...But youre the one saying he's at a massive disadvantage to win, so risk more.

And I know this won't happen, it'll just be more BS deflection.

I don't know why they try to argue against documented facts. Do these people think that we aren't going to read what transpired in those threads? I don't get why there is a debate going on here.

Greenbacks made a retarded play, lost a fair documented bet to JC, and welched. That is all that happened. There is nothing to debate here.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Then we should set it up.

Me (terrible handicapper) vs you (has a bag from this and the best capper on the site perhaps)

I lose, 3 months...You lose, a year. And no welching......You are a huge favorite, It's like Shaq vs Kobe in free throws.

Also, that's more terrible math. You have no clue how gambling markets work. It's sad.

What?!?! What kind of rules are those?
Lmfao gambling markets he calls them. I think you think it would have been even because you are again giving yourself too much credit.


I would pay to see Patsans, Justine, chop, and Enflameo try to come up with plays vs Greenbacks in a contest. That shit would have actually been entertaining. It’s like the big wwe tag team 4 on 1 match that never happened that all the fight fans want to see.

 

[PatsFan1283]

I don't know why they try to argue against documented facts. Do these people think that we aren't going to read what transpired in those threads? I don't get why there is a debate going on here.

Greenbacks made a retarded play, lost a fair documented bet to JC, and welched. That is all that happened. There is nothing to debate here.

Cruise took 3 teams totaling around 33% in probability to start the tourney.

Mob truly thinks Welch would've had a better chance to win if they both just made 10 picks as opposed to that. Even Welch knew he took the right bet, which he did, Cruise just won anyway. It happens. But Welch selected the right contest. Not like it matters, if he was welching if he lost anyway but he increased his equity to get rid of Cruise by making a 65% bet instead of a 50% bet.

Ok, if you think the edge is that big then let's do a ban bet based on those ratios. I'm down but the forum clown will deflect. We know he will.

 

[Avocado33]

I don't even follow Patfan's plays (if he posts many here), but I can guarantee you that if you ask any person here if they'd rather invest their money in the plays of Patsfan, Mob, or Greenbacks, it'd be Patsfan.

There is such a gap in basic knowledge it's troubling.

Patsfan, it's not worth engaging with these scumbags anymore. Even if you do offer a fair contest or bet to them, they aren't going to take it. And if they do, and predictably lose, they will welch and try to rationalize it.

 

[Avocado33]

Cruise took 3 teams totaling around 33% in probability to start the tourney.

Mob truly thinks GB would've had a better chance to win if they both just made 10 picks as opposed to that.

Ok, if you think the edge is that big then let's do a ban bet based on those ratios. I'm down but the forum clown will deflect. We know he will.

We all know he will. Just not worth it at this point.

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

I don't know why they try to argue against documented facts. Do these people think that we aren't going to read what transpired in those threads? I don't get why there is a debate going on here.

Greenbacks made a retarded play, lost a fair documented bet to JC, and welched. That is all that happened. There is nothing to debate here.

You are a fucking idiot. There’s way more to it. Go sit in a corner. You aren’t ready to converse with us.

 

[stock07]

I don't know why they try to argue against documented facts. Do these people think that we aren't going to read what transpired in those threads? I don't get why there is a debate going on here.

Greenbacks made a retarded play, lost a fair documented bet to JC, and welched. That is all that happened. There is nothing to debate here.

Stir that pot sam.

 

[stock07]

I don't even follow Patfan's plays (if he posts many here), but I can guarantee you that if you ask any person here if they'd rather invest their money in the plays of Patsfan, Mob, or Greenbacks, it'd be Patsfan.

There is such a gap in basic knowledge it's troubling.

Patsfan, it's not worth engaging with these scumbags anymore. Even if you do offer a fair contest or bet to them, they aren't going to take it. And if they do, and predictably lose, they will welch and try to rationalize it.

You keep saying its not worth engaging yet you keep responding. Your actions speak louder than your words sam and your actions make you look like a fucking know it all prick with a wooden stirring spoon shoved up his ass. Thats FACT.

 

[Avocado33]

You are a fucking idiot. There’s way more to it. Go sit in a corner. You aren’t ready to converse with us.

Maybe you're right. People with brains aren't always fit to exchange words with people like you I suppose. I guess I'm not "keeping it real" enough.

Lol alright man. Still waiting to "get exposed" by you.

You are the biggest joke at the Rx.