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Where the action is: Betting Week 2 of the NFL

This week, we talk to Peter Childs of Sportsbook.ag and John Lester of BookMaker.eu about where the action is on some of the biggest games on Sunday's board.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Open: +1.5, Move: +1

The Bills are one of those aforementioned teams that could be poised to show us exactly who they really are when they tangle with the Patriots Sunday. They looked impressive as 1-point dogs in a 27-14 Week 1 win at home against the Indianapolis Colts and this meeting with the Pats has sharps and public bettors divided.

"Sharps are definitely on the Bills, but the public is all over the Pats," Childs tells Covers. "We opened Pats -1.5 knowing full well the public would back the Pats in this game. As well as the Bills played against the Colts, it wasn’t as impressive a win as the Pats' national TV win over the Steelers. That said, our sharps took advantage of that inflated number and grabbed the 1.5 points. Sharps also bet this game under 45, we’re currently dealing 44 on this game."

San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh Steelers - Open: -6.5, Move: -6, Move: -6.5

Here we have another instance where sharps and public are divided.

The 49ers, a team that many were down on entering the season, dispatched the Minnesota Vikings 20-3 as 2.5-point home dogs on Monday Night Football in Week 1. The win was enough for the sharp bettors to get behind the Niners on the moneyline, but the public is slightly on the home team in spread markets.

"We are pretty even regarding spread action with 56 percent of our wagers on Pittsburgh," Lester confirms. "Despite the 'upset' on Monday night, the betting public isn't ready to buy into the Niners as a quality squad. However, around 75 percent of our moneyline bets, mostly from sharper players, are on San Francisco.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles - Open: -4.5, Move: -5.5

It was a tale of two halves for Sam Bradford and the Eagles in their opener against the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football. Bradford was shaky in the first half, but ended strongly, completing 36-of-52 pass attempts for 336 yards in Philly's 26-24 loss.

Into Philadelphia come the Dallas Cowboys, who eked out a 27-26 win over the New York Giants in Week 1. Dallas, however, has had a lot of success in Philly in recent meetings, going 3-0 SU and ATS in its past three trips to the Linc.

"We’re seeing some really nice, two-way action on the Cowboys-Eagles game," says Childs. "Our shop really likes the favorite here so we’re a bit high on the Eagles at -5.5 and some of our value players are taking the dog."

Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers - Open: -3, Move: -3.5, Move: -3

The Packers will be out for revenge after blowing a 12-point lead versus the Seahawks in the NFC Championship Game one season ago.

Green Bay heads into its home opener off a 31-23 win over the Chicago Bears while the Seahawks were defeated 34-31 in overtime by the St. Louis Rams.

"The marquee matchup of the week has resulted in interesting action," Lester tells Covers. "The majority of wagers, around 65 percent, have been on Green Bay but we've moved down a half point because we have a greater amount of the handle on Seattle. I predict this will move back past the key number by kickoff with everyone recognizing the Packers' revenge factor. The over has been popular with both sides of the betting spectrum."
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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Sunday's Week 2 NFL betting cheat sheet

We preview the Week 2 NFL action to bring you the need-to-know facts and figures in order to make a wager on the gridiron.

Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers (-3, 39.5)

* Houston coach Bill O'Brien benched Brian Hoyer in favor of Ryan Mallett during the Texans' 27-20 loss to Kansas City last week. O'Brien decided he will go forward with Mallett as the starter as Houston prepares for a stingy Panthers defense which throttled Jacksonville 20-9 last week.

* Cam Newton was the focal point of the offense in Week 1, passing for 175 yards and running for 35 more. Tight end Greg Olsen caught just one pass for 11 yards last week and he may not get much more involved in the passing game this week as he will bear some of the responsibility of blocking Texans star lineman J.J. Watt.

San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5, 45.5)

* 49ers head coach Jim Tomsula was particularly thrilled with what he saw from Colin Kaepernick, although the quarterback's statistics (165 yards passing, 41 rushing) don't exactly jump off the page. "I don't think we had something that was broke," Tomsula said of the 27-year-old Kaepernick. "He's a very talented athlete. He's a very talented quarterback. He's got a skill set, we just want to utilize his skill set."

