who said hot streaks don't happen in craps? What does that have to do with anything
who said hot streaks don't happen in craps? What does that have to do with anything
Yeah the other thing is even if you DID find some sort of statistically significant correlation (which you wouldn't), therefore rendering the spin of the wheel non-random enough to beat...then you would have to be able to MEASURE that variable.
Example, if you found out that there was a correlation between, let's say the speed at which the ball is pitched and the probability of a 00. Are you then going to be able to measure the independent variable (the speed of the pitch) in order to plug it into your model? No.
Off-the-wall example I know but that is how ridiculous this whole concept is.
think of it another way, most people like easy money. if one could beat craps (without dice control)
or roulette via RA, imagine how many professional dice and wheel players there would be. i can't find
any. i can even find professional slot players. in blackjack, when counting became too big of a % of the
action, the casinos simply changed the payout on blackjack downward. i haven't seen any changes against
the player in craps or roulette.
or roulette via RA, imagine how many professional dice and wheel players there would be. i can't find
any. i can even find professional slot players. in blackjack, when counting became too big of a % of the
action, the casinos simply changed the payout on blackjack downward. i haven't seen any changes against
the player in craps or roulette.
I think the roulette machine has some consistency with at least having the ball land in the same section..For those who have not seen these machines, the wheel always stops in the same position to let the winning number release the ball for the next spin..I would imagine when the wheel starts spinning again it gets to the same speed everytime and when the 30 second timer expires then the ball is also released at the same speed everytime..Thus the ball seems to land in the same general area quite often if the ball drops smoothly into a number..
Huhhh
For those who are saying Huhhhh or wondering wtf,,,i would assume you havent seen this machine.., the grand sierra in reno has this machine among many places in vegas,,,including the orleans,,,silverton,,and southpoint has another version of this machine that i wont go into since the basic one apparently is hard to understand.. lets see if i can simplify it
1) the roulette wheel completely stops so it can drop the ball under the wheel for the next spin
2) the roulette wheel completely stops in the same position every time to drop the ball under the wheel for the next spin
3)the wheel starts spinning again as you have 30 seconds to place your next bet (presumably at the same speed every time)
4)when the 30 second timer goes to 0 u cant bet anymore and then the ball is released (presumably at the same speed every time)
5) when the ball goes around and around and it finally drops on the wheel,,it drops from the same location every time
6) with all those above variables being the same then the ball seemingly lands in the same area on the wheel as before provided its a smooth drop and doesnt hit something and bounce around
1) the roulette wheel completely stops so it can drop the ball under the wheel for the next spin
2) the roulette wheel completely stops in the same position every time to drop the ball under the wheel for the next spin
3)the wheel starts spinning again as you have 30 seconds to place your next bet (presumably at the same speed every time)
4)when the 30 second timer goes to 0 u cant bet anymore and then the ball is released (presumably at the same speed every time)
5) when the ball goes around and around and it finally drops on the wheel,,it drops from the same location every time
6) with all those above variables being the same then the ball seemingly lands in the same area on the wheel as before provided its a smooth drop and doesnt hit something and bounce around
I only said that Einstein had studied Roulette and that it was mathematically impossible to beat. The only way to win at Roulette is to be lucky in the short term and walk away.
If I had a quarter and told you that it hit heads the last 3 flips would you lay 55 to win 50 on it being tails on the next flip?
It's still 50-50 no matter what happened on the last 5 flips and it's the same concept as roulette. Regression Analysis can work on other things but you will lose just the same in Roulette as if you didn't do it.
I see what you saying now I think. They did that probably to keep the dealer (honest) from working as a cheat with an outside group. I've heard of dealers dropping it a certain way to cheat so ball lands in the ball park of certain area. I'm sure they've taking all precautions to keep it random though. I'm not too far from the Grand Sierra in Reno, though I don't play roulette but rarely, I might just check it out. But again these guys aren't stupid, so I'm sure it's even more random than it was before.
I would not require a college education to understand how absurd charting roulette or craps is. The most rudimentary understanding of basic probability is enough. It is not exactly higher math.
On the other hand I have never once been called an egghead before...... thanks for that. I have plenty of life experience to be honest (most of it bad)...... but no amount of experience of any sort changes the laws of basic probability.
