Week 7 sharp plays

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RX Senior
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Baylor is a solid pick this week. They can score points but everybody has a bias on them because they have been a bad team since I can remember.
 

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I like Baylor too, ISU is giving up some big time rushing yards. And the Bears aren't what they used to be. Chizik is doing some good things in Ames but they are a year or 2 away IMHO.
 
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Echamp: I'm leaning towards the "U" as I had them circled to cover this game before the season but with all that's going on I want to evaluate things carefully until at least Friday.

Smartz: Glad to hear my friend. I also like your UNC play, GL

Dayang: I'm aware and made a point in my writeup that I might of jumped the gun a bit early. I like the game no matter if its +2,2.5, 3 etc. as I think Miss St. wins outright. GL
 
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Adding:

2* Oregon St. -31: Name that score

Note: Thinking of buying back/middling Temple. Final card will be posted late Friday night/Saturday morning
 

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VOR,

I'm playing Oregon State also. I'm fading WSU until the trend breaks. They are horrible and they've gone in the tank. I have a friend who's little brother is on the team and I've been getting weekly updates. It's not good. There is termoil, the players are fighting, questioning the coaching staff...the coaching staff is encouraging the fighting, they are starting to play more freshman. It's a joke. I'll be shocked if that staff gets retained.

I was considering taking the U...but I just don't trust them. I'm not sure which team will show up. So, I'm staying off that one......

GL


---
 
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coach: this line really spoke to me when it opened. I did the wait and see approach for the past two days just to make sure i was spot on and everything is indicating that its highly plausible.
 
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2* Tenn +14 -120 (hooked): don't worry its 2 second teamers on the OL that are out. GA in the meantime has a LB out.
2* Miss St. +2: Only line in which I should have waited but I really don't think the point will come into play (or at least I hope)
2* W. Kentucky +17.5 (betjam): As stated from the initial writeup this line was indeed inflated.
2* Baylor -4: Stated line should be 7 and as you can see its getting closer and closer to becoming that.
2* Temple +10: Stated in initial write up line should be 8 and it indeed is 8.
2* Oregon St. -31: This just has 49-10 written all over it .
1* NW ML +130: Taking what I think is the better team here. 1)At home 2)More balanced attack on offense 3) Better QB 4)slight edge on D to MSU but not by much
1* Buffalo -1:
1* Stanford +7: Think AZ is the square play of the week. Guess we'll find out who the square is by Saturday night.
1* SJ St. -15:
.5* Utah St. +14.5: Buying back some
1* Purdue +18: Might or might not buy back. Will determine Friday night
1* New Mexico +24
1*: Utah -23: See a tired Wyoming defense in the 2nd half getting a good dose of Johnson
.5* Wiscy +4.5: Should have waited here but fcuk it. Like I said PSU is on my fade list for the rest of the year. They're like the NE Pats of last year when they started to get silly with the inflated lines. This just may have not been the week to start fading them but we shall see.
.5 Hawaii -7 -120: Think Hawaii has an edge in a few key positions and they're at home (tough road trip for LA tech)
.5* Texas +7.5 -120: Might go for the middle once I see 6.5


Other leans thus far (not plays):

Texas Tech: clearly the better team all around plus they're at home where they usually cover big spreads against inferior opposition. Tech will score but can they stop Neb. Will look into much more in depth the next two days.

Miami -17: Collier is gonna get 15-20 plays in which gives us a great weapon back and James also might participate to spell Jones some. Once I get the final word on James I might make a small play as I think UCF wears down considerably by the 2nd half.

South Carolina: Line movement scares me here a bit but I'm pretty sure it opened with a faulty line due to UK showing this past Saturday. USC is the better team without question I'm just not in love with the QB situation to make it a big play on the road. Both defenses are solid and TO will loom large (felt like Coldweather for a minute there).
 
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3* Northwestern: 1st 3* play thus far. I feel fairly confident this team would win 3 out 5 against MSU so I'm taking a shot here.
2* Tenn +14 -120 (hooked)
2* Miss St. +2:
2* W. Kentucky +17.5 (betjam)
2* Baylor -4
2* Temple +10
2* Oregon St. -31
1* Buffalo -1:
1* Stanford +7]
1* SJ St. -15:
.5* Utah St. +14.5: Buying back some
1* Purdue +18
1* New Mexico +24
1*: Utah -23
.5* Wiscy +4.5:
.5 Hawaii -7 -120
.5* Texas +7.5 -120


Other leans thus far (not plays):

Texas Tech

Miami

South Carolina
 
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Action plays for tonight:


.25* Wake ML +105
.10* Wake O 41.5 -108
.10* Houston O 68 -103


Swimming against the current is always considered rebellious and it makes me cool :drink:
 
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Raw: Week 6: 18-7-2 +6.25
(Plus over +$800 before star move)

I started using the star thingy last week but overall I'll be up over 14 units ($800 plus 6.25). Keep in mind I made $800 betting $25, $50, $75 increments on most my plays so if you compare me to lets say Lewis in which he bets increments of 5,10,20 units etc. I'll be up like 140 units or some crazy number like that haha. I'm not picking on him or anything I'm simply putting things in a perspective that you can understand what I've accomplished thus far. Makes sense?

