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Wednesday 8/30/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
[FONT="]Double-Play Picks[/FONT]
[FONT="]Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies (-120, 12.5)[/FONT]
[FONT="]The Rockies and Tigers will tangle in the final game of their three-game interleague series this afternoon in Denver.
[/FONT][FONT="]Betting Under in baseball games played at Coors Field always seems like a risky proposition, however games played in the Mile High City this season have been favoring the Under at 36-27-2, including a current streak of five consecutive games below the closing total. The Rockies' good young pitching staff is the main reason for the totals turnaround in 2017.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Chad Bettis gets the ball for that Rockies' staff today. Bettis is three games into his comeback from beating cancer (twice!) and two of those outings have been at home where he owns an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.07 in 14 innings of work. Keep the ball down and get lots of ground balls will be the perfect recipe against this uninspired Tigers' offense.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Under is 10-1 in Bettis' last 11 starts overall dating back to August of 2016.[/FONT]
[FONT="]The Tigers will send Justin Verlander to the hill. Although Verlander's season hasn't been quite as strong as his Cy Young worthy 2016 campaign, he is coming off two very strong performances and is always a threat to spin eight or nine innings of shutout pitching.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Today will be Verlander's second career start at Coors Field. His only other start at altitude was a long time ago (2011) but he did toss a complete game four-hitter, and just having that previous experience at Coors Field is important.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Both starters are capable of putting up plenty of zeros, so 12.5 just seems too high.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick: [/FONT][FONT="]Under 12.5
[/FONT][FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels (-140, 9)[/FONT]
[FONT="]The Angels have been one of the most surprising teams of 2017 and are currently in the midst of a battle for the second Wildcard spot in the American League, trailing the Twins by just one game. They look to inch loser to that spot when they host the A’s on Wednesday night.[/FONT]
[FONT="]To get that win, the Angels send right-hander Parker Bridwell to the mound. The standout rookie has been nothing short of spectacular since joining the Angels rotation. Bridwell is 7-2 with a 3.02 and a 1.12 WHIP, while holding opponents to a .240 average.[/FONT]
[FONT="]The scary thing is, Bridwell is getting better. The Angels are 8-1 in his last nine starts while pitching to a 2.40 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP.[/FONT]
[FONT="]To make things tougher on the A’s, Bridwell is very good at limiting home runs, allowing just 12 in 13 starts and only three in the month of August. Oakland scores most its run via the long ball.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Meanwhile, the A’s will counter with Kendall Graveman. The right-hander has had his troubles when pitching away from home this season. Graveman is 1-4 with a 6.39 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in seven road starts in 2017 and the A’s have lost his last five road starts overall.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick: [/FONT][FONT="]Angels -140[/FONT]
Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 127-120-13[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies (-120, 12.5)[/FONT]
[FONT="]The Rockies and Tigers will tangle in the final game of their three-game interleague series this afternoon in Denver.
