AC soccer for 2015

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Riding from last week...
Dinamo Kiev to advance +140, 2 units
Zenit to advance +155, 2 units

Record: 140-164, +33.23
 

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FRIDAY
IRELAND
Cork/Dundalk DRAW +214, 2 units
Derry/Bohemian DRAW +212, 2 units
Drogheda/Longford DRAW +233, 2 units

COLOMBIA
Chico -.25 -119/Cortulua, 2 units

Record: 140-166, +29.23
 

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Surprised none of the three Ireland matches drew. Hopefully I catch the Colombia game this evening. Probably no Saturday Colombia tomorrow. Here's Saturday's card.

ENGLAND
Southampton -.5 +109/Tottenham, 4 units
Burnley/Leicester DRAW +233, 2 units
Crystal Palace/Hull U2 +119, 1 unit
Newcastle/Swansea DRAW +29, 2 units

IRELAND
Galway PK -121/Bray, 2 units

ITALY
Inter/Roma DRAW +232, 2 units
 

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SUNDAY
ENGLAND
Manchester United -.5 +112/Everton, 1 unit
Arsenal/Chelsea DRAW +221, 2 units

ITALY
Fiorentina -1.5 +129/Cagliari, 1 unit
Napoli -1 -124/Sampdoria, 3 units
 

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COLOMBIA
Aguilas -.24 -104/Once Caldes, 1 unit
Patriotas +1 -119/Deportivo Cali, 2 units
Millonarios PK -116/Envigado, 1 unit
Tolima -.5 +107/U. Autonoma, 2 units
 

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Just one play today, in the CONCACAF finals. But the English and Italian matches this afternoon should both be entertaining.

TUESDAY
CONCACAF
Montreal/Club America O2.5 -101, 3 units

Record: 147-175, +27.79
 

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Got ahead of myself...the CONCACAF final is today. Bet still stands.

WEDNESDAY
ITALY
Cesena/Atalanta DRAW +212, 2 units
Lazio -1.5 -125/Parma, 1 unit
Palermo/Torino DRAW +225, 2 units
Sampdoria -1 +111/Verona, 1 unit
 

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Let's keep it going.

FRIDAY
IRELAND
St. Patrick's -1 +102/Galway, 1 unit
Shamrock -1.5 -126/Drogheda, 1 unit

COLOMBIA
Envigado/Santa Fe DRAW +218, 2 units

Record: 151-176, +39.53
 

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Lost the vig on Ireland this afternoon, but I feel really good about the Colombian match this evening. Here's Saturday. Not sure about Sunday or Colombia on Saturday. Busy weekend upcoming.

SATURDAY
ENGLAND
Leicester -.5 -104/Newcastle, 2 units
Aston Villa/Everton DRAW +230, 2 units

IRELAND
Longford/Derry City DRAW +217, 2 units
Sligo -1 -125/Limerick, 1 unit

ITALY
Sampdoria/Juventus DRAW +221, 2 units
Sassuolo/Palermo DRAW +233, 2 units
 

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SUNDAY
ENGLAND
Manchester City -.5 +110/Tottenham, 1 unit

ITALY
Roma -1 -103/Genoa, 2 units
Napoli -1 -121/Milan, 1 unit
 

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Got some Colombia for you this morning.

Huila -1.25 -106/U Autonoma, 1 unit
Atletico Nacional +.25 -117/Millonarios, 1 unit
 

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Rolling indeed! Patience, finding value and picking your spots. That is why i have been tailing you. And yes even after that bad run a few years back lol.
Great job AC and congrats. Thanks for posting and for the insight.
 

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Nothing in Champs League. My numbers say Real Madrid PK +107 for a unit, but I just feel Juventus needs a win or at least a scoreless draw and should get that at home. But I'm also a quarter Italian, so my mind is tainted a bit. Therefore, no play. Might have Libertadores quarterfinal plays later today.
 

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Also, cowpokes mentioned that horrible 2013 year I had. Around summer that year, I altered my rating system and changed the way I was betting. So that horrific year was essentially the ground floor of what I'm doing now. I look back at that and see how both the rating updates I made and the way I bet changed for the better.

LIBERTADORES
Tigres/Universitario O3 +117, 1 unit

Record 162-181, +57.30
 

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Went with the Tigres team total over 2.5, lost before it even started. They have not 1 shot on goal in the 1st half. The score was 1-0 in the 1st minute via Libert

Tigres team total has 0% chance to hit. No way they score 3 goals in the 2nd. They will be very lucky to get 1 goal if that.
 

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With Tigres leading 2-1, I thought Universitario wouldn't show with their best team and we'd have a blowout. Not to be. The Bolivians came to play.

I really like Bayern to advance vs. Barcelona. I think the wrong team is favored here, and +130 is a steal. Barcelona hasn't been it's usual top-tier self at points this season, and still has La Liga battles. Meanwhile, Bayern is already the German champions and has been focused solely on Champs League for about the last month. I think Bayern gets the draw here and then wins at home.

The low totals in Libertadores play concerns me, but not enough to lay off. Brazil starts their season this weekend, but state championships are concluding in the next week. It's not like these teams haven't been playing.

And if you haven't seen the own-goal from Torino this morning, it's worth finding.

WEDNESDAY
CHAMPS
Bayern to advance +130, 2 units

LIBERTADORES
Corinthians -.5 +134/Guarani, 1 unit
Atletico Miniero/Inter O2 -128, 2 units
Sao Paulo -.5 +107/Cruziero, 1 unit

Record 162-182, +56.30
 

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I went with Barcelona (UCL) -2½ +605

My luck has been down right awful, so make this another loser
 

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