the 'less guns=less violent crime' issue is kinda akin to the 'less calories in vs calories out= weight loss' . Both are intuitive-- they gotta be right, no?
.95% of 'calorie counters ' fail- they don't lose weight , keep it off. So much for that, eh. Here, America eat less and exercise and you'll lose weight-- obesity rates have risen, ugh. A simple mathematical model to work on a complex biological system? really?
Less guns do not mean less violent crime/ less murder rates -- evidence is not there.
here's a good read, sources r cited
http://people.howstuffworks.com/strict-gun-laws-less-crime.htm
. Copying and pasting a few notes:
The former Soviet Union's extremely stringent gun controls, successfully implemented and enforced by a police state, did not keep the nation, and successor states like Russia, from posting murder rates from 1965-1999 that far outstripped the rest of the developed world [sources:
Kates and Mauser;
Kessler;
Pridemore;
Pridemore]. The killers in question did not obtain illegal firearms -- they simply employed other weapons [source:
Kleck].
In the 1960s and early 1970s, murders committed by Soviet citizens -- again, almost entirely without guns -- equaled or surpassed the lives taken violently in the gun-saturated United States. By the early 1990s, the murder rate in Russia trebled the American rate, which had by then leveled off, then dropped significantly (more on that later) [sources:
Kates and Mauser;
Pridemore;
Pridemore].
On the other hand, Norway, Finland, Germany, France and Denmark, all countries with heavy gun ownership, posted low murder rates in the early 2000s compared to "gun-light" developed nations. In 2002, for example, Germany's murder rate was one-ninth that of Luxembourg, where the law prohibits civilian ownership of handguns and gun ownership is rare [source:
Kates and Mauser].
The point is, the "more guns = more violence" argument and the "gun ownership = decreased crime" argument both sidestep the complicating socioeconomic, cultural and psychological factors affecting violent crime. Economic disparities within countries, along with periods of economic downturn, drive up crime and homicides, and violent crimes occurs four times more often in countries with wide income gaps. While economic prosperity tends to decrease violent crime, crime itself can depress community development, perpetuating a cycle of poverty and violence [source:
UNODC].
The only clear message in this complex issue is that violent crime overall does not increase with the availability of guns, but gun-related violence does [sources:
Kates and Mauser;
Liptak;
Luo]. In 1996, for example, you were far more likely to be shot to death in America than in any of 35 other wealthy nations, but you were also less likely to be the victim of murder, or of violent crime in general [sources:
Killias, van Kesteren and Rindlisbacher].