* DeAngelo Williams put forth an admirable performance by rushing for 127 yards while playing in place of Le'Veon Bell, who will sit out the second contest of his two-game suspension for violating the league's substance-abuse policy.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-10, 47)

* Bucs wide receiver Mike Evans will be a game-time decision, according to Greg Ausman of theTampa Bay Times. "Mike Evans has been able to do more and more each day, which is a good thing," coach Lovie Smith said. "You want them to say they're ready to go, but Mike wasn't ready to go last week. He's closer this week, and we have a little bit of time before game time."

* “The defense got off the field a few times and we had some chances to go down and get significant points, and we just ended up with field goals,” quarterback Drew Brees told reporters. “Red-zone efficiency obviously (is a priority) as we look forward to the Bucs.”

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-2, 43)

* Detroit WR Golden Tate told reporters that he expects to be a game-time decision as he deals with a quadriceps injury.

* The Vikings have gone 6-2-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Lions in Minnesota. Furthermore, the Under has gone 5-2 in the last seven games between the two NFC North rivals in Minny.

Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears (+1.5, 46.5)


* Arizona will be without running back Andre Ellington (knee) for 2-3 weeks, meaning veteran Chris Johnson and rookie David Johnson will take on extra work in the backfield.

* Chicago stayed in the game against the Packers thanks to a huge effort from Matt Forte (141 rushing yards, TD). The Bears likely will have a tougher time running the ball against Arizona and will need Jay Cutler to improve upon last week’s 18-of-36 performance for 225 yards with a TD and an interception.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+1, 44)

* Tom Brady, who said the Bills had “probably the best D-line in football,” showed no signs of any wear in his game following a summer spent defending his reputation and completed 19 passes in a row at one point en route to a 25-of-32, 288-yard, four-TD performance in the opener.

* Rex Ryan’s Jets teams always played Tom Brady tough, and he has built a similarly stacked defense with Buffalo that's led by Marcell Dareus. The defensive tackle, who signed a six-year contract extension reportedly worth more than $100 million at the end of training camp, will be making his season debut after sitting out Week 1 due to a suspension.

San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5, 46.5)

* The Chargers tallied a Week 1-best 483 yards on offense in their season-opening win against the Detroit Lions. One player to check for on that side of the ball is rookie running back Melvin Gordon, a player who offensive coordinator Frank Reich was impressed with in Week 1. "I thought Melvin had a good game. The thing I liked most about Melvin was, he just appeared confident, poised, the whole game. I just felt like he had a good look in his eyes."

* The Bengals have won each of their last three regular-season contests against the Chargers and are 3-0 against the spread in those three games.

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (+2.5, 41.5)

* Titans tight end Delanie Walker was back at practice Friday and is hopeful to play after injuring his hand in Tennessee's Week 1 victory. "It felt good to be back out there running around, catching some passes,’’ Walker said. “I still have a few more days to let it heal up and then go from there.”

* According to Scott Petrak of the Elyria Chronicle-Telegram, Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel will be more prepared for Cleveland's date with Tennessee than he was the last time he started at home. "I definitely feel I’m in a lot better place now, so I guess if I thought I was prepared then, I think I’m even more prepared now,” Manziel said Friday.

Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (-2.5, 51)

* The Falcons will face their second straight NFC East opponent after outlasting visiting Philadelphia 26-24 on Monday to give Dan Quinn a victory in his NFL head coaching debut. Atlanta has dropped four of the last five regular-season meetings, including a 30-20 setback at New York last season.

* New York's offense wasn't sharp in the opener, with one touchdown coming on Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie's fumble return and the other coming on Jennings' plunge after an interception return to the 1-yard line. Manning threw for 193 yards on 20-of-36 while Jennings rushed for 52 yards and wideout Odell Beckham had a team-high five receptions for 44 yards.

St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (+3, 41)

* Rams quarterback Nick Foles, formerly of the Philadelphia Eagles, has won his last two starts against Washington, completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 623 yards with three TDs and no interceptions. He is 1-1 ATS against Washington.

