As someone who has tracked LeFevour all year due to him being my 1st round fantasy draft pick, I wouldn't put too much stock into him coming back tonight. He's coming off an ankle injury and I don't think he's completely healed. Actually, I'm 98% sure he isn't completely healed. Watching the Toledo game a couple weeks ago, LeFevour did *not* look like the LeFevour of old. Had almost no mobility, and I would expect much of the same tonight. Wouldn't be shocked to see Bruner - the senior backup - get some PT if things don't go well for LeFevour.
I'll probably put a little on CMU with the points since I think them and Ball St. are definitely the class of the conference, but a ML play is definitely a gamble IMO.