a year-round gambler never cashes in his chips. he wakes up the next day and goes back to battle expecting to make a profit. if you really have a +EV edge, it's never smart to cash out because you're losing money if you do. winning cappers think long term.
the system is either a long term winner or loser. two months won't give you that answer so you're just guessing about the future if you "cash in" now and guessing is not a great strategy in this biz. it's only smart to cash in if you got lucky in a losing system and if that's the case, you have nothing anyway. if you "give it all back" because the system stops producing winners then the problem is not that you didn't cash out, there's a flaw in the system.
by cashing out now you're basically saying you have no confidence in a profit from this point forward. either build a winning system that profits throughout the year or you're gambling with timing of when to cash out. being a quitter is something i just don't understand because it doesn't accomplish anything.
Thanks mj
thanks for the run MJ, there are many out here in cyberland who do not post, but do follow and take in your advice. It is not easy running a system, let alone taking the time to post. This is the time of the year when most start turning their thoughts and energy to footz. For those who seem to want to criticize the decision, ^^
get off your duff and develope your own way of determining how to invest (gamble) your money. I have found MJ to be one of those cappers whom I look for when deciding which way to go, especially with my limited time right now. Again, thanks MJ...it is not easy to put yourself out there for all to see. Looking forward to footz with you, especially since it looks like my time to evaluate and decifer will be even more limited this footz season. BOL!!! :toast:
thanks for the run MJ, there are many out here in cyberland who do not post, but do follow and take in your advice. It is not easy running a system, let alone taking the time to post. This is the time of the year when most start turning their thoughts and energy to footz. For those who seem to want to criticize the decision, ^^
get off your duff and develope your own way of determining how to invest (gamble) your money. I have found MJ to be one of those cappers whom I look for when deciding which way to go, especially with my limited time right now. Again, thanks MJ...it is not easy to put yourself out there for all to see. Looking forward to footz with you, especially since it looks like my time to evaluate and decifer will be even more limited this footz season. BOL!!! :toast:
Thanks for your comments the Bettor One...discussion is good here.
We can disagree however...and I disagree strongly with your post.
Nobody said we are "year round gamblers" here...or need to be. I don't understand locking oneself into such a rigid position.
The bottom line...is I want to do what works for me...most efficiently.I'm completely fine with jumping from the MLB to the NFL to NBA and maybe a little NCAA with breaks in between. I'm not a better or worse gambler because I take breaks. I don't understand the reasoning.
As for a flaw in my systems...Yes! I think there is a flaw in my systems...they only work during what I call the "sweet spot" of the season.
But that is only a "flaw" if I don't recognize it and try to make the system do something it can't, outside of that "sweet spot".
I've been doing this a while now...and I apply some of the same theories to everything I do. What I have noticed ...with the way I do it...is that my systems tend to work only during that "sweet spot". It's different for each sport...but I strongly believe it is true.
Nobody is a quitter here...we try to take the best of what each season will give us...and then move on to the next "sweet spot". Thats just smart in my way of thinking.
I have no desire to try to force it...or spend all my time trying to possibly get a marginal return out of something that has a history of stopping for me.
My method seems to do that...so I watch for it...stop...and wait for the next season.
I hope this explains my reasoning.
fair enough mister obama/bush. i live in vegas and haven't worked a job in 12 years so i guess im of a different ilk. i have to utilize full seasons. fair enough. i don't think you fully understood my point though. how do you know of any sweet spot with this yet when it's brand new. you started in june and it's only august. there's still 600 games left. or are you just going by the other system that you got this idea from because they stop around now too?
if you just have football on the brain, that's all you had to say. do you also stop football in november to jump to hoops? whatever works for you. either way~~ best wishes.
if you just have football on the brain, that's all you had to say. do you also stop football in november to jump to hoops? whatever works for you. either way~~ best wishes.
This is none of my business but what is your problem? you have no one else better than him to follow or you want to get attention or both? He can stop or play whenever he wanted cause his system(s). The reason he stopped is the system is not working good recently and he did not want followers to lose money.
Are you gambling for living? Proof it to the forum (post your plays) to see how good you are before judging Other.
MJ, the system is not bad. Do you want to test it until the end of the season to see what happen?
Have ever you think about the chase system for the RL system? I mean you will bet more if the series is lost. I don't know if you have lost any 2-3 series in a row?
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I think the RL system did well...but I just think it is time to stop this year. I like to have a little time off between seasons and the system appeared to have hit a wall. Look around the baseball forum...many of the best systems suddenly hit a wall. I can't prove it...but I think something happens to teams predictability.
If it is successful again next year...and we will run it starting in April...then I am willing to maybe see if I can tweak the late season...or see how the late season does.
Let's see if it repeats first...before I spend anymore time on it.
I'm not sure what you are asking? Chase more games?
I don't want to do that...it's too risky...even 2 game chases are against my better judgment...but I think we made a case for it.
It's really hard to say anything yet...if it repeats again next year...then maybe we have something.
dude. i was simply asking a question and left it alone and wished him well. what is your problem???
this is a vehicle for discussion and that's what we are doing. you groupies never seem to understand this and only look for negativity.
by the way i don't follow anyone but myself and i have been posting my plays here that have done better than anything or anyone i could follow so that shows how observant you are. dont criticize unless you have your facts straight.
Well. it took a while but I've found something I would like to experiment with here.
It's something I've put some thought into, and it's not just a (giving this a shot) type of thing. God I hate that phrase.
In my own mind, I do this to challenge myself, learn new things and test theories. It's never ending.
Sometimes I come up with something pretty good and we all have a pretty good time here.
Sometimes it doesn't work and the haters have their fun.
Once in a while I stumble upon some great wisdom that I add to my long term base of knowledge and hope to share with others.
MLB 2 Game Window Exploitation.
Dare I call it Windows XP?
I love snappy nicknames. Screw you Bill Gates...cease and desist if you like but that's what we are calling it.
Window XP MLB System (Playing 2 Game Window)
DET at CLE 07:10 PM ET DET +164 1 Unit
Play action, not listed pitchers
Record 0-0-0
Go easy until we build up some records and see what happens. We can always increase wagers with house money later.
Good luck.
MJ
It's something I've put some thought into, and it's not just a (giving this a shot) type of thing. God I hate that phrase.
In my own mind, I do this to challenge myself, learn new things and test theories. It's never ending.
Sometimes I come up with something pretty good and we all have a pretty good time here.
Sometimes it doesn't work and the haters have their fun.
Once in a while I stumble upon some great wisdom that I add to my long term base of knowledge and hope to share with others.
MLB 2 Game Window Exploitation.
Dare I call it Windows XP?
I love snappy nicknames. Screw you Bill Gates...cease and desist if you like but that's what we are calling it.
Window XP MLB System (Playing 2 Game Window)
DET at CLE 07:10 PM ET DET +164 1 Unit
Play action, not listed pitchers
Record 0-0-0
Go easy until we build up some records and see what happens. We can always increase wagers with house money later.
Good luck.
MJ
