No play on the Japan/Netherlands match today, but riding Japan +1200 to win the World Cup looks better with Brazil out and the other half of their bracket looking weak. If I get them to the finals and the United States does not make it, I will hedge.
Chile has a nice draw to the Copa America finals, while Colombia will have to go through both Brazil and Argentina just to get to the finals.
Record: 207-226, +75.21
Chile has a nice draw to the Copa America finals, while Colombia will have to go through both Brazil and Argentina just to get to the finals.
Record: 207-226, +75.21
FRIDAY
IRELAND
St. Patrick's -1.5 -103/Longford, 3 units
No plays in Copa America or Women's World Cup, though I am riding "to win" futures on Colombia and the United States. Should be a good day of soccer with Germany/France at 1 p.m. and Colombia/Argentina and USA/China in the evening.
Record: 208-226, +76.37
IRELAND
St. Patrick's -1.5 -103/Longford, 3 units
No plays in Copa America or Women's World Cup, though I am riding "to win" futures on Colombia and the United States. Should be a good day of soccer with Germany/France at 1 p.m. and Colombia/Argentina and USA/China in the evening.
Record: 208-226, +76.37
Saturday and the early Sunday Brazil match. No Copa or World Cup plays. Lines are really tight, and probably will be for the rest of both tournaments.
SATURDAY
BRAZIL
Gremio PK -128/Avai, 3 units
Corinthians -1 -104/Figueirense, 4 units
SUNDAY (early)
BRAZIL
Atletico MG -1.5 -127/Joinville, 3 units
Record: 209-226, +79.37
SATURDAY
BRAZIL
Gremio PK -128/Avai, 3 units
Corinthians -1 -104/Figueirense, 4 units
SUNDAY (early)
BRAZIL
Atletico MG -1.5 -127/Joinville, 3 units
Record: 209-226, +79.37
FYI: Champions and Europa League qualifying starts this week. There's a handful of matches Tuesday, one Wednesday and then 48 Thursday. I love the first couple rounds of these tournaments, as the very small clubs are involved and I think the data I have is better than the books. Plus we have the Women's World Cup and Copa America finals, and the start of the Gold Cup. Be prepared...it will be a crazy ride these next few weeks.
Record: 211-230, +74.25
Record: 211-230, +74.25
TUESDAY
CHAMPS LEAGUE
Pyunik -2.5 -137/Folgore, 2 units
Crusaders/Levadia U2.75 -114, 1 unit
EUROPA LEAGUE
Zeljeznicar -1.25 -106/Balzan, 1 unit
Shamrock -.5 -149/Niedercom, 1 unit
I'm more willing to take high goal lines and high vig in early Champs/Europa League. It just seems when the line looks right, it's right and you may as well eat the price. In international matches, my highest bet is three units, instead of five as in national league matches.
CHAMPS LEAGUE
Pyunik -2.5 -137/Folgore, 2 units
Crusaders/Levadia U2.75 -114, 1 unit
EUROPA LEAGUE
Zeljeznicar -1.25 -106/Balzan, 1 unit
Shamrock -.5 -149/Niedercom, 1 unit
I'm more willing to take high goal lines and high vig in early Champs/Europa League. It just seems when the line looks right, it's right and you may as well eat the price. In international matches, my highest bet is three units, instead of five as in national league matches.
No play on the Champs League match. The England play is only because I have the +1200 future on Japan. I'm feeling really good about having futures on both Women's World Cup finalists and getting a decent payday.
WEDNESDAY
WORLD CUP
England to advance +168/Japan, 1 unit
BRAZIL
Vasco da Gama -.5 -115/Avai, 3 units
Atletico Mineiro -1.5 +101/Coritiba, 2 units
Chapecoense +1 -122/Palmeiras, 2 units
Flamengo PK -143/Joinville, 1 unit
Record: 213.5-232, +73.13
WEDNESDAY
WORLD CUP
England to advance +168/Japan, 1 unit
BRAZIL
Vasco da Gama -.5 -115/Avai, 3 units
Atletico Mineiro -1.5 +101/Coritiba, 2 units
Chapecoense +1 -122/Palmeiras, 2 units
Flamengo PK -143/Joinville, 1 unit
Record: 213.5-232, +73.13
Looks like we have a bit of profit from Wednesday, and a sure profit coming this weekend. Here's some matches from the Europa matches up to 9 a.m. Still might have some 9 a.m. matches in the morning if odds look better. I'll post more Europa plays in the morning, no later than an hour before match time. Matches start at 5 a.m. Pacific, so get them now.
EUROPA
Alashkert +1.25 -127/St. Johnstone, 1 unit
Kruoja +1.75 -114/Jagiellonia, 1 unit,
Kalju +1.25 +120/Aktobe, 2 units
Atlantas/Beroe U2.5 -104, 2 units
Gabala +.25 -114/Dinamo Tbilisi, 2 units
Omonia -.75 +121/Dinamo Batumi, 3 units
EUROPA
Alashkert +1.25 -127/St. Johnstone, 1 unit
Kruoja +1.75 -114/Jagiellonia, 1 unit,
Kalju +1.25 +120/Aktobe, 2 units
Atlantas/Beroe U2.5 -104, 2 units
Gabala +.25 -114/Dinamo Tbilisi, 2 units
Omonia -.75 +121/Dinamo Batumi, 3 units
SATURDAY
BRAZIL
Chapecoense -.5 +102/Vasco da Gama, 2 units
(Sunday early) Avia -.5 +141/Sport Recife, 3 units
IRELAND
Limerick -.5 +125/Bray, 1 unit
COPA AMERICA
Argentina to win -170, 2 units (covering my Chile to win +400 2 units)
WOMEN'S WORLD CUP
Germany -1 -103/England, 3 units
GOLD CUP (starts Tuesday)
Costa Rica to win Group B -120, 3 units (Group B includes Canada, Jamaica and El Salvador)
Record: 228.5-243, +83.74
BRAZIL
Chapecoense -.5 +102/Vasco da Gama, 2 units
(Sunday early) Avia -.5 +141/Sport Recife, 3 units
IRELAND
Limerick -.5 +125/Bray, 1 unit
COPA AMERICA
Argentina to win -170, 2 units (covering my Chile to win +400 2 units)
WOMEN'S WORLD CUP
Germany -1 -103/England, 3 units
GOLD CUP (starts Tuesday)
Costa Rica to win Group B -120, 3 units (Group B includes Canada, Jamaica and El Salvador)
Record: 228.5-243, +83.74
