which state will be the surprise of the night?

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Give BB 2.5k he makes it 20k within 3 months 99out
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Arizona would be my dream come true.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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caucus vs. GE a totally different beast not even worth comparing

turnout is garbage in a caucus

plus in a caucus you not up against each other obama just beat back the clinton machine

i know a few ex hillary people that will be voting mccain

the divide between obama and hillary in iowa was very big from my observations

plus i'm pretty sure the internal numbers of the campaigns showing its pretty tight

both made stops in a 7 EC state a week before the election tells you it could go either way
 

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:ohno:


yea and obama gets texas.

:tongue2:

GTC..you have seemed to have chilled out the last few weeks..did you get a verbal from Wilhelm or something..

Anyway, the new you is much more pleasant.
 

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GA, ND, or Montana going to Obama

In MT & GA if the third party candidates (Barr for GA) (Paul for MT) can get over 5% then I think Obama has a real chance to get the state.

Not a huge surprise but I think McCain holds OH, MO, & NC.
 

Give BB 2.5k he makes it 20k within 3 months 99out
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If any of my accounts allowed that, I would probably throw down half a unit on Georgia at over 2 to 1.
 

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caucus vs. GE a totally different beast not even worth comparing

turnout is garbage in a caucus

plus i know several ex hillary people that will be voting mccain

the divide between obama and hillary in iowa was very big from my observations

plus i'm pretty sure the internal numbers of the campaigns showing its pretty tight

both made stops in a 7 EC state a week before the election tells you it could go either way

i would be shocked if mccain won iowa. i would put that in the surprise category if you think hes got a legit shot there.
 
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Ohio and Pennsylvania fall late to McCain. Not good for Obama to say that he'd bankrupt the coal industry.

Think NH also falls to McCain. "Live free or die" is the state motto. Those people are rugged individualists. Socialism is the antithesis of that motto.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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i'm a probability guy

i think its more like 75%/25% obama/mccain than the 92%/5% stuff intrade is saying

still think obama will take it but will tighter than many think and 25% chance he could pull the upset
 

bushman
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Obama getting Puerto Rico will be the surprise of the night.
 

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i'm a probability guy

i think its more like 75%/25% obama/mccain than the 92%/5% stuff intrade is saying

still think obama will take it but will tighter than many think and 25% chance he could pull the upset

How do you figure exactly. I'm a probability guy too and given the long odds on the string of states McCain must carry, I think it's more like 99.4%. More than 100 to 1. He has to win PA, OH, FL, VA, NC, IN and a few others. 25% is far far too high.
 

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Just sold some McCain Georgia at Intrade for 78.8 giving me +372 on Obama.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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y i like georgia at that price too

got blacks to help you fight the whities down there

in iowa you need a majority of whities many who have lost jobs to illegal immigrants, many who own guns, and stuff like that voting for obama

i dunno maybe i think racism runs deeper in america than most do

but i think when some whities put pen to paper....versus picking up a telephone and responding things will change a bit in an all white state like iowa....

we'll see
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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i meant 25% chance to win iowa D2 not win the election
 

vegas turned square
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What do people think of this prop. Dem States won? Dems 26-30 -200?



rep 20-23
dem 27-30 (I have it about 26-27 dem states)
 
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