[/FONT][FONT="]Betting Under in baseball games played at Coors Field always seems like a risky proposition, however games played in the Mile High City this season have been favoring the Under at 36-27-2, including a current streak of five consecutive games below the closing total. The Rockies' good young pitching staff is the main reason for the totals turnaround in 2017.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Chad Bettis gets the ball for that Rockies' staff today. Bettis is three games into his comeback from beating cancer (twice!) and two of those outings have been at home where he owns an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.07 in 14 innings of work. Keep the ball down and get lots of ground balls will be the perfect recipe against this uninspired Tigers' offense.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Under is 10-1 in Bettis' last 11 starts overall dating back to August of 2016.[/FONT]
[FONT="]The Tigers will send Justin Verlander to the hill. Although Verlander's season hasn't been quite as strong as his Cy Young worthy 2016 campaign, he is coming off two very strong performances and is always a threat to spin eight or nine innings of shutout pitching.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Today will be Verlander's second career start at Coors Field. His only other start at altitude was a long time ago (2011) but he did toss a complete game four-hitter, and just having that previous experience at Coors Field is important.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Both starters are capable of putting up plenty of zeros, so 12.5 just seems too high.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick: [/FONT][FONT="]Under 12.5
[/FONT][FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels (-140, 9)[/FONT]
[FONT="]The Angels have been one of the most surprising teams of 2017 and are currently in the midst of a battle for the second Wildcard spot in the American League, trailing the Twins by just one game. They look to inch loser to that spot when they host the A’s on Wednesday night.[/FONT]
[FONT="]To get that win, the Angels send right-hander Parker Bridwell to the mound. The standout rookie has been nothing short of spectacular since joining the Angels rotation. Bridwell is 7-2 with a 3.02 and a 1.12 WHIP, while holding opponents to a .240 average.[/FONT]
[FONT="]The scary thing is, Bridwell is getting better. The Angels are 8-1 in his last nine starts while pitching to a 2.40 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP.[/FONT]
[FONT="]To make things tougher on the A’s, Bridwell is very good at limiting home runs, allowing just 12 in 13 starts and only three in the month of August. Oakland scores most its run via the long ball.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Meanwhile, the A’s will counter with Kendall Graveman. The right-hander has had his troubles when pitching away from home this season. Graveman is 1-4 with a 6.39 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP in seven road starts in 2017 and the A’s have lost his last five road starts overall.[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pick: [/FONT][FONT="]Angels -140[/FONT]
Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 127-120-13[FONT="]
[/FONT][FONT="]
[/FONT]
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Hyun-Jin Ryu, Los Angeles Dodgers (5-6, 3.34 ERA, $62)
This almost just seems unfair at this point. Ryu is the latest Dodgers starter to be absolutely dealing lately, making it easier to forget the Dodgers have kept winning at this ridiculous pace despite the fact Clayton Kershaw hasn’t pitched since July 23rd.
The Dodgers have won Ryu’s last six starts, with the lefty posting a 3-0 record, a 1.54 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Ryu and the Dodgers are just slight -111 road favorites tonight in Arizona.
Slumping: Ty Blach, San Francisco Giants (8-10, 4.68 ERA, $-158)
One of the worst seasons in recent Giants’ memory can’t be over soon enough and southpaw Ty Blach might be feeling the same.
Blach has stumbled after a solid start to the season, going 0-3 with a whopping 8.82 ERA, a 1.84 WHIP and recording more walks than strikeouts in his last three starts. It’s gotten to the point where Blach and the Giants are +115 road underdogs at the Padres (who have clearly been better in 2017).
Wednesday's Top Trends
* Over is 16-4-1 in the St. Louis Cardinals' last 21 overall. Cards/Brewers Total: 9.
* The Washington Nationals are 46-13 in Stephen Strasburg's last 59 starts. -220 today vs. Marlins.
* Over is 11-2 in Jake Odorizzi's last 13 starts overall. Rays/Royals Total: 9.5.
* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 26-4 in their last 30 games vs. a left-handed starter. -111 today at D-Backs (Robbie Ray)
Weather To Keep An Eye On
Again, thoughts and prayers for everyone in southern Texas and Louisiana. Please donate to the American Red Cross (follow the link for simple donation instructions).
After yesterday's rain soaked day that really messed with games in the Northeast (and of course in Texas) there is no precipitation in the baseball forecast for Wednesday.
Wind will not be a factor across the league with the strongest being a 7-8 mile per hour cross-breeze at Target Field where the Twins will take on the White Sox.
Ump Of The Day
Sean Barber will be calling balls and strikes today at Rogers Centre in Toronto where the Blue Jays will take on the Red Sox.
Barber isn't a high volume home plate umpire, in fact, today will be only his 11th game behind the dish in 2017. When he does work the plate he really favors the home team. The hosts have won six of his last seven, are 7-3 on the season, and are 25-14 (56 percent) dating back to the beginning of the 2015 season.