Late night additional thoughts on my plays:

I like this card but I'm not in love with it. I looked for 1) value 2) situational spots


***NW is in a perfect spot with an extra week to prepare while their opponent is in one of those letdown slash sandwich games. Not to mention NW IMHO is the better overall team as their offense features a formidable passing game while their opponent doesn't. Also defensively I don't see much of an advantage one way or another which only helps the home team. Bottom line great situational game, better QB, and at home.

**Miss. St. also happens to be in a similar spot as is NW. Pretty much the same write up with just a superior defense but an inferior offense. I think they can win the battle up front which will loom large (this is what i get for reading coldweather)

GA and Arizona are two of the squarest plays on the board and I don't see both of them covering (or at least thats what i hope). Tenn and Stanford gettin +14/+7 respectively had way too much value. Line movements have demonstrated that I may be right.

Note: I'm getting out of Purdue for sure. Something tells me Pryor/Beanie will have a field day. This team is starting to click offensively and I think they make a statement come Saturday. This is just what my gut has been telling me the past 48 hours.

New Mexico +24 had way too much value IMHO. This is one team that has been good to me (check last week) and I'm counting on them once again.

Temple +10: I might or might not middle. I think they're defense will hold it down some come Saturday. Line movement is looking good.

WKU +17.5: this simply was an inflated line. Having said that Ball State is truly clicking on all cylinders but I think Love getting hurt has taken a toll on this team mentally. We shall see.

Oregon State should run circles on their opponent come Saturday. This team will maybe punt twice all game.

Utah quite simply is leaps and bounds ahead of Wyoming. Wyoming has no offense to speak of and I don't see how their defense will be able to keep their legs by the 2nd half.


Does that cover everything? I believe it does.

Strong lean on Iowa right now. I just want to see what the line does in the next 32 hours or so.
 
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Updated Card


3* Northwestern
+120
2* Tenn +14 -120 (hooked)
2* Miss St. +2:
2* W. Kentucky +17.5 (betjam)
2* Baylor -4
2* Temple +10
2* Oregon St. -31
2* Bowling Green -1
1* Buffalo -1:
1* Stanford +7
1* SJ St. -15:
.5* Utah St. +14.5: Buying back some
1* Purdue +18
1* New Mexico +24
1*: Utah -23
1* Texas Tech -20.5
.5* Wiscy +4.5:
.5 Hawaii -7 -120
.5* Texas +7.5 -120
.25* OKL -6.5 -102
 
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Final Card (tried keeping it small and obviously failed)


3* Northwestern
+120
2* Tenn +14 -120 (hooked)
1.5* GA -12 -105 Buy back
2* Miss St. +2:
2* W. Kentucky +17.5 (betjam)
2* Baylor -4
2* Temple +10
2* Oregon St. -31
2* Bowling Green -1
2* SC -1 -105
1.25* Texas A&M +3.5 -115
1* Buffalo -1:
1* Stanford +7
1* SJ St. -15:
.5* Utah St. +14.5: Buying back some
.25* Utah St. +14 Buying back some more
1* Purdue +18
1* New Mexico +24
1*: Utah -23
1* Texas Tech -20.5
1* Wiscy +6 -105
.75* Ark +16.5 -105
.75* Ark St. -14 -115
.75* Oregon -19 -105
.75* Army -1 -105
.5* LSU +7 -115
.5* Wiscy +4.5:
.5 Hawaii -7 -120
.5* Texas +7.5 -120
.25* OKL -6.5 -102
 
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Actually forgot:

1.15* Ohio St. -18 -105 (buying back Purdue and then some)
.25* KU -13.5 -115
.25* Tulane +4 -105
 

The Truth
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I was 5 years old when first viewing this movie. Just saw it for the second time since those very memorable times in my life. My little cousin asked what movie put a skip on my step when I was a little squirt as he happens to be now and let me say hes been singing this song all day.

GL to you and don't forget VOR is the best around nothing will ever keep me down haha :drink:
:lolBIG:
BEST EVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! YOU ARE MY NEW FAVORITE POSTER ON RX!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!THAT SCENE AND MOVIE IS TOP 5 ALL TIME!! HILARIOUS!
 

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