* Washington’s offense struggled to find the end zone in a 17-10 loss to Miami last week and will be short-handed on that side of the ball with receiver DeSean Jackson (hamstring) out for 3-4 weeks and tight end Jordan Reed (quadriceps) listed as questionable after making seven catches for 63 yards and a touchdown last week.

Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars (+5.5, 41.5)


* Dolphins offseason acquisition Ndamukong Suh declared his performance as "poor" after recording two tackles in the season opener. "At the end of the day, you want to outdo whatever you did in the past," said Suh, who inked a six-year, $114 million deal in March. "That’s how I live my life, just try to and do better each and every day."

* The Jaguars have lost the last three meetings between these two Florida clubs and have posted an ATS record of 0-3 in the process.

Baltimore Ravens at Oakland Raiders (+6.5, 42.5)

* The Ravens attempt to continue their dominance in the all-time series when they visit the Raiders. Baltimore has won six of its seven meetings with Oakland and each of the last four, including a 55-20 pounding on Nov. 11, 2012. The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in those meetings.

* Raiders QB Derek Carr exited Oakland's season-opening loss to Cincinnati with a bruised right hand suffered while attempting a stiff-arm but participated in Wednesday's practice without incident. In addition to Carr, Oakland lost three defensive starters to injuries in the opener. Safety Charles Woodson separated his shoulder in the final minute of the contest and is questionable for Sunday as he participated in Wednesday's early-practice drills without equipment. Cornerback D.J. Hayden and defensive tackle Justin Ellis went down with ankle injuries, although the former practiced on Wednesday.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-5, 55)


* Dallas has won the past three matchups in Philadelphia by an average of 13.3 points and is 3-0 ATS in those games.

* Eagles running back DeMarco Murray will face his former teammates but said he will be taking a business-as-usual approach against Dallas, which was unwilling to match the Eagles' offer to him. "I'm not looking at it as facing the Cowboys," said Murray, who ripped off 12 100-yard games last season. "Just preparing like I always prepare for any other game."

Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers (-3.5, 49)


* Coach Pete Carroll reiterated that he is "disappointed" in the situation that has led safety Kam Chancellor to remove himself from the team, but is prepared to go without him on Sunday. "Nothing has changed. It really has never been a negotiation. It's been conversations. Nothing's changed though," Carroll told reporters. "...I'm just disappointed like I know he is and everybody is that it hasn't found a way to get him here. That's all."

* Green Bay may receive a much-needed boost to its defense as safety Morgan Burnett (strained calf) is in line to make his season debut after watching the team get shredded for 189 yards rushing by the Bears. "To be honest with you, one guy doesn't make a difference," Burnett told ESPN of the expectations of the defense. "It's a collective effort, a collective group, and we make each other look good, we make each other better. Honestly, one guy doesn't make a difference to me."
 

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Nice start on the season XS. Appreciate the work you put into your capping. Continued success.
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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Sunday Night Football betting preview: Seahawks at Packers

Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers (-3.5, 49)

The Green Bay Packers were nursing a 12-point lead over the Seattle Seahawks in the latter stages of the NFC Championship Game last season before the bottom fell out in horrific fashion. Eight months after the onside kick went awry and the Seahawks won in overtime, the Packers will look to exact a measure of revenge when the teams meet at Lambeau Field on Sunday night.

Aaron Rodgers tossed three touchdown passes - two to reacquired wideout James Jones - in Green Bay's 31-23 season-opening victory over Chicago on Sunday. While the reigning NFL MVP dismissed ideas of getting even with their opponent, Seattle would like to level its record after suffering a 34-31 overtime loss in St. Louis last week. Marshawn Lynch was stuffed on a fourth-and-1 rushing play against the Rams after famously being bypassed on Russell Wilson's pivotal interception in a 28-24 loss to New England in Super Bowl XLIX. Lynch gashed the Packers, however, for 110 yards and two touchdowns in a 36-16 triumph in Week 1 last season before amassing 157 yards in the NFC title game.

LINE HISTORY:
Books opened Green Bay -3 but that is now -3.5. The total has held at 49.

