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Wednesday 8/30/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
The Walker Group at Indiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 58
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 IRON VICTORY 9/2
# 8 PLAY MISTY 8/1
# 2 LUNA DANCER 7/5
I think IRON VICTORY is a very good choice. Has run strongly when racing a dirt route race. Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last race. With a nice class fig average of 72, has one of the best class advantages in this field. PLAY MISTY - Trainer boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface. LUNA DANCER - Parker ought to be able to get this filly to break out early in here. Should be given a shot - I like the figs from the last race.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 58
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 IRON VICTORY 9/2
# 8 PLAY MISTY 8/1
# 2 LUNA DANCER 7/5
I think IRON VICTORY is a very good choice. Has run strongly when racing a dirt route race. Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last race. With a nice class fig average of 72, has one of the best class advantages in this field. PLAY MISTY - Trainer boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface. LUNA DANCER - Parker ought to be able to get this filly to break out early in here. Should be given a shot - I like the figs from the last race.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
Louisiana Downs - Race 3
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Super Pick 5 (Races 3-4-5-6-7) / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 4:06P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WAR SPIRIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BEVOS WINCH: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TATTLE TAIL SUE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equ ibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
WAR SPIRIT
2/1
4/1
2
BEVOS WINCH
8/1
9/2
6
TATTLE TAIL SUE
4/1
9/1
Louisiana Downs - Race 3
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Super Pick 5 (Races 3-4-5-6-7) / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 4:06P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WAR SPIRIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BEVOS WINCH: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TATTLE TAIL SUE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equ ibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
WAR SPIRIT
2/1
4/1
2
BEVOS WINCH
8/1
9/2
6
TATTLE TAIL SUE
4/1
9/1
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
Presque Isle Downs - Race 7
$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:55P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MARTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest a verage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TALK TO THE MEDIA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a s print and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3
MARTY
3/1
7/2
7
TALK TO THE MEDIA
7/2
5/1
Presque Isle Downs - Race 7
$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:55P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MARTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest a verage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TALK TO THE MEDIA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a s print and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3
MARTY
3/1
7/2
7
TALK TO THE MEDIA
7/2
5/1
The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6200 Class Rating: 64
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 RICKLES 7/5
# 1 TEQUILA'S CHANCE 5/1
# 6 EMBERS 6/1
RICKLES is the top wager in this race. With a reliable 57 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. With a very strong 63 speed figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest. He has very good class ratings, averaging 75, and has to be carefully examined in this contest. TEQUILA'S CHANCE - With Barbaran aboard him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early in this event. He has put up decent figs under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group. EMBERS - Should be given a shot based on the respectable speed figure posted in the last race. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Gomez running at this distance are the top in this group.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6200 Class Rating: 64
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 RICKLES 7/5
# 1 TEQUILA'S CHANCE 5/1
# 6 EMBERS 6/1
RICKLES is the top wager in this race. With a reliable 57 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. With a very strong 63 speed figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest. He has very good class ratings, averaging 75, and has to be carefully examined in this contest. TEQUILA'S CHANCE - With Barbaran aboard him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early in this event. He has put up decent figs under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group. EMBERS - Should be given a shot based on the respectable speed figure posted in the last race. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Gomez running at this distance are the top in this group.
Rick Needham at Saratoga
RACE #9 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:18 PM EASTERN POST
The With Anticipation Stakes
8½ FURLONGS TURF GRADE III TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE
#10 TRUMPI
#11 SEABHAC
#3 CATHOLIC BOY
#9 EVALUATOR
For 2-year-olds on the turf, the With Anticipation was inaugurated in 2005 and named in honor of the gelding who won five Grade 1 races and more than $2.6 million for Hall of Fame trainer Jonathan Sheppard. A gray son of Relaunch owned by George Strawbridge, With Anticipation made his first start as a 2-year-old in 1997, but didn't hit his best stride until 2001, when he began campaigning primarily on the grass. The following year, at age 7, he won three straight Grade 1 events, the United Nations Handicap, his second straight Sword Dancer Invitational, and his second straight Man o' War. He was retired in 2004. Here in the 13th renewal of this graded stakes test, #10 TRUMPI, the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field, comes off a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN" in his "first asking," racing at today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the turf. Jockey Junior Alvarado was in his irons for that win, 24 days ago here at "The Spa," which produced a 1000% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #11 SEABHAC, a 4-1 shot, is still a maiden, comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his respective "first asking," losing by 1½ length to TRUMPI in that race.
RACE #9 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:18 PM EASTERN POST
The With Anticipation Stakes
8½ FURLONGS TURF GRADE III TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE
#10 TRUMPI
#11 SEABHAC
#3 CATHOLIC BOY
#9 EVALUATOR
For 2-year-olds on the turf, the With Anticipation was inaugurated in 2005 and named in honor of the gelding who won five Grade 1 races and more than $2.6 million for Hall of Fame trainer Jonathan Sheppard. A gray son of Relaunch owned by George Strawbridge, With Anticipation made his first start as a 2-year-old in 1997, but didn't hit his best stride until 2001, when he began campaigning primarily on the grass. The following year, at age 7, he won three straight Grade 1 events, the United Nations Handicap, his second straight Sword Dancer Invitational, and his second straight Man o' War. He was retired in 2004. Here in the 13th renewal of this graded stakes test, #10 TRUMPI, the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field, comes off a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN" in his "first asking," racing at today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the turf. Jockey Junior Alvarado was in his irons for that win, 24 days ago here at "The Spa," which produced a 1000% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #11 SEABHAC, a 4-1 shot, is still a maiden, comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his respective "first asking," losing by 1½ length to TRUMPI in that race.
