2010 mlb capping & betting #102 - daily key info plus q&a

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pops how the scenery at the wynn pool these days?
I'll be there for a few days in August for the next rx bash
 

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Man JJ don't know why you have such a hard time with this.

They were both unders plays if your one bucket contained an M3. One went over one under so you lost the juice

Thanks. Because pops keeps saying M=Mo and I take that to mean MORE runs are expected to be scored than the posted total. Hence, I'm having trouble with the concept of betting UNDER on a game when MORE runs are expected to be scored. Obviously, everyone else has this down pat OR they are equally confused and not speaking out. I have no trouble with being embarrassed as long as I get it right in the end.

Now, can anyone help me out on my post 1380?

Here's what I see:

NL: Play: HF3
Fade: HF1 and HD2
AL: Play: HF2
Fade: HD1 and HD2
All: Play: HF5, HD4, VF1, VF2, VD1, and VD7.




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Was referring to our results for instance in the P & Ms for totals. Can't put a lot of faith in whether an outcome is 4-1 or 1-4. And it's hard to accumulate enough data to be relevant when you don't carry data over from year to year.

However, this reinforces your advice to not focus on any one set of data, but look at the total picture.

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wow, you have see the light
 

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Thanks. Because pops keeps saying M=Mo and I take that to mean MORE runs are expected to be scored than the posted total. Hence, I'm having trouble with the concept of betting UNDER on a game when MORE runs are expected to be scored. Obviously, everyone else has this down pat OR they are equally confused and not speaking out. I have no trouble with being embarrassed as long as I get it right in the end.

Now, can anyone help me out on my post 1380?

Here's what I see:

NL: Play: HF3
Fade: HF1 and HD2
AL: Play: HF2
Fade: HD1 and HD2
All: Play: HF5, HD4, VF1, VF2, VD1, and VD7.

i dont know how much simpler i can make the pdws and the home and away era's vs the opening lines

M means that the total game era for the home and visiting teams is that there era's are higher than what the opening line o/u number is. P means that they give up less earned runs than that number

the number after the p or m is just a range of what that number diff is vs the opening number. that's only there so you have buckets to look at for those type of games to see how they have been doing

it's noting more than that
 

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pops how the scenery at the wynn pool these days?
I'll be there for a few days in August for the next rx bash

it's a very nice hotel. small sports book but nice chairs to relax etc and some decent eating places etc. always a ton of honey's looking for sugar

my body is not pool material but my pockets are
 

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i just noticed that i have yesterdays date on the pdws for today, but it's the correct data

but that's assuming no pitching changes as well and with IL could come many
 

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i dont know how much simpler i can make the pdws and the home and away era's vs the opening lines

M means that the total game era for the home and visiting teams is that there era's are higher than what the opening line o/u number is. P means that they give up less earned runs than that number

the number after the p or m is just a range of what that number diff is vs the opening number. that's only there so you have buckets to look at for those type of games to see how they have been doing

it's noting more than that

Okay, one last try and I'll drop it. You say,

M means that the total game era for the home and visiting teams is that there era's are higher than what the opening line o/u number is.

Now why would I want to bet under when the total game era for both teams is higher than the opening line o/u number? Don't higher era's translate to more runs scored?

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Okay, one last try and I'll drop it. You say,

M means that the total game era for the home and visiting teams is that there era's are higher than what the opening line o/u number is.

Now why would I want to bet under when the total game era for both teams is higher than the opening line o/u number? Don't higher era's translate to more runs scored?

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that is correct. in general M indicate over situations and P indicate under situations. the cat numbers in the pivots only indicate how those have done o/u wise
 

CTP

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JJ they may mean over but right now they are going under like M3. Why I have no clue. I do know that if pitchers have a constant era of 40 and the total consistantly stays under I am not betting the over. I would sooner not bet when it wins to have bet only to find I lost. Maybe those few games the bull pen did there job and it it stays under the number. Can't answer why only see the results of what happened. Most likely the numbers will correct themselves who knows.
 

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JJ they may mean over but right now they are going under like M3. Why I have no clue. I do know that if pitchers have a constant era of 40 and the total consistantly stays under I am not betting the over. I would sooner not bet when it wins to have bet only to find I lost. Maybe those few games the bull pen did there job and it it stays under the number. Can't answer why only see the results of what happened. Most likely the numbers will correct themselves who knows.

simple. if you recall what i said a while back "what goes up must come done and what is down will come up"

so with the limited home and away starts if pitchers have a blow out good or bad game the numbers are either very high or very low. those are not where they are going to be so corrections come from them pitching more like normal or a good game or two to offset.

but like pappy always said ride the mother fucker until it dies
 

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got to get out of here and finish up a few things. hopefully i'll get done and settled and back online later

but like the old saying goes "shit happens"

later and glta
 

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that is correct. in general M indicate over situations and P indicate under situations. the cat numbers in the pivots only indicate how those have done o/u wise


Okay refresher question from old timer again, this is refering to the master date first tab right. Meaning M and P columns? In starting pitcher O/U
 

CTP

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On today's master under 30 summary. The first 2 sets of pivot tables deals with the over under cat of M1 to P6. For M3 the two combined shows a total of 8 over 0 under. Is that a combination of all those blanks checked in A1 to A27? If not could you go through part or all of it to obtain those results. From all of what I have looked at M3 shows more unders than overs except for what you have in the pivot tables.
 

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Pops, I gotta say it seems that you have the best life in the world. Wynne cabanas, always a winner on baseball wagering. Man, I really wish I could learn how you do it.
 

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saturday may 22nd

today's pdws and updated mlb master and sharing data below
all the pieces came together yesterday

waldo did a nice job in the hos under (almost 60% were on the over and number when down. u tell me that their not paying attention) and both the mets and wash went under as well, plus everyone got a couple of waldo early yesterday for today

what more can you ask for

no dog or zen plays today

hungry, heading down stairs for some bf. not sure of my plans for today but i know it will be a bunch of r&r

i'll check for any old or new business when i get back





 
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Where are the pig pen ERAs for today (col AV and AW)?

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Where are the pig pen ERAs for today (col AV and AW)?

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those are from today's games and come directly from the box scores at mlb.com. my macro pull the starting pitchers game earned runs for each team and that the pig pens earned runs for all the relief pitchers for that game and than put's the numbers in col av and aw. if you want to know the specifc team pig earned runs you need to look in the master
 

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