INJURY REPORT:

Seahawks
-
S Kam Chancellor (Holdout), CB Tharold Simon (Questionable, toe), LB Mike Morgan (Out, hamstring).
Packers - S Morgan Burnett (Probable, calf), DE Datone Jones (Probable, suspension), T Bryan Bulaga (Out, knee).

WEATHER: Temperatures in the high-50s with wind blowing toward the north end zone at around five mils per hour.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Seahawks (-3.5) + Packers (-5) + home field (-3.0) = Packers -4.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Yea, yea, we all know about how good Aaron Rodgers is, even minus his favorite target. But the Packers D allowed Chicago to convert 11-17 on 3rd downs, and nearly blew the game late. The Seahawks finished +2 in turnovers. They had a punt return touchdown and a defensive touchdown. Yet they lost the game outright as road favorites, a very troubling sign."Covers Expert Teddy Covers.

WHAT BOOKS SAY:
"The marquee matchup of the week has resulted in interesting action. The majority of wagers, around 65 percent, have been on Green Bay but we've moved down a half point because we have a greater amount of the handle on Seattle. I predict this will move back past the key number by kickoff with everyone recognizing the Packers' revenge factor. The over has been popular with both sides of the betting spectrum." John Lester, BookMaker.eu.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U): Coach Pete Carroll reiterated that he is "disappointed" in the situation that has led safety Kam Chancellor to remove himself from the team, but is prepared to go without him on Sunday. "Nothing has changed. It really has never been a negotiation. It's been conversations. Nothing's changed though," Carroll told reporters. "...I'm just disappointed like I know he is and everybody is that it hasn't found a way to get him here. That's all." Defensive back Dion Bailey, who made his NFL debut and started in Chancellor's place against the Rams, gave up the game-tying touchdown to Lance Kendricks in the waning moments of regulation.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): Green Bay may receive a much-needed boost to its defense as safety Morgan Burnett (strained calf) is in line to make his season debut after watching the team get shredded for 189 yards rushing by the Bears. "To be honest with you, one guy doesn't make a difference," Burnett told ESPN of the expectations of the defense. "It's a collective effort, a collective group, and we make each other look good, we make each other better. Honestly, one guy doesn't make a difference to me." With respect to Burnett, the season-ending foot injury to linebacker Sam Barrington could be a difference-maker as his replacement, Nate Palmer, is still dealing with a left hand injury.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Seahawks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Green Bay.
* Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games in Week 2.
* Over is 8-1 in Packers' last nine games in September.

COVERS CONSENSUS:
Sixty percent of Covers users are backing the Packers.
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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[h=1]NFL Football Consensus: Public Picks[/h]
TimeTeamsATSMoneylineTotal
(ET) PicksPercentagePicksPercentagePicksPercentage
Sunday, September 20, 2015
1:00pm
odds
(261) Houston Texans
(262) Carolina Panthers
7668
6892
graph_away.gif
53%

graph_home.gif
47%

1991
1608
graph_away.gif
55%

graph_home.gif
45%

O3026
U3470
graph_away.gif
47%

graph_home.gif
53%

1:00pm
odds
(263) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(264) New Orleans Saints
4677
12430
graph_away.gif
27%

graph_home.gif
73%

1075
3907
graph_away.gif
22%

graph_home.gif
78%

O5351
U2201
graph_away.gif
71%

graph_home.gif
29%

1:00pm
odds
(265) San Francisco 49ers
(266) Pittsburgh Steelers
6949
10512
graph_away.gif
40%

graph_home.gif
60%

2281
2012
graph_away.gif
53%

graph_home.gif
47%

O4490
U2517
graph_away.gif
64%

graph_home.gif
36%

1:00pm
odds
(267) Detroit Lions
(268) Minnesota Vikings
8225
3975
graph_away.gif
67%

graph_home.gif
33%

2093
887
graph_away.gif
70%

graph_home.gif
30%

O3646
U1872
graph_away.gif
66%

graph_home.gif
34%

1:00pm
odds
(269) New England Patriots
(270) Buffalo Bills
14357
7599
graph_away.gif
65%