The Jays are -120 favorites today on home soil...err...grass...err...carpet.
Streaking: Hyun-Jin Ryu, Los Angeles Dodgers (5-6, 3.34 ERA, $62)
This almost just seems unfair at this point. Ryu is the latest Dodgers starter to be absolutely dealing lately, making it easier to forget the Dodgers have kept winning at this ridiculous pace despite the fact Clayton Kershaw hasn’t pitched since July 23rd.
The Dodgers have won Ryu’s last six starts, with the lefty posting a 3-0 record, a 1.54 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Ryu and the Dodgers are just slight -111 road favorites tonight in Arizona.
Slumping: Ty Blach, San Francisco Giants (8-10, 4.68 ERA, $-158)
One of the worst seasons in recent Giants’ memory can’t be over soon enough and southpaw Ty Blach might be feeling the same.
Blach has stumbled after a solid start to the season, going 0-3 with a whopping 8.82 ERA, a 1.84 WHIP and recording more walks than strikeouts in his last three starts. It’s gotten to the point where Blach and the Giants are +115 road underdogs at the Padres (who have clearly been better in 2017).
Wednesday's Top Trends
* Over is 16-4-1 in the St. Louis Cardinals' last 21 overall. Cards/Brewers Total: 9.
* The Washington Nationals are 46-13 in Stephen Strasburg's last 59 starts. -220 today vs. Marlins.
* Over is 11-2 in Jake Odorizzi's last 13 starts overall. Rays/Royals Total: 9.5.
* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 26-4 in their last 30 games vs. a left-handed starter. -111 today at D-Backs (Robbie Ray)
Weather To Keep An Eye On
Again, thoughts and prayers for everyone in southern Texas and Louisiana. Please donate to the American Red Cross (follow the link for simple donation instructions).
After yesterday's rain soaked day that really messed with games in the Northeast (and of course in Texas) there is no precipitation in the baseball forecast for Wednesday.
Wind will not be a factor across the league with the strongest being a 7-8 mile per hour cross-breeze at Target Field where the Twins will take on the White Sox.
Ump Of The Day
Sean Barber will be calling balls and strikes today at Rogers Centre in Toronto where the Blue Jays will take on the Red Sox.
Barber isn't a high volume home plate umpire, in fact, today will be only his 11th game behind the dish in 2017. When he does work the plate he really favors the home team. The hosts have won six of his last seven, are 7-3 on the season, and are 25-14 (56 percent) dating back to the beginning of the 2015 season.
The Jays are -120 favorites today on home soil...err...grass...err...carpet.
Diamond Trends - Wednesday
August 30, 2017
TOP SU TREND:
-- The Yankees are 0-11 since Jun 04, 2017 after they drew 1 or fewer walks last game.
TOP OU TREND:
-- The Red Sox are 0-12 OU (-3.67 ppg) since Sep 08, 2015 as a dog past the first game of a series after they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter last game.
TOP STARTER TREND:
-- The Tigers are 10-0 RUN LINE ON since Aug 24, 2009 when Justin Verlander starts as a dog when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start and lost
TOP CHOICE TREND:
-- The Blue Jays are 14-0 since May 15, 2009 as a favorite after a game as a home dog in which Jose Bautista struck out at least twice.
August 30, 2017
TOP SU TREND:
-- The Yankees are 0-11 since Jun 04, 2017 after they drew 1 or fewer walks last game.
TOP OU TREND:
-- The Red Sox are 0-12 OU (-3.67 ppg) since Sep 08, 2015 as a dog past the first game of a series after they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter last game.
TOP STARTER TREND:
-- The Tigers are 10-0 RUN LINE ON since Aug 24, 2009 when Justin Verlander starts as a dog when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start and lost
TOP CHOICE TREND:
-- The Blue Jays are 14-0 since May 15, 2009 as a favorite after a game as a home dog in which Jose Bautista struck out at least twice.