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 9:10pm - Stakes - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $200,000 Class Rating: 83 OLG/OR Simcoe S. Presented by Samuel, Son and Co. Limited
Rating: 4
#6 ELLAS MY LOVE (ML=5/1)
#3 COOLER MIKE (ML=10/1)
ELLAS MY LOVE - At a 25 pct win rate for 2 year olds, this one's sire is one of the most solid in the group of horses. COOLER MIKE - Contreras was aboard this gelding last time out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a solid race is a good signal.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 AHEADBYACENTURY (ML=2/1), #1 ESKIMINZIN (ML=3/1), #7 STORMFUHR (ML=4/1),
AHEADBYACENTURY - This stretch-runner will probably be coming much too late to make a mark in this event. ESKIMINZIN - This sustainer should have a rough go of it to be along with the lack of pace in this race. STORMFUHR - When checking today's class rating, he will have to register a much better fig than last out to vie in this dirt sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 ELLAS MY LOVE on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Bar
Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 9:10pm - Stakes - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $200,000 Class Rating: 83 OLG/OR Simcoe S. Presented by Samuel, Son and Co. Limited
Rating: 4
#6 ELLAS MY LOVE (ML=5/1)
#3 COOLER MIKE (ML=10/1)
ELLAS MY LOVE - At a 25 pct win rate for 2 year olds, this one's sire is one of the most solid in the group of horses. COOLER MIKE - Contreras was aboard this gelding last time out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a solid race is a good signal.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 AHEADBYACENTURY (ML=2/1), #1 ESKIMINZIN (ML=3/1), #7 STORMFUHR (ML=4/1),
AHEADBYACENTURY - This stretch-runner will probably be coming much too late to make a mark in this event. ESKIMINZIN - This sustainer should have a rough go of it to be along with the lack of pace in this race. STORMFUHR - When checking today's class rating, he will have to register a much better fig than last out to vie in this dirt sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 ELLAS MY LOVE on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Saratoga - Race #6 - Post: 3:48pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $83,000 Class Rating: 88
Rating: 3
#5 BOULE (ML=5/1)
#1 TIZ THE LIGHT (ML=12/1)
#2 PRESUMPTUOUS (ML=9/2)
BOULE - After the event aboard this animal on Jul 14th, the jock is going to be acquainted with the filly much better. Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. This horse could be a potential overlay in this race at M/L odds of 5/1. Finished fifth in last race at Belmont Park but was close at the finish. Trying to break maiden moving from a turf race to the main track. I think Mott will have her in good shape for today's contest. TIZ THE LIGHT - When this jockey and conditioner partner up you have to take a look. Franco and Nevin have been wonderful together. PRESUMPTUOUS - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished runner up easily ahead of the 3rd place horse in her last effort. Trainer Bond moves this one down the class ladder to face much lower class horses. Look for a strong race with this class drop. This filly is in good form. Ran second on Aug 23rd. Trainer, Bond, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 WISE STRIKE (ML=3/1), #3 SEAM (ML=7/2), #7 YAALAIL (ML=6/1),
WISE STRIKE - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance affairs recently. Unlikely to see her doing it this time out either. SEAM - In any race of 7 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. YAALAIL - No value on this thoroughbred at the probable odds of 6/1.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PRESUMPTUOUS - Bond must think this fine animal is in fine fettle to bring her back so quickly.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 BOULE to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
Bar
Saratoga - Race #6 - Post: 3:48pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $83,000 Class Rating: 88
Rating: 3
#5 BOULE (ML=5/1)
#1 TIZ THE LIGHT (ML=12/1)
#2 PRESUMPTUOUS (ML=9/2)
BOULE - After the event aboard this animal on Jul 14th, the jock is going to be acquainted with the filly much better. Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. This horse could be a potential overlay in this race at M/L odds of 5/1. Finished fifth in last race at Belmont Park but was close at the finish. Trying to break maiden moving from a turf race to the main track. I think Mott will have her in good shape for today's contest. TIZ THE LIGHT - When this jockey and conditioner partner up you have to take a look. Franco and Nevin have been wonderful together. PRESUMPTUOUS - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished runner up easily ahead of the 3rd place horse in her last effort. Trainer Bond moves this one down the class ladder to face much lower class horses. Look for a strong race with this class drop. This filly is in good form. Ran second on Aug 23rd. Trainer, Bond, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 WISE STRIKE (ML=3/1), #3 SEAM (ML=7/2), #7 YAALAIL (ML=6/1),
WISE STRIKE - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance affairs recently. Unlikely to see her doing it this time out either. SEAM - In any race of 7 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. YAALAIL - No value on this thoroughbred at the probable odds of 6/1.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PRESUMPTUOUS - Bond must think this fine animal is in fine fettle to bring her back so quickly.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 BOULE to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