graph_home.gif
35%

4088
1831
graph_away.gif
69%

graph_home.gif
31%

O6138
U3613
graph_away.gif
63%

graph_home.gif
37%

1:00pm
odds
(271) Arizona Cardinals
(272) Chicago Bears
11505
3838
graph_away.gif
75%

graph_home.gif
25%

2422
1195
graph_away.gif
67%

graph_home.gif
33%

O4264
U2349
graph_away.gif
64%

graph_home.gif
36%

1:00pm
odds
(273) Tennessee Titans
(274) Cleveland Browns
12546
3471
graph_away.gif
78%

graph_home.gif
22%

2800
1245
graph_away.gif
69%

graph_home.gif
31%

O4544
U2545
graph_away.gif
64%

graph_home.gif
36%

1:00pm
odds
(275) San Diego Chargers
(276) Cincinnati Bengals
5221
6604
graph_away.gif
44%

graph_home.gif
56%

1406
1309
graph_away.gif
52%

graph_home.gif
48%

O4056
U1335
graph_away.gif
75%

graph_home.gif
25%

1:00pm
odds
(277) St. Louis Rams
(278) Washington Redskins
13818
3206
graph_away.gif
81%

graph_home.gif
19%

3498
1037
graph_away.gif
77%

graph_home.gif
23%

O3612
U3762
graph_away.gif
49%

graph_home.gif
51%

1:00pm
odds
(279) Atlanta Falcons
(280) New York Giants
4441
5924
graph_away.gif
43%

graph_home.gif
57%

1437
925
graph_away.gif
61%

graph_home.gif
39%

O3004
U1871
graph_away.gif
62%

graph_home.gif
38%

4:05pm
odds
(281) Baltimore Ravens
(282) Oakland Raiders
12043
2604
graph_away.gif
82%

graph_home.gif
18%

3211
974
graph_away.gif
77%

graph_home.gif
23%

O3004
U3760
graph_away.gif
44%

graph_home.gif
56%

4:05pm
odds
(283) Miami Dolphins
(284) Jacksonville Jaguars
13900
2611
graph_away.gif
84%

graph_home.gif
16%

3612
1159
graph_away.gif
76%

graph_home.gif
24%

O2686
U5201
graph_away.gif
34%

graph_home.gif
66%

4:25pm
odds
(285) Dallas Cowboys
(286) Philadelphia Eagles
8739
11069
graph_away.gif
44%

graph_home.gif
56%

3077
2401
graph_away.gif
56%

graph_home.gif
44%

O4709
U4668
graph_away.gif
50%

graph_home.gif
50%

8:30pm
odds
(287) Seattle Seahawks
(288) Green Bay Packers
6903
10539
graph_away.gif
40%

graph_home.gif
60%

2263
2391
graph_away.gif
49%

graph_home.gif
51%

O5764
U2636
graph_away.gif
69%

graph_home.gif
31%

 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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Joined
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Messages
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SUNDAY POWER FOOTBALL / WEEK 2 (1-1) / STAR PLAYS (2-1) / NFL RECORD (10-3) 77%

Here we go my friends.....


Buffalo -1

Buffalo Under 45

Atlanta +2 -105


Atlanta Under 49 -103

Pittsburgh Over 45.5 -107

XS
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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Messages
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ADDING TOP PLAY:

Tennessee -1 -101

*Cincinnati -3.5 +104


XS
 

MrQ

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Sep 20, 2015
Messages
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Always feels good to see you on the same side of a play as me. GL
Q
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
Handicapper
Joined
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Messages
60,785
Tokens
SUNDAY SO FAR TODAY (4-3) / STAR PLAYS (1-0)

Here we go my friends.....


Buffalo -1 (Lost)

Buffalo Under 45 (Lost)


Tennessee -1 -101 (Lost)

Atlanta
+2 -105 (Su Winner 24-20)

*Cincinnati -3.5 +104 (Winner 24-19)

Atlanta Under
49 -103 (Winner 44 Points)

Pittsburgh Over
45.5 -107 (Mega Blowout Winner 61 Points)


XS
 

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