AC soccer for 2015

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Mar 12, 2006
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WEDNESDAY
CHAMPS
Fola Esch/Dinamo Zagreb U2.5 +117, 1 unit
Dundalk/BATE DRAW +227, 1 unit
Rudar +.5 -119/Qarabag, 2 units

GOLD CUP
(Parlay) USA -.5 -211/Jamaica AND Mexico -.5 -143/Panama, 2 units (+150)

Record: 264-289, +72.09
 

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Mar 12, 2006
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4,489
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THURSDAY
EUROPA (pre-9 a.m. matches)
AIK -.5 -128/Shirak, 3 units
Alashkert +.75 +107/K. Almaty, 2 units
Skonto Riga +1.25 -115/Debrecen, 1 unit

Scary that I really like three of the four openers. But I can't hide from it.

Record: 265-292, +68.98
 

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Mar 12, 2006
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EUROPA (pre-10 a.m. matches)
Gabala/Cukaricki DRAW +208, 1 unit
Inter Baku/Hafnarfjordur U2.5 -113, 1 unit
Kalju +1 -117/Vaduz, 1 unit
Jagiellonia +.5 -118/Omonia, 1 unit
Zeljeznicar/Ferencvaros DRAW +215, 1 unit
 

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EUROPA (through 10 a.m. matches)
Beitar Jerusalem/Charleroi DRAW +234, 1 unit
Differdange/Trabzonspor U2.75 -102, 3 units
Koper +1.25 -128/Hadjuk Split, 2 units
Lokomotiv Zagreb +1.5 -109/PAOK, 1 unit
Stromsgodset/Mlada DRAW +257, 1 unit
UC Dublin +1.75 -119/Slovan Bratislava, 1 unit
 

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REST OF EUROPA
Thun/Hapoel Beer Sheeva O2.5 -114, 1 unit
Mladost PK +103/Kukesi, 2 units
 

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Mar 12, 2006
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Yesterday hurt. I've been dropping units the past two weeks, but that was a killer. Hopefully that's rock-bottom. Coming off the incredible spring run I had, I kind of expected it to happen eventually. Let's see if we can stay steady for a while and slowly build again.

FRIDAY
IRELAND
Galway -.5 -127/Bray, 2 units
St. Patrick's -1 -105/Sligo, 1 unit

Record: 268-304.5, +58.12
 

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Mar 12, 2006
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SUNDAY
BRAZIL
Chapecoence -.5 +115/Fluminense, 1 unit
Santos -1 -126/Joinville, 1 unit
Coritiba/Corinthians DRAW +217, 2 units
Flamengo PK -108/Goias, 2 units
 

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Thanks, cowpokes. Sunday was a nice comeback day.

TUESDAY
CHAMPS
Sparta Prague +1 -124/CSKA Moscow, 1 unit
Milsami -.5 +136/Skenderbeu, 2 units
Maccabi Tel Aviv PK +108/Plzen, 1 unit
Fenerbahce/Shakhtar DRAW +242, 1 unit
Panathinaikos/Club Brugge DRAW +234, 1 unit
Videoton/BATE DRAW +222, 1 unit
 

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WEDNESDAY
CHAMPS
Astana PK +111/HJK, 2 units
Lech PK +112/Basel, 1 unit
Rapid Vienna/Ajax DRAW +237, 1 unit

Record: 277-309.5, +67.29
 

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Got a little lucky with Rapid scoring a late goal a man down to get the draw. But I'll take it. Nothing in the two early Europa matches tomorrow. I'll start posting plays no later than 9 a.m.
 

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Mar 12, 2006
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THURSDAY
EUROPA (pre-11 a.m. starts)
AIK/Atromis O2.25 +106, 3 units
AIK -.25 +102/Atromis, 2 units
Liberec -1 -102/Shmona, 1 unit
Sturm Graz PK +107/Kazan, 3 units
Basaksehir +.25 -122/Alkmaar, 1 unit
Thun/Vaduz O2.5 -103, 1 unit
Dinamo Minsk +.75 -101/Zurich, 1 unit

Record: 278-310.5, +68.66
 

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REST OF EUROPA
Brondby/Omonia U2 +107, 1 unit
Rabotnicki +.5 +110/Trabzonspor, 3 units
Bordeaux -1.5 +100/AEK, 1 unit
Athletic Bilbao -2 -129/Inter Baku, 1 unit
Stromsgodset +.5 -119/Hadjuk Split, 1 unit
Wolfsberger +2 -104/Dortmund, 1 unit
Vitesse +1.5 -117/Southampton, 2 units
 

New member
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Sep 21, 2004
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I hope it is ok to reply off topic.

