Early vote is 35% A.A, it was 25% in 2004, I believe AA make up 29% of population in GA....If it stays at 35% or even stays about 31/32% he has a legit shot.
Wonder how much Barr will grab in this state too, I don't think Obama can break 50% here but he sure can get 47/48. Only question is if that can be the win number.
I will be watching North Carolina along with the senate race Dole v. Hagan. If Obama wins NC then I think Virgina will fall the same way and this election will be a landslide (I think Va polls close early as 7pm est and N.C. soon thereafter). I think both are razor thin but they represent vibrant healthy money states that might shift the colors of the electoral map and crack the old 'southern strategy'. I don't know anything about Georgia and defer to other experts here.
No way in hell Georgia goes Obama. Pennsylvania going to McCain will be the surprise of the night, with New Hampshire going to McCain the next surprise.