Does anyone have suggestions for an online book that accepts Americans and would also have a substantial number of Futures offerings for EPL? Most of the normal books have just a single wager for 15/16 champ. I'm looking for bets on leading goalscorer, POY, predicted order of finish, etc.

If not possible which book would be most amenable to taking a call and creating a few lines?

Lastly, I am heading to Vegas this weekend and was wondering which book is recommended for the same action. Does anyone know of one with a good reputation for a large quantity of soccer offerings?

Thanks.
 

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Handicapper
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Nov 15, 2013
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I know Excalibur offers EPL and Champions League and they have some of the games live each week. MGM should have them. I know there is PUB called the queen Victoria in the Riviera that shows every game so the Riviera should offer the bets. Lagasse's Stadium at the Palazzo is pretty amazing too. http://www.covers.com/WhereToPlay/Vegas don't if this will help. also heard the Wynn has soccer, hell they probably all do. Good Luck!

Sorry AC, didn't mean to pipe in on your thread
 

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Apothic clearly knows Vegas better than I do. I usually hit Reno and found the William Hill books have the widest variety of soccer bets. Although, my word of warning on futures is they are usually wastes of money. Yes, you can win but you can win more during the season playing individual matches on the team you think can win the overall title. And you're not waiting (in this case) nine months for a payout. The only futures I bet are tournaments, where the turnaround time is only a month or so.

FRIDAY
IRELAND
Derry City -.5 +102/Longford, 2 units
Shamrock -1 -131/Drogheda, 2 units
Cork -1 -108/Bohemians, 1 unit

Record: 284-316.5, +68.43
 

New member
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Sep 21, 2004
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Apothic clearly knows Vegas better than I do. I usually hit Reno and found the William Hill books have the widest variety of soccer bets. Although, my word of warning on futures is they are usually wastes of money. Yes, you can win but you can win more during the season playing individual matches on the team you think can win the overall title. And you're not waiting (in this case) nine months for a payout. The only futures I bet are tournaments, where the turnaround time is only a month or so.

FRIDAY
IRELAND
Derry City -.5 +102/Longford, 2 units
Shamrock -1 -131/Drogheda, 2 units
Cork -1 -108/Bohemians, 1 unit

Record: 284-316.5, +68.43

Guys, thanks for the advice!

I agree that it is bad business to tie money up for a full season. But I really think there is great value in a handful of futures every year in most sports. I got Peterson for Leading Rusher at 85-1 during preseason of his rookie year. That number being greater than 20 was a shock to me and it is probably he biggest futures value I have ever seen. I was a pussy and only bet $50. You run that season back 100 times and he wins the rushing title at least 30 of them........ and that number is so low exclusively because of the probability of injury.

These are some of the good (but not great) values that I see in England:

Leading Scorer
Benteke 20-1 (should be about 12 at most)
Giroud 25-1 (should be about 16 at most)
Mitrovic 100-1 (should be about 35 at most)

This market is way out-of-whack because the two favorites, Costa and Aguero, almost always miss a bunch of games through injury. I'm really hoping that there is a place in Vegas that will take a bet on Mitrovic. He has the right combination of talent, temperament and opportunity to be a leading scorer.

The odds seem about right at 25-1 for Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain to win Young POY. But I have such a strong feeling about this one that I am going for it.

I am so confident that Chelsea and Arsenal will be 10 points better than the rest of the league, that I am investigating whether there are a few value bets out there that can provide a big return that would reflect this reality.

BTW, I have watched just about every Arsenal game (preseason, cups, league, youth) for well over 10 years. This is the first time I am betting on them since 2005. My recommendation would be to bet on them early and often. There is something so different this year about the team, the club, the environment and the fans and it will lead to an extraordinarily successful season. The quality in the depth at most positions is top top notch. One word of caution, though, would be that betting on Arsenal should NOT occur if/when Arteta is starting. His lack of pace (Mertesacker is both quicker and faster, if you can believe it) causes a chain reaction throughout the field that hurts both the offense and the defense. Therefore, the only injury that would alter my betting much would be to Coquelin (and possibly Koscielny).

Lastly, I would warn everyone against betting on ManU. They achieved well over 10 more points than their play deserved last year. This was not a case of "you make your own luck". These were more cases of "what the hell just happened......I can't believe that they got points". Also, De Gea put one of the all-time goalkeeping seasons together. Its just preseason, but he now appears totally destabilized. His body seems to be on the pitch, but his mind is in Madrid. Even if he stays, I just can't see him being close to where he was last season. That combined with all of the player and management turnover the last three years means that IMHO the "over" should be a good bet for almost all ManU games early in the season.

APothic,

What do you think of the Westgate for Soccer bets? Also, do you guys know a site that posts current odds from the Vegas books